Multitimeframeanalysis
Nifty Analysis - The No-Nonsense "0" Indicator Strategy!!!While trading on Indices, most of us adopt 3 major strategies
Intraday / BTST Trades: Referring the Open Interest (OI) positions
Positional Short Term Expiry: Mostly using Chart patterns at 1 hr or 1 day coupled with Indicators like EMA 9, EMA 21, Bollinger Bands, MACD, RSI, RSI divergence etc...
Positional Long Term Expiry: Using Chart patterns at different timeframes 1 hr, 1 day, 1 week etc.. in the Nifty Index
Sometimes, a combination of the above 2 strategies are being used.
When we fail, we talk about mentality and most often accept the failures and look for next trade. Seldom, anyone does back-testing to identify the real problem
Let's review the cases above
1. Open Interest (OI) based trades = Blind Betting on a Horse which has Max bets
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Without understanding the Strength, Stamina, Agility, Medical condition of a Horse, if we take bets on a horse where there is already maximum betting - the odds of winning may be higher for a Horse Race.
But such blind betting ends up in confirmed failures in stock market - if we base our positions referring to OI positions because AlgoTraders & Big players usually create a Bait showing an extremely high position on one side and the moment innocent retailers are lured in that direction, using power of money & power of Algo Speed, the OI positions are cancelled and changed to opposite direction
The movement is so fast that it neither hits our SL nor our preset Targets (even if it is in our favor by coincidence) - ending up in Steep losses
2. Reliance of Various Indicators = Getting attacked by Octopus
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An index like Nifty 50 is NOT just a combination of 50 stocks, but these 50 stocks are handpicked from different Sectors and each Stock has different Weightage. A sudden News on Any particular Sector (or) A news about a particular Stock (or) Quarterly Results combined with the weightage of the Sector & Stock have a very Dynamic impact on the Nifty Index.
Unlike a linear price movement on a particular stock, Index movement cannot be accurately predicted by ANY of the indicators. Especially during special situations like Quarterly Results (or) during Election (or) during Budget - there would be sudden variations across different sectors each with their weightage will have varied impact on Nifty. Like an Octopus - which can attack us using all its 8 Tentacles with varied force and independent movement - any human based algorithm considering the price values only of the Index becomes useless
3. Using Chart patterns of Index = Judging the Book by Its Cover
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Almost all Traders are so engulfed within the Index's spot prices and premiums that we almost forget that the Index movement is NOT based on its Cover but rather based on the underlying 50 stocks. What we are doing is nothing but Gambling against the cover - which does not handle sudden turns in any of the underlying stocks which coupled with their weightage has very varied impact and becomes unpredictable
Let's ignore ALL the Non-Sense above and try to read the Book (the underlying stocks) and derive trends basis Support and resistances of Index & stocks instead of using indicators
Comparison of Nifty Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly:
1. The June Quarter Candle ended with strong bullish indicating that Nifty would be Green in subsequent quarter (July-September)
2. But June Monthly candle ended in a Bearish Hammer pattern (Long wick and short candle) which is an indication of Temporary Bearish Reversal for July month
3. Last week's candle ended in a Shooting Star pattern indicating a Fall this week
4. July 22 (Monday - Today's) daily candle ended negatively below Friday close. Despite a strong rise in the 1st hour propelled solely by HDFC, both Nifty and HDFC could not sustain the bounce, and both got rejected by their respective resistances and fell down indicating further downside
The Above Index Analysis is perfectly in-line with our earlier analysis of RED July and GREEN September
Now for a more sharp analysis, let's analyze the Top 10 Nifty stocks by weightage
Top constituents by weightage
HDFC Bank Ltd. 11.95
Reliance Industries Ltd. 9.98
ICICI Bank Ltd. 7.95
Infosys Ltd. 5.33
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 3.91
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 3.73
ITC Ltd. 3.70
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 3.64
Axis Bank Ltd. 3.39
State Bank of India 3.07
1. HDFC
Despite a 3% rise in HDFC - which single-handedly lifted Nifty higher in the 1st couple of hours, HDFC Bank faced its resistance at 1645 and fell - pulling Nifty down. Given HDFC has highest weightage and with no major news expected for HDFC or Private Banks as part of the Budget, the movement is expected to go sideways between Resistance and immediate support thus Dragging / Denying a major upside for Nifty
2. Reliance
Reliance industries on daily, had formed a Double Top Breakdown - resulting a Crash of -3.5% in a single day. The price took support from previous Rounding Bottom Break out zone at 3001. this is attributed to a lack-lusture quarterly performance. The price will take some breathing and consolidate around CMP for some more days which will again arrest Nifty on downside given its weightage
