Trading Idea - #TwitterMy trading idea for Twitter - sell/short
Target: 33.00 USD
Stop: 47.50 USD
RRR (Risk/Reward Ratio) is 1 due to high volatility!
It looks like Twitter has become dependent on Elon Musk. The billionaire Tesla CEO recently made a 44 billion offer to buy Twitter. From a shareholder's perspective, that's a tempting offer considering Twitter has only made a profit in 2 of the last 10 years.
The business has stalled or is even at risk. In a company report, Twitter wrote that only less than 5% of its users are fake accounts. Musk wants proof of these claims and has put the deal on hold for now, but continues to express interest in the acquisition.
The technology sector has fallen a lot lately, and the sell-off doesn't seem to be over yet. I guess Musk is planning this move on intention to be able to buy the shares cheaper later on.
If Elon Musk decides to cancel the offer entirely, he will have to pay a sum of 1 billion US dollars.
Musk
TSLA - BKWe're buying Jan 19 2024 Leaps for this bloated bovinity.
Eron will be sacrificed to the Alter of Mass Delusion.
Thankfully the serial predator whose frauds date back
decades will be train wrecked into the South Sea Bubble
and john Law of his time.
It will happen.
Load up for BK, it's not going to take long.
Muskrat love?
Nah... dude needs to be wrecked.
Real economy beating expectations yet markets trading in red 🤔INVESTMENT CONTEXT
President Vladimir Putin said that Russia was not blocking Ukrainian wheat from being exported, and that the grain could be dispatched via ports controlled either by Russia or Ukraine. Before the war, Russia and Ukraine accounted for ca. 29% of international annual wheat sales
U.S. economy added 390,000 jobs in May, beating analyst expectations (325,000) and showing resilient real economy in the face of rampant inflation and higher interest rates
Crude oil inventories in the U.S. fell to 414.7 million barrels in the wake of strong demand, yet limiting chances of further releases to cool domestic energy prices
Goldman Sachs COO John Waldron followed JPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon saying “This is among if not the most complex, dynamic environment I’ve ever seen in my career". On a similar tone, in a leaked Tesla email, Elon Musk cited having a "super bad feeling" about the economy as the main reason for shedding 10% of the company's workforce
PROFZERO'S TAKE
When good news are met with S&P 500 dropping more than 1.50%, and Nasdaq doing even worse at 2.47% in the red, we know something is off. That's what happens when bears are in control, and policy makers are desperate to understand how far can they move with tightening before the backlash. A remarkably strong U.S. economy just added 390,000 jobs in May, beating analyst expectations and reassuring the Fed it could maintain the trajectory of 50bps rate hikes in July and August. ProfZero clearly welcomes Main Street's resilience and rising wages - yet, as anticipated in Step99 podcast, it cautions against the forward-looking effects of monetary policy vs. the actual state of the economy. As pointed out by The Economist, "A recession in America by 2024 looks likely" - today's strength of the real economy may at best soften its blow
Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser sees "three R" whiplashing EU economy - rates, Russia and recession, this latter happening in Europe ahead of the U.S. because of "the energy side (...) really having an impact". ProfZero has made energy a key theme of this Parlay, with potentially more decisive effects on the real economy than monetary policy. With Brent testing again USD 120/boe and fading cushion inventories from the U.S., it is hard to imagine how the EU will cope with the next cold season without rationing output, hence slashing GDP growth. Regasification plants and last-generation nuclear are definitely tools of the future; but by then, are seaborne imports going to be enough?
Equities are definitely off the lows witnessed in April and early May - perhaps Musk's "super bad feeling" and Mr. Dimon's "hurricane" are rather looming on the real economy? Not an inch less worrying...
BTC once again confidently breaking up the mid-term triangle pattern and trying to regain 32k after trading below 30k on June 4-5 - and yet ProfZero's eyes are set on the lurking death cross on 200MA
PROFONE'S TAKE
After sharing about lithium and nickel, ProfOne completes the overview of rare minerals that are crucial for the production of batteries setting its eyes are on cobalt. Cobalt prices soared from USD 30k/ton in January to USD 52k in May - on top of the 2x surge in 2021 vs. 2020. According to the Cobalt Institute, in the next five years cobalt demand is expected to hit 320k/ton, up from 175k/ton in 2021. ProfOne argues that meeting such demand won’t be operatively easy. For once, cobalt is yet another highly concentrated resource: about 70% of world’s cobalt comes from the Democratic Republic of Congo, where production is dominated by Chinese companies and commodities trader Glencore (GLEN). Adding to it that world's second supplier of cobalt is Russia, the metals puzzle turns out to be a fairly intricate one
$BTC support #2 retest? 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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$TSLA tweet about it 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
My team entered electric vehicle company Tesla $TSLA today at $881 per share. Our take profit has been set at $1100.
Elon Musk: "Tesla has diamond hands"
Our entry: $881
Take profit: $1100
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Musk’s 5 billion dollar exit from TwitterElon Musk, the wealthiest person in the world, appears to be playing a game of Monopoly in real life as he leads a number of companies in the tech space, and builds stakes in other companies and cryptocurrencies.
However, his recent acquisition of twitter (NYSE:TWTR) may not pass go and perhaps sets him up to be liable for at least 5 billion dollars.
Fallout from Twitter takeover and other controversies
Musk’s contentious bid to buy Twitter and his latest comments on politics, has cost him $49 billion over the past month, according to Fortune. Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock price plunged to a 10-month low on Friday following a report by Business Insider last week that Musk sexually harassed a flight attendant in 2016, a claim that the Tesla CEO denied on Twitter.
Twitter’s stock also fell to a two-month low on Wednesday last week after Musk hinted that he could back out of the Twitter deal or at least slash the deal price unless the social media platform can prove that bot accounts represent less than 5% of its users.
"Twitter deal temporarily on hold pending details supporting calculation that spam/fake accounts do indeed represent less than 5% of users,” Musk said in a May 13 tweet, referencing a Reuters article about false or spam accounts that make up less than 5% of Twitter’s monetizable daily active users in the first quarter.
That tweet sent Twitter’s share price falling ~30% on May 13 against Musk’s offer price of $54.20 per share.
$5 billion exit
Although Musk has stressed his committment to the acquisition, an analysis by Reuters found that an agreement to abandon the deal would be a better option for both Twitter and Tesla.
Musk will use a big portion of his Tesla stock to pay for his Twitter purchase, but the latest headlines surrounding the Twitter CEO knocked $390 billion off Tesla’s market value in just weeks, the news outlet noted.
Musk might also have to pay a $5 billion price for backing out of the deal, while Twitter’s value would lose around the same amount, according to Reuters.
"At the right price, both can get the difficult experience behind them,” Reuters said.
Twitter, however, reiterated that it is also committed to completing the sale to Musk on the agreed price "as promptly as practicable,” adding that it stands ready to close the deal and “enforce" the merger.
TSLATSLA may bounce off the given buy zone.. and then get right into the next buy zone in the 400's
Watch for a move above that 727 level. 820 can come if it breaks above there.
Continued selling of course can follow still in the days to come as we've seen the last few weeks, although I can not ignore my support levels that I mapped out weeks ago prior to these levels being now reached.
400's load up.
Wait, the time to hoard and buy is getting closer and closerTesla is a company much loved by Wall Street investors.
Just like the US500, the Nasdaq, and all markets in general (including Crypto), the market is pulling back from all-time highs due to Fed QE.
Its dump cycle is underway from the all-time high of $1250 (-43% on Feb '22).
2 Points of means and accumulation, interesting
S1 – Between $730 and $690 in conjunction with the 100 1W average, support and trend line of June 21.
S2: Mega support September '20 and on average 200 1 week.
Don't worry, the world doesn't end today or in a month.
Stock in the stands, buy low and always hold.
For more information contact us by private.
LPI.sa
Musk + Bezos + Burry + Retail vs BuffetWho are the American stock market heroes?
1. Musk (the hero of the American people, a role model, and someone who speaks the language of the young) warning of a recession in mid 22 twitter.com
2. Bezos ( the one who build the giant of AMAZON to whom they even made a song for him www.youtube.com) warning of a meltdown
3. The TV Star Dr. Burry!!! ( everybody loved the movie and want to short like him) warning that the crash is about to come twitter.com
And then you have these 2 points
1. The unpopular to youngsters Buffet investing more money fortune.com
2. Robinhood to allow all retail short stocks techcrunch.com
In my previous post, I showed how the 4-market phases look similar to today's market image BUT when everybody sees it you know what happens...
Tesla Follow-up with More Detail $550??I have doubled my short position as of today.
Earlier this week, I posted a rather stale chart of Tesla (lol). At any rate, here is what I see from a technical perspective:
Double Top
Lower Highs
Rising F-Flag (bearish)
The CEO out there meme-ing in real life.
It's a set up for a complete catastrophe in $TSLA stock.
I think $500 - $550 is probably.
God bless,
Chief
The Musk ShuffleMuskman has been using NYSE:TWTR to promote his interests for a while now.
It is safe to say, that no other form of advertisement comes close to Twitter, for powerful people like Musk.
He among others, has been using this invaluable tool to subtly steer shareholders into the 'right' path.
We all remember the famous dog that got a coin, or the other dog, or any other stock/coin Musk has taken an interest in and how each instance affected NASDAQ:TSLA stock-price.
Even before the SEC started to boast about its authority to subpoena CEOs, in the days of the Trump ban, Musk surely started to realise how bad it would be if he lost his voice on the platform for whatever reason. In March he really started expressing his interest in the company and pointed out how important it is for the algorithm, among other things, to be transparent.
I think that the price drop in Tesla on the day Muskman disclosed his position, is the shareholders dipping some into Twitter.
Of course the ultimate goal of the 'Musk Shuffle' is to bring Tesla stock-price to its 'true' worth. So I expect a large amount of gains from the Twitter trade, to be funnelled back into Tesla.
If people got in after Musk disclosed his position, the best deal people could get was ~45$.
If 54.20$ is the buyout price, the bag is going to be nice and heavy.
Just what the electric giant needs right now.
BIG BILLION BREAK - 11.5.2022 No matter if the price keeps climbing or falling, it is bound to happen BULLS WILL ATACK THIS with all they got! BIG BILLION BREAK on 11.5.2022 there is NO OTHER WAY. This puppy will GROW into a space conqering BEAST!!! ELON to MARS & Beyond we are TWEET away from GREATNES.
Poison Pill Explained: Why Elon Wants to Buy TwitterIn this post, I'll explain the ongoing situation with Twitter; how they're preventing Elon from buying the company out, and my thoughts on why Elon wants Twitter so badly.
Twitter's Strategy
- Twitter is using a strategy known as the 'poison pill'.
- This is one of many defensive strategies that boardrooms can take when they're trying to prevent hostile takeovers.
- While the method may vary depending on the deal, the essence of the strategy is simple: make the stock less appealing to the hostile acquirer, and allow opportunities for other shareholders to acquire the stock at a discounted price through the use of call options.
- Netflix (NFLX) successfully used this strategy against Carl Icahn in 2012, when he attempted a hostile acquisition of the company, making it difficult for Icahn to acquire more than 10% of the company without approval from the Netflix board.
- Luckily for Icahn, he made 20x returns on his investment simply from holding Netflix shares for the three years that he attempted a takeover.
- In the case of Elon's acquisition of Twitter, the terms are slightly different.
- Elon offered to buy the entire company for $43B, which is a generous offer of $54.20 per share.
- Twitter's board however, having seen prices once hover above $70, were not happy with Elon's offer, and asked him to join the board with a 14.9% stake limit - Elon refused.
- Twitter emphasized that their poison pill strategy will activate if Elon tries to acquire more than 15% stake in the company, and will remain effective until April 14, 2023.
Twitter Shareholders by Size
- The Vanguard Group, Inc. 10.3%
- Elon Musk 9.2%
- Morgan Stanley Investment Management 8.4%
- BlackRock Fund Advisors 6.5%
- State Street Corp. 4.5%
Why Elon Wants to Buy Twitter
- My thoughts on why Elon is looking to acquire Twitter is as follows:
- The narrative that Elon is pushing as his justification for the purchase is "free speech".
- He has been vocal about Twitter's decision to shut down former US president Donald Trump's account.
- However, I personally believe that there are deeper layers to this matter than just 'free speech', and 'twitter's untapped potential'.
- Tesla currently does not spend a single dime on marketing and advertisement costs.
- Elon dissolved the PR department in 2020, and stated that the capital that was previously used for marketing, will now be reinvested back for R&D.
- Instead, Elon has been using his twitter account as a channel to promote his businesses - not only Tesla, but also SpaceX, SolarCity, and the Boring Company.
- The last time Tesla had a PR department, it spent $70m in marketing and advertisement costs.
- So taking that into account, and considering the value that was created by those costs being reinvested back into R&D, Elon has singlehandedly managed to create hundreds of millions of dollars in value through his twitter account.
- And the risk of him having his twitter account shut down, due to his potential violation of one of their many policies, is huge.
- His acquisition of the company's stake, and taking the company private eliminates this risk for him.
- Put into context, it makes more sense: Elon's $43B offer to buy Twitter is equivalent to someone with a net worth of $1m purchasing a G-wagon for their rental car business.
Conclusion
On one hand, we have Twitter, a company willing to use the poison pill strategy to prevent a hostile acquisition from taking place, and on the other hand, we have Elon Musk, who's trying to take the company private for $43B. I think there are bigger implications to his offer, as we've seen how he was able to connect seemingly unrelated businesses to form a virtuous cycle that would become the pillar of his entire empire. We use electricity generated from SolarCity to power our Tesla cars using solar energy. With the satellites that SpaceX launches, our Tesla cars undergo software updates in real time, and the Boring Company solves traffic jam issues by taking our Teslas through underground tunnels. I'm sure there's room for Twitter to fit into this equation, but I'm not completely sure as to what Elon has on his mind. One thing is for sure: it has more to do with Elon's personal philosophy.
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$BTC the royal flush 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
PSA: Get one thing straight with us, we are not rookies. Lately we have been on the receiving end of some haters who do not agree with our chart ideas and trades. We are here today to say, "keep the hate coming." Every single one of these guys so far have been proven wrong so it's pretty amusing.
Anyways, our thoughts on Bitcoin $BTC have not changed since our last Bitcoin post. It is still in a bearish trend, and things could get much uglier if earnings this week are a bust. Tesla $TSLA and Netflix $NFLX are to report earnings this week which could impact the price of $BTC drastically. $TSLA, Apple $AAPL, and the S&P500 $SPY are mirror images of each other right now. None of them look bullish. Global economic shifts due to the Russian x Ukraine war are likely to dent the share prices of the companies that make up the majority of $SPY this season.
Must we also mention that there is supposedly a high-rate hike coming in May?
Or that Russia will likely use tactical nukes in Ukraine soon?
If Russia does use tactical nukes, we expect markets to fall-out temporarily. World War III talks will be the buzz that drives the markets down for the proceeding days or weeks until a resolution is found. Afterwards, the market will be on the receiving end of a relief rally.
These are simply our current thoughts and opinions, and they are subject to change...
Happy investing!
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$TSLA: Conservative ApproachLots of attention with Elon Musk regarding TWTR; therefore, TSLA is also reacting.
I'd say be a little conservative on TSLA and keep in mind how the broader markets are behaving -- not just on a small time frame like 1-5 minutes.
Yes, it may be a fantastic company with a great product, brilliant leader, etc.; however, as technicians we need to focus on 'what is happening' in the now without the human biased emotions of thinking what the company 'could be' or 'could not be' in the future. Does it fall today? That is up to the markets. Keep focused on what the broader markets are doing so you don't get stuck holding the bag due to 'thoughts and theories' forecasted 5-15 years from now.
Never know, we could see that retail trader/investor spike at the open (FOMO chasing the price up) and trend lower the rest of the day. This doesn't go for just TSLA, but broader implications.
Trade Smart; Live to Trade Another Day!
Short-term bearish reversal in play for TWTRAfter the monster 25% rally in pre-market earlier today, TWTR has now reached a key resistance zone around $49 per share. We are seeing strong selling pressure occurring on above-average volume, which apart from profit taking from the Longs, also comes from the VWAP resistance line anchored all the way back to the huge downside gap for the stock on April,30th 2021. This is the first test of that level since the current bearish trend for the stock began back in late October last year. Thus, we believe that there is a high volume of pending SELL orders around that VWAP line, which will put heavy pressure on the price. In addition to that, we also expect to see a substantial pick up in the VIX in the coming sessions, which will put further pressure on stocks that have overextended themselves to the upside in recent sessions.
Since the market opened today we've had a pin bar forming on the 45 min chart followed by an inside bar after that. This is a typical and reliable bearish reversal signal, that we believe could send the price sub $45 in the near term. We will keep our Stop Losses tight at $51.18, in case the stock makes another push higher, even though that from what we are seeing this is unlikely to happen.
Good luck!
Kind regards,
Dow Experts Finance
Long Tesla after Musk's speachTesla, before reaching next highs at around 1190$, can retrace until the first area, that we can visualize in the green rectangle, that covers the price range of 940-1000$. In addition, the bearish divergence upon the CCI oscillator can accelerate the price retracement.
The 200 average shows how the long term is still bullish and Tesla could be above it for the next days confirming its strength.
From a fundamental point of view, the company estimates to sell more cars than the previous quarter although the electric cars industry has faced a serious issue in supplying chain.
$TSLA has diamond hands 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
My team entered electric vehicle company Tesla $TSLA today at $800 per share. Our first take profit is $975 with a stop loss at $775
Elon Musk: "Tesla has diamond hands"
Entry: $800
Take Profit: $975
Stop Loss: $775
If you would like to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMo