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Multipletimeframeanalysis

Join My Bullish EUR/GBP Journey!Hey Traders! Today, I'm excited to share my bullish trade idea on the EUR/GBP currency pair. As we navigate through the current market dynamics, I believe there are several key fundamentals supporting this upward bias. Current Market Fundamentals - Economic Indicators: The upcoming release of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) retail sales data is anticipated to show positive trends, which could strengthen the GBP. A robust consumer spending report can create a favorable environment for the Euro to gain against the Pound. - Market Sentiment: Recent bullish candlestick patterns on the H4 chart suggest a potential reversal in the EUR/GBP pair. The price is currently hovering near the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a possible breakout. - Technical Setup: The pair is trading between the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting consolidation with potential for upward movement. This technical setup aligns with my bullish sentiment. Utilizing Probabilities for Positioning In my trading strategy, I emphasize the importance of probabilities to make informed decisions. Here’s why: - Statistical Edge: By analyzing historical price movements and current market conditions, I can identify patterns that have a higher likelihood of repeating. This statistical approach helps me gauge potential outcomes more effectively. - Risk Management: Using probabilities allows me to set realistic targets and stop-loss levels, ensuring that I manage risk while maximizing potential gains. For instance, if historical data shows a 70% success rate for bullish movements after similar setups, I can confidently position myself for long trades. - Adaptability: Markets are dynamic; therefore, employing a probabilistic mindset enables me to adapt my strategy based on real-time data and changing conditions. This flexibility is crucial in maintaining an edge in trading. Conclusion With a bullish bias on EUR/GBP backed by solid fundamentals and a robust technical setup, I am ready to position myself for long trades using probabilities as my guiding principle. Let’s keep an eye on the upcoming economic data releases and market movements that could further validate this trade idea. Feel free to share your thoughts or any questions you may have! Happy trading! 1M: 2W: 2H: P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
Long
by Jasminex1x2
1
LTCUSD: Strong Bullish Momentum with 68.87% Probability for TP1!I’m optimistic about Litecoin (LTCUSD) right now, and here are some compelling reasons to consider this trade: - Market Recovery: The overall cryptocurrency market is bouncing back, with many coins, including Litecoin, showing positive price movements after recent dips. - Growing Adoption: More people and businesses are starting to use cryptocurrencies for transactions, which could increase demand for Litecoin. - Tech Improvements: Litecoin is undergoing updates that make it more efficient and user-friendly, attracting more interest. - Positive Sentiment: Many analysts are optimistic about the future of cryptocurrencies, suggesting that prices could continue to rise. To get positioned for long trades on LTCUSD, I rely on probabilities based on historical data in a mechanical trading system. In short, my bullish outlook on LTCUSD is supported by strong market fundamentals, and by using probabilities from historical data, I aim to position myself effectively for potential long trades. Please share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! 12M: 2W: 6H:
CRYPTO:LTCUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
2
USOIL: Bullish Fundamentals and 61.60% Probability for LongsKey Fundamentals - Decreased OPEC Exports: Recent reports indicate a decline in crude oil exports from OPEC and Russia, tightening the market as refinery runs ramp up for seasonal demand. This reduction in supply is likely to exert upward pressure on prices2. - Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical risks, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine, continue to add a risk premium to oil prices. Traders are increasingly factoring these uncertainties into their market strategies2. - Rising Demand: With the U.S. economy showing signs of recovery and better-than-expected market fundamentals, demand for oil is anticipated to rise, further supporting higher prices12. - Technical Indicators: Current market sentiment shows USOIL trading above its pivot point of $74.80, with support levels around $74.00. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.16, indicating a healthy trend without being overbought1. I'm employing a probability-based strategy to position myself for long trades in USOIL. By incorporating these fundamentals and probability analysis into my trading approach, I aim to leverage the current bullish sentiment in USOIL effectively. 12M: 2W: Hourly TFs:
TVC:USOILLong
by Jasminex1x2
Using Probability to Guide My Long Positions on NZDUSDThe NZDUSD pair is showing bullish potential due to several key factors. Recent US inflation data came in softer than expected, which could lead to a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. Additionally, the Fed's recent interest rate cut is likely to weaken the US dollar, benefiting the New Zealand dollar. These factors, combined with NZDUSD's positive momentum over the past week and month, support a bullish outlook for the pair. To capitalize on this potential, I'm using probability-based analysis to enter long positions. By focusing on high-probability setups, I aim to achieve more consistent results over time. 12M: 2W: 1H: I’d love to hear your thoughts on the NZDUSD outlook and my trading strategy. Please share your insights or questions in the comments below!