3. ICICI Bank
Monthly chart on ICICI clearly shows price testing a Long Term Parallel Channel top as resistance. This is about to fall further in the absence of any boost to Private Banking Sector. This is the 3rd heavy weight component of Nifty - all trying to hold Nifty on downside
4. Infy
Despite posting strong Q1 results, Infy could not blast due to multiple resistances along the way (Parallel Channel + Rounding Bottom Resistance) etc...Unless 1850 is broken out decisively, Infy will not aid in lifting Nifty higher
5. L&T
After a sharp rally of nearly 6x from 650 to 3860, L&T is up against a Multi-year Trendline (Parallel Channel) resistance and on weekly, the price has formed a Double Top pattern which is neither activated nor negated. Until the price decisively blasts above 3860 and also break the smaller channel on upside, there is no hope for now for Nifty to go up
6. TCS
TCS by itself is struggling for nearly 4 years to break its previous ATH. Price is now on the verge of Cup and Handle Breakout on weekly, but 4290 has poised as a formidable resistance so far
7. ITC
ITC on weekly has completed a Double Bottom breakout and achieved the target as well. After reaching the target, price is now starting to face resistance as this has evolved into a larger Inverted Head and Shoulder pattern. It is still Bullish in longer term, but now the price fall has triggered the beginning of Right Shoulder which is expected to reverse between 425 and 418. The trajectory of the fall to 425 where there is a multiple combination of support + trendline + right shoulder level - though bullish, will consume time atleast until Sep denying an upside for Nifty in the short term
Similarly the charts of SBI - , Axis bank - and Airtel - all indicate formidable resistances ahead - putting blockers for the Nifty March....
The above strategy appears more accurate as it directly handles each of the different sector charts along with their weightage and there doesn't seem to be any confusion among any of the top 10 constituents of Nifty - all indicating downside in near term
This strategy does not Rely on 3rd Party Indicators which are inaccurate. Please share your views on this detailed Research and Analysis
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT registered with SEBI. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments
-Team Stocks-n-Trends
Gold Price Set to Explode! Here’s What You Need to Watch Today!Hey Traders, welcome back to my channel! 🚀
Today, we're diving deep into the latest XAUUSD analysis, and trust me, you don't want to miss this one. With gold prices poised for a significant move, understanding these key levels could make all the difference in your trading strategy.
Let's get started with the 1-hour chart (shown below). 📊
Chart 1: XAUUSD 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis (July 21, 2024)
Key Observations:
Daily Bull Flag Formation:
The chart highlights a daily bull flag pattern, which indicates a continuation pattern following a strong uptrend. On the daily TF sometimes this can take a bit longer to see due to how big this flag is on the (LTF)
The price has been consolidating within this flag formation.
Reversal Structure (Lower High - LH):
There is a reversal structure where the price made a lower high (LH), suggesting a potential bearish reversal in the short term.
Structure LTF (Lower Time Frame):
The price structure on the lower time frame indicates an area where price could pull back and reject off of this area indicating the continuation of the Overall move.
The second way this could play off of this area is we could get a clear impulsive move above this structure and then a rejection looking for higher moves in the Shorter Time Frame.
15-Minute Time Frame:
The 15-minute time frame shows a detailed view of the consolidation and break down from the flag formation. where you could see how close we are to the LQZ shown on the 1HR
1HR Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
Identified at 2,390.966, this zone may act as a significant support area and also our first Take Profit we gave last week.
4HR Liquidity Zone:
Marked at 2,349.179, another major support area that aligns with the daily LQZ. If price end up breaking the 1HR LQZ impulsively then we could look for this area as Take Profit and then once we get down to this area we could potentially see a pullback.
Daily LQZ:
The daily liquidity zone is at 2,286.809, a crucial support level for the longer-term perspective.
Potential Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
The price could bounce off the 1HR LQZ and continue the pullback on shorter time frame to the structure indicated as Lower Time Frame Structure. indicated by the Yellow path.
Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation
The price may break below the 1HR LQZ and head towards the 4HR and daily LQZs. indicated by the Green path. In this situation we would need to see a clear break below the 1HR LQZ then start to form some type of bearish pattern to show the continuation that could come.
Scenario 3: Reversal to Upside
After testing the support levels, the price could reverse and start a new uptrend, indicated by the orange path. We would need to see a clear break above the structure indicated by the box. This way we could see that on the Shorter Time frame of things we could get a deeper pull back.
