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NASDAQ 100 CFD

MAG7 breaks to new highs with the NAS100 outperforming The reaction in markets is what interests the most, and on the day, despite US Treasuries finding form, we’ve seen broad USD strength, the S&P500 has pushed to its 55th new all-time high in 2024, while gold and crude are largely unchanged. We also see sizeable dispersions in the daily returns in the crypto space, with XRP and Chainlink arguable the standout plays, with 23% and 41% gains respectively on the day. In the volatility (vol) space, we see the VIX trading lower at 13.5% - the lowest level since July and at levels more aligned with S&P500 20-day realised vol. Equity hedges have been unwound, which speaks to a market confident of a grind higher into year-end. Another way to visualise the subdued equity vol is in the daily high-low trading ranges, and on the day the S&P500 has tracked a meagre 18-handle range – one of the lowest high-low ranges of the year, and well below the 5-day average of 34-handles. Removing downside hedges makes sense given the largest drawdown in the S&P500 in Q4 has been 3.1%, and hedges cost money and subtract from performance if equity is moving higher. On the day we’ve seen a solid bid in comms services names (Meta & Alphabet), tech and consumer discretionary – said another way, the MAG7 index (+1.9%) has broken out to a new ATH, with all 7 MAG7 constituents rising on the day. Microsoft and Meta would be my picks that lead us higher from here, with MSFT filling the gap from the 31 Oct, where a break of $432.23 would suggest a continuation rally into $440. Naturally, when tech and the big discretionary plays are firing up, it’s the NAS100 which has outperformed, and we see NAS100 futures 120p from testing the former ATH at 21,340. We’ve seen solid moves in European equity too, and notably in the German DAX which is in beast mode and doing everything right technically – happy to hold longs here until the index has a daily close below the 5-day EMA. French equity is the exception, with the CAC40 closing unchanged, which is quite a solid result given the brewing political angst. Certainly, we’ve seen the political risk expressed in the EUR, which is lower on the day against all G10 currencies, and notably vs the JPY and USD. We can add negative revisions to the French and German manufacturing PMIs, which make for sobering viewing, and the upshot has been broad EUR selling. EURUSD hit a low of 1.0461 before the buyers stepped in – we can attribute a degree of the move lower to an improved US ISM manufacturing report (at 48.4 vs 47.5 eyed), although we did see some modest USD selling late in the session as Fed gov Waller signalled that he is leaning on a December rate cut and that rates are still “some distance from neutral”. US interest rate swaps now price at 79% chance the Fed cut by 25bp on 18 Dec. Equity and bond vol may be headed lower, but FX vol is alive and well with EURUSD 1-month implied vol at 8.66% and the 92nd percentile of the 12-month range. Buying EUR vol certainly made sense given the uncertainty of the ECBs (and the Fed’s) next move and the French political risk premium. CAD vols also screen well, with options traders seeing increased movement in USDCAD and AUDCAD. On the subject of movement, we can always find it in the crypto markets, and while Bitcoin (-2.5%) and Ethereum (-2.7%) take a backseat, it’s XRP that’s getting the lion’s share of trader attention with its punchy 23% rally on the day. The daily chart looks ridiculous and highlights the explosive 450% gain seen since the US election. XRP Volumes are tracking north of SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on the day, which is higher than what’s traded on BTC, with the gains taking its market cap to $134b – the third biggest coin in the crypto sphere. Grossly overbought, and with a 10-day volatility of 150%, chasing XRP upside from here comes with significant risk and the fact I’m focused on it suggests we’ve likely hit peak sentiment – but as know what is overbought can stay overbought for some time. Looking ahead, we see a largely positive open for Asia with the ASX200 set to outperform with the index set to open nicely above 8500 and to new highs. Event risk in the session ahead comes in on the light side, with Swiss CPI and US Job openings (JOLTS) the key events on the radar.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Pepperstone
