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Multitimeframeanalysis

Fakeout at 28,500$ Daily level? 😼 Setup : FakeoutLooking for a bounce back up for a retest of 28,500 before returning to the downside. We haev 2 days left in this Weekly Candle. I can see the weekly candle closing below 28,500. If we do this, we can anticipate a top wick retest on the next weekly candle back around 28 to 28,500 Area where we will look for short setups. I think we became a bit over extended here for the bulls. There are popular posts talking about taking more buys. This did not play out and price is ruthlessly coming back down taking out buyers from previous few weeks who have held the bag. I'm anticipating a bounce but a deadcat bounce for more shorts.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ShrewdCatfx
2
USD/CAD: multi-timeframe outlook. What is the next move? Looking at the DAILY-timeframe graph on the left-hand side of the screen, we may observe that the previous candle has managed to close impulsively bullish and approach the crucial area of resistance highlighted on the chart. Zooming into the H8 graphic, it can be inferred that the price might be headed towards the 1.364 - 1.365 region before forming a Double Top and commencing its bearish impulses. The major USD fundamentals due later today should be taken into consideration as well before planning on executing positions on this pair. All in all, we will keep monitoring the price action and news reports before opening a transaction.
Short
by Investroy
16
GBP JPY - Moving on up G'day, Master Key for zones Black = Yearly Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Three, Four Day Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video. Daily Chart Bonus Four day hour chart Weekly Chart Monthly Chart Let me know your thoughts and analysis. Each opinion is valid where research is conducted. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 6+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIII
Long
by LupaCapital
EURUSD 4H 28/04/2023 Currently, in the 4-hour timeframe, we are in an uptrend range that extends from 1.08960 to 1.10758, with the latter being the current range liquidity point. Following the structure and the ranges that have been created, we can identify two areas of interest: 1.09171 and 1.08571. These are the zones in which we can search for reactions to position ourselves in the bullish movement or alternatively, we could descend to lower timeframes to follow the new bullish ranges that are forming in favor of the trend.
Long
by mdr300896
Inflation Data 📊 Favoring BreakoutHas EUR Topped out and has GDP been enough to put the nail in the coffin? Price is continuing to reject extreme prices and this was anticipated from 1.1045 and 1.1056 Higher time frame level's. However Buy Side took over to close out the NY Session. Maybe this is a precursor to a Bullish /Optiumistic CPI release tomorrow and a rise in EU. This is my Bias for the last Asian session of the week. More Analysis: We may retest 1.10 1Hr Zone during Asian Session. It is wise to be weary of the fact that we are in a range on the Daily TF between 1.1045 and 1.0973. I was anticipating that we would keep pushing and do a continuation for NY session which we did, sort of at least back to the lows which was momentum from the news release. But these low prices didnt hold and the Daily cnalde is pulling back up to end off the session.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
XAUUSD 1H 25/04/2023Currently, in the one-hour chart, we are within a bearish range that spans from 2011 to 1969, with the latter being the range's liquidity point in this time frame. We notice that the price did not close above the first gray zone, which ranges from 1998 to 1989, so if the price returns to this area, we could expect a bearish reaction. On the other hand, if the price touches our second zone, ranging from 2008 to 2005, without performing a pullback, we could look for a bearish reaction to liquidate the range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mdr300896
Correction Imminent for Liquidity? 🏔️ Eur/UsdLooking for a Correction because price is going straight up. The New 4Hr Candle may be the catalyst for an Asian Session Pullback before the 2nd London Session of the week kicks off. As we approach London Session we will see more volume arrive and anticipating potential corrective structure. The RR is worth a short although you should never walk in front of a train unless you have confluences and a good RR Idea. Anticipating corrective structure during this session and London Session. For Buyers maybe a retest of Broken Weekly Level 1.1058 for more aggressive buys. For better buys one of the previous 1Hr Zones at 1.1045 or 1.1027 or if we pull back harder.. maybe we'll consider more short term downside because it is quite early in the week. 1.1075 Weekly wick Fill from 2nd Week April is likely considering we just had a strong Daily candle close (at) 1.1045 Daily level. We closed below our Weekly Level at 1.1058. So no most optimal buy scenario for continuation here but we'll see. More Analysis: Taking Buys today throughout NY Session was straight forward as we had the NY 4Hr candle close above 1.102. This gave me confidence to take buys throughout the session. Although we had a tough time at first, we kept trading and my system ended the first trading day of the week on a positive note ( No pun intended ). Sometimes my entries are a bit sloppy as I can be quite impatient. This is why I am a Scalper however as it is more suiting towards my persnaility anbd trading style. However, Risk Management is especially significant with a scalping strategy as although wins come faster same do cost's of business.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
