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NASDAQ 100 CFD

Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 14 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - PPI and Initial jobless claims News - None Directional bias - Not sure, morning analysis should guide Morning analysis: M TF - Still very bullish, this months candle is up 10'700 pips but still 15 days till candle close. This shows that on the highest level, Nas is very bullish. W TF - At time of writing this morning, candle is red. The red body is about 1500 pips. This indicates short term bearish bias. Look at last week's candle close, which closed at an all time high after breaking a very strong W resistance, it is reasonable to expect price to retrace. D TF - Price action is showing that price is stalling. There are very long wick candles for 4 days, which represent the struggle between bulls and bears. As candle bodies are red, we see that bears are slowing managing to push price lower and lower. The way candles look at time of writing, I view this TF to be bearish. 4H TF - Shows a choppy market. There are no clear higher highs and higher lows or lower high and lower lows. Price is spiking widely in either direction, again representing the intense battle between bulls and bears. Three things are clear though, bulls have been unable to break the 0.618 SELL fib level (fib drawn from swing high at B. to swing low at A.). Bulls have been unable to break the 4H H&S neckline upwards. And lastly, up until yesterday, the 4H EMA was acting as dynamic support with bears being unable to break through downwards. But now this morning we have a clear 4H candle close below the EMA and if the 7am 4H candle closes below the EMA again, it shows that bulls were unable to push sellers back up at this level. 1H - Price is in a very bearish position. The 4H and 1H EMA are now above price and can be expected to act as dynamic resistance. The daily pivot point is also above price. Bulls will have to step in with volume and momentum to be able to break through these stacked resistance levels. Directional bias - looks very bearish. If 4H candle closes at a lower low beneath the 4H EMA, I would consider a sell. Otherwise if a DB forms on the 1H TF and breaks the neckline and subsequently the 1H and 4H EMA, I will enter a buy. No set bias today because TF showing bearish bias, while M TF is still bullish. It's also concerning that good CPI news was not enough to break through the sell fib levels. I will let price action indicate what Nasdaq wants to do today. As the day progressed: So indeed the 7am 4H candle closed below the EMA. I did not enter a sell because I noted that the candle closed exactly at the 100 EMA of the 1H TF (marked with the thick blue line). It can be seen that this EMA has provided dynamic support to 3 candle touches before at A, C and D.. So in an effort to avoid repeating yesterday's mistake (of buying at resistance), I didn't want to sell at dynamic support. So moving down to the 5min and 15min TF after this candle closed, it was clear that price could not break this support and I did not enter a sell. Then.... Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - a DB formed on the 1H, with the neckline broken upwards. The break of the neckline was with a huge momentum candle breaking both the EMAs (1H EMA and 4H EMA - at time of entry the 4H EMA was in the position as marked by the purple line) 2. S&R - Pivot point broken 3. Trend - Temporary downtrend (marked in blue broken) 4. Fib - DB formed below the 0.618 fib level Mental SL placed at half the height of the DB that I entered in on. Unfortunately, price came back down and I close my position at my stop loss. Decided to be out for the day. What could I have done differently? Losses are inevitable in trading. They will happen, whether you like it or not. The only question is....are you happy with your loss or not. I am happy with this loss. I entered on good confirmations and I also entered with half my usual position size because my plan was to enter the other half position if price re-tested the neckline of the DB and moved up again. So by entering small I managed my risk. I have had this experience before where I enter on a high TF (1H) DB and price still moves down. This happened when Nas was making bigger TF retracements. Also, at time of writing (tonight) the D candle has a long red body. If it closes with a long red body...it means we are entering a waterfall situation where price is pushing down with bigger and bigger candle bodies, gaining momentum. Nas turning very bearish. Will need to consider my directional bias carefully tomorrow and only enter buys on 4H DB or 1H DB if the neckline has been re-tested and price then still moves up. Hope you caught the nice sell! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Nvidia Q325 Earnings Preview - What traders need to knowWhile so much attention from equity and index traders has recently been on US election trades and the flow-on effect into markets from Trump 2.0, attention now switches towards Nvidia and the volatility that is expected from its Q325 earnings. As many who have traded Nvidia’s prior earnings will attest, earnings are historically where big moves play out on the day, with the AI-giant influencing sentiment towards the broader semiconductor space, as well having a big effect on the NAS100 and S&P500. Key timings: Nvidia report after-market on 20 November (20 Nov at 21:20 GMT / 21 Nov 08:20 AEDT) Nvidia options imply another big move on earnings While pricing is dynamic and may well change by Wednesday, Nvidia options currently imply an -/+8% move on the day of earnings. This is clearly a punchy implied move for any stock, let alone one with a $3.6t market cap. Guiding expectations for the implied move is the form guide, where we can see that Nvidia has seen average (absolute) moves on the day of reporting quarterly earnings of 9.3%. Such elevated levels of expected movement can be a drawcard for traders who are attracted to sizeable intraday moves in equity and want the liquidity that is seen in Nvidia’s order book. However, large implied moves are also a major consideration for one’s risk management and when assessing position sizing and the distance to the stop loss. Reviewing consensus market expectations The extent of the rally/sell-off is typically a function of the outcome of earnings, and the guidance for the following reporting quarter, relative to market expectations and positioning. For this reporting quarter (Q325), the analysts’ consensus expectations (shown below) are largely in line with the guidance Nvidia provided in the prior Q225 earnings report (seen on 28 August). For example, we see expectations for Nvidia’s group revenue at $33.08b, just 2% above the guidance provided in the Q225 earnings. The market then expects guidance for the next reporting quarter (Q425) of $36.77b, representing a potential increase of 11% q/q, with the data centres segment representing the large percentage of those sales. Nvidia has such an incredible pedigree in beating their own guidance (and consensus expectations) on sales and earnings that traders have become conditioned to blockbuster numbers, which always beat – subsequently, market participants historically position for better-than-expected numbers and that raises the bar even further. Reduced expectations for a significant beat to consensus expectations In this earnings report, expectations are set lower than in past reports, and forecasts from analysts and investor positioning sit at the lowest premium to prior company guidance for many years. In theory, this newfound confidence to model and forecast sales, margins and earnings suggests the real potential for Nvidia to deliver an upside surprise, which could promote a significant move in the share price. Of course, the company guidance for the following reporting quarter (i.e. Q425) will also determine the extent of move in Nvidia’s share price on the day. The market lives in the future, so the collective will want new intel that suggests that sales growth is not just on track but could be higher than consensus forecasts. Focus will also fall on CEO Jensen Huang views in the post earnings call, where he’ll offer his take on how the business is tracking, the rollout of Blackwell and other GPUs and new developments in the pipeline. Huang will no doubt be incredibly positive and upbeat, and there are few CEO’s who know how to hit the right notes with investors. The market wants clarity on the direction of margins Q325 gross margins are expected to drop to 75.01% and are expected to continue falling towards 73% over the next two quarters. These are still obviously incredibly healthy margins for any business, but the market is now well conditioned to such impressive margins that the investment case resides on its ability to sustain these margins and offset any deterioration with increased volumes. The jury is out on whether margins are in longer-term decline or due to rise once again. A more stringent regulatory response is a potential landmine and one that is hard to model. Competition is also likely to increase, which could impact margins as the AI giant may need to become more competitive in its pricing. Conversely, the supply constraints that have held sales of Blackwell GPUs back will soon ease and should result in stronger sales growth in the quarters ahead. It could also see margins pushing back towards 75% in the Q226 results. Either way, the fact Nvidia currently trades at ATHs, despite greater attention on US election expressions, shows the broad collective still love the story and view Nvidia as the best-in-class AI/semi play. Put Nvidia 24-hour CFD on the radar Traders can pre-position for Nvidia’s earnings and react dynamically to the news or the price action through Pepperstone’s Nvidia 24-hour CFDs. 24-hour CFDs offer around-the-clock pricing (5 days a week) for traders to take a position and manage exposures before, through and after Nvidia’s earnings.
