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Mxn

USD/MXN: Trump fears meet Banxico decision The USD/MXN should be an interesting pair to watch in the coming days. October’s headline inflation in Mexico ticked up after two months of declines, yet analysts expect Banxico to proceed with a 25-basis-point rate cut this week regardless. Last week’s volatile trading saw USD/MXN reach 20.80, as markets reacted to concerns over a second Trump presidency. His protectionist and immigration policies would place pressure on the peso. However, for now, the pair’s uptrend may face hurdles. USD/MXN climbed to an intraday high of 20.57, but bullish momentum failed to break the year-to-date peak of 20.80, signaling possible resistance ahead.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDMXN targeting 23.00 at least.The USDMXN pair has made a monumental long-term bullish break-out as not only did it recover its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) in August but has also managed to close the last two 1M candles above it. As you can see on this multi-decade chart, every time the pair broke above the 1M MA50, it rallied by at least +19.10%. At the same time, it is coming off the lowest ever 1M MACD Bullish Cross, while the price rebounded exactly on the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). As a result, our new long-term Target is 23.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDMXN Channel Up leading to 21.6500The USDMXN pair eventually gave us on our last analysis (June 27, see chart below) our desired bullish break-out above the multi-year Falling Wedge and the 1W MA200 and its next stop will most likely be our 21.6500 Target: To view this trend from a more comprehensive perspective, we made today's analysis on the 1D time-frame. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up, which as you can see is technically on its 3rd Bearish Leg. Once it hits the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at the bottom of the Channel Up along with ideally the 1D RSI hitting its Support Zone, we will have the next short-term bullish signal. The Bullish Legs have so far been fairly symmetrical at a +15% rise. As a result our 21.000 Target is within the range of the expected rise ahead. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
Peso Pressure Ahead of Major MXN Events Mexico's inflation data will be released Thursday morning, closely followed by the Central Bank of Mexico's interest rate decision in the afternoon. July's headline inflation in Mexico is expected to have accelerated to its highest level in over a year, according to a Reuters poll. However, the core index is anticipated to continue its moderation. Rising prices in July could complicate any plans for the central bank to lower its key interest rate this week. In late June, the central bank opted to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged after a rate cut in March, the first since mid-2021 when it began its tightening cycle. The Mexican Peso has extended its losing streak to four consecutive days against the US Dollar, marking ten losses in the last eleven sessions. The currency closed above the psychological 19.00 level for two days, having surpassed the previous year-to-date high of 18.99. Market momentum could favor sellers, with the Relative Strength Index indicating overbought conditions. The immediate resistance might stand at the current year-to-date high of 20.22. On the downside, a breach of the 19.00 support level could open the path to the August stumble close to 18.50, followed by the 50-day Simple Moving Average at 18.20.
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/MXN: Bullish Momentum Expected Amid Demand Area RetestThe USD/MXN currency pair is showing promising signs of a bullish continuation as it retests a recognized demand area. This zone has historically provided strong support and is now positioned to potentially fuel a further upward movement. Large speculators are currently on the bullish side, while retail traders remain bearish, reinforcing our positive outlook for the pair. Our analysis indicates that the price is making a crucial retest of this demand area before resuming its upward trajectory. This retest is a typical technical pattern that often precedes a bullish continuation, especially when combined with the current market sentiment. The presence of large speculators on the bullish side suggests confidence in the potential for USD/MXN to rise, as these traders often have deeper insights into market trends and fundamentals. Furthermore, seasonal patterns also support our bullish outlook for the USD against the MXN. Historical data shows that this period typically favors the USD, driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and market dynamics. Seasonal trends can provide valuable context, enhancing the reliability of technical setups and market sentiment indicators. Given these factors, we are closely monitoring the price action for a bullish continuation. The demand area retest, combined with bullish speculator positions and favorable seasonality, creates a compelling case for an upward move in USD/MXN. We are looking for the best entry points to capitalize on this potential rise, ensuring a strategic approach to maximize returns while managing risk. In conclusion, USD/MXN is poised for a bullish continuation following the retest of a significant demand area. The alignment of technical indicators, market sentiment, and seasonal trends all point towards a favorable environment for the USD. Investors should be vigilant for entry opportunities as the price confirms its support and begins its anticipated ascent. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/MXN in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
4