EU Slides 🛝 and Dollar ReignitesPrice is currently In a Range between 1.0952 and 1.0988 on the 4Hr. We have extreme short term prices at 1.10. We have multiple wicks here and we can bet probably that there will be a downside reaction for bears after we hit this area. It is also a psychological area for everyone on all TF's. Hawkish remarks by Fed recently don't necessarily appear to have drastic short term consequences but we may quickly have that answered as we begin the new week. We have price funneling up on the line chart on our intradday charts. We have alot of free liquidity waiting to be realeased if we can close and hold above 1.10 extreme prices//psychological area. 1.0871 is weekly target frr bears, the next daily zone below prev strucutre
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Do Engulfing Candles Work? 🤨Yes Engulfing Candles work but it depnds on the context. If are at either a Weekly, Daily or 4Hr level then I will have more confidence in my entry. If not then we may just be selling into momentum and getted rekt while price goes the other way and we weep as our ego suffers. We have a minor zone at 1880 but nothing more than that, at least considering what is relevant personally. However, we have had sustained bearish pressure on the higher TF's such as the Daily/Weekly and appear to be printing solid engulfing candles on those timeframes. 1 More day for the weekly candle to close. I can observe price potentially returning to the lows for more liquidity around 1840 and going into a range. If not then candlestick patterns dnt wrk and that's why we always stick to combining confluences, and considering context before entering after a candlestick pattern. Thinking more range before we see 1942 again.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Fomo Buyers + News Correction of Unemployment & PPI Data 🎢You may observe rejection of 1.1057 Weekly Level as mentioned in prev post. Very good sell opportunities as we rejected the weekly level and Fomo buyers were caught off guard. The American consumer is struggling and can be observed by retail sales data. We had a 7am Continuation when consumer sentiment was released , acting as a catalyst to continue momentum of the already established direction as we rejected 1.1057 weekly level as big buyers TP above 1.103 extreme prices. We would prefer to See the Daily candle to close below 1.0988 for Sells to continue. For Buyers we maintain an overall bullish trend if we hold above 1.0988. We do see some very large engulfing candles on the 4Hr on EU here. That is why I'm looking for some sort of continuation to the lows as we walk into the weekend and the open on Sunday. I think DXY bulls are on to something here but it is CPI week and the weekly candle is closing bullish. I would like to be proven wrong early in week next week like Sunday/Monday for more buys back up to 1.1057 and higher.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
2
NFP March 7th, 2023'In yesterdays publishing you can observe that our short term target was at 1.0938. Some buyers are taking profit as we have reached this minor zone 1Hr level. The bullish 4hr candle closed above 1.0918 which has been our Fakeout sell side entry area. This is bullish technically speaking. Looking at market structure it looks great. So we had a fakeout market strcutre display, but now look where the 4hr candle closed. EU being tricky. In larger context, I don't like buys as much at these prices. I like retests of 1.0867 to end the week off with NFP tomorrow. Price is consolidating near the Daily/Weekly highs and playing games. If we go Long, I like Bulls respecting 1.0918 , possibly wicking back down again to 1.089 and then rocket to mars at 1.103, Weekly timeframe wick fill. Trading : Fortunately, I did trade and anticipate sells off this level after news was released this morning. Price wicked up violently triggering my buy stop. In profit for two seconds then hit SL. Only half risk here. Consequently, I took sells after we whipped back down and created a low to go fill in momentum. I scaled in with full size effectively and picked up 7.3 pips in 6 minutes. I took one more sell for +2 pips with higher risk which worked out well. Took 1 more trade with half risk and closed for small loss. Called the day there.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Moving into Weekend 🏖️ Weekly Candle Pulling back As mentioned in yesterdays publishing, we were anticipating dollar strength moving into NFP. The market structure was a bit awkward moving into NFP with price consolidating testing to see if it could hold 1.0918 as support. We punched through back to 1.089 with NFP data. Took advantage of these intuitions for the better then consequently ran into risk management issues. Nonetheless we have seen great sell opportunities these past 2 days to end the week and I'm not surprised. Moving into the weekend I think the weekly candle can cointinue to pullback and potentially gap down as we open next week. I've been talking about 1.0918 frequently as it will act as our Fakeout level on 4Hr Timeframe if we are right. If we are wrong, will range and ultimately like the bulls to do a solid break and retest above and beyond 1.0918. Have a good weekend.