Long
by Jasminex1x2
Exploring the Bullish Outlook for Litecoin (LTCUSD)Litecoin (LTC/USD) is showing a bullish trend, supported by several key fundamentals. The cryptocurrency market is experiencing renewed interest, with Litecoin benefiting from its reputation as "digital silver" alongside Bitcoin's "digital gold" status. Litecoin's upcoming halving event, expected in August 2023, is generating excitement as it typically leads to increased scarcity and potential price appreciation. Additionally, Litecoin's growing adoption in real-world transactions and its recent integration into various payment platforms are contributing to its positive outlook. The overall crypto market sentiment is improving, with institutional investors showing increased interest in alternative cryptocurrencies like Litecoin. I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for Litecoin. Now, let's take a closer look at my analysis. 12M: 2W: 1H: Feel free to share your thoughts and ideas in the comments below!
CRYPTO:LTCUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
XAGUSD: A Bullish Perspective and Top-Down AnalysisSilver (XAG/USD) is showing a bullish trend, supported by several key fundamentals. The ongoing global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like silver. Additionally, the increasing industrial demand for silver, particularly in the renewable energy sector and electronics industry, is contributing to its positive outlook. The weakening US dollar is also playing a role in boosting silver prices, as the precious metal becomes more attractive to international buyers. I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for Silver. Let’s get into the details of my analysis. 6M: 1W: 1H:
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
USOIL : Why a 56.53% Probability Signals a Strong Bullish Move!The current global landscape presents several factors supporting a bullish bias for USOIL: Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East continue to create supply uncertainties, potentially driving prices higher. Economic Recovery: As major economies show signs of improvement, demand for oil is expected to increase, putting upward pressure on prices. OPEC+ Production Cuts: Recent decisions by major oil-producing countries to limit output could lead to tighter supply conditions. Leveraging Probabilities for Strategic Positioning I'm utilizing probabilistic analysis on my charts to get positioned into longs. Here's why this approach is valuable: 1. Risk Management: By assessing probabilities, I can better gauge potential outcomes and adjust my position sizes accordingly. 2. Identifying High-Probability Setups: Probability-based analysis helps pinpoint trade entries with higher chances of success. 3. Emotional Control: Using probabilities provides a more objective framework, reducing the impact of emotions on trading decisions. 4. Adapting to Market Conditions: Probabilistic thinking allows for flexibility in strategy as market conditions evolve. By combining fundamental analysis with a probability-based approach to technical analysis, I aim to capitalize on the bullish potential in USOIL. 12M: 2W: 1H:
TVC:USOILLong
by Jasminex1x2
Top-5 tips for Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis Trading I am trading multiple time frame analysis for many years. After reviewing trading ideas from various traders on Tradingview, I noticed that many traders are applying that incorrectly In this article, I will share with you 5 essential tips , that will help you improve your multiple time frame analysis and top-down trading. The Order of Analysis Matters Multiple time frame analysis is also called top-down analysis for a reason. When you trade with that, you should strictly start your analysis with higher time frames and then dive lower, investigating shorter-term time frames. Unfortunately, most of the traders do the opposite. They start from a lower time frame and finish on a higher one. Above are 3 time frames of EURGBP pair: daily, 4h, 1h. To execute multiple time frames analysis properly, start with a daily, then check a 4h and only then the hourly time frame. Limit the Number of Time Frames Executing multiple time frame analysis, many traders analyse a lot of time frames. They may start from a weekly and finish on 5 minute time frame, going through 5-8 time frames. Remember that is it completely wrong. For execution of a multiple time frame analysis, it is more than enough to analyse 3 or even 2 time frames. Adding more time frames will overwhelm your analysis and make it too complex. Analyse Particular Time Frames Your multiple time frame analysis should be consistent and rule-based. It means that you should strictly define the time frames that you analyse. For