Nas100 - Huge bear trap or further downside?The Nasdaq 100 has recently broken a critical rising trendline that has supported its bullish trajectory for an extended period. This break signifies a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prior uptrend may be losing steam. When an established trendline is breached, it often signals a change in the market's direction, indicating that buyers are losing control and sellers are starting to assert dominance.
In addition to the trendline break, the Nasdaq 100 has now fallen below all of its key moving averages—namely, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. These moving averages are widely followed indicators of trend strength, and their loss is typically a bearish sign. When prices drop below these averages, it signals weakening momentum, and it becomes harder for the index to regain upward traction without strong buying pressure.
The weekly timeframe shows a beautiful support level if the bulls fail to reclaim all the key moving averages.
Together, the break of the rising trendline and the loss of key moving averages suggest that the Nasdaq 100 could be entering a phase of increased volatility and downward pressure. Traders should closely monitor the index for potential further declines or a failure to reclaim these key technical levels, as they could signal deeper market corrections.
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NASDAQ 100 CFD
Weekly Market Forecast SP500 NASDAQ DOW: Short Term BUYS!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 24 - 28th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The equity markets have been choppy lately, but this week may be different. The economic calendar shows a smooth week ahead, as there are no NFP, FOMC, or similarly volatile news ahead to potentially reverse a market out of the blue. The indices show potential to break consolidation and move upwards. So we wait until there are definitive market structure shifts to occur, acting as confirmations.
Only then do we pounce!
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May profits be upon you.
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NAS100 Analysis: Potential higher timeframe pullback in playOn the higher timeframe, NAS100 remains bullish. However, recent price action suggests that a higher timeframe pullback may be underway, providing a discounted price opportunity.
On the daily chart, a market structure shift occurred when NAS100 broke below the 20,477 level. The most recent price action indicates a short-term pullback to the upside on lower timeframes, potentially to mitigate the internal supply zone and reach premium price levels.
I am closely watching the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level around 21,028 for potential selling opportunities, with downside targets at 19,113 and 18,297.
How Are You Trading NAS100 This Week?
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EURUSD DROPPING ?? OR THIS IS JUST RETESTING EUR/USD has recently experienced a bearish rising wedge breakout, a pattern that typically signals a potential downtrend reversal. Currently, the pair is undergoing a retest phase, a common occurrence where the price revisits the broken support level before resuming its downward trajectory. This phase is crucial for traders as it often determines whether the breakout was genuine or if price action will invalidate the move.
As of March 20, 2025, the EUR/USD is trading around 1.085, with a target price set at 1.070. The retest phase offers traders an opportunity to enter short positions, anticipating further declines toward the target. It's essential to monitor key support levels during this period, particularly around 1.0767, where buyers have previously stepped in. A strong rejection from this level could accelerate bearish momentum, pushing the pair lower in alignment with the breakout pattern.
Fundamental factors are also shaping the current market sentiment. The recent FOMC decision to maintain interest rates has kept the U.S. dollar in a relatively strong position, while the European Central Bank has taken a more cautious approach regarding rate cuts. This divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and ECB may add further pressure on the euro, making the bearish setup more compelling. Additionally, any unexpected macroeconomic data releases, such as U.S. inflation numbers or Eurozone GDP data, could further influence price action.
Traders should closely watch for confirmation signals during the retest phase, such as bearish rejection candles or increased selling volume. Implementing proper risk management strategies, such as stop-loss placement above the broken support level, is crucial to navigating potential reversals. If the bearish momentum continues as expected, EUR/USD could hit the 1.070 target in the coming sessions, providing a profitable short trade opportunity.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19670
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19530 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
NASDAQ 100: Moon Mission or Reality Check? Ah, the NASDAQ 100—our favorite rollercoaster 🎢 where tech dreams are either made ✨ or brutally crushed 😵💫. Right now, it’s hovering around 19,500, and traders are debating: "Is this the launchpad to new highs or just a dead-cat bounce in disguise?" 🐱💀
Let’s break it down 👇
🚀 The Bullish Hopefuls: "We're Going to Valhalla, Boys!"
✅ Rebound Mode ON 🎯: After a nasty selloff, the market has found some footing and is showing signs of recovery 📈. Maybe the worst is over? (Yeah, sure, we've heard that before... 🙃)
✅ Fed to the Rescue? 🏦: With the FOMC meeting on deck, traders are hoping for some dovish magic dust ✨ to send tech stocks flying again. Because why rely on solid fundamentals when you have the Fed, right? 🤡
😨 The Bearish Doom-Sayers: "Brace for Impact!"
❌ Big Tech = Too Crowded 🚶♂️🚶♂️🚶♂️🚶♂️: Asset managers are side-eyeing Big Tech, calling it "overcrowded" 🙄. Translation? Expect a nasty rug pull soon.
❌ Healthy Correction... or the Start of Something Worse? 🚑: The S&P 500 dropped 10%, the NASDAQ fell 11%, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling it a "healthy correction" 🤡. Yeah, just like how falling down the stairs is a “healthy adjustment” for your spine.
🤔 The Fence-Sitters: "We're Just Watching the Chaos 🍿"
🔮 Multiple Futures Await 🔮: Analysts are juggling four possible scenarios for the NASDAQ—ranging from "moon mission" 🚀 to "welcome to the abyss" 🕳️. Basically, flip a coin.
So... Where Are We Headed? 🤷♂️
Are we strapping in for another ride to the stratosphere 🚀, or is this just a perfectly orchestrated bull trap 🐂🔫? Either way, buckle up, folks—volatility is the only guarantee 🎢😵💫.
💬 What do you think? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
(Disclaimer: This isn't financial advice. Do your own research before yeeting into the market. 🚀📉)
NAS100: Likely rebound at major point within Ascending ChannelCAPITALCOM:US100 is likely to be undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, as shown on my chart. This boundary serves as dynamic trendline support and a significant bullish reaction could happen if buyers step in at this level.
A successful rebound from this support could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next target at around 22,000 . This scenario would maintain the overall bullish trend structure.
However, a clear breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and could lead to further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
NAS100 1HR // 17 March AnalysisWe can see that the 1 hour downtrend on NAS100 has been broken.
Looking to see if the price can retest the drawn support/resistance zone around the 19500.00 area. Potential buys with 20000.00 being a nice target if we see a nice retest from the marked support/resistance zone.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
Nas100 1. Market Structure & Context
The market has been in a bullish uptrend within a rising channel (trendlines).
A "Diagonal Expecting" zone suggests a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
A "Trend Trap" indicates a possible liquidity grab before a major move.
2. ICT Concepts Applied
Liquidity Grab & Manipulation:
The market may have engineered liquidity above the previous highs before the sell-off.
The "Sell Off" label suggests Smart Money could be distributing positions at the premium levels.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
If the price breaks the trend trap zone with conviction, it signals a shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Price Targets:
The first take-profit level at 16,529.9 aligns with an area where liquidity might rest.
The final target at 14,125.1 suggests price filling an imbalance or mitigating an order block (OB) at a lower timeframe.
3. Expected Move
Potential Short-Term Rebound:
A small retracement could occur before the major drop (blue projection).
Overall Bearish Expectation:
A strong downward move into lower levels where Smart Money may reaccumulate positions.
Conclusion
This chart is anticipating a significant bearish move after a liquidity grab at highs, with take-profit zones aligning with ICT principles like FVG fills and order block mitigation. If the market respects these areas, traders could look for confirmation (e.g., displacement, breaker structures) to enter short positions.
Nasdaq - The Most Decisive Point Ever!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) might break below all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After breaking above the major channel resistance trendline just a couple of months ago, the Nasdaq is now being dominated by bears and starting to break everything back to the downside. So far we didn't see any confirmation but the next couple of days will decide just everything.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
corrections continue
The NASDAQ 100, on the 1-hour chart, has shown notable declines in recent weeks, as reflected in the provided image. From the recent high near 19,940.0 (labeled "E"), the index has undergone a significant correction, breaking key levels and approaching critical support zones. The price is currently testing the 18,717.8 level (138% Fibonacci according to the "tag pole"), a level that could act as temporary support.
Context of the Declines
Recent declines have been influenced by factors such as macroeconomic uncertainty, including interest rate expectations and the strength of the dollar (USD), in addition to profit-taking following a previous rally. On the 1-hour chart, this corrective movement has brought the index to a confluence between the descending channel (labeled "D") and important Fibonacci levels, such as the 138% at 18,717.8 and the 100% at 18,466.7.
Possibility of a Further Downside
Given the 1-hour timeframe, the NASDAQ could extend its correction before a rebound. The next relevant support zone is located at 18,466.7 (100% Fibonacci), which coincides with a previous liquidity level (labeled "B"). If this support fails, the price could head towards 18,200, where a stronger support zone is observed (labeled "V"). The corrective structure with waves (I-IV) suggests that we are in wave IV, and a downward wave V could complete in this zone before a trend reversal. Rebound Scenario
Once the price reaches these supports, especially 18,466.7 or 18,200, we are likely to see a technical rebound. This could lead the index to retest resistance at 19,000 or even the 19,726.9 level (labeled IV) if the correction is considered complete. Traders may see reversal signals such as divergences in the RSI or a hammer pattern in these areas.
Conclusion: Keep an eye on 18,466.7 as critical support. A break below could target 18,200, but a rebound from these levels seems imminent after the current correction.