Nakedchartanalysis
US500 BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEhi
Fundamental view
The **US500 index** dropped due to several key factors affecting the U.S. stock market:
📉 **Tech Stock Decline** – Technology stocks faced heavy pressure, especially after **Nvidia** plunged **6.9%** due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China. Other stocks like **AMD (-7.3%)** and **Micron Technology (-2.4%)** also fell.
💰 **Federal Reserve Uncertainty** – Remarks from **Fed Chair Jerome Powell** raised concerns in the market. Powell warned that new tariffs could trigger higher inflation and slow economic growth, making investors uncertain about interest rate policies.
🛍️ **Surge in Retail Sales** – Retail sales jumped **1.4%** in March as consumers rushed to buy before new tariffs took effect. This highlights economic uncertainty, pushing investors to sell their stocks.
Overall, a mix of trade tensions, uncertain monetary policy, and a tech stock sell-off caused the **US500 index to drop 120.93 points (-2.24%)** on **April 16, 2025**.
Technical view
Yes, the **bullish symmetrical triangle** pattern is often a strong signal for upward price movement. When the price moves within this pattern, it usually indicates a **tightening volatility** before a **breakout**, which can present a good market entry opportunity.
🔍 **Breakout Confirmation**
1️⃣ Increased trading volume when price breaks above the **upper trendline**.
2️⃣ A closing candle above the **triangle resistance** for a valid signal.
3️⃣ Price targets can be measured using the pattern’s initial height as a projection.
📈 **Potential Price Movement**
If the breakout happens, the price could surge toward the next **resistance level**. However, if the breakout fails and price moves below support, the pattern could turn **bearish**.
Warren Buffett famously said, “Be greedy when others are fearful.”
good luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
XAUUSD RECAP & TRADE IDEAFrom the previous setup, we can see that the movement of gold made a breakout at the 2728 level before dropping to the take profit level at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (2651) and then made a correction to the 50-61.8 Fibonacci retracement level (2709). So this week, I am waiting to see if the current price will head towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension before deciding to continue the buy position. If the price successfully breaks the support level at 2642, it is likely that the price will head towards 2360-2500/90. However, if there is a bounce at the support area, the price might continue to rise towards 2690-2700.
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
USDJPY UPDATEFrom the weekly chart, the price has reached the 61.5 Fibonacci retracement level and made a rejection at the price of 145.470 before dropping again to the level of 152.134 on the 1-hour time frame. Therefore, I am waiting for any possibility of a rejection as shown in the chart before deciding to continue selling USD/JPY
XAUUSD TRADED IDEAHi all
There are two movements, buy and sell. If the price respects the trendline, it is likely that the price will continue to drop to TP 1. However, if there is a breakout at the trendline and it makes a new high, it is likely that the price will change direction to a buy and target an all-new time high of 2874
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
BTCUSD WEEKLY UPDATE hi all
"Last week, BTC/USD failed to break through the resistance level of 71195 and faced rejection. So, this week, I am observing the price action to see if there is still potential for the market to decline."
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It’s a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills, as well as for my trade journal.**
GBPUSD UPDATE Next week is going to be very high-risk, starting with the US election, BOE Monetary and followed by the FOMC meeting.
Based on technical analysis, I am biased towards going long on GBP/USD after the strength of the USD leading up to the US election.
good luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
EURUSD UPDATE ( HIGH RISK WEEK )Next week is going to be very high-risk, starting with the US election and followed by the FOMC meeting.
Based on technical analysis, I am biased towards going long on EUR/USD after the strength of the USD leading up to the US election.
good luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
BTCUSD : DOUBLE TOP?hello all
Based on the daily chart, I believe the price has already broken the weekly support. The current price appears to be a pullback to the resistance level at 68,048. Therefore, I plan to go short on BTC if the price stays below 70,000. My target is indicated on the chart…
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It’s a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills, as well as for my trade journal.**
XAUUSD TRADE IDEAhi all
Gold is currently trading within a 4-hour range. The price has already broken the initial trendline. Now, we are waiting for the second trendline, which is between the high of $2,672.96 and the low of $2,631.92, to break. A pullback to the 0.236% Fibonacci extension area might provide an opportunity to buy the dip and cut the position if the candle closes below $2,634.37.
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It’s a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading skills, as well as for my trade journal.**
OIL TRADE IDEAhi all
expecting a short term pullback after HH perform.
look for HL before continue make new HH
also there is possibility price make new LL on high time frame
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
GBPUSD : WEEKLY TRADE IDEAHi all
expecting 1.29757 & short tern buy before continue drop
Happy Weekend all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
EURUSD: WEEKLY UPDATEhi all
expecting 1.09289 rejection and short-term buy before continued drop towards US election.
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
GBPJPY : TRADE IDEACup and handle chart pattern
I like to see 193.502 breakout from the previous high and then retracement before entering the market.
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support