USOIL: Bullish Outlook with Probability-Based EntriesMy overall bias on USOIL remains bullish, supported by several key fundamentals:
1. OPEC+ production cuts continuing to tighten supply
2. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East raising concerns about potential supply disruptions
3. Improving economic outlook in China, potentially boosting oil demand
4. Seasonal increase in oil consumption as we approach summer driving season
I'm utilizing probabilities to position myself into longs on USOIL.
By combining this probability-based method with my bullish bias, I aim to enter USOIL longs at optimal points with favorable risk-reward profiles.
Feel free to let me know if you need any further adjustments!
12M:
2W:
2H:
Wishing you a great trading week!
Multitimeframeanalysis
Do not trade if you do not have high probability XAUUSDIt’s not just about the thrill of nailing a setup and making profits. It’s also about recognizing when an asset has you emotionally trapped, even when there’s no solid argument for your position. Here’s a lesson from my own experience:
After making a huge trade on gold ( ) , I became fixated on the idea that it would keep falling, completely ignoring the market structure. This blinded me to the obvious bullish signals the market was giving.
Here are the 7 bullish arguments for gold that I overlooked in my post-trade euphoria:
Monthly PCH disrespected
Weekly FVG respected
Weekly Swing Low respected
Daily Swing Low respected
Daily FVG respected
Bearish 4H FVG disrespected
4H Swing Low respected
Not a single bearish argument in sight—a full 100% probability that the price would rise, and indeed it did.
🚨 Lesson learned: Being a profitable trader isn’t just about technical analysis. It’s about mastering your emotions, understanding market structure, and managing your risk. Stay humble, stay disciplined.
GBPJPY 185.745 0.32% LONG IDEA MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at STERLING from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GBPJPY DAILY TF
* With las weeks bearish momentum coming into play,looking for a bit of a push up as we close the week on GJ.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a BEARISH move, but looking for some retracement before continuation bearish.
* GJ took External range LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken.
* We are trading in discount of the move,This is where I would be looking for long entries.
* With PO3 looking to open bearish this week to confirm a move higher into premium PD ARRAYS.
GBPJPY 4H TF
snapshot
* HTF BIAS (PO3) Is bullish .
* looking for long positions OPPORTUNITIES.
snapshot
* We saw a rally with the bears, strong momentum to the downside.
* Looking at the 1H MMS, this is where I would look for LONG entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be long for the GJ.
* BASED on the price action served this week.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
*
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
US100 19.220.6 +2.21% + S&P 500 MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS on NAS 100 & S&P500.
NAS100 WEEKLY TF
* 2 WEEKS bearish run delivering from the -FVG On the NAS100 & S&P500 from the weekly might have just ran its course.
* With the week opening on a bullish run, looking for that monthly FVG TO HOLD.
* Looking for a bullish week close and continuation with the bulls.
* with a -FVG & -OB looking for a small reversal possibly short term but overall bullish.
* Because The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in BULLISH conditions on the NAS100 & S&P500.
ON THE S&P500 M & W
* The setup is clearer or price action is somewhat cleaner.
MONTHLY
WEEKLY
DAILY TF
* Looking for violation of the daily FVG.
* To confirm bullish continuation
*S&P500
4H
* still bullish on NAS100 Trend cont. favored until otherwise price shows some significant bearish moves.
* otherwise choch + for bullish moves
* looking for a bounce of + OB
SENTIMENTS THE SAME ON THE S&P500
1H TF
* Sentiment remains, remain bullish unless otherwise.
* Probably be looking for LONG OPPORTUNITIES otherwise, We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
GBPUSD 1.30424 0% MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The CABLE from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GBPUSD DAILY TF
* We've had 3 weeks of bearish close on GU.
* ERL TAKEN looking for IRL on the weekly.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a bearish move.
* But seems we may see continuation with the bears On the D.
* GBPUSD took External range LQ , looking for that internal range LQ to be taken(W FVG).
* We are trading in discount of the move,This is where I would be looking for long entries.
* With PO3 looking to open bullish to confirm a move lower into premium PD ARRAYS.
GBPUSD 4H TF
* looking for Thursday to head bullish into the -OB for a bearish week close.