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Bounced off Daily Zone 1.07971 & Large Daily Wick is Bullish 🤷‍Value in Description ⬇️ Beware we have returned close to our extreme prices after an abrupt beginning to the week. Price fell into the abyss as optimistic buyers were a bit too early like myself. This NY session though we managed to grab a spot on the train. I was bearish walking into the week and was expecting a pullback to these prices. However , after that start to the week and observing how the daily candle may close with the large bottom wick, it gives me more confidence that we may blast through the extreme prices at 1.093. Our next target may be the previous monthly candle wick at 1.103 and which is also the next weekly Zone above where we are currently at (1.088) NFP on friday will be catalyst for large move here. Especially with this start to the week. We already have a large imbalance and it's obvious. More analysis : We have created a Lower Low on the 4Hr TF. NFP is setting up early in the week at extreme prices 1.093 area. Retesting, before we move back down to 1.079 and reject extreme prices at a Monthly and weekly S/R level at 1.09.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
GBP / USD - DOES IT NEED A CORRECTION?GBP / USD - DOES IT NEED A HEALTHY CORRECTION? My analysis today deals with how the further course of our popular Forex pair "GBP / USD" could look. > The technical analysis and selected indicators, confirm the thesis of an imminent sell-off. = Why, that I explain after the introduction. The DXY / USD has a non-negligible impact on GBP / USD, as the whole economy depends on its behavior, and it directly competes in composition. > Meanwhile, this seems to take a run-up, for a final upswing, which could put the currency pair under massive selling pressure. > Regardless of these selling pressures coming from the USD, GBP / USD has arrived at a very strong support, which suggests a rising price. In the following, the analysis goes into detail, so that the significant levels and areas are known to you. For this purpose, I have performed a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month & week) and thus makes the big picture visible. Normally all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing. > We traders know that no one can predict the future, and that is exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations. > If the DXY should rise again, that means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets. > This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture. > Which levels are RELEVANT, I have explained in detail in the following pages. Table of contents 1st part = INTRODUCTION 2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS = Monthly - Time frame = Weekly - Time frame 3rd part = CONCLUSION PART ONE "INTRODUCTION" After "GBP/USD" tried to break out of its previously existing downtrend in May|2021, a strong sell-off was subsequently unleashed. > This sell-off extended to September|2022, where we formed our currently existing low. > After this significant low of 1.03565 USD (lowest exchange rate since the existence of the GBP), investors' fears subsided a bit and a massive buying of 20.19%, to 1.21534 USD occurred (in less than 2 months). > Due to this extreme upward movement, we can assume that a correction is overdue. This is needed so that a healthy recapture, an acceptable exchange rate can arise. > In recent weeks, the strong upward movement has stalled a bit, making the correction I expect more and more likely. CONTRA | SELL-OFF = Despite the strong reasons for a sell-off, the price can approach the not yet tested downtrend line, which would be at approx. 1.28 USD. = In addition, the price has regained a sideways trend channel and has respected it so far. PRO | SELL-OFF = The significant Fibonacci level of 0.65 (of the previous upward movement) was reached and tried to be broken twice without success. = The "DAILY" - MACD + RSI - both show divergences, which further strengthens the correction thesis. > Once you look at the DXY (USD index) at the higher time levels, the further sell-off in the traditional markets becomes even more likely. (My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes). SECOND PART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS For the analysis of the higher time levels, I proceed according to the onion-skin principle. > MONTH - level > WEEK - level > DAY - level These are divided into > SUMMARY > CHARTS The charts are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way. (This also refers to Fibonacci levels.) 1st MONTH – Time frame SUMMARY The trend channel shown in the chart, in turquoise, finds its root in 1972 and has been able to maintain itself as a legitimate trend channel since then. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market. > The price is in the area below the mean line and had unsuccessfully challenged it in 2021. The trend channel shown in the chart, in purple, formed since 1976 and represented a hidden sideways channel. > The price is far from the channel and will not provoke a confrontation in the coming months. The trend line drawn in the chart, golden, has its origin in 2007 and proved to be a very strong resistance. > The price challenged this between "early 2021 - to early 2022" unsuccessfully and subsequently experienced its strong sell-off. As we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can take a closer look at the following "DEMAND" + "SUPPLY" zones on the chart. > The "DEMAND" zone 1, is STRONG = Played a role in the last bottom formation. > The "DEMAND" zone 2, is VERY STRONG = Played a role in the last bottoming out. > The "SUPPLY" zone 1, is STRONG = followed a strong move + it goes along with the mid-trend line of the largest trend channel (origin | 1972) The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation, and have been taken into account in past movements (last decades). > FIB 1 | will serve as resistance should the price attempt another run-up. > FIB 2 | represents all relevant levels, for a possible sell-off. Past highs and lows usually serve as resistance/support, one of which we have. > OLD LOW | 03/2020 > OLDEST LOW | 1985 Some levels of interest are in front of us, which in the last months + years, played a strong role for the market. > The most relevant at the moment - POIs are (1.20 + 1.185 USD) - and have been an important mark since the year 1984. In addition, they currently take a very strong support role. > The other POIs are by no means negligible and will play a role in the price development in the coming days, weeks and months. (Therefore, take your time and transfer the ones that are relevant for you into your chart). OVERVIEW CURRENT RELEVANT CHARTS Overall picture without POIs + without FIBONACCI Overall picture without POIs Overall picture without FIBONACCI ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. . 2nd WEEK – Time frame SUMMARY IN ADDITION TO THE ALREADY ANNOUNCED TREND CHANNEL + TREND LINES, FURTHER VISIBLE. The trend channel shown in the chart, purple, finds its root in 2016 and since then has been able to maintain itself as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market. > The price is in the lowest area of the channel and had regained it. Despite the successful recapture, the price does not seem to be able to hold this position for much longer. The trend lines, drawn in the chart, have the following characteristics. > The - golden - older line served as an excellent support line in the past and was only temporarily broken in 2022 by a "fake-out". > The - golden - line with the shorter history is our current down-sale trendline and would come into play in case of a further rise. > The - turquoise - line will serve us as a "POI support line" during the following correction, as it represented a strongly contested area in the past. The monthly "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones are joined by others from the weekly view that coincide with other resistance / support elements. > The "DEMAND" zone 1, is VERY STRONG = followed a strong move + was not tested by the price so far + is covered by a monthly demand zone > The "SUPPLY" zones 1+2+3, are WEAK = each followed a Weak move and do not receive additional overlap from a Monthly Supply Zone > The "SUPPLY" zones 4, is VERY STRONG = followed a very strong movement + is covered by a monthly supply zone As further Fibonacci additions, we have four more elements: > FIB 1 | will serve as support, but should not be of great relevance. > FIB 2 | represents a possible target level, for a possible sell-off. > FIB 3 | represents all possible correction levels, for a possible sell-off. > FIB 4 | represents all possible levels for a further price increase. CHARTS Overall picture Overall picture without FIBONACCI THIRD PART CONCLUSION "Is the pound losing its global position as one of the strongest currencies?" If you answered YES to this question, let's look into the reason. > Do you think this is only due to BREXIT, or is the reason a bit more complex? > Let me know in the comments what you think could be another reason and will be in the future. In summary, based on technical analysis, there are strong reasons for a correction. > Since the second attempt to break the 0.65 FIB, less and less strength is showing in the GBP. > A possible break of the resistance elements is not impossible, but highly unlikely. > The divergences in the daily RSI + MACD, suggest a bearish sell-off. For this reason, I assume a weak GBP exchange rate and a strong USD and an accompanying sell-off in the traditional and crypto markets. > Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT. If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive an evaluation of the idea. Thank you and happy trading! ZIEL IST DIE AUTARKIE | THE GOAL IS SELF-SUFFICIENCY
Short
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
5
Dollar Buys but after a pullback early in Week? ⛺Welcome April. Last month we ended with the monthly candle and the weekly candle pulling back and created a larger top wick. However, the Monthly candle looks awfully bullish as it closed as a solid bullish candle. That being said, it did close within our Daily range and the weekly candle closed below the weekly zone to the left at 1.08690. We also had a bearish engulfing candle close on the Daily timeframe, Which i'm not surprised by. We tapped into extreme prices at 1.093 as mentioned in previous publishing's. Anyways, anticpating pullback back to 1.0853.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR USD - Technical print G'day, Master Key for zones Black = Yearly Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Three, Four Day Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video. Daily trading range Weekly chart Monthly chart Quarterly chart Let me know your thoughts and analysis. Each opinion is valid where research is conducted. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 6+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIII
by LupaCapital