Long on Mexican Pesos: Technical Indicators and Market AnalysisThe Mexican Peso has recently reached a Demand area that we have been monitoring for some time, and it has shown a strong rebound from this level. By examining technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic, we can observe that the Peso is currently in an oversold condition, suggesting a potential upward movement. Furthermore, by analyzing the Commitment of Traders (COT) data, we see additional support for a bullish outlook. The seasonality trends of the Mexican Peso also align with this perspective, indicating that now is an opportune time to consider a long position. Given these technical and seasonal indicators, we have decided to open a long position on this futures contract. The confluence of the oversold technical indicators, supportive COT data, and favorable seasonal trends provides a strong foundation for our bullish stance on the Mexican Peso. ✅ Please share your thoughts about Mexican Pesos in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6M1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
USDMXN Major long-term bullish break-out after 4 years!The USDMXN pair broke above the 4-year Falling Wedge and so far stopped the rise just before it tested the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The last time the pair had a similar long-term bullish break-out was on the August 01 11 break-out. Following a 5-week consolidation, the price then extended the aggressive rise marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we expect another strong bullish wave soon, and our Target is 21.6500 (exactly on the 0.618 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 44 - USDMXN - (14th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing USDMXN, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
by Road_2_Funded
USDMXN Strong sell opportunity on the 1D MA200.The USDMXN pair gave us a strong sell signal last time we looked at it (February 19, see chart below): Now a new sell opportunity has emerged as it got rejected heavily at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Bearish Megaphone pattern and is now trading mostly below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). According to the RSI fractal, this price action is similar to the December 2022 consolidation that kickstarted a heavy decline with first stop the -0.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we turn bearish again, targeting 15.7500 (just above the -0.382 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Fed keeps rates steady, Banxico up next The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady at 5.25%-5.50% while continuing its balance sheet reduction as planned since May 2023. In contrast, the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) might announce a rate cut tomorrow. It's anticipated that Banxico could decrease its interest rate from 11.25% to 11%, potentially applying pressure on the Mexican peso. This could drive the USD/MXN rate closer to the 17.00 mark, diverging further from its 10-year low. Some Fib levels from its recent swing higher could also be some interesting, more assessable, targets However, the possibility of a rate cut from Banxico is not guaranteed, given potential divisions within its Governing Council. Recent speeches by officials indicate a 3-2 split, with some members leaning towards a more accommodative approach, while others like Jonathan Heath and Irene Espinosa Cantellano favor a hawkish stance.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDMXN Consolidation before strong decline.The USDMXN pair gave us the most optimal sell signal on our last analysis (October 09 2023) and after hitting our 17.0500 target, is consolidating: This consolidation is on 1D RSI terms, similar to September 28 - October 28 2022, when the RSI Triangle broke downwards and with that, the price was detached from the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and aggressively declined to marginally over the -0.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are taking now another sell with our Target at 16.200 (Fibonacci -0.236). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDMXN: Channel Up calling for pullback buy.USDMXN has converted the 1D MA200 to support and is rising steadily inside a Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 54.479, MACD = 0.196, ADX = 35.456) so once the current pullback towards the 1D MA50 and the bottom of the Channel Up, is completed, we will buy again and target a new +5.93% rise (TP = 18.8000). A 1D candle close under the 1D MA50, will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 17.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
USDMXN Prime short position as it approaches a 2-year ResistanceThe USDMXN pair has been on a strong rise since July 28th, which was a Lower Low at the bottom of a 2-year Bearish Megaphone pattern. The rally has extended to a point where the price is about to test that 2-year top (Lower Highs) Resistance. The previous Lower High was priced exactly on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the new one is only a fraction away at 18.6900. We consider that current level already good enough to short, as the 1D RSI has also been on the overbought barrier (70.00) since October 03. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
MX EXCHANGE TOKEN : INCREASE UPDATEMX the exchange token is shown at the side of the study's new increased volume. We will follow this coin at last for the next 24H to see if there are new gains that we can follow for the long term. These updates are daily updates but can change to long-term views if there is a trend building. We try to scan the best possible coins for the coming times, as trading there will be never a guarantee on any idea or expectation. The market moves with time, and we should follow it. Data shows if this coin is able to gain $1.75 then it's an important breakout point The current price is below $1.36 Since it's an exchange token, we did also study the trend of the exchange. MX exchange showing also an increase in the volume include users Depend on your study in more ways, as this is not trading advice. This is our view about MX for the short term, and if it gets confirmed for an uptrend we will follow it more.
Long
by Goldenbreakout
3