*open I will probably be looking for shot positions OPPORTUNITIES.
* We will see what does the market dish.
* 4H lookin for a push into the -OB (po3) to sell intraday
.
GBPUSD 1H TF
* We saw a rally with the bears, strong momentum to the downside ON the 1H.
* Looking at the 1H -OB + -FVG, this is where I would look for LONG entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the GBPUSD.
* BASED on the price action served this week.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
How I Use Multi Timeframe Analysis to Capture LARGE Price SwingsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
TUTORIAL:
Today, I demonstrate the thought process and mechanical steps I take when trading my Multi-Timeframe strategy. We take a look at US Treasuries, which have offers a classic lesson in how to apply this approach.
As you will see, throughout the year, this approach took some losses prior to getting involved in the "real" move which we anticipated. No strategy is perfect, and I do not purport this to be perfect. It is a rules based and effective way to read price. This strategy is great for people who don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. I would classify this more as an "investing" strategy when utilizing the 12M-2W-12H timeframe.
If you have questions about anything in this video, feel free to shoot me a message.
I hope you have all had a great week so far.
Good Luck & Good Trading.
High Timeframe Analysis of the Dollar Index DXY - Short IdeaDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only, showing how I intend to participate in this market. Trading involves significant risk. Do your own due diligence.
Utilizing my Multi Timeframe strategy, I have identified that I would like to look for SHORTS on DXY. To clarify, I'm not saying I'm blindly shorting this market. If I see price action that checks the boxes for this strategy, I will take the short. Until then, I do NOTHING.
SETUP - > TRIGGER - > FOLLOW THROUGH.
Feel free to shoot me a message with any questions.
Have a great week!
ROSSARI BIOTECH Showing Change in Price StructureNSE:ROSSARI
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Update on the expansion projects at Dahej Facilities
....................................................................................................................
• In the Q2FY24 the Company had announced an expansion of its facility at Dahej by adding up
20,000 MTPA capacity for products related to HPPC in the specialty chemical space, as well as for producing ingredients for its subsidiary companies.
Also, to cater to the growing
demand in agro chemicals, home and personal care, oil & gas and the pharma sector, the
Company had further announced expansion of the Ethoxylation capacity by 30,000 MTPA at
the Dahej facility of Unitop Chemicals Private Limited.
• Work on both these projects are progressing as planned. Commissioning is expected to
happen, in a phased manner in the current year
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• Consistent growth trajectory over the past three years, driven by both organic and inorganic growth strategies
• While near-term investments and strategic initiatives have led to a moderation in ROCE and ROE, the balance sheet position
remains strong.
The Company is confident of reporting improved return metrics in the future as these investments start yielding
results
SWSOLAR Getting Ready to Break its 2019's & All Time HighNSE:SWSOLAR
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| KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1Q FY25
...............................................................................
• Unexecuted order value at ~INR 9,396 crore as of June 2024
compared to ~INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024
• Company has received new orders / LOI in three domestic
projects worth ~INR 1,016 crore during the quarter
• Company received two turnkey international orders from South
Africa amounting to ~USD 140 mn
• Commenced a pilot project for Solar plus BESS for Reliance
Industries at Jamnagar, Gujarat
• P&L of the company continues to improve
• Consol revenues up ~78% YoY in 1QFY25
• Gross margins at ~11%
• Second consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA, PBT and PAT
at a consolidated level
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• The company’s balance sheet continues to de-leverage
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• Total net debt of ~INR 97 crore as of Jun 2024, compared
to net debt of ~INR 116 crore in Mar 2024
• No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
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Received order of 900 MW DC in 1QFY25
• Received a turnkey solar PV order from AMEA Power in South
Africa for a ~140 MW DC project
• Through this project, SWREL has achieved a key breakthrough in
the rapidly growing South African solar market.
• We have successfully executed a 90 MW DC order in South
Africa in 2016 previously, and continue to maintain O&M
operations there
• Bagged our second international order from South Africa with a
turnkey package for a 80 MW AC project from Energy Group
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Unlocking Potential: 59.90% Probability for DOGEUSD ATH Bullish Fundamentals for Dogecoin
1. Increased mainstream adoption: More businesses and platforms are accepting Dogecoin as a form of payment, expanding its real-world use cases.
2. Growing community support: The Dogecoin community remains active and passionate, driving continued interest and development.
3. Potential technological improvements: Ongoing discussions about upgrades to Dogecoin's blockchain could enhance its functionality and appeal.
4. Positive market sentiment: As the broader crypto market shows signs of recovery, meme coins like Dogecoin often benefit from renewed investor interest.
Using Probabilities for Long Positions
I'm utilizing probabilities on my charts to get positioned into longs for DOGEUSD.
This strategy aligns well with my bullish bias on DOGEUSD, allowing me to capitalize on potential upward movements in a more calculated manner.
12M:
3D:
1H:
Tesla High Timeframe Analysis - Targeting 2023 HighsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only, showing how I intend to participate in this market. Trading involves significant risk. Do your own due diligence.
Utilizing my Multi Timeframe strategy, I have identified that I would like to look for LONGS on Tesla. To clarify, I'm not saying I'm blindly longing this market. If I see price action that checks the boxes for this strategy, I will take the long. Until then, I do NOTHING.
Feel free to shoot me a message with any questions.
Have a great week!
High Timeframe Analysis for Canadian DollarDISCLAIMER: This is not trading advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. There are significant risks involved with trading. Do your due diligence.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME STRATEGY.
This approach is great for traders that don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. This strategy can easily be managed with a few minutes a night. If you have kids, or are busy with another profession, this strategy is excellent.
HTF: 12 Month
ITF: 2 Week
ETF: 12 Hour
CANADIAN DOLLAR ANALYSIS:
I am looking for the Canadian Dollar to trade up to 2023 highs. My bias is due to the "swing low" we put in over the last few years, suggesting that overall there is some bullish momentum.
The intermediate timeframe is in flow with my htf objective. I want to see CAD trade down into the 2W fair value gap &/or 2 week orderblock, and then give an entry (cisd, 18 period ma entry, 10-8 mac entry). The target is 2023 highs. These trades can last a fairly long time due to the high timeframe objective. I will either roll over into next contract, or utilize spot forex market for these positions. To be clear, this does not mean I blindly long. What this means is this market has a setup, which means we wait for the trigger/timing tool to get me in. Until then, I do nothing.
If you want to learn more about the PD (Premium/Discount) arrays, I suggest you study ICT (Inner Circle Trader). My application of his work is unique, but to learn the fundamentals, there is no better place than his YouTube.
If you have questions, feel free to shoot me a message.
Have a great week.
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis.
1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts)
- On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase.
- The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag).
2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts)
- The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal.
- If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart)
- The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal.
- If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential.
4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts)
- Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them.
- Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points.
4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly.
By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
Dalmia Sugars - How to pick the Right Entry Price !!!On Aug 29, there was a Post market News being circulated across all Social Media Channels that the Govt has removed the Cap on sugar Diversion for Ethanol Production. As an instinctive reaction, everyone suggested to start loading Sugar Stocks and it would rally immediately
www.moneycontrol.com
But in Reality - only on Friday there was a mad rush on market opening which waded-off before close of the day and all Sugar stocks fell from their opening price and from then, most of the sugar stocks continued to fall.
This is the Reality of NEWS Based Trading... If the market always reacts in the same direction as mentioned in the NEWS, then the entire world would be filled by Warren Buffets :)
One of my friend was seeking advice on Dalmia Sugars - given the mad rush. Here is the detailed analysis..... Not just for Sugar Sector, Not just for Dalmia... This is how every stock needs to be analyzed...
1. On Quarterly chart - the price is travelling within a Life-Long Parallel Channel
2. The price repeatedly formed Rounding Bottom structures (Cup pattern)
3. The Depth of the Cup each time has been -80% from the respective peak levels
4. From Jan 2020 to Apr 2021 - the price had a massive Blast of 1,155% from Rs. 39.75 to Rs. Rs. 499
5. The price is going sideways with minimal dip (an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern / small Rounding Bottom) from Apr 2021 till date - During this period - the price attempted several times to Break out of the Previous High 500 but though it had 2 instances of breakout, it could not sustain above 500
6. The Current Market is News driven, purely to the Panic sensation of over valuation. Although I don't agree that Market really works on Valuation, the Crooked Media Analysts are constantly feeding Panic to public that Market is due for a Crash / Correction
Although I am strong on my view that there will be NO MAJOR CORRECTION atleast until Apr 2028, I don't discount the fact that there will be intermediately Blips - strong blips of 1-2% down or even 3-4% down in a day which will recover soon
But NOT all stocks will recover from these Blips. Especially the ones like Dalmia Sugars Because of the following reasons
1. 500 Level has been super strong
2. Stock has already given massive returns and in consolidation mode
3. In the previous 2 instances - the stock always fell down to the previous Rounding Bottom BO zone and also tested the Bottom of the Parallel Channel
4. If the last week's news could not break out of the 499 Resistance, then it won't be easy now. Even if it breaks above 500, there are 2 more resistances 545 and 570
Unless and Until 570 is fully broken out and sustained for 1 full week, the price WILL fall back below 500 anytime soon. All it needs a single day of market volatility - due to some NEWS even if it is NOT related to Sugar sector. If the Small Cap / Mid Cap index falls on a day, then 500 Support would be broken down and then the price would fall all the way down to the previous support level of 202 which is -56% lower than current level
When it reaches 202 - it would touch the bottom of the Parallel Channel and bounce back and continue the previous patterns
For now, the Risk of Falling based on NEWS is much higher given there are 3 back to back resistances the price has to negotiate (500, 545, 570) in near term
Even if the Sector starts a rally, Dalmia sugar might see a drag unless 570 is taken out. So, even if there is a Sugar Rush - better NOT to Rush on Dalmia Sugars. There are other sugar stocks to look into
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT registered with SEBI. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart. We neither follow Fundamentals nor Traditional Technical Analysis which bases its opinion on several Indicators.
We follow an Affective Neuroscientific Approach for Market Analysis - the branch of Science that deals with Human Emotions and Reactions based on emotions. Instead of controlling our Psychology, if we understand and be prepared to handle the larger market player's Emotional reactions - we improve our success rate
Please consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments
-Team Stocks-n-Trends
GBP/USD: Monthly and Daily Support Could Encourage Buyers North Looking at GBP/USD from a technical point of view, it is clear the pairing is higher in the long term, recently forging a fresh YTD high at US$1.3267.
Monthly Chart: Scope for Further Buying
Based on the monthly timeframe, the fresh high positioned price north of resistance coming in at US$1.3111, which could now deliver support to the market. The next port of call for the monthly chart can be seen at resistance from US$1.3483; therefore, assuming US$1.3111 holds as support, further outperformance could be on the table.
Daily Chart: Holding at a Decision Point
The daily timeframe is interesting, as the unit trades from a decision point zone at US$1.3081-US$1.3130 formed before breaking the US$1.3142 peak established in mid-2023. As a result, this is an important zone from a technical standpoint and is currently holding ground.
H1 Chart: Breakout Higher Could Trigger Buyers
Looking at things from a shorter-term perspective on the H1 timeframe, a descending channel is in play, extended from the YTD high of US$1.3267. With the currency pair unable to venture south of the US$1.3110 lows fashioned last Friday (black arrows) and price action now seen breaking out above channel resistance, this could trigger GBP demand, backed by the monthly chart trading above resistance and the daily chart testing a decision point zone.
USDJPY 145.835 145.834 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS + intraday setupHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at USDJPY from MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
USDJPY 4H TF
* Tue. opens strongly bearish with the 7am SAT possibly forming a CHOCH on the 4H
* Trading out of a sweep on an long term high.
* 4H iFVG formed
* This is where I would to short the USDJPY should this structure be respected.
* looking for PO3 rules towards the upside to continue lower.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a BEARISH move still.
* But seems we may see a push up before continuation with the bears with resting LQ above.
* USDJPY took External range LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken.
* We are trading in DISCOUNT of the move,This is where I would be looking for short entries.
* We saw a rally with the bears, strong momentum to the downside.
* Looking at the 1H FVG, this is where I would look for SHORT entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be SHORT for the GJ intraday.
* BASED on the price action served.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
*
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
GBPUSD Week 35 Swing zonesSupport and Resistance is all about identifying previous price interest areas, @PinchPips a step further is taken in calculating these areas before the occur; This is not a magic trick, but careful mathematical analysis.
As price has been missing entries by some small margins, new levels are calculated(black lines) to catch big swings.
Upper SZ: 32498 - 32548
Lower SZ: 31792 - 31742
As always, price action determines trades.
Chart Patterns Within Patterns: A Guide to Nested Setups Daily Chart Analysis:
Pattern Overview:
The daily chart shows an Ascending Channel formation, which generally indicates a bullish trend but can also signal a potential reversal if the upper trendline acts as strong resistance.
Within the ascending channel, there are continuation patterns such as smaller bull flags, which suggest bullish momentum continuation.
Key Resistance and Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
The upper trendline of the ascending channel aligns closely with the recent highs around the $2,530 - $2,540 region, creating a significant resistance area.
The 1-Hour Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at $2,486.793 is marked below the current price, indicating potential areas where price might retest before any significant upward or downward move.
Potential Reversal Signal:
The upper boundary of the ascending channel has recently been tested multiple times, and each time, there has been a slight pullback, indicating selling pressure. This could be a precursor to a possible reversal if this level is not broken with conviction.
4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Nesting Patterns:
The 4-hour chart also reveals several nested patterns within the broader ascending channel, including smaller bull flags and a potential double-top pattern forming at the resistance zone.
The price action is consolidating below the resistance line at $2,530.750, creating a possible Double Top scenario, which could indicate a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below the neckline support.
Impulse and Correction Phases:
The recent impulsive moves upwards have been followed by corrective pullbacks, which have been forming higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias in the medium term.
However, the proximity to the resistance and the potential double-top formation might signal caution for long positions.
1-Hour and 15-Minute Chart Analysis:
Short-Term Structure:
The 1-hour chart shows a more detailed view of the recent consolidation phase near the key resistance level. There are signs of weakening momentum as prices approach the upper trendline.
The 15-minute chart further shows a tightening range and potential bear flag or a descending channel, which could indicate a short-term bearish continuation if the lower trendline of this smaller pattern breaks.
Critical Levels:
The support level around $2,486.793 (1HR LQZ) is critical for intraday trading. A break below this could lead to a sharper correction towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart.
For bullish continuation, a clear break above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance with strong volume would be needed to confirm further upside potential.
Trading Strategy and Recommendations:
Bullish Scenario:
Look for a strong breakout above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by increased volume and a break above the smaller continuation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframes.
Enter on a reduced risk entry after a pullback to the breakout level, with stops placed below the recent consolidation range or the 1-Hour LQZ.
Bearish Scenario:
Watch for a confirmed Double Top breakdown on the 4-hour chart, with a clear break below the neckline support around $2,486.793.
Consider short positions on the break of the neckline or after a retest of the breakdown level, with stops placed above the recent highs or the upper boundary of the descending channel on the 15-minute chart.
Risk Management:
Given the proximity to a key resistance level and the potential for a reversal, it is crucial to manage risk carefully. Use tight stops and consider reducing position size until a clear directional move is confirmed.
Bulls HnS's Prec.Metals below. Plz-read-Friday Gold Commentary!
There are some bullish Head 'n' Shoulders patterns today in Precious Metals.
1st up see charts for Palladium XPDUSD. This is a bullish H & S's on multiple timeframes. 5m played out earlier in Asian session but we still have setups on the 1HR, 2HR and 4HR charts.
If Mr Powell gives the market the boost and shot-in-the-arm that I think he will today because I am guessing he has been a bit on edge lately like a trader who just lost 30k in a day. I am hopeful we will get a good run today Long in precious metals. Mr Powell speaks at 10am Eastern USA & Canada.
Be aware that some of these setups have already retested and others have not, but I will do my best to guide you through it with an alert if Entry becomes noticeable to me in the charts later. This is of course if you are a newer trader. I know most of you are experienced.