USDJPY rejected at 4H Lower HighI decided to short UJ here as the 4H shooting star at a re-tested area was a bearish enough signal for me to go short. Price has been making Lower Highs on 4H and daily chart. The bullish candles have been forming with a lot of indecision. This entry was taken based on the 4H close, as well as the 1H presenting a strong evening star at a Evening star re-test. My entry was upon a bearish 15min engulfing at a potential high/re-test of resistance. My stop loss is just Above the high of the shooting star. My target is the next daily Lower Low.
Nakedtrading
Gold broke another correction trendlineI believe that as gold continues to become bullish at support that its willing to break into a higher high. Currently the downtrend momentum is halted by consolidation. Because the overall trend is currently bearish, I will await a reversal candlestick along with volatility on support for any long positions. Potentially a false breakout to the downside. Currently there will be some intraday bearish activity as another shooting star presented at resistance and a bearish engulfing. Price is currently trading beneath the neckline of a double top.
usdjpy consolidating before breakoutUSDJPY is hinting at a momentum swing. The overall trend is still up however price has not been making any new higher highs on the daily, In fact, volatility at the high forms a bearish reversal signal. I believe price is pulling back intraday bullish, but this push isn't very strong. Another daily rejection at the high will trigger a short setup for me.
EURUSD intraday 1st higher highI believe EURUSD is reversing as it formed its first higher high within this consolidation range. ADX was not bullish during this move, however structure was broke. I will look to capitalize on any breakout. I have a zone marked at the bottom of the zone as the daily has formed two bullish reversal candlesticks along with volatility at support. Currently price is at daily swing high, which price failed to break. The 4H has formed a higher high and is retracing with indecision to form a higher low. If the daily support holds. Im long EURUSD.
AUDUSD short this morningI decided that this pair is relatively close to retracing as the 30min moving average crossed over to the downside and a 30min trendline break. I placed a short order based on the false break close on the monthly resistance. The 4H turned out to be a shooting star at a key area. I believe that Buys are short term over. Now is the time to profit from shorts. Looking to catch the reversal. from Bullish to Bearish.
Ethereum testing a very strong supportEthereum has some big swings intraday but multiple timeframe analysis suggests its not mere noise. Price is testing a weekly bullish reversal pattern. Its best to be patient and allow this minor downtrend to cease and form a newfound support level. If an uptrend begins at these lows, Targets could be steep considering where the potential neckline is if a double bottom is to form on the daily.
AUDUSD reversal at 23.6% RetracementThe 4H retraced to the 23.6% fib and provided a hammer which is why I wasn't hesitant to sell, even beneath the trendline. Upon the 4H close and hammer. Price immediately progressed bullish to create a strong higher high, broken correction trendline, as well as ADX mixing in to provide confluence. Intraday the 1H timeframe is a clear opportunity to go long on this pair to at least its -27% target. or the 61.8 Major fib retracement. I believe that this pair is still in an overall downtrend until its creating daily higher highs and higher lows.
Ethereum Only bullish to re-test a prior HighAfter the daily close of yesterday, it became apparent that this pair isn't in much favor of an uptrend. I believe that this is an indecision retracement, price has already been rejected at the weekly resistance and 62% fib. It's formed it higher low and now its looking to either push for new highs or begin new lows again. This is a daily setup being monitored on the 4H.
Audusd to become bullish intraday this weekI mistakenly took a minor break of structure and a moving average crossover as a reversal trigger when in actuality it was simply the warning. The trigger is what is presented currently. This 4H clear higher high on our home timeframe. This is trading 101. Simple higher high along with TDI. The daily makes sense as this bullish push is all apart of the daily LOWER HIGH being formed. Major 38.2 has been broken, the next prz level is the 61.8.
This week I look forward to a bullish re-test of the weekly support/ a trendline/ zone/ structure
I'll only buy a re-test. Maximize this move of the week potentially. Higher highs make higher highs.
Don't be fooled by reversal candlesticks this pair BULLISHUSDJPY may be slowing down in pertaining to bullish momentum, but a few other things need to happen for a short. A correction trendline has already been broken which is the first sign. The following must occur on the intraday 4H timeframe for me to short. I need to see a Lower low along with the moving average crossover to the downside. then a retest to the neckline and providing indecisiveness and volatility on the 1H. My first target for any shorts will be the major 38.2 PRZ level. Because this pair is massively bullish, all targets for buys are locked in at -27% then then next daily resistance since price is creating record highs.
Gold has Likely bottomed out for this monthI decided to go long on gold immediately after receiving a reversal candlestick at a low on top of daily support. This candle also provided bullish volume after breaking a trendline and creating a new high. Price is now on the buy side of a strong trendline as well as the buy side of a strong support. I look forward to adding an entry upon a reversal candlestick at the retest. At the end of the day we're counter trend trading NOW.
I'm correcting errors mid-weekI decided to publish a video about the recent trades taken and the aftermath. I believe that I see structure clearly, however my bias changes depending on the timeframe. I'll be ultimately bearish on Sunday and Monday, then decide I want to be bullish Monday night to trade up to the sell. I understand that counter trend trading is dangerous to the risk: reward portfolio. This video will be watched back 2-3 times by myself as I learn more about the market from "teaching" it. I'll also be posting more videos regarding pre analysis, leading up the decision to take the trade.
USD/JPY REST STOPUJ has been bulling very hard as of lately. With the never ending rate hikes pushing up the price of the dollar, and many foregin countries defaulting on their national debts, it is midnight in lots of places but it seems Powell is still squuezing everything he can out of the dollar.
Technically speaking we see here a very nice looking rising wedge type pattern developing on the H4. although we are in a CLEAR UPTREND, UJ has seemingly overstepping its bounds and should need some type of rest stop before over taking this resistance, if it is to do so. There is a potential that the dollar could break through this very strong resistance level but my inclination is to sell this pair down to earth and prepare for it to push back upwards again.
Natural structure suggests going Long on USDJPYThe Daily has created a higher, retraced down to the 78.6, as well as a support and the back of a trendline. I am long USDJPY after the doji presented on Thursday. The min setup from my prior video Monday was not validated for an entry, however now, all signs point to bullish activity along with reversal signals. A higher low formed around 134.267. This is a clear case of an uptrend making higher highs and higher lows in real time.
on the lower timeframes such as the 4 hour, 1 hour and 30 minute is where I look to have an entry point of decision. my target and stop loss has already been determined. The target for this buy is -27% of the retracement, or the next Daily level: which is in the same area. 138.700. my stop loss will be beneath the previous daily Low at 133.000.
Golden Evening Star for the Re-testGold is all overall Bullish. Long term. However, since forming a strong Evening star variation at an all-time high re-test my sentiment has since shifted from an uptrend to a short term and definitely intraday downtrend. The weekly chart is still bullish. I believe the Daily chart just formed its higher low, price will now either created a new higher high or attempt to. The 8 exponential moving average has crossed to the downside of the 21 simple moving average. There's a 4-hour double top at the weekly resistance. I have confluence at the neckline, 61.8, as a well as a valid indecision pullback.
USDJPY BEAR SWING RESUMEEOur USDJPY bear swing paused about 300 pips ago and created a temporary bottom from which we took short term buys from
After a nice run of 200+ PIPS we are EXIT the shorts. Now USDJPY should resume its bear swing on the route to new lows. From a technical aspect this retracement has come up to retest the overall trend at the 38 Fib level. Normally I would be expecting a further correction, up to the 50 area but under these economic conditions I expect USDJPY to resume its bear trend at a much more aggresive rate than most trends. Right now the "Carry Trade" is about to work against the dollar, as outflows continue to pull USDJPY down. Make no mistake there is a LOOONG way for this pair to fall still.
We are emtering longs with stop losses above the recent "Lower high"
If for some reason the bullish momentum were to resume, I would still be looking to SELL USDJPY around the 50 fib or 134 area.
Theres not much to update on the fundamentals. The US economy is still heading towards recession faster than the FED RESERVE can control. Yen has a long way to go before it becomes "overvalued" in this environment currently. USDJPY sells will always be the safer option for the near term.
CABLE LONG TERM BUY SWINGHere it is Folks, the moment we have all been waiting for
After months of testing and retesting the upper bounds of the 1.24 area. it appears that CABLE has broken out and will now begin a very solid and consistent BULL SWING. Looking forward to buying and buying again on every dip.
Fundamentally this is being set up by the incoming US recession and data weakness is starting to slowly creep into the numbers. There is nowhere to go for this currencypair but up.
***POTENTIAL FAKE OUT DURING NFP TOMORROW POSSIBLE, OVERALL OUTLOOK WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED REGARDLESS OF ANY DEEP RETEST DURING NFP***
Support and Resistance Markup Here is how I markup my 4 hour chart for Bitcoin. The candlestick chart isn't used very much for marking up as it doesn't provide the same amount of data as the line chart. I also toggle between the bar chart to provide more data when it comes to seeking a specific wick.
BITCOIN BULL PAUSE PRE-FOMCOur BTC HEAD AND SHOULDERS formation played our perfectly from a couple weeks ago
Price action make a very QUICK right shoulder and then broke out, bullishly, away from the NECKLINE, Now I expect bitcoin to go on a massive bullrun
However, first DADDY JPOW is going to come up and raise rates by 25-50 basis points and ruin everyones day, but not mine
USING DIPS TO BUY MORE LIKE A PROPER BITCOIN BULL
CABLE RETEST B4 WAVE #3GBP/USD looks as if some weakness is creeping in to the chart.
On the smaller timeframes we had a TEST of the resistance at 1.235 area during large session volumes, followed by a subsequent retest where it looks as if buyers are exhausted, as they have failed here to push above the resistance during multiple sessions.
Looking for volumes to start pulling CABLE DOWN TO SUPPORT, around the 1.20 area which is VERY solid support structure. Any longs should be resumed in this area, assuming that the price action does play out. From a fundamental level we have Powell who just hiked the dollar 25 base points which should provide some short term support to the ROCKY DXY
USD/JPY BEAR SWING RETRACEMENTUSD/JPY bear swing was absolutely beautiful, but we are not done yet
Usdjpy has a looooong way to drop still, the impending US recession is not going to be pretty and the moment the market gets a single whiff of hawkish-ness from the BoJ, this pair will sink to the bottom of the ocean like ATLANTIS
In the mean time however it looks as though the bear swing has run out of some steam, and a healthy retracement is in store. Fundamentally DADDY JPOW just raised the US rates by 25 basis points, which in all likelihood will bring some short term support to the dumpy dollar.
Either ride USDJPY to the Yellow or Green zones, depending on how strong momentum and price action is.