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Major Sectors that may influence US Markets this week!Health Care Following an extended consolidation phase from December 2021 to August 2024, the healthcare index has developed an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern. With a recent breakout, the index is now set to experience significant upward momentum. Industrials Similar to the healthcare index, the industrials sector has also established an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern. Following its breakout, this index has shown positive movement. With a recent breakout from a brief consolidation phase, the index is ready to climb once more. Financials The financial sector plays a vital role in the US stock market. Recently, the financial index experienced a robust breakout after a lengthy consolidation phase, indicating that this sector could enhance the overall US market. Real Estate The real estate sector has faced challenges for a considerable time, with the index suffering a significant downturn. However, following a recent breakthrough, the index is making progress toward recovery.
SP:SPFLong
by NaranjCapital
1
Concerned about aging? Start investing in Addus now!The aging U.S. population is set to double by 2050, increasing the need for caregivers. Addus HomeCare Corporation, based in Frisco, Texas, provides essential personal care, hospice, and home health services. With a market cap of $2.35 billion, Addus reported $1.115 billion in revenue in June 2024, with a 27% profit increase. The company is debt-free and has major shareholders like Blackrock and The Vanguard Group. EPS is forecasted to grow significantly by December 2025. With a growing need for home healthcare services, the company is well-positioned to expand its customer base and market presence. Company Overview Addus HomeCare Corporation and its subsidiaries offer personal care services for the elderly, disabled, and those at risk of hospitalization in the U.S. It operates in three areas: Personal Care, Hospice, and Home Health. The Personal Care segment helps with daily activities like bathing, grooming, and meal preparation. The Hospice segment provides care and support for terminally ill patients and their families. The Home Health segment delivers skilled nursing and therapy services for those recovering from illness or hospitalization. Its clients include government agencies, managed care organizations, insurers, and private individuals. Founded in 1979, Addus is based in Frisco, Texas. Investment Advice by Naranj Capital Buy Addus Homecare Corporation NASDAQ:ADUS ● Buy Range- 120 - 125 ● Target- 150 - 160 ● Potential Return- 25-30% ● Duration- 10 -12 Months Market Capitalization - $ 2.35B Sector - Healthcare (Nursing) Technical Analysis ● The monthly chart indicates a clear upward trend in prices. ● Earlier, the stock peaked near the 129 (128.8 to be precise) level before experiencing a correction, which was subsequently followed by an elongated consolidation period from November 2020 to July 2024. ● Recently, the stock has successfully made a multi-year breakout of the previous resistance zone and has maintained its position above this breakout level. ● We expect this momentum to persist, leading to further price increases in the days ahead. Entry, Exit & Stop-loss ● Entry with Capital allocation strategy (1) consider adding 50% of your desired quantity at the current market price (132 - 133). (2) The second buying opportunity will be in the 120 - 122 range, where you can also add rest 50% of your quantity. ● Target Chart analysis indicates a promising upside potential of 25-30% for this stock from the best buying level, with a target around the 155 to 160. There is also a strong likelihood that the stock could exceed this target. ● Stoploss It is crucial to implement a strict stop-loss below the 115 level, as we anticipate that the stock may encounter challenges if it drops to this point. Revenue Breakdown The company generates its revenue through three primary segments. (1) The personal care sector represents around 74.2% of the overall revenue, totaling $827 million out of $1.11 billion. (2) Meanwhile, hospice services contribute nearly 19.7%, amounting to $219.8 million of the total revenue. (3) The home health segment accounts for approximately 6.1%, which translates to $67.8 million of the overall revenue. Sales & Profit Analysis ● A noticeable rise in revenue has been observed. For the June quarter, revenue reached $1.115 billion, marking an 11.6% increase from $999 million in June 2023 (YoY) and a 2.5% rise from $1.08 billion in March 2024 (QoQ). ● Additionally, profits surged by 27% in the latest quarter, climbing to $68.89 million from $53.83 million in the same quarter last year, and up 5% from $65.67 million in March 2024. ● The profit margin has also improved, increasing from 5.4% to 6.2% year-on-year. ● The basic EPS for the June 2024 quarter is reported at 4.28, marking a significant increase of 27% from 3.37 in the same quarter last year. Peer Companies (1) Privia Health Group (NASDAQ: PRVA) - $ 2.41B NASDAQ:PRVA (2) Amedisys (NASDAQ: AMED) - $ 3.21B NASDAQ:AMED (3) Astrana Health (NASDAQ: ASTH) - $ 2.33B NASDAQ:ASTH Valuation ● P/E vs Fair P/E Ratio ➖ The current PE ratio stands at 34.1x, slightly expensive to the estimated Fair PE of 28.7x. ● P/E Ratio vs Peers ➖ ADUS offers great value with a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 34.1x, significantly lower than the peer average of 62.7x. ● P/E Ratio vs Industry P/E ➖ ADUS seems to come at a higher price, boasting a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 34.1x, notably surpassing the US Healthcare industry average of 26.2x. Debt Analysis ➖ ADUS stands proudly as a debt-free entity, a remarkable transformation from five years ago when its debt to equity ratio stood at 12.9%. This significant shift underscores the company's commitment to financial health and stability. Top Shareholders ● Blackrock currently holds a substantial 16% stake in this stock, reflecting an impressive increase of 11.2% since the March quarter. ● Meanwhile, The Vanguard Group has also boosted its investment, raising its stake by 8.5% from the previous quarter, bringing their total holding to 7.74%. Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts Experts forecast that the earnings per share (EPS) could increase from $4.28 to $4.51 by December 2024, and further rise to $5.03 by December 2025. Conclusion With the growing need for home healthcare services, the company is well-positioned to broaden its customer base and enhance its market presence.
NASDAQ:ADUSLong
by NaranjCapital
1
Apple is a great buy once it exceeds 240! The stock experienced an extended period of consolidation, during which it formed several bullish chart patterns, including the Double Bottom and Rounding Bottom. After the price broke above the neckline of the Rounding Bottom, the stock surged to reach an all-time high close to the 237 level. Since then, it has retraced nearly 17%-18%, returned to its support level. Now, with a robust rebound underway, the stock is approaching its resistance zone, and there are strong expectations for a significant breakout. The optimal buying opportunity lies just above the 240 level.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by NaranjCapital
25
Resistance is ahead! Can the Dow Jones make a break through? The index is clearly demonstrating a strong upward trend, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows. During this upward movement, it previously established a bullish Pole & Flag pattern, and after breaking out, the index has continued to rise. At present, the index is trading just beneath its next resistance level. If the Dow Jones manage to break through and hold above this breakout point, it is likely to initiate a new rally.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by NaranjCapital
Burlington Stores is set for significant upward movement. After the market crash in March 2020, the stock price stabilized around the 110 level and began to rise. This upswing drove the price to an impressive high near 350, reaching an all-time peak. During this phase, a Rising Wedge pattern formed, and following a subsequent breakdown, the stock underwent a significant correction, returned to its previous support level. Subsequently, the stock made a strong recovery, climbing to around 250 before encountering resistance. After a notable decline, it found support once more near 115. Another rebound occurred, leading the price to a recent breakthrough above previous resistance levels. It is anticipated that this momentum will persist, leading the stock to achieve new highs in the near future.
NYSE:BURLLong
by NaranjCapital
TKO is poised for a major multi-year breakthrough!Weekly Chart The 100 level has shown to be a significant resistance point for the stock, as it faced multiple rejections at this level. Following these rejections, the stock entered a significant consolidation phase, which led to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern. After breaking out of this formation, the stock price soared, reaching a peak around the 117 level before experiencing a decline. However, the stock found support at the 200 WEMA and rebounded from that level.. At present, the stock is lingering near the resistance zone, and with an increase in trading volume, there is a strong expectation that it will achieve a breakout this time around. The appearance of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart indicates a bullish sentiment. Daily Chart The daily chart shows that after being rejected near the 117 level, the stock fell but then reversed by breaking above the double bottom pattern. Since then, the stock has maintained its upward trend and is now close to a major breakout. The rising volume indicates that the price is preparing for an upward move.
NYSE:TKOLong
by NaranjCapital
2
Jesse Livermore: Trading Lessons From an Iconic Trader● Jesse Livermore, a successful stock trader, built a fortune of $100 million in 1929. He operated independently, using his own capital and strategies. Livermore preferred trending stocks and used price patterns and volume analysis to decide trades. ● Livermore's Trading Principles (1) Trade with the trend A well-known saying is "The Trend Is Your Friend." Livermore preferred to trade stocks that were trending and avoided sideways market. (2) Get confirmation before entering any trade Hold off until the market shows clear signs before making a move. Being patient can lead to significant profits. (3) Trade with a strict stop-loss It is crucial to set a strict stop-loss for every trade, and it's important to know the stop-loss level before starting any trade. This approach can help a trader avoid significant losses. (4) Trade the leading stocks from each sector Livermore liked to trade stocks that were leaders in their industry. He thought this approach could increase his chances of winning. (5) Avoid average down losing trades He chose to exit the position rather than averaging it down. (6) Avoid following too much stocks It's quite challenging to monitor numerous stocks simultaneously. Focusing on a smaller number of stocks could lead to better trading opportunities.
Education
by NaranjCapital
ALNY, LTH & ZETA - The momentum may drive prices to new heights!Alnylam Pharmaceuticals The stock price has encountered several rejections around the 212 level, leading to subsequent corrections. After establishing a Double Bottom pattern, the price attempted to reverse the downward trend but was unable to do so, facing rejection at the 200 level. Consequently, the stock underwent another correction. Following this, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming a Box pattern for a while. In a surprising turn, the price gapped up significantly and broke through its former strong resistance area, remaining above it. Following a brief pullback, the price resumed its upward trajectory, supported by solid trading volume. Life Time Group Holdings Following a rejection around the 22.5 level in November 2021, the stock experienced a significant decline, dropping to just 8.75. Subsequently, the price began to rise again, eventually returning to its previous strong resistance level after a lengthy climb. However, it struggled to break through that barrier and faced another substantial drop. During this downturn, the stock hit a low around 11.3 and then navigated through numerous fluctuations, leading to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the chart. After successfully breaking out of this pattern to the upside, the price surged and managed to overcome the resistance level. If the stock can hold onto this level, we might see even more upward momentum in the days ahead. Zeta Global Holdings The stock price had been consolidating within a Box Pattern before breaking free. Since that breakout, the stock has experienced a steady uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. Amid this upward movement, a Cup & Handle pattern formed, signaling that the trend is likely to persist. Following the breakout, the price is now climbing higher, supported by a significant increase in trading volume.
NASDAQ:ALNYLong
by NaranjCapital
The US index has been declining for three weeks. What's ahead?S&P 500 After the Cup & Handle pattern breakout, the market surged to nearly 5,670, setting a new record high. Since then, the index has been on a downward trend for the last three weeks, forming the Three Black Crows chart pattern, signaling a bearish outlook. With the current market conditions, it is expected that potential support will be around the 4,400-4,500 level. Nasdaq 100 The US tech index has experienced a significant increase in momentum and achieved a respectable gain over the last 8-9 months. However, the index encountered a strong resistance near the 20,700 level, which is its all-time high. With three consecutive weeks of decline, the index appears to be in a weakened state and may revisit the 15,500-15,600 level for support before rebounding.
SP:SPX
by NaranjCapital
BKR & ED: Keep an eye for multiyear breakoutBaker Hughes Company The stock was earlier caught in a prolonged consolidation phase, during which it established an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern. After the breakout, the price experienced a sharp rise but underwent a correction following the formation of a Double Bottom pattern. Subsequently, the stock entered another period of consolidation, gradually trending upwards. During this time, an Ascending Triangle pattern formed, and the price has recently achieved a successful breakout. If it maintains its position above the breakout level, the uptrend is expected to persist. Consolidated Edison In the weekly chart, the price initially moved downwards and created a Falling Wedge pattern. Typically, when this pattern emerges, the price surges higher following the breakout. In this case, the price indeed soared to its record high around the 102 mark post-breakout. However, the stock couldn't sustain the upward momentum and swiftly dropped from the all-time peak. Subsequently, a consolidation phase began, with the price consistently finding support at the 200 EMA. At present, the price is poised for a breakout, potentially leading to an upward rally upon confirmation.
NASDAQ:BKRLong
by NaranjCapital
4
US Banks & Financial Sectors are ready for another fabulous riseNasdaq Banks The bank index has been on a rollercoaster ride, witnessing numerous price fluctuations. Following the breakout of the double bottom pattern, the index surged and formed a Rising Wedge pattern. However, once the pattern broke downwards, the bank index experienced a significant decline. Upon hitting a support level around 2,650, the index established a Double Bottom pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. Subsequent to the breakout above the neckline, the bank index began consolidating within a tight range. Most recently, another breakout has occurred, setting the stage for a potential upward rally. S&P 500 Financials After the market crash in 2020, the index fell into an oversold zone and stayed in a period of consolidation within an Ascending Triangle formation. Following this breakout, the financial index experienced a strong rally to the upside. However, it struggled to break above the 700 level and began to decline. Subsequently, the index went through a lengthy consolidation inside a Box formation. After another breakthrough, the index surged once more and created a bullish Pole & Flag pattern. With a recent breakout, the financial index is poised for another upswing.
NASDAQ:BANKLong
by NaranjCapital
Nasdaq & RTX Charts Suggest Promising Growth AheadNASDAQ After a powerful uptrend, the stock encountered a significant resistance around the 72 level and plummeted sharply thereafter. Finding stability near the 47 level, the price surged within a Rising Wedge formation. Typically, following the appearance of this pattern, a decline occurs post-breakout. This scenario unfolded exactly as expected. Subsequently, the stock price consolidated and established an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential reversal in trend. With two successive breakouts, the stock is currently advancing with strong volume backing. RTX We have observed a period of price consolidation within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern in the past. After the breakout, there was a noticeable price surge, propelling the stock to reach its previous all-time high. However, the stock faced a significant rejection at that level, leading to another consolidation phase and the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern. Once the pattern broke down, the price dropped back to its previous support zone. Since then, the stock has been steadily moving upwards and recently experienced a strong breakout, surpassing its previous resistance level. At present, the stock is trading at a new all-time high and is anticipated to continue moving even higher.
NASDAQ:NDAQLong
by NaranjCapital