example, for day trading, my main trading time frames are daily, 4h, 1h. I consistently analyse ONLY these trading time frames and I look for day trades only analysing this combination of time frames. Higher is the time frame, stronger the signal in provides Trading with multiple time frame analysis, very often you will encounter controversial signals: you may see a very bullish pattern on a daily and a very bearish confirmation on 30 minutes time frame. Always remember that the higher time frames confirmations are always stronger, and their accuracy is probability is always higher. Above there are 2 patterns: a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout, and an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout. 2 patterns give 2 controversial signals: the pattern on a daily is very bullish and the pattern on a 4h is very bearish. The signal on a daily time frame will be always stronger , so it is reasonable to be on a bearish side here. You can see that the price dropped after a retest of a neckline of a head and shoulders on a daily, completely neglecting a bullish pattern on a 4H. Each Time Frame Should Have Its Purpose You should analyse any particular time frame for a reason. You should know exactly what you are looking for there and what is the purpose of your analysis. For example, for day trading, I analyse 3 time frames. On a daily, I analyse the market trend and key levels. On a 4H time frame, I analyse candlesticks. On an hourly time frame, I look for a price action pattern as a confirmation. On GBPAUD on a daily, I see a test of a key horizontal resistance. On a 4H time frame, the price formed a doji candle. On an hourly, I spotted a double top, giving me a bearish confirmation. These trading tips will increase the accuracy of your multiple time frame analysis. Study them carefully and adopt them in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
EOY Review $DIS first baby steps back up The good thing about NYSE:DIS is the outside quarter but, it couldn't close above that Q3 high, so still not that strong of a look given it took out the low of '22 and closed above it, this could mean we've seen the worst overall, if the 3 on the quarter might see some continuation upwards, I see this just as the first baby steps of what could be a nice run back up so, first things first, let's see a close above the Q4 high first and than see what's next anything can happen
NYSE:DIS
by RobinsOptions
BTC Update Sunday EditionIt is what it is. More boring Price action, they sell to target and we go up. There is nothing hard to understand about this. If that is difficult for you to understand, then good. Watch the video and listen. I make 18-20 minute videos regularly not to say what I think is going to happen, but to EXPLAIN why I think it will happen and how I analyze. I may have looked at DXY wrong in assuming that there is control over where it can actually start the new week. It seems that there is no influence to where it starts from past history. (I need to triple check though. So assuming that I still think the DXY will be bullish on open, but most likely reject at 103.188. I suspect we open at 102.6, drop to 102.25 and then go to 103.188 and reject. Starting the next week under 102.25 and sending the dollar towards 100 buckerinos. I pray for no overselling that turns the dollar into the reversal it started in late July.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by TrendLINEBoys
BTCUSD Ready to exit this big diamondBTCUSD reached further the supply area in overbought condition. A potential decrease of 7% can occur if the price action interact with the anchored VWAP from ATH. This potential movement can ignite an impulsive 5-wave bearish exiting of this big diamond pattern, which is likely complete. Fisher Transform suggests the direction of the price action in 2H and 1D timeframes. Overbought condition on macro scenario, in which the price seems to be form a top, ready to a swing downward to complete a 5th wave of a expanded ending diagonal, likely to finish the actual bearmarket.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by firmestudio
EU Already up 90 Pips on week? beware of FOMO. After gapping up 40 Pips, then creating another leg up 50 pips Higher High to 1.07392 Daily Zone, I can see fomo kicking in. I think it's likely that we will see a harsh liquidity pullback to 1.06895 Daily Zone before a further bullish continuation on the week ( which just began! ) Already moved up 90 pips.. quite a move for EU during the first session of the week. Short term at least looking for fakeout during London Open (1st of the week). CPI on Tuesday, We'll see how the first few sessions of the week unfold here.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx