EURJPY Potential Longs - Short & Long Term (Technical Analysis)Technical Outlook:
Looking at previous price movement, we see it's been trending up since August 2024, with the last reaccumulation phase ending in early 2024. We recently saw a demand chain, but the last push couldn't quite hit new highs. Supply then took over, driving the price back down to a daily demand level. At this point, we've seen some strong bullish reactions on the lower timeframes, which is interesting and here's why -
Potential Scenarios & Probabilities:
Scenario 1 (High Probability) – Demand should regain control, leading to a bullish breakout.
Scenario 2 (Medium Probability) - Price could range within the ascending channel for a while.
Scenario 3 (Low Probability) – The bulls might disengage, resulting in a bearish break and continuation thereafter.
Trading Considerations:
Price is currently in a discounted zone within the ascending channel (158.000 – 168.000) . We can look for trading opportunities within this range, focusing on strong supply and demand areas, anticipating the eventual bullish breakout. A long position closer to the bottom of the range could turn into a swing trade. If you're trading inside the range on lower time frames, it's smart to keep an eye on volume, overbought/oversold levels, and relative currency strength.
Final Notes:
With the price moving sideways for a good six months, range trading is definitely a possibility. But the real goal is to catch that bullish breakout when it happens, and it looks like it's getting close. As always, manage your risk carefully, and don't hesitate to take the trade when the setup is right – assuming you've got a solid plan and a clear target in mind.
OANDA:EURJPY
Multitimeframeanalysis
XAUUSD Gold: After correction, a new ATH?The XAUUSD rose to a high of 2786 on Friday, only 30 pip down than the previous all-time high (ATH).
Bulls may be able to enter the market at more advantageous times because the price is currently in a correction phase.
The area around 2740 is a key confluence support and may be a desirable entry point. The end of the correction and the possibility of a new ATH would be signaled by a reversal from this region and a break back above 2760.
However, the positive view would be halted and caution would be advised going forward if the daily close fell below 2740.
EURUSD is possible to drop soon!Hey guys,
based on the chart, I've identified a resistance area (in 4H timeframe).
And we can see the rejection of price from the mentioned area.
Also as confirmation for our scenario is the descending channel that is identified on the chart.
So It ca be another good trading opportunity with risk/reward ratio around 1/4 which is considerable!
Good luck.
GBPUSD Week 4 Swing Zone & LevelDynamic Take profit, dtp allows trade to catch big moves. These are set based on price momentum. Last week provided a humble 40pips.
Initial Swing Zone/Level are calculated at
Zone: 21599-21549
Level set as shown. Either a or b could play out, as determined by Price action.
As price breaks or bounces off these areas, new zones/levels will be recalculated.
Happy trading week
EUR/USD Break-and-Retest: Next Stop 0.97?Weekly Timeframe:
Clear downtrend with a rejection at the 50 MA and a break below key support. Next target lies around 0.97-0.98, a major demand zone.
Daily Timeframe:
Confirms the bearish bias with a retest of the broken support, now acting as resistance. Price remains below the 50 MA, signaling continued downside.
Correlation:
Both timeframes align in a bearish trend. Weekly sets the direction, while daily refines entry opportunities with break-and-retest setups.
Gold: Multi Tie FrameHello Traders
In the weekly timeframe, an ascending channel is observed, showing a good reaction at its upper boundary. We are waiting for a price pullback to the next resistance level.
In the daily chart, an ascending trendline has been broken, with two returns to the breakdown area around 2600.700, indicating the strength of sellers. The price returning to this area for the third time also shows the buyers' insistence. If the price can stabilize below 2532.800, the likelihood of further decline increases. Conversely, if the price cannot break through the green zone, we predict an upward movement to 2606.200.
At the same time, we anticipate a slow downward trend and fluctuations to around 2568 in the coming days.
USDJPY: Multi-Time-Frame OutlookHello Traders,
A weekly close above 159.00 strengthens the bullish outlook for the next 3 to 4 months.
Conversely, a break and close below 154.50 on the daily timeframe suggests a possible decline towards 148.00.
Currently, we anticipate a rebound from the 156.77-156.40 zone.
However, a solid close below 156.40 and a break of the ascending channel would increase the likelihood of a drop to 155.50.
EURUSD: Short-termHello Traders,
Regarding the Daily chart, we are bearish. and recently break below consolidation.
Regarding the 2h Chart we are bearish and overbought! because we are in top half a bearish channel
Regarding the 5m chart, Formation of a double top or head and shoulder is clear, you can use any other confirmation type or enter right now
Tps and SLs calculated based on previous recent important levels.
Understanding ICT Bullish Mitigation BlockA Bullish ICT Mitigation Block is a concept from Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology.
It forms at the end of a bearish trend when the price reaches a strong bullish institutional reference point, such as a bullish order block or breaker block.
Formation: It occurs when the price fails to create a lower low in a bearish trend and instead reverses to shift the market structure to the bullish side.
Identification: Look for a price level where the market attempted to break lower but was halted by significant buying pressure.
Trading Implications: This area can serve as a strong demand level, from which the price can rally further stronger because of short traders exit and long traders enter at the same area.
Multi Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Time Frame - H4
Lower Time Frame - M15
Institutional Framework:
Price Expansion (MMXM Buy Model)
Institutional Reference Points:
Bullish Mitigation
Sell Side Liquidity (SSL)
GBP/USD: Bullish Bias and Strategic PositioningToday, I’m excited to share my analysis on the GBPUSD currency pair, which is currently showing a strong bullish bias.
As we navigate through the market, I will be utilizing probabilities to strategically position myself for long trades.
Current Market Dynamics
The GBP/USD pair has recently shown resilience, bouncing off critical support levels around 1.2670. This rebound suggests a potential bullish reversal, driven by positive sentiment surrounding the UK economy.
Key fundamentals such as the Bank of England's recent decisions to maintain interest rates amidst inflationary pressures signal confidence in economic stability, which supports our bullish outlook.
Global Influences
On the global stage, factors such as a weakening U.S. dollar and improving economic indicators from the UK create a favorable environment for the British Pound. Additionally, geopolitical developments are leaning towards stability, which typically boosts investor confidence in GBP.
Trading Strategy
In this context, I plan to leverage statistical probabilities to identify optimal entry points for long positions. By focusing on key technical indicators, I aim to maximize potential gains while effectively managing risk.
Join me as we explore this exciting opportunity in GBP/USD! Let’s make informed trading decisions together and capitalize on this bullish momentum. Happy trading!
2W:
3H:
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
How To Use Multi-Timeframe AnalysisHey,
In this video, I dive into the methods of multi-timeframe analysis, exploring how to use daily, weekly, and monthly charts alongside intraday charts like the 4-hour to gain a clearer picture of price movement.
Multi-timeframe analysis helps you view the same data through different lenses, allowing you to make predictions across various time horizons.
For example, a weekly trend or a monthly move can appear as a complete trend on lower timeframes.
By integrating these perspectives, you can better understand what price action is indicating and make informed decisions.
Kind regards,
Max
How To Setup Your TradingView RightHey,
In this video I show you how my charting setup looks like.
I use the monthly, weekly, daily time-frames in one layout.
I use the 4hour and 1hour time-frame in my other layout.
Then I show you everything I trade for FX in my watch list.
Then I show you my crypto and stock market watch list.
Kind regards,
Max
NZDUSD Going Higher once Dollar is showing dowside intention?NZDUSD just swept daily + 4h + 1h liquidity and made a CHoCH in 1H Timeframe.
After the CHoCH, price was corrective to the downside, retesting the previous structure wich can be used as support in a bullish momentum.
Let's see how the price plays out.
EurUsd Nov 24' .. Elections Catalyst?Hey traders, welcome back to another analysis. It's been 2 years and Eurusdmay finnally break out of the range to the downside. I know you are just as excited as I am for a potential squeeze down to 1.03.. However, we must wait for confirmation and maybe a liquidity wick before anything else. Safe trading!
Please leave any feedback below or even a boost to help the channel. Ty, cheers.
-ShrewdCatFx