USD/MXN 1H Chart: Channel narrowsOn September 7, the USD/MXN exchange rate entered an ascending channel. This pattern is a part of a longer-term ascending channel which has confined the pair since mid-July.
The rate’s trading range, however, has diminished during the last trading sessions, as apparent by its failure to overcome the 19.2662 mark—its highest level since mid-2015—on two separate occasions.
The US Dollar is currently testing the resistance of the weekly PP, the 55- and 100-hour SMAs at 19.15; the 200-hour SMA and the weekly S1 are located nearby circa 19.03. It is likely that bears pressure the Greenback during this week, resulting in a test of the lower channel boundary near the 19.00 mark.
In general, the rate’s subsequent movement could be tended southwards towards the bottom boundary of the senior channel.
Mxn
USD/MXN breaches significant supportThe US Dollar has appreciated substantially against the Mexican Peso during the past three weeks. The pair managed to reach a five-month high at 18.83 on Tuesday evening. Subsequently, the Greenback edged lower and breached the diminishing trading range apparent since early October.
The given currency managed to move below a strong support cluster formed by the monthly R2, weekly R1 and the 55-hour SMA. These factors suggest a possible downside momentum that could push the rate towards the lower channel boundary circa 18.60/65.
A breakout of this line should be followed by a fall down to the weekly PP and the 200-hour SMA near 18.45.
USD/MXN sends mixed signalsUSD/MXN is trading in two channels simultaneously. The senior pattern is a rather chaotic channel that has confined the rate since late July. Meanwhile, the junior formation resulted from a consolidation period effective since September 6 when the US Dollar began trading between the monthly PP and S1 in the 17.84/17.62 area.
Two possible scenarios might occur. First, the rate surpassing the 200-, 100– and 55-hour SMAs might set the Greenback for a surge towards the monthly R1 at 18.10. As a result, both channel would be breached. Second, other technical indicators might still support a minor upward movement until the weekly R2 or R3, but eventually turn the rate south until the 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly PP near the 17.72 mark are reached.
USDMXN bearish impulse exhaustedUSDMXN has been ina bearish rally down to 2016 price. Nevertheless MACD is showing divergence which was nearly enough to break te threndline and start a pullback correction right above the trendline. Regarding this friday news the price closed right on top of the trendline and on a daily level (DL).
Depending on DXY and todays news price might break down to touch lower monthly level (ML) or start an impulse to reach upper Monthly level (ML)
USDMXN ShortTaking advantage of recovering MXN and USD slide due to current sentiment on both currencies but more especially on USD. Sell on market or set up a sell stop with TPs at S2 and S3 pivot lines, and SL between S1 and base pivot lines.
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Confidence: A
USDMXN Short 4HR ChartLook for shorting opportunities if prior support turns into resistance. On a fundamental side, NAFTA will start to be negotiated in less than two months. News regarding NAFTA can make this pair very volatile. Remember to use at least a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio with proper risk management. I love Comments and Likes!!!
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USDMXN - Bull huntingplease review a 1 week Div for the USDMXN pair
Fib re-trace will provide key prices to look for while we hunt those all too important candle patterns
I would like to recommend hunting 1 day candles, look for a Bull Fractal before entering the game
potential bottom:
.786 18.11755
potential breakout:
.618 18.95532
take profit
.382 20.13218
remember this is a long study so be very precise with entry and shorter timeframe verification to go long
dont forget to use ATR for stop loss calculation, keep leverage low to support the long trade and in general just try to survive those tree shaking pip stealers
chears
UsdMxn is a shortAs suggested in a previous report, which can be visualized here: , Usd is losing momentum against Mexican Peso. There are no reasons to get long anymore, while it is now time to short the pair.
We see a strong divergence having a look at stochastic oscillator and Bollinger Bands are widening out smoothly, with a weekly close breaking the lower BB. I expect to see the pair tumbling down further till 17.30, from where I expect to see a rebound to then falling down with a stronger movement.
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Touching 300 EMA For The First Time In 2½ YearsI have previously talked about pairs at extraordinary levels, such as EURDKK. Currently the talk on the street is USD/MXN. It is fascinating how much the dollar has fallen the past months. I publish this to remind everyone that keeping an eye on this one, might be wise. It's either going to fall like a brick or, as I assume, rise again majestically.