Will NIFTY test 7800 levels again?Greetings traders & investors,
This analysis is a combination of various prospects & contains a clear description for each of that
"we don't understand a movie by missing half of it".- the same is true with markets,
Let's understand NIFTY in higher time frames & continue through the same tunnel in lower degrees
There are 'n' number of possibilities(probabilities) that could frame the near & long term future moves for NIFTY the analysis progress through the provision of unbiased weightage to all of them based on various factors, rules & guidelines and as usual this analysis is backed by a video presentation, which you can find in our signature section below!
NIFTY MONTHLY ANALYSIS:
The monthly timeframe comprises of super-cycle degree moves within the grand super-cycle 3rd wave, from OCTOBER 08(this has a long way to go). However, the shorter time frames have a different story (which is important for traders).
The 3 waves in the super-cycle degree have been completed and we have the 4th wave in the sequence, unfolding.
The 50% R of the 3rd wave have been tested & the current move is a retracement of the correction & it could end relatively in the cluster of resistance zones (in lower degrees).
This analysis takes into account the psychology underpinning the asset, mathematical relationships, geopolitical events & finally indicators, only to support the analysis!
To understand various levels - take profit, Stop loss & trading strategies for the long, medium & short term. please refer to the video!
Irrespective of all the probabilities, the analysis clearly gives the direction for various trading setups.
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What is crude oil's next decision...?
Resuming from previous Crude oil Post in the blog, check it from what's happening section...
We at that time just had an idea that the developing correction could be a triangle but in the recent trading sessions, it is really very clear that the current correction is most possibly a triangle (Elliott wave Descending triangle) and within which the waves ABC have been completed and the remaining two legs D & E are about to be completed and as in a descending triangle the characteristics of the same is to test the support multiple times and which is what the D wave is going to do exactly and after that the E ( FINAL ) wave as dictated by the principle will be a multiple of FIBO numbers, with respect to Previous C wave rally and most possibly the .786 will be the target for the above stated E wave.
View the video as it also explains below one degree from daily charts to H4 charts.
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Gold Rally is great But how Far...?
Resuming From Gold monthly analysis, check it from gold analysis section under Research Edge
As the structure warrants, markets always tells us what to do...!
the triple three within a triple three has been completed and it is time for an interim rally
The gold had bounced from its strong support area @ 1043 levels and this is the main reason for the current rally and this rally is taking place in one larger degree and not in small scale which means that the consolidation in this degree will also be in that retrospect.
The rally is really powerful but do not succumb to the volatility or the movement and to find the analysis in one lesser degree with embedded video, i.e what the gold charts say in daily charts, do visit it here
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NIFTY ELLIOTT WAVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Continuing from the monthly forecasts in the website, an elliott wave analyst can observe the same as we do, the nifty peaked at an all time high of 9119.2 on mar 2015, the downfall is around a year and when will it end...?
obviously an traditional trader doesn't have answer for this question but the perspective that elliott offfers is significant & different and we can observe that wave 3 had peaked at the areas of 9119 and from thereon wave 4 decline has began and within the three wave general structure we can identify a complex triple three w,x,y & z in it and the final wave among them is being unfolded and it had an expansion within itself to be another triple three and within one lesser degree expansion we can find even other degree of expansion in (y) wave and it have been finished recently and the interim rally that we are facing now is for the (x) wave seperating (y) & (z) and the projections for the (x) wave is very subtle yet it has many layers of resistances...,
To find out the exact turning point of (x) wave read our analysis below this degree (IN DAILY CHARTS for free from here), click here to read it now..
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The ultimate downfall target is 61.8% of previous wave 3 rally and this explains why there are this many stages of expansions within the currently unfolding 4th wave.( The target & volatility determines the rate of Expansion ).
DINESH - SENIOR TECHNICAL ANALYST
LEADBRAINS FSL - www.mytradingcourses.com - Trading education & Training firm