Man Industries on the verge of 17 year BOKey Levels:
Support: 130
Resistance: 240
Learning:
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Multiplier
Bitcoin to 1 million by June? What is needed? Have you heard about former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan's ludicrous bet that Bitcoin will reach 1 million by June due to the banking crisis? That's almost as crazy as late John McAfee's (RIP) bet back in the days.
But let's get to the real question, how much "money" would it take for Bitcoin to reach such a valuation? Hmm...a pop quiz seems fun!
How much money inflow is needed for Bitcoin to reach a 1 million USD valuation?
a) 5 trillion USD
b) 10 trillion USD
c) 20 trillion USD
d) nothing, hyperinflation will do the trick
e) it's not possible, Bitcoin won't reach a million
Put your answer in the comments right now, then come back and read on ... The answer might surprise you.
Okay, ready? Let's dig in...
Many folks might think that for Bitcoin to reach a 1M USD valuation, it's as simple as checking the current market cap and subtracting that from the total number of Bitcoins issued multiplied by 1 million. That would mean roughly 19,325,000 x 1,000,000 - 550,000,000,000 = 18,775,000,000 or 18.75T USD.
But hold your horses! There are a couple of things to keep in mind. Approximately 80% of all issued bitcoins are being HODLed right now, meaning they are illiquid, the most significant number ever. This means that only 20% of 19,325,000 BTC or approximately 3,865,000 BTC is liquid and available for purchase. The actual number of BTC available on exchanges is even lower.
Then there's the multiplier effect, averaging around 2.6 in the last 5 years. This effect means that for every $1 invested in Bitcoin, the market cap increased on average by $2.6, a fascinating side-effect of the supply and demand mechanism.
Now let's calculate buying those liquid Bitcoins, keeping in mind the multiplier effect using the following formula.
Inflow needed = liquid supply x 1,000,000 / 2.6
Calculated ► 3,865,000 x 1,000,000 / 2.6 = 1,486,538,461,538 USD or roughly 1.5 T.
Quite a difference compared to 18.75T, right?
This calculation, of course, is purely hypothetical and assumes that the current level of demand and supply remains constant. The actual price of bitcoin may vary due to a number of factors, such as changes in demand, supply, and market sentiment. Factors that could have a big impact:
Large market orders would increase the multiplication factor as it pumps up the price much faster
Certainly, some sell orders would be triggered at certain prices along the way, which increases the number of liquid BTC and thus the amount needed to pump to 1M
The calculation did not keep in mind the BTC that will be mined till June, so we need to add some additional BTC in our calculations.
Maybe most importantly, sell orders have the same multiplier effect, not to mention the panic selling that could occur if a large amount of BTC was sold at once.
Nevertheless, the calculation above proves that less money is needed than previously thought for BTC to reach a 1M valuation. While I don't believe that we'll see that happening by June and this bet is outrageously bold, it does show that there is a possibility that if the banking issues continue and people see Bitcoin as a safe haven, we could reach a 1M Bitcoin faster than expected, with less inflow than expected. The point is that the faster this would happen, the less inflow would be needed.
So there you have it! While Balaji Srinivasan's bet may seem outrageous and implausible, it's not as far-fetched as it might appear initially. With the right set of environmental circumstances, such as continued banking crises and increased adoption of Bitcoin as a safe haven asset, reaching a 1M valuation may be closer than we think. And now you know the (theoretical) calculation for how much money it would take to get there!
What do you think? Does his bet make sense? If not, what is your prediction?
Leave your thoughts in the comments and if you liked what you read here, pressing the little rocket (it really helps!) would be appreciated!
Oh, and while you're here, why don't you check the idea below as well, an actual analysis of what I personally expect to happen till the next halving. (And no, it's not as crazy as this bet). Enjoy!
Multiplier Token is Good to HODL for Long Time 22/02/2021MXX tokens are designed to balance liquidity for depositors and lenders through algorithmic derived interest rates and yield. These are based on the collateralization and loans conducted on the Multiplier cryptocurrency platform. The minting of MXX tokens will start from 0 tokens, with a total supply of 9 billion, which can be accumulated through minting only.
Essentially, liquidity mining is when a yield farmer mints new tokens in exchange for their liquidity on the platform. This creates a positive loop; whereby users are incentivized with minted tokens to conduct transactions on the platform, which in turn increases the value of the same token, and attracts more users to join.
MXX Token and Community Governance:
A maximum of 18 million MXX tokens are issued daily, shared among users in proportion of their contribution to the platform through lending, borrowing and making referrals. The currently accepted currencies on the Multiplier platform are BTC, USDT and USDC. MXX tokens are also currently listed on the trading platform Bilaxy.com.
MXX tokens will gradually allow the protocol to transit towards being entirely governed by the community. The number of votes is proportional to their amount of MXX tokens and can be used to make decisions on the protocol. The move towards a decentralized governance process will protect investor interests, reduce systemic risk and increase long term utility of the Multiplier protocol.
The simple-to-use Multiplier platform aims to attract holders looking to optimize their idle cryptocurrency assets, as well as attract experienced yield farmers looking for more ways to maximize their harvests.
About Multiplier:
Multiplier crypto lender began in 2019 with regulated financial licenses obtained (SRO Switzerland VQF 10075 and Hong Kong Money Lenders License 1702/2019), and formed strong collaborations with reputable industry leaders such as Coinbase Custody and JUMIO KYC/AML.
Multiplier believes in operating within the legal framework of jurisdictions, and having the relevant licenses to adhere to regulations.
The company continues to establish strong relationships, between regulatory authorities, communities and leading institutions around the globe, merging the scale and familiarity of traditional finance, into a secured, advanced and simplified global financial blockchain system.
Multiplier has been developing DeFi protocols with user feedback from its centralized crypto lending entity since 2019, and launches MXX governance tokens which give the community voting rights that will gradually allow the protocol to be entirely governed by the community and stakeholders.
Technical:
A simple Fibonacci projection is projecting 3 Targets for us where we can capitalize on any if them or who missed the opportunity of investing on them can use these TPs for benchmarks.
please comment your opinion or any news you got about it and willing to share and discus...
Fibonacci Retracement and Extensions Imagine a Box that's being fired everytime market makes a swing.
Multiples of boxes of bear/bull. That is what fib is 0 to 1.
Many people say "So its going to go up or So its going to go down?" well answer to that is BOTH.
They are always fighting and more often than naught one will break and other one will move on to its multiplier.
Pretty simple and powerful stuff.
Trade Ideas Educator: GBPAUD SharkGBPAUD is a very volatile pair; to trade this, one must have a mental preparation that market can still reverse against you after riding on a 100pips+ profit.
Now this present as a third-chance entry to engage this trade of the countertrend trading. You might be asking, "Hey then, why is this trade still in your list?" Well, the volatility of this that attracted me. Be prepared to get stung out multiple times before being rewarded.
As long as the market didn't gap up or gap down too much, I will still be looking for a shorting opportunity.