#NQ1! "E-Mini Nasdaq 100" Index Market Bullish Robbery Plan 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NQ1! "E-Mini Nasdaq 100" Index Market Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk YELLOW MA Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (19800) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (19200) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 20500
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💰💵💸NQ1! "E-Mini Nasdaq 100" Index Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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NASDAQ 100 CFD
205.05.23 nasdaq analysis
📊 Result of Yesterday’s Trading Strategy
The break of the upward support trendline triggered a sharp drop, delivering solid profits even before the U.S. session opened.
With 1 contract, this setup yielded approximately $2,000 profit, making for an early finish to the day.
📉 Current NASDAQ Situation
The Nasdaq is on the verge of breaking below the ascending trendline.
Even though it pretends to rise, it consistently gets pushed down — suggesting the bullish momentum is close to being exhausted.
Thus, I will not consider long positions today and will continue to approach the market conservatively.
Today's trading strategy:
If 21112 is broken downward, it will likely enter a corrective phase.
If that happens, I plan to continue shorting with targets down to 20827~20667.
🎯 The target range is wide because if a sharp drop does occur, the strength behind it may lead to a deeper correction, making it worth holding for the extended target.
✅ Conclusion
• It's better to focus on short strategies rather than long positions for now.
• To enjoy the weekend, taking the day off from trading might also be a smart move today.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 21030 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21215 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 21000
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 21050
Strong Rejection from 21210 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 21100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 21200 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 21050 – Liquidity Engineered
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bounce off a pullback supportNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,898.76 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 20,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,471.38 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
2025.05.22 nasdaq analysis🔸 Daily Chart Perspective
On the daily timeframe, we can see that the recent low was made within the demand zone, but the market began to fall just before the U.S. session closed. The Asian session appears to be in wait-and-see mode for now.
If the trend continues downward, the red box to the left suggests the possibility of a one-way bearish move. In such a case, a drop toward the 20583 area is open.
The daily 20EMA is also near that zone, and since a one-way drop occurred in the red box area before, the possibility is quite realistic.
🔸 1-Hour Chart View
On the 1H chart, the Nasdaq seems to be forming an expanding wedge.
It's hard to say that a trend reversal to the downside is confirmed yet, because price is still inside the expanding pattern.
However, since the market seems to have formed a short-term top, it gives us a sense of direction for short-term trading.
If the price enters the black box area to the left, that could be seen as a complete trend reversal.
🔸 Today’s Trading Plan
At this point, due to yesterday's sharp drop, there’s no clear buy zone visible.
Only short positions are planned for today.
Short Setup #1
Entry: On break below 21112
TP 1: 21075
Short Setup #2
Entry: On break below 21070
TP 1: 20996
Short Setup #3
Entry: On break below 20970 + trendline break
TP Max: 20830 ~ 20770
🔹 Conclusion
It looks like the trend is leaning toward the downside, but it's best to enter positions only after price breaks out of key support zones.
Going short on the Nasdaq 100CAPITALCOM:US100
The Nasdaq 100 has moved up impulsively on a 5-wave move over the past 6 weeks, which is very bullish long term. However, in the short term, it is overextended, with the RSI indicator over the 70 level.
I expect it to decline over the next couple of weeks to the area marked in the green rectangle, between the 50% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios:
1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested.
2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target.
This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )Nas100
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bearish After Break Out Done : 21200
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is showing a textbook technical reaction from a well-defined support zone around the 3145–3170 range, which aligns perfectly with previous structure and demand zones. After a sharp retracement from recent highs, gold is now posting a strong bullish bounce, validating this level as a significant area of buyer interest. With today’s push above 3230, this bounce confirms our bullish thesis, and I now expect a continuation move toward the 3500 mark in the coming weeks.
Fundamentally, gold remains one of the most favored assets in 2025 due to ongoing global economic uncertainty, rising geopolitical risks, and persistent central bank demand. With US inflation cooling and the Fed signaling the potential for rate cuts later this year, real yields are slipping, giving gold the macro tailwind it needs to push higher. Moreover, recent data from China shows continued accumulation of gold reserves, reinforcing the long-term bullish case.
Technically, this correction appears to be a healthy retest in a strong uptrend. The market has respected the previous breakout level, and we are seeing early signs of momentum returning. The price action is starting to structure higher lows, and if price clears the 3250 level convincingly, it will likely trigger further momentum-based buying. I’m targeting 3500 as the next major resistance, where we could see some profit-taking.
This setup is one of the cleanest long opportunities on the board. With institutional positioning still net long, and technical and macro alignment pointing higher, I see this as a high-conviction trade. As long as price holds above 3145, the path of least resistance remains up. I’ll be closely watching for further confirmation as we build toward the 3500 target.
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,898.76 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,471.38 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
2025.05.20 nasdaq analysisDuring the European session, NASDAQ maintained a downward trend and broke below the 21187 level, as shown here:
This movement suggested a potential shift toward a bearish direction.
However, after that, NASDAQ started forming an upward trend and moved sideways. Eventually, the resistance trendline was broken in the blue box area, which you can see here:
This breakout indicated a short-term trend reversal.
The moment this trend reversal occurred coincided with the U.S. market open, accompanied by a significant surge in trading volume that led to a strong upward move.
At this point, the U.S. session closed with a new high compared to the previous pattern, suggesting that the trend has turned bullish.
However, based on the corrective action seen during the Asian session, it seems that the Asian market is not fully accepting the upward momentum.
Here is the current NASDAQ pattern:
It shows an expanding pennant pattern, with both the highs and lows widening over time.
As of now, it is highly likely that the market will continue to move with volatility in both directions until a decisive breakout occurs.
You can view the current situation in more detail here:
In terms of the upside, even though the price could theoretically reach 22000, it doesn’t hold much significance without confirmation from historical data.
Therefore, I recommend taking buy positions only if the market shows a strong inflection point similar to yesterday’s move.
Even if the recent low of 21112 is broken, the price is still within the expanding pennant pattern, and a rebound remains possible.
A conservative bearish view would only be valid if the price breaks below the previous consolidation area that formed just before the strong rally—specifically the black box range, which is around 20723–20680.
Summary:
There’s a high probability of stop-hunting in the current range.
Whether buying or selling, it's recommended to enter only when a clear setup is provided.
Don’t rely on hope that the price will return to your average entry. If the market chooses a direction during this phase, it could lead to unrecoverable losses.
This could be a highly profitable zone if handled correctly, but trading without conviction is like a drug.
Today is not the only opportunity.
(NQ) | Strong Buyers and Blue‑Box Entry Zones(NQ) | Strong Buyers and Blue‑Box Entry Zones
NQ shows powerful buying pressure, and the marked blue boxes highlight areas where demand has reliably appeared. For those seeking long exposure, two approaches stand out:
Low‑Time‑Frame Breakouts from the Blue Box
Wait for price to dip into a blue‑boxed support zone and then break higher on shorter time frames. A decisive move with rising footprint volume confirms genuine buyer commitment.
Direct Low‑Time‑Frame Breakouts
If price skips a pullback and powers upward on low‑time‑frame charts, that momentum surge—backed by substantial volume—also provides a valid long entry.
Key Considerations
Ensure any breakout is backed by real volume footprint signals, not just price movement.
If these zones fail to hold or volume dries up, stand aside and await the next confirmed setup.
By focusing on these blue‑boxed areas and insisting on volume‑confirmed breakouts, you align your entries with where buyers truly dominate.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
NAS 100 I Cautiously Bullish Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Is NASDAQ ready to correct for a few days?We have a couple of doji candles on the daily chart forming out of a bearish imbalance range in the relative premium. This is the perfect place to test the lows for stops.
We are still bullish but I am going to go neutral for this forecast in anticipation of a slight correction.
Share this with someone who needs a complete top down analysis of where we are staring this week!
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently forming a clean bullish pennant pattern on the daily chart after a strong impulsive rally, indicating that the pair is consolidating before its next leg higher. Price is hovering around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone, coiling tightly within the pennant structure, and showing signs of breakout pressure building. This is a classic continuation setup in a trending market, and with volume compression and decreasing volatility, the stage is set for a bullish breakout toward the 1.4070–1.4100 region.
On the fundamental side, the British pound remains relatively supported due to recent hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of England, which is still closely monitoring wage inflation and strong labor market figures. Meanwhile, the US dollar is facing headwinds after softer CPI and PPI readings this month, fueling expectations of Fed rate cuts in the second half of 2025. These macro dynamics are increasingly tilting in favor of sterling strength, as investors begin pricing in yield divergence between the Fed and the BoE.
Technically, the bullish structure is intact and the pennant formation is forming right after a sharp move higher, which adds confluence to this pattern. The breakout zone to watch is 1.3380–1.3400, and if bulls can clear this area with momentum, we are likely to see a swift extension toward the 1.4070 level. The risk is well-contained below 1.3340, offering an excellent reward-to-risk ratio for breakout traders and trend followers.
This setup is not only technically sound but also backed by current macro shifts, making GBPUSD one of the most promising long opportunities right now. The market has been consolidating for weeks, building up energy, and with fundamentals aligning, this breakout could drive a strong move into Q3. I'm eyeing the 1.4070–1.4100 target in the coming weeks, and I'll continue to monitor for confirmation and execution signals.
NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend.
The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook.
Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024.
Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future.
Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1.
One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real.
Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements.
A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead.
As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks.
In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs.
Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes:
📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium.
📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value.
📊 In this video, I walk you through:
- The overall trend direction
- Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry
- Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄
⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
2025.05.19 nasdaq analysis🟧
At the close of Friday's session, the daily and weekly candle closed around 21500.
However, in the final hour after market close, Nasdaq broke below the orange trendline.
Then, at the start of Monday’s session, a sharp gap down occurred.
The gap was briefly filled before Nasdaq retested the broken trendline and continued to fall.
🔗
🕒
Nasdaq hasn't confirmed a downtrend yet.
The key is whether 21187, which has held since May 13th, will break.
If it fails, price may fall below the value area it’s held for a week.
Downside targets if 21187 breaks: 21000, 20765.
🔗
🟩
Bullish scenario isn’t dead—this may be a temporary pullback.
Key entry signal: Break above the 15-min 20 EMA.
Target zones vary by strength:
Conservative TP: 30-min 20 EMA
Aggressive TP: 21415, possibly even 21500 if today’s high is broken
🔗
📌 Conclusion
Monday started with a gap down, but support is still holding.
Break below 21187 = potential trend reversal + end of box-range movement.
Buy trades should be cautious & short-term until confirmation of strength.
NAS100 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 21,335.35, an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 20,926.01, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 21,516.96, above the swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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2025.05.16 nasdaq analysis
This is the briefing result for Nasdaq as of yesterday.
The briefing began during the yellow box phase.
At that time, I clearly mentioned that the market had entered a short-term correction phase and emphasized the importance of the 21187 support level marked by the red box.
As seen in the chart, the 21187 level was not broken to the downside and instead held as support, followed by a rebound.
This reaffirms the significance of the 21187 level.
Afterward, the trend continued upward.
Looking at the 15-minute chart, there have been consistent lower wicks breaking below support,
which decreases the reliability of a short opportunity simply from a trendline break.
At this point, the trust in a sell-off purely based on trendline breakdown is weakening.
This chart outlines a short-term sell strategy.
As previously mentioned, while the short-term uptrend line has become less reliable,
if we see a break of the trendline and a drop below 21376,
we could expect a pullback toward the blue box area around 21320~21300.
Thus, a short-term short strategy may be valid in this scenario.
From a daily chart perspective, Nasdaq closed with a green candle again,
but the shape of the candle resembles a doji with similar upper and lower wicks.
What we need to focus on here is that Nasdaq has re-entered a high-volume price area (supply zone),
but since no clear direction has formed, many positions seem to be closed off whenever the price pushes higher.
On the downside, since the 21187 support level has held,
this remains the most critical level.
If 21187 is broken downward, it could mark the beginning of a daily-level correction phase.
Conclusion:
No clear direction yet.
While the direction was upward until yesterday, the doji close suggests caution.
For further bullish movement, a confirmed close above the current supply zone is essential.
If the market corrects downward, watch for a break below 21187.
The current price action is forming a channel pattern with higher lows and higher highs.
If traded correctly within this range, good opportunities may arise.