BTCUSD - Trend reversal signal just by 3 candlesticks!This short segment is on candlestick and multiple time frame analysis.
As a trader or trader wannabe, this is an important lesson that goes a long way. Trust me, it may sound simple but it actually took me a long time to grasp the full concept and then apply it in my trading.
This is BTC on the weekly time frame, if you are scalping the market or even just day trading, you don't really need to take reference with this time frame. Large time frame such as Weekly and Monthly are mainly used for position trading and intraday movement don't really affect this type of trading. What confuses me at the beginning was the expectation as to when price movement will occur. Has it even happen to you somebody tells you that you are trading on the wrong time frame?
So back to BTC, which enjoy such a good bull run from April to end May, a series of long green bullish candles. On 27 May close, we see a small skinny candle, yes traders should know this is called a Doji candle. What this tells me is the sellers are coming in and buyers are being challenged. One way of intepreting the psychology of those traders that bought BTC at say $5000: "Come on, price is already so high! Shouldnt we be thinking of taking profit already?" Hence, a Doji is an indication of indecision in the market and there is no clear direction.
Let's look at the next candle that closed on 3 June, a convincing Bearish Red Candle. Not only is this candle long, it also has no upper tail and look where it closes, covering the whole Doji candle. This is a clear signal that the Bears won and the "Big Picture" (Weekly Time frame) uptrend has ended. Having said that, do I just go in blindly and short BTC? Of course not, there are much to it in trading and alot depends on your trade portfolio and objectives. I am ready for the next move, have you plan out yours? :)
Do like and share this post. I use a combination of trading strategies such as Supply & Demand ( SND ), Harmonics Patterns, Multiple Time Frame Analysis , Candlestick Analysis to name a few. Follow me if my trading style suits you as I will be posting new trade ideas and analysis regularly.
Multipletimeframe
GBPAUS SS MA Trade +60 Pip PotentialWe have a nice up move in this pair, so we will look to get in on a pullback. This is an MA trade with a High probability and Good RRR.
Entry = 1.8247
Stop =1.8227
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8320
Reward = + 60 Pips
RRR = 3-1
* Understand that this entry is based on a moving Average, so it will...move. I will update before it is triggered.
**Once this trade is up + 25 pips, move your stop to breakeven and let it run
GBPCAD SS Short + 132 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.6932
Stop = 1.6952
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 132 Pips
RRR = 6.6-1
2nd Entry = 1.6852
Stop =1.6882
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8762 (statistical target)
Reward = 90 Pips
RRR = 3-1
** Please be aware that UK GDP is scheduled for 4:30 am est. and will directly effect this trade.
USDCAD SS Short + 101 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.3304
Stop = 1.3324
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.3203 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 101 Pips
RRR = 5-1
2nd Entry = NEED a CLOSE below 1.3263
Stop = 1.32??
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.3203 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = approx 55 pips
RRR =2.5 -1
GBPCAD SS Short + 123 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.6968
Stop =1.6988
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.6845 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 123 Pips
RRR =6.15 - 1
2nd Entry = 1.6937
Stop = 1.6967
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.6845 ( The projected daily )
Reward = 92 Pips
RRR = 3-1
** Be Aware that Cad employment news is scheduled for 8:30 am est.,which will directly effect this trade and US Non-Farm payroll is scheduled for the same time which will indirectly effect this trade.
GBPCHF SS Short + 60 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily and the 15 KS as well as the cloud, but above the 60 KS. This is a Type 2 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
Entry = enter short on a CLOSE, not a penetration, below the 60 KS at 1.25932
Stop = approx 1.2610
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.2530 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 60 Pips
RRR = 3-1
GBPCHF SS Short + 90 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.2641
Stop =1.2661
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.2551
Reward = 90 Pips
RRR = 4.5 -1
2nd Entry = 1.2608
Stop =1.2638
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.2551
Reward = 57 Pips
RRR = 2-1
GBPJPY SS Short + 87 Pip PotentialWe have several good Type 1 Trades on the GBP pairs today. This is the First:
Price is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 136.99
Stop =137.19
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 136.12( The projected daily low )
Reward = 87 Pips
RRR = 4.35 - 1
2nd Entry = 136.55
Stop = 136.85
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 135.65
Reward = 90 Pips
RRR = 3-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 90 PIp PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8220
Stop =1.8240
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8130
Reward = 90 Pips
RRR =4.5-1
2nd Entry = 1.8170
Stop = 1.8205
Risk = 35 pips
Profit target = 1.8080
Reward = 90 Pips
RRR = 3-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 78 Pip PotentialThis pair has been in a slow downward grind all week. it is due to explode.
Price is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8249
Stop = 1.8269
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8171 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 78 Pips
RRR = 3.9 -1
2nd Entry = 1.8209
Stop = 1.8239
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8119
Reward = 90 Pips
RRR = 3-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 107 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8283
Stop = 1.8303
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8176 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 107
RRR = 5.35 -1
2nd Entry = 1.8251
Stop = 1.8281
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8176 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 75
RRR = 2.5 - 1
GBPAUD SS Short + 114 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8318
Stop = 1.8338
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8204 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 114 Pips
RRR = 5.7 -1
2nd Entry = 1.8277
Stop = 1.8307
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8204 ( The projected daily )
Reward = 73 Pips
RRR = 2.4 -1
GBPAUD SS MA Trade + 60 Pip PotentialWe have a nice down move in this pair, so we will look to get in on a pullback. This is an MA trade with a High probability and Good RRR.
Entry = 1.8338 (The Daily Senkou A)
Stop = 1.8358
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8278
Reward = + 60 Pips
RRR = 3-1
** Once this trade is up + 25 pips, move your stop to breakeven and let it run
GBPJPY SS Short + 94 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 139.54
Stop = 139.74
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 138.60 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = +94 Pips
RRR = 4.7-1
2nd Entry = 139.25
Stop = 139.55
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 138.60 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = + 65 Pips
RRR = 2.1 -1
GBPUSD SS Short + 68 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.2657
Stop = 1.2677
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target =1.2587 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 68 + Pips
RRR = 3.4 -1
2nd Entry = 1.2629
Stop = 1.2649
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.2587 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 42 + Pips
RRR = 2.1 -1
GBPJPY SS Short + 104 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 140.69 (60 KS)
Stop = 140.89
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 139.65 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 104
RRR =5.2-1
2nd Entry = 140.25
Stop = 140.55
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 139.65 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 60
RRR = 2-1
GBPAUD News Trade + 100 Pip PotentialWe had a good push up on the GBP pairs on Surprise Brexit news and this pair has now gone into a consolidation between 1.85311 (High) and 1.85076 (Low). Moreover, it is now Above the Daily 60 and 15 clouds, as well as the Daily KS, 60 KS and 15 KS
Entry = 1.8509
Stop = 1.8489
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8609
Reward = 100 Pips
RRR = 5-1
GBPCAD MA Short + 52 Pip PotentialWe have a nice down move in this pair, so we will look to get in on a pullback. This is an MA trade with a high probability and Good RRR.
Entry 1.7058
Stop = 1.7078
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.7006
Reward = +50
RRR = 2.5-1
** Once this trade is up + 25 pips, move your stop to breakeven and let it run :)
Wait for the Easy Set-ups and the purpose of Trading I often have traders ask me, how can I get alot of trades? And my response is that is the wrong question, the purpose of trading is to make Money, Period. It is, imho, to make as much money as you can in as few trades and in as little of time as possible. Although I have several methods of trading, the SS MA method, shown here is my absolute favorite. It has an 87% success rate with a healthy 3-1 RRR.
That said, I often ask those same traders "If you could consistently make 6-12% per week but could only take 2 trades, would you do it?" The answers are surprising as again, imho, anybody that says anything but yes really needs to rethink why they are trading. You should not be trading for the excitement, you should not be trading just to hit buttons. You should be trading so you can sit on a beach with the cocktail of your choice in hand.
to that end, I would implore you to come up with your best trading methodology and trade only that. As I have prominently posted between my monitors, as a reminder to myself "Wait for the easy set-ups and don't do anything stupid in the mean time" :)
GBPCHF SS Short + 90 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.2962
Stop = 1.2982
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.2872 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = +90 Pips
RRR = 4.5-1
2nd Entry = 1.2937
Stop =1.2967
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.2872 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 65
RRR = 2.1 -1