Recommendations:
Watch for Reactions at Support Levels:
Monitor the price action around the 1HR, 4HR, and daily LQZs for potential entry points.
Set Alerts:
Set alerts for breakouts above the recent highs and breakdowns below the key support levels.
Manage Risk:
Ensure proper risk management by setting stop-losses below support levels and taking profits at resistance levels.
Gold's Next Big Move: Is This the Reversal Point?4-Hour Chart Analysis
Trend Identification:
Higher Highs (HH): The chart shows a consistent formation of higher highs (HH) which indicates an overall uptrend.
Higher Lows (HL): The chart also demonstrates higher lows (HL), further confirming the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Around 2,480 and above are marked by HH.
Support Levels:
2,429.42 (1HR LQZ / Reversal Point)
2,391.39 (4HR LQZ / TP 1)
2,349.05 (TP 2)
2,288.09 (TP 3)
2,265.37 (TP 4)
Price Action:
Triangle Pattern: A triangle pattern formed in June indicating consolidation before a breakout.
Current Movement: The price has moved up to a higher high but is currently in a retracement phase, testing the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point around 2,429.42.
Projection:
Potential Reversal: If the price holds above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point, it may indicate a reversal back towards the higher levels around 2,480.
Support Tests: Failure to hold may lead to testing lower support levels at 2,391.39 (4HR LQZ / TP 1) and potentially further down to TP 2, TP 3, and TP 4.
1-Hour Chart Analysis
Detailed View:
Provides a closer look at the recent price movements.
Confirms the higher highs observed in the 4-hour chart.
Key Observations:
Recent High: The price recently reached a new high around 2,480 before retracing.
Immediate Support: The price is testing the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point around 2,429.42, aligning with the 4-hour chart observations.
Trading Opportunities:
Long Position: If the price shows strong bullish signals and holds above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point.
Short Position: If the price breaks below the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point, with targets at lower support levels identified in the 4-hour chart.
Summary
The charts indicate an overall uptrend with recent higher highs and higher lows.
Current price action is in a retracement phase, testing key support levels.
Monitoring the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point will be crucial for determining the next move, whether it will resume the uptrend or test further support levels.
If you need further analysis or specific trade recommendations, feel free to ask!
Gold Trading Alert: Major Move on XAUUSD – Don't Miss Out!Key Levels and Patterns:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL):
The chart shows a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating an overall uptrend. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is still in play.
Ascending Channel:
There is a well-defined ascending channel where the price has been moving upwards within parallel trendlines. This channel can act as a guide for potential support and resistance levels.
Reversal Points (LQZ):
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,429.190. This level is a potential area where price may reverse or find support.
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,391.394. This level also serves as a significant support zone.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2,319.385
TP 2: 2,288.085
TP 3: 2,265.369
Recent Price Action:
The price recently reached a higher high at around 2,458.755 and then pulled back slightly, indicating a potential short-term correction within the overall uptrend.
The ascending channel suggests that if the price remains above the lower boundary of the channel, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If the price breaks below the 1-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,429.190, it could test the 4-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,391.394. A further breakdown below this level might lead to the next support at TP 1.
Analysis Summary:
Bullish Scenario: The price could bounce from the current levels or the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aiming for new highs. Traders might look for buying opportunities near the support levels of the channel and reversal points.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the identified reversal points and the ascending channel, it might signal a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the TP levels for possible buying opportunities at lower prices.
Unlock the Secrets of Gold Trading: Pericles' Ancient WisdomIn this video, we explore the profound perspectives on fear from historical figures like Pericles and modern thinkers like Ryan Holiday. Pericles, the esteemed Athenian statesman, saw fear as a natural emotion that should not paralyze us. He believed in confronting fear with courage, rational thought, and strategic planning, using it as a tool for effective decision-making.
Ryan Holiday, drawing on Stoic philosophy in his works, echoes these sentiments with stories of historical figures who turned fear into fuel for success. He recounts how John D. Rockefeller faced market crashes with calm calculation and how Theodore Roosevelt overcame health challenges by embracing adversity.
Both Pericles and Holiday teach us that fear, when managed correctly, can become a powerful ally. By acknowledging fear, confronting it with rationality and courage, and using it to sharpen our focus and strategy, we can transform challenges into opportunities for growth and success. This approach is especially relevant in the realm of trading, where mastering fear can lead to better decision-making and greater resilience.
Key Levels and Patterns:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL):
The chart shows a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating an overall uptrend. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is still in play.
Ascending Channel:
There is a well-defined ascending channel where the price has been moving upwards within parallel trendlines. This channel can act as a guide for potential support and resistance levels.
Reversal Points (LQZ):
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,429.190. This level is a potential area where price may reverse or find support.
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,391.394. This level also serves as a significant support zone.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2,319.385
TP 2: 2,288.085
TP 3: 2,265.369
Recent Price Action:
The price recently reached a higher high at around 2,458.755 and then pulled back slightly, indicating a potential short-term correction within the overall uptrend.
The ascending channel suggests that if the price remains above the lower boundary of the channel, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If the price breaks below the 1-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,429.190, it could test the 4-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,391.394. A further breakdown below this level might lead to the next support at TP 1.
Analysis Summary:
Bullish Scenario: The price could bounce from the current levels or the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aiming for new highs. Traders might look for buying opportunities near the support levels of the channel and reversal points.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the identified reversal points and the ascending channel, it might signal a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the TP levels for possible buying opportunities at lower prices.
By applying Pericles' wisdom of confronting fear with rationality and Ryan Holiday's insights on turning fear into strategic advantage, traders can approach these levels with a clear, disciplined mindset, making informed decisions even in volatile market conditions.
Gold Hits Record Highs! Skyrocket Further or Sharp Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
Hatsun Agro product is range breakout Hatsun Agro product is weekly and monthly range breakout
chart is showing big move upside is visible need to break his range
Technical point
1- weekly breakout
2- monthly breakout
3- near to break supply zone
4 - follow fab. points
FIRST TRG - 1350
SECOND TRG -1550
THIRD TRG - 2100
SL 1050
looking like something in budget will came and that convert into jackpot return based stock
Gold Price Analysis: A Closer Look at Key Levels & Future Moves!Trading Idea Breakdown for XAUUSD
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour chart
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 2450.370
Significance: Major liquidity area where price is likely to experience significant reactions.
4-hour / LQZ:
Level: 2437.909
Significance: Intermediate liquidity zone crucial for intraday trading decisions.
1-hour TP (Take Profit) Zone:
Level: 2419.054
Significance: Shorter-term take profit area, potentially indicating minor resistance.
Support and Resistance:
Key Support Level: Around 2410.920
Previous Top of Flag: Highlighted zone where price action showed previous resistance before breaking out.
Technical Patterns:
Flag Pattern:
The chart showcases a flag pattern where the price initially showed strong upward momentum (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase within parallel lines (flag). The breakout from this flag pattern indicates a continuation of the bullish trend.
Upward Channel:
The price is currently moving within an upward channel, suggesting a controlled and steady rise in the price of gold.
Current Price Action:
Price: 2410.920 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price has broken out of the flag pattern and is currently trading near the 4-hour LQZ level.
There's an observed strong bullish momentum as the price approaches the daily LQZ.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Bias:
Given the breakout from the flag pattern and the upward channel, the bias remains bullish.
The price targeting the daily LQZ indicates further potential upside.
Gold Price Explodes Past Key Levels! Is $2500 Next?Trading Idea Breakdown for XAUUSD
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour chart
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 2450.370
Significance: Major liquidity area where price is likely to experience significant reactions.
4-hour / LQZ:
Level: 2437.909
Significance: Intermediate liquidity zone crucial for intraday trading decisions.
1-hour TP (Take Profit) Zone:
Level: 2419.054
Significance: Shorter-term take profit area, potentially indicating minor resistance.
Support and Resistance:
Key Support Level: Around 2410.920
Previous Top of Flag: Highlighted zone where price action showed previous resistance before breaking out.
Technical Patterns:
Flag Pattern:
The chart showcases a flag pattern where the price initially showed strong upward momentum (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase within parallel lines (flag). The breakout from this flag pattern indicates a continuation of the bullish trend.
Upward Channel:
The price is currently moving within an upward channel, suggesting a controlled and steady rise in the price of gold.
Current Price Action:
Price: 2410.920 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price has broken out of the flag pattern and is currently trading near the 4-hour LQZ level.
There's an observed strong bullish momentum as the price approaches the daily LQZ.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Bias:
Given the breakout from the flag pattern and the upward channel, the bias remains bullish.
The price targeting the daily LQZ indicates further potential upside. For participating inside of this trade you would be waiting for the market to give some sort of pull back to the support box that we have indicated. The shadow vars that i have provided give a good representation of what we would be looking for in order for price to continue long.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management by calculating position size according to your risk tolerance.
Monitor key levels for any signs of reversal or significant market reactions.
Revealing My Top Gold Trading Secrets for Huge Profits!In this video, I reveal my top trading secrets for making huge profits in gold trading (XAU/USD). This educational content will cover key technical analysis techniques and strategies that I frequently use in my charts, as well as valuable insights into trading mindset and proper risk management. Let's unlock the potential of your trading skills together!
Technical Approach:
In this educational segment, we'll focus on the core technical analysis principles that I use to make informed trading decisions. Here's a detailed breakdown of my approach:
Identifying the Trend:
Uptrends and Downtrends: Learn how to recognize market trends using higher highs and higher lows for uptrends, and lower highs and lower lows for downtrends.
Trendlines: Use trendlines to connect the highs and lows of price movements, helping to identify the direction of the trend and potential reversal points.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find support as it falls, acting as a floor preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find resistance as it rises, acting as a ceiling preventing further ascent.
Historical Price Action: Use past price movements to pinpoint key support and resistance levels that the market respects.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
Definition: Liquidity zones are areas on the chart where there is a high concentration of trading activity, often leading to significant price movements.
Identification: Learn how to spot these zones using volume profiles, order flow analysis, and historical price action.
Trading Strategy: Use liquidity zones to identify potential entry and exit points, as they often precede major price moves.
Volume Analysis:
Volume Spikes: Understand how volume spikes can indicate strong buying or selling interest, confirming the validity of price movements.
Volume Trends: Analyze volume trends to gauge the strength of a price trend and anticipate potential reversals.
Entry and Stop Loss Strategies:
Breakouts and Pullbacks: Enter trades on confirmed breakouts above resistance or below support, or on pullbacks to key levels within a trend.
Trailing Stop Loss: Implement a trailing stop loss to lock in profits as the trade moves in your favor, adjusting the stop loss level as the price progresses.
Mini Lessons: Mindset:
Patience and Discipline:
Patience: Wait for the right trading setups that meet your criteria, avoiding impulsive decisions.
Discipline: Stick to your trading plan and rules, even when the market becomes volatile or unpredictable.
Emotional Control:
Stay Calm: Keep your emotions in check to avoid making irrational decisions based on fear or greed.
Mindfulness: Practice mindfulness techniques to remain focused and calm, especially during stressful trading situations.
Proper Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
Risk Per Trade: Limit the amount of capital you risk on any single trade, typically 1-2% of your trading account.
Position Size Calculation: Calculate your position size based on the distance to your stop loss and your risk tolerance.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1, meaning your potential profit should be at least twice your potential loss.
Trade Evaluation: Evaluate each trade based on its risk-reward ratio before entering, ensuring it aligns with your trading strategy.
By incorporating these technical strategies and mindset principles, you can enhance your trading performance and increase your chances of success in the gold market. Stay tuned for more educational content and trading insights!
QQQ: Key Levels and Potential Scenarios (D&W charts).Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, QQQ has recently hit an all-time high of 486.86, marking a significant resistance level. This milestone suggests a bullish momentum, but it's essential to watch how the price behaves around this level.
There's also a noticeable gap at 468.14, which often acts as a magnet for price action, serving either as support or resistance. Currently, the price is hovering around the 473.82 support level, which, if maintained, could signal continued bullish momentum.
Additionally, the 21-day EMA is another critical support level; staying above it would further validate the uptrend. Should the price break above the all-time high, we could see new peaks. Conversely, losing support at 473.82 might lead to a sharper pullback, potentially down to 460.58 or even 449.34.
Weekly Chart:
Looking at the weekly chart, a shooting star pattern has emerged, typically a bearish signal suggesting a potential reversal. This pattern indicates that despite reaching new highs, there was significant selling pressure, hinting at a possible decline.
The 21-week EMA, however, shows that the longer-term trend remains bullish as the price is still well above this level. If the price confirms the shooting star by dropping in the following weeks, it might signal a deeper correction.
Maintaining above the 21-week EMA would still suggest a strong underlying bullish trend, despite short-term bearish signals.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, while the QQQ shows strong bullish signals, indicated by new all-time highs and support levels on the daily chart, the shooting star pattern on the weekly chart warrants caution.
If the price holds above 473.82 and the 21-day EMA, the bullish trend is likely to continue with potential for new highs. However, if these supports fail, we might see a correction down to the gap at 468.14 or lower. Overall, monitoring these key levels will be crucial in determining whether the QQQ continues its upward trajectory or enters a period of correction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.