PEPPERSTONE:NVDA.US_24
by Pepperstone
Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Near Record High: Is a 22,000 Target NexThe U.S. presidential election has sparked optimism also in the stock market, with the technology index rising by 1,000 points. Following this new all-time high, the Nasdaq 100 ( PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 ) is now consolidating just below that level. This consolidation is taking the shape of a flag pattern, which could signal potential for further upward movement. A breakout to the upside would confirm this pattern and could set the stage for additional gains, with a target of 22,000 points.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
nas100 - 15 min ( Great Buy Scalping Opportunity )💎 Nas100 Time Frame : 15min Chart ------ 🔻 Type :intraday - most important key level's 🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 21150 Area Done ——————————— ☑️Great opportunity now Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way good luck for everybody And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money Please apply good capital management
FX:NAS100Long
by GentleGoldenEngine
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 12 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None, CPI on Wednesday News - None Directional bias - I stick with a BUY as I view the red candles on the bigger TF as a retracement rather than a change of market sentiment. I would need a bit more price action evidence to be convinced that we are in a bear market....up until then, I continue to look for buys in what I see as a bull market. Morning analysis: M TF - very bullish, candle is 11'000 pips strong at time of writing (Tuesday morning). Still 17 days to go until candle close but definitely indicative of strong bull sentiment overall W TF - week candle has turned red (at time of writing on Tuesday morning), indicating that price is in an area where bears have stepped into play. Need to be careful and need good confirmation for entering a buy, as bears may still push for a further retracement. Time to whip out sell fibs on the smaller time frames and start analysing those too to understand if price is respecting these sell levels and sell TP points. This does not mean I waiver from my directional bias as a buy, but it helps me set buy TP's (possibly at strong sell fib levels) and understand bearish price action. D TF - D TF shows price stalling at this zone. We have a doji candle from Friday and a red (colour change) candle from Monday. If bears do push for a lager TF retracement, then it can be expected that price will move down significantly, as the D and W 0.382 fib level is 3'800 pips down. 4H TF - price seems be to struggling to break the 0.50 sell fib level (4H candles are failing to close above this level at C, D, E and F on the chart). Long wick candles are forming with wicks sticking out the top, indicating that bulls are trying to push higher but bears are successfully pushing back down at the 0.50 SELL fib level and the 0.618 SELL fib level. Looking at the line chart, a head and shoulders pattern is forming, with a neckline slanted upwards (indicated in blue lines). If bears break this neckline downwards, the price could move down and test the 4H EMA. The blue vertical line represents the distance that price would most probably move down if the neckline is broken (price usually moves the same distance as the height of the market pattern). Buy fib in the morning was drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B. 1H - Monday and Tuesday's pivot points are close to each other. This indicates that price is in a strong area of S&R. It remains to be seen if this zone will act as a support for a push up, or resistance for a push down. As the morning progressed, a falling wedge started forming on the 1H TF, as marked by the torquoise lines. Falling wedge pattern usually breaks upward, but can break in either direction. Due to strong bearish presence, I decided to only enter if the 1H TF gave a signal. 1H TF is pretty strong on Nasdaq and I would manage my risk this way. Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Trend - a buy is in the same direction as the overall trend. I prefer trading with the trend as “the trend is your friend”. 2. S&R - price broke the pivot point + EMA with a good momentum candle. 3. Market pattern - a falling wedge pattern had formed which broke upwards. The temporary downtrend line (the top line of the falling wedge was broken) indicating that the temp downtrend was over. 4. Fib - price was respecting the 4H BUY 0.382 fib level (written in purple) and price finally broke the 0.50 SELL fib level For me all of this was strong confirmation that buyers had stepped in and that price was ready to move up. Mental SL placed below the lowest candle wick below the falling wedge, as indicated by the pink line. Unfortunately for me, price moved straight back down and I closed in my stop loss area when candles started closing below my pink line. Took a loss of 568 pips. Not too bad pip wise, but because I felt the confirmations were solid, I entered with a full position size. After that I was out for the day, as I "felt" (intuition that comes with LOTS of screen time) Nas wasn't moving as it normally does. What could I have done differently? Some part of me puts this loss to variance i.e. sometimes price will do what it wants and move against you no matter how good confirmations were. But another part of me recognises that the green candle I entered on (at the hand icon), closed at exactly the same price point as the green candle under B. From B. you can see that price moved down significantly from this point. So I basically entered a buy at resistance. I should have waited for the next 5min or 15min candle close to be sure that the resistance would not push price back down again (which is exactly what happened). I won't be trading CPI, I feel that in high impact news, I am not able to stack the odds in my favour. So hope you did better than me, good luck with CPI and catch you tomorrow! :) P.S. #NasdaqNerd - don't you think its so cