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Mvrv

BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market. One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value". Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns. This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band. Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks. So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by PizzaDriver
Watch Ethereum's MVRVThe MVRV is a metric that compares the current market value of an asset to its realized value, offering insight into potential overvaluation or undervaluation. This is a great indicator because it helps identify points of extreme market sentiment—whether assets are trading above or below what most investors paid for them. When MVRV is high, assets are generally overvalued, signaling potential profit-taking phases, while lower MVRV values often indicate undervaluation and possible buying opportunities. Currently, CRYPTOCAP:ETH MVRV hovers around 1.2 , suggesting that Ethereum’s market value is slightly above its realized value. Historically, ETH has bottomed out when MVRV dips below 1 , as it indicates capitulation among investors and a favorable accumulation phase. If ETH's price trends lower, it could suggest an upcoming period of opportunity for value-focused investors . On the flip side, MVRV readings above 2— particularly in the 2-3 range —indicate an overheated ETH price. At this level, ETH tends to be overextended, marking a range to watch for potential rallies nearing their peak. Keeping this threshold in mind can help spot when a cooling phase might be on the horizon.
INDEX:ETHUSD
by IntoTheBlock
Bitcoin MVRV AnalysisHello friends, Thanks to the collaboration between TradingView and IntoTheBlock, you can access this data for free on TradingView with the code "BTC_MVRV." Today, we will dive deep into MVRV, the primary data I use for trend tracking in Bitcoin. What is MVRV? MVRV is calculated by comparing two main metrics: market value and realized value. Market value is determined by multiplying the current market price of a cryptocurrency by its circulating supply. On the other hand, realized value considers the total value of all coins based on their last transaction prices. The Market Value to Realized Value Ratio (MVRV) allows us to understand the profitability of Bitcoin investors and cyclically track trends. Bull vs. Bear If the Bitcoin MVRV ratio is above 1, it indicates that investors are in profit, while if it is below 1 investors are at a loss. Generally, investors pay attention to the following two levels when examining MVRV. If the MVRV is below 1 the Bitcoin price is cold as the polar north, and if the MVRV is at or above 3.7, the Bitcoin price is hot as Sahara desert. However, to add a different perspective and to detail trend tracking, I included the 52-week simple moving average. As you can see on the chart, it has become much easier to follow bear and bull trends. We can say that if the MVRV score is above the 52-week average, the bulls are strong; if it is below, the bears are strong. Conclusion Currently, the MVRV is at 2.03 points, while its 52-week average is at 1.88 points. This situation shows us that we are still in a bull trend. As a bonus, when we examine the MVRV historically, we can observe that 2.00 points is an important level. We have witnessed that the momentum in bull trends increases if the MVRV can stay above 2.00 points. Let's see what we will witness in the current bull trend. Thank you for reading.
BLong
by Bullfighterr
AVAX MVRV Detailed Analysis AVAX 1W MVRV and Price Analysis Hi folks, Let's take a look at some on-chain data. What is MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value)? MVRV is an on-chain indicator used to analyze the valuation of cryptocurrencies. It is a simple but powerful tool that shows investors how overvalued or undervalued a cryptocurrency is at the moment. Simply 👇🏻 MVRV is below 1: This means that most investors are at a loss and can be interpreted as a potential buying opportunity. MVRV is above 1: This means that investors are in profit and the price may be overheating. However, when performing cyclical analysis of each instrument, we can see that different MVRV levels are critical. In instrument X, 1.15 may indicate that the price is overheating, while in instrument Y, 2.00 may indicate that the price is overheating. Now let's examine AVAX with MVRV Data In the bull rally we experienced in 2021, AVAX had risen from $5 to $150. When we examined the MVRV, we witnessed that it had risen from 0.64 to 1.27 points. When we examine AVAX historically, we can observe that the price overheats when the MVRV score exceeds 1.11 points. However, it should not be forgotten that we are making this examination on weekly data. Therefore, selling everything you have when the MVRV score exceeds 1.11 points will NOT help you maximize your profit in a bull run. Instead, strategies can be created for gradual selling along with the MVRV score exceeding 1.11 in AVAX. It may be beneficial to do this in 5 or 10 steps. From now on, it is up to you. Conclusion In conclusion, by examining the MVRV score of an instrument, we can deduce that investors are at a loss if the price is below 1 (relatively cheap), and relatively profitable if it is above 1. Historical examinations made specifically for the instrument help us to understand where the price of an instrument heats up based on the MVRV score. In this way, we can create a gradual selling strategy specific to the instrument. When we look at AVAX, we can see that it offered selling opportunities after 1.11 points in the previous bull run. Following the 1.11 points closely can be beneficial for investors in this bull run. Thank you for reading.
ALong
by Bullfighterr
BTC enters the parabolic stage of the bullmarketPredicting the tops and bottoms of Bitcoin - in a macro sense - is not that easy. But some indicators can give us a clue or kind of sense of caution warning when to exit or enter the market. One of them is the "MVRV Z" indicator. It is a chart indicator that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where BTC is extremely over or undervalued relative to its "fair value". Historically it has been very effective in identifying periods where market value is moving unusually high above realised value. It also shows when market value is far below realised value, highlighted by the green lines. Buying Bitcoin during these periods has historically produced outsized returns. This chart indicator is generally useful for predicting Bitcoin price at the extremes of market conditions. It is able to forecast where price may need to pull back when the score enters the upper red hot periods and also when price may rally after spending time in the lower green band. Historically it has picked major Bitcoin price highs to within 2 weeks. So far BTC has done a great job holding in the middle value band. It's in the stage of taking the next leap breaking out of it to the upside completing the bullmarket, also referring to past historical breakouts which happenend in similar fashion after a long lasting bearmarket.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by PizzaDriver
📉 MVRV Indicator: When Oversold Means Opportunity 🚀📊 Understanding MVRV: The MVRV indicator measures the ratio of an asset's market value to its realized value. It helps traders assess whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical price action. 📉 Oversold Conditions: One of the key insights that MVRV provides is identifying when an asset is in an oversold condition. When the MVRV ratio drops significantly below 1.0, it suggests that the asset's market price is lower than the realized value, indicating potential undervaluation. 🚀 A Signal for Bulls: An oversold MVRV can be seen as a bullish signal, as it may suggest that the market has corrected too far to the downside. Historically, such conditions have often preceded the start of bullish trends. 🔍 Additional Confirmation: While the MVRV indicator can provide valuable insights, it's important to consider other factors and indicators to confirm a bullish trend. Technical analysis, trading volume, and fundamental news can all play a role. 🌐 The Crypto Landscape: Keep in mind that the crypto market is highly dynamic and can be influenced by a wide range of factors. Risk management and a comprehensive trading strategy are essential. In conclusion, the MVRV indicator's ability to highlight oversold conditions can be a valuable tool for traders. When used in conjunction with other analytical methods, it may offer insights into potential bullish opportunities. Stay vigilant, stay informed, and remember - the crypto market is full of opportunities for those who approach it with a well-rounded strategy! 📊🚀 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and share your insights in the comments; your engagement fuels the crypto conversation! 💚🚀💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
2
Bitcoin reaching $33,000 end of summer (beginning of leg 3 of 4)Based on a fractal of MVRV Z-Score. My previous idea jumped the gun with the first two starting points, so I made this one as the bottom is in and so is the first high. Most people seem to think we are going to be in these low levels for a while and that the next top will be in 4 years time. I think we are yet to reach the cycle top and that Bitcoin is emulating the 2012-2013 bull market with 4 tops. 1st top was in June '19, 2nd top was in April '21. We are currently just starting the 3rd leg up that is projected to top in February according to this fractal. The 4th top and therefore the end of this bull run for BTC should come around December '24. This fractal idea of a $33,000 top in late summer '22 is only about the initial rally or, in other words, the beginning of the 3rd cycle. This MVRV Z-score fractal estimates a $232,000 price tag for Bitcoin in February, but this does seem to be too advantageous. I do not currently have a specific price estimation for the 3rd leg up, but the 4th leg should bring us to those levels. Just my two mites. To Christ be the glory forever! DATE PROJ. ACTUAL Jun-18 xxxxx 17593 Jun-26 xxxxx 21868 ↘ Jun-30 18781 18596 (0.98% diff) ↗ Jul-06 21156 ↘ Jul-12 19968 ↗ Jul-23 25193 ↗ Aug-02 28993 ↘ Aug-05 26381 ↗ Aug-11 28756 ↗ Aug-19 32793 ↘ Aug-23 31368 ↗ Aug-29 33031 ↘ Sep-04 29943 ↗ Sep-09 31131 ↘ Sep-13 29468 ↗ Sep-22 30418 ↘ Sep-28 28993 ↗↗↗↗ onwards...
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by parielmeetson
1
BTC- Market structure overview (Long-term perspective!)The long liquidation of nearly 1.2 billion yesterday has cut the OI on Bitmex by nearly half. The bullish structure is broken, but the price managed to stay above the 3k low. Is this the the moment of paradigm shift for Bitcoin? Will the Macro (Fed repo injection) have positive impact on BTC price? How BTC price closes this week will have the tremendous impact on whether the mining remains profitable for most miners and if companies need to sell their BTC in order to keep the operation running. Click the link below for more charts. imgur.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Libratus