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 2 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None News - None Directional bias - BUY. All higher timeframes are bullish. Morning analysis: M TF - November candle closed very bullish. Candle body is +- 9'600 pips. Indicates very bullish sentiment overall W TF - Last week's candle closed in a doji formation. Could be an indication that bulls are loosing momentum D TF - Fridays candle closed right at the resistance formed by Tuesday's candle. Could Friday's candle represent the second top of a DT? Neckline would be 1'700 pips down (at time of writing). But D EMA is right at neckline, so bears would have to push very hard to break this neckline down. In the past I have noted that when we have 2 x days, like Thanksgiving, where market was closed / half day, we see a COMPLETELY different sentiment come in on market open of the first "real" day of trading. It's like the extended trading guys where doing their own thing (in this case being bullish) and then when real market comes in, sentiment could be much different and a correction could occur. So need to be careful at market open. 2 x areas of interest identified (highlighted in green) 1. 1H + 4H 0.382 buy fib level + Pivot point + D 0.618 SELL fib level which bulls will want to stay above + 1H EMA (at time of writing at 6am) 2. D EMA (at time of writing at 6am) + W 0.382 buy fib + D 0.618 buy fib level As the day progressed: Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - Price made a DB before reaching the first interest area. DB on the 1H TF with neckline broken upwards. The second bottom of the DB (at C.) is higher than the first bottom of the market pattern. This also contributes to the bullishness of the market pattern. Entered on the break of the neckline at the hand icon. 2. S&R - candle wicks touching 30 EMA and moving up (at time of writing in the morning), i.e. 30min EMA providing dynamic support. 3. Trend - Temporary down trend line broken (marked with top green line), indicating that the downtrend is over and price is ready to resume upwards. 4. Fib - A few wicks reaching towards the 4H 0.382 fib, but DB formed quite a way above this level. 5. Candlesticks - candle wicks touching 30 EMA and moving up, i.e. 30min EMA providing dynamic support. Mental SL placed at the thick pink line. Usually, I would place my stop loss at half the height of the market pattern but because this was such a tight DB, I felt I have to place it a bit lower where the first bottom occurred. If candles started closing below this point, I would consider closing. I opened a full position size and it was a banger of a day! Market open pushed straight up! Price ultimately moved 2979 pips from my entry. I closed when price made a DT on the 15min (indicated at the top hand icon). I would normally leave a runner, but I am on a mission to build my account and so don't want to leave money on the table. Made some good moola today! Hope you did too! Laters! Stats: Price moved a total of 3195 pips today. Of the total move, I captured 2651 pips / 83%. Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
USNAS100 - Bullish Momentum and Potential Reversal LevelsTechnically: The price experienced upward momentum on Friday and maintains its bullish trajectory, with stability observed above the critical level of 20,860. Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below 20,860 could trigger further declines, with potential targets at 20,730 and 20,600. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price remains above 20,860, the bullish outlook remains intact, paving the way toward 20,990. A breakout above this level may propel the price to an all-time high of 21,230. Notably, a retest of the 20,860 level from the current price is a plausible scenario. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20860 Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21230 Support Levels: 20730, 20660, 20550
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NAS100 I Potential pullback and more growth Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by BKTradingAcademy
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Wednesday 27 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None News - None Directional bias - BUY Morning analysis: D TF - Noted a potential D neckline (which will form if market comes down, marked in neon green line) 4H TF - Noted a potential 4H neckline. If the 7am candle closes below the neckline, then price might be moving down and I would have to be patient and wait for quality confirmations before entering a good buy (marked in orange line) Difficult to identify areas of confluence, but highlighted two green areas: 1. The 4H EMA was roughly in the same area as the pivot point and 4H 0.382 fib level 2. The D 0.50 fib area was roughly in the same area as the D EMA Note: EMAs are marked on the chart where they were at a point in time on Wednesday. They have now moved due to passage of time. As the day progressed: Entered a buy at the hand icon Z. - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB formed on the 15min TF, with neckline (+ pivot) broken upwards with a strong momentum candle 2. S&R - pivot broken upwards 3. Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall trend. The trend is your friend! 4. Fib - DB formed right at the 4H 0.382 fib level, indicating that price is reacting to this level and because neckline is broken up with a strong momentum candle, price is indicating that buyers are stepping in and price is ready to move up. 5. Candlesticks - On the 1H TF, price is managing to close above the 4H 0.382 fib level with wicks sticking out below. Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, which is below the 4H EMA for extra protection, i.e. hoping that price will indeed react to the dynamic support offered by the EMA. Price moved up, luckily more that 250 pips, and I secured at entry (placed actual stop loss at my trade's entry position). This is one of the rules of my system - place SL at entry after 250 pips. And Wednesday reminded me again how important it is to be super disciplined and always stick to your trade rules. I would never have expected Nas to make such a huge and aggressive correction. If I was sloppy with my discipline, I could have lost months and months of hard work building my account. So whatever your trade rules are, this is a reminder to stick with them EVERY TIME, because you created them to protect you and they will save you when you least expect it. Price dropped drastically, I was taken out at entry and then price proceeded to fall through the floor rapidly. I entered an aggressive entry at hand icon X. - Confirmations: Double bottom formed on the 15min TF right at the D EMA + W 0.50 fib level + D 0.618 fib level Price moved up and I closed at the end of the day at the blue arrow, making 637 pips for the day. I closed because I thought Thanksgiving would be slow trading and decided that I would not trade Thursday and Friday because I don't like slow trading. Looking at the charts now, I see trading was anything but slow!! Hope you had a good trading week! :) See you next week for some exciting trading! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Market Analysis for NAS100USD: Bullish Outlook Technical Perspective 1. Trendline Support: • The chart shows NAS100USD bouncing off a key ascending trendline support (marked in red). This signifies strong buying interest at this level, maintaining the uptrend structure. • The bounce coincides with a horizontal support zone near 20,725, adding further strength to this level. 2. Stochastic Indicators: • The Stochastic Divergence and other oscillators appear to be recovering from oversold levels, suggesting that selling pressure is waning and a bullish reversal could be forming. • These indicators align with potential upward momentum if buyers step in at this critical juncture. 3. Chart Patterns: • A higher low structure remains intact, supporting continued bullish sentiment. • If the price moves above 20,800, it may break through to test the next resistance near 21,000-21,200, the previous high. Macro and Fundamental Factors 1. Earnings and Economic Data: • As per the Forex Factory Calendar and other resources: • Any positive economic data today (e.g., GDP revisions or labor market data) could boost tech-heavy indices like NAS100USD. • Investors are likely positioning ahead of potential positive earnings surprises or data releases. 2. Sector Strength: • Tech companies, heavily represented in NAS100, benefit from stabilizing Treasury yields or dovish Fed sentiment. • If bond yields remain steady or decline, growth stocks within NAS100USD could see inflows. 3. Risk Sentiment: • Broader market sentiment today is tilting toward risk-on behavior, as evidenced by positive global equities. • A continued reduction in geopolitical tensions or other market risks could further favor upward movement. Key Levels to Watch • Immediate Resistance: 20,800-21,000. A break above this zone could see a quick move toward 21,200. • Key Support: 20,700. If this level holds, it strengthens the case for a bullish continuation. • Target Zone: 21,200+ if resistance is broken. Conclusion: With the trendline support intact, oversold indicators turning upward, and a potential risk-on macro environment, NAS100USD is poised for a rebound. As long as the 20,700-20,725 zone holds, we expect a move upward toward 21,000-21,200 in the near term. This bullish outlook is contingent on no major surprises from economic data releases or unexpected market shocks.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by US30EMPIRE
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 26 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None News - None Directional bias - BUY Morning analysis: Unfortunately I woke up to my positions from yesterday being taken out at entry :( I did take one third partial profit last night a few minutes before closing as I knew it was a risk to leave it open overnight (especially as the D candle was about to close red below the day 0.618 sell fib level) and I wanted some reward for yesterday's trading. M TF - remains bullish and sets the tone of the overall, big picture, market sentiment. W TF - looking at the line chart and imagining this week's candle would be dominated by bears, one can see a potential weekly DT neckline at the yellow highlight. If candles start closing below this point then the market would turn very bearish. D TF - Yesterday the D candle closed red below the D 0.618 sell fib level. This is a bearish signal and bulls will need strength to break this level upwards. 4H - drawing the sell fib from swing hight at B. to swing low at A., it is evident that the 4H 0.50 sell fib level lines up with the pivot point (an area of confluence for a sell) and the 4H 0.618 sell fib level lines up with the D 0.618 sell fib level (super strong area of confluence). Bulls will need incredible strength and momentum to break these levels upwards. Need to watch out. But the 23:00 4H candle closed with a very long wick down to the higher TF's buy fib levels. This indicates that buyers stepped in at these levels. All Lower TF EMA's are below price at time of writing (4H, 1H and 30min) this might provide dynamic support to help boost price upwards. Note - 4H EMA drawn in by me indicated the position of the EMA at some point in the day, now, many hours after, the EMA has moved. If the 4H candle closes at 7am, creating a DB with the neckline broken upwards, I will enter. As the day progressed: The 4H candle that closes at 7am (in my time zone) did indeed close higher than the neckline and break the neckline upwards Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB on 4H TF formed with the neckline broken upwards (indicated by the blue lines). At the same time there was a kind of DB / H&S on the 1H TF. 2. S&R - At time of market pattern formation, the 4H EMA was acting as dynamic support. We also have a strong 4H resistance turned to support area (refer to yesterday's post about keeping 5x 4H candles down) 3. Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall trend - as a trend trader I always want to trade with the trend. Get in on a retracement (indicated by fib levels) and then ride the trend. 4. Fib - DB forming right above the 4H 0.618 fib level 5. Candlesticks - 2 x long wick 4H candles wicking down to the D 0.50 fib level, indicating a strong bullish reaction at this level. Candles are also closing above the 4H EMA which shows bullish strength. Mental SL placed at the thick pink line roughly half the height of the 4H DB, but below the 4H EMA for extra protection. I always use mental stops because Nas is so wild and volatile that hard stops will often take you out at a loss. For me, what matters is how candles close. Price ultimately went my way and I closed the majority of my positions at the higher hand icon, when a DT formed on the 5min TF. I left a runner open but price wicked me out at C. Starting to wonder if I would make more money taking profit at 1000 pips daily. Market has been very volatile these past days and perhaps that is why I feel this way, because I know for sure that taking profit at 1000 pips would not be a good strategy when Nas truly starts running / seriously trending. I will start taking detailed notes over the next few months and come back to you on my observations. Catch ya tomorrow! :) Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 25 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None News - None Directional bias - BUY Morning analysis: M TF - Remains very bullish, only 4 days till close. Green candle body is 9300 pips strong (at time of writing) - indicates overall bullish sentiment. W TF - Last week's candle closed green, indicating that price broke the previous highest weekly close, came down all the way to retest this level and then last week's candle closed green as bulls successfully retested this level and this weekly resistance has now turned to support. D TF - Huge gap up this morning (686 pips). Price finally broke above the 0.50 SELL fib level. Further indication of bullish sentiment. 4H TF - after the gap up for the start of the day, two long green candles closed on the 4H TF. One had a long wick down rejecting the D Sell 0.618 fib level. Buyers are rejecting this zone and pushing up. I identified 2 areas of confluence (highlighted in green): 1. Strong 4H S&R zone that held down 5 x 4H candles + 4H 0.618 fib level (swing low at A. to swing high at B. This fib only became clear later in the day.) + 4H EMA 2. W 0.50 fib level + D EMA + D 0.618 fib level If price comes down to any of these zones I will enter with a full position size and because these are strong areas of confluence (and Nas is so volatile), I would watch the 5min TF for signs that price is ready to reverse. As the day progressed: Price spike up high to B. and I closed a runner that I had open from last week (not at B. exactly but as price was coming down). Price fell quickly after market open. I view this as a retracement and not a change to the very bullish sentiment that is so evident on the higher TF's. Price come to my interest zone 1 and gave a nice little DB on the 5min TF Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB on 5min TF, with neckline broken upwards with a strong green momentum candle (I don't normally enter on this TF unless it is an area of confluence) 2. S&R - as mentioned strong resistance zone holding down 5 4H candles, now clearly turned to support. Also dynamic support provided by the 4H EMA 3. Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall trend. I like to trade with the trend always. 4. Fib - D 0.382 + 4H 0.618 Mental SL placed below green highlight at the thick pink line at half the height of the 5min DB. Price has moved more than 250pips from my entry and I am now secured at entry (so trading risk free). Will leave it over night and hope to wake up tomorrow morning to my positions still being open. Hope you had a good trading day! :) Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Weekly Forex Forecast Nov. 25th: SP500, NAS, DOW = BUY THEM!The three indices are bullish. They each had a Daily +FVG they found support in, and were bullish from that point of contact. The DOW is the strongest, and may be the best bet, even though it is a wildcard most times. The SP500 is probably the safest buy, as the NASDAQ is the weakest of the three. If things turn bearish for any reason, the best short will be in the NASDAQ. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by RT_Money
A Groundbreaking Weekly Close: Is a Big Move Loading? 🔥 The market has spoken, and it’s speaking LOUD. 🔥 This past week’s historic close is nothing short of monumental. For the first time, the market confidently surged above the previous All-Time High (ATH) — breaking through with conviction backed by exceptional volume. But what does this mean for the days ahead? Let’s break it down. A Look Back: What History Tells Us 📈 Reversal That Changed the Game: Earlier this year, the market reversed from a minor dip at the ATH with a surge in liquidity. That move ignited a massive 10% rally. And now, we see the same conditions emerging: Liquidity ✔️ Strong volume ✔️ Breakthrough resistance ✔️ 🔎 The Election Week Trap: Sometimes, the market plays tricks. The US Election Week candle gave us a massive move but was immediately retraced the following week. This teaches us an important lesson: ignore the noise and focus on what truly matters — consistent price action backed by volume. Why This Weekly Close Stands Out ✅ Exceptional Volume: Unlike election-driven volatility, this close is supported by sustained buying pressure. ✅ Breaking Major Resistance: The market isn’t just flirting with the ATH; it’s clearing it decisively. ✅ Momentum Reset: We’re now undoing the noise from previous eventful candles and focusing on the real trajectory. What’s Next: Is Another 10% Rally in the Cards? The stars are aligning for a potential repeat of history. With liquidity unlocked and resistance broken, the market could be gearing up for an even bigger move in the coming days. This past week’s candle could be the foundation for a new bullish wave, signaling a continuation to higher highs. 🧠 Key Takeaways for Traders 💡 Ignore the distraction of single-event candles like the election weeks — focus on volume-backed closes. 💡 Watch for sustained momentum — this close is a signal, not just a moment. 💡 Be prepared for potential follow-through that could mirror the prior 10% move or even exceed it. ⚡ Conclusion: The Market Is Ready to Make a Move ⚡ This isn’t just a weekly close; it’s a statement. The market is poised, primed, and ready to go. Are you ready to ride the wave? ➡️ A major move is loading… and you don’t want to miss it. 🔔 Stay sharp, stay focused, and let the market show its hand!
FX:NAS100
by shazfit
3
Unlocking the Myth of Price Action: A Strategic PerspectiveThe Market’s Telltale Signs: History shows that when markets experience sharp moves—either a dramatic drop or an explosive rally—pullbacks often follow. These pullbacks are driven by strong follow-through candles that signal renewed interest and participation from market players. Such formations act as the market’s way of hinting at a potential reversal or retracement. The Current Scenario: Right now, the price action is falling short of these historical signals. The market has yet to produce the kind of decisive, bullish candle that would suggest a meaningful reversal. The recent candles lack strength, structure, and conviction, leaving the prevailing trend intact. Why It Matters: In trading, patience is a superpower. Jumping into the market without confirmation from strong signals can be costly. At this point, staying on the bearish side is the smarter move. Let the market speak—wait for that bold, unmistakable bullish candle to confirm the tide is turning before considering a shift in strategy. On the Flip Side: However, if the bulls do take charge, we could witness a substantial upside movement. A strong, decisive bullish move would signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a significant rally. This could present an excellent opportunity for those ready to ride the bullish wave when it materializes. The Bottom Line: Stay aligned with the bearish trend for now, but remain vigilant. A strong bullish candle could unlock a major upside, so keep an eye on the market for any signs of a shift. The key is to let the price action confirm the next move before committing to a new direction!
FX:NAS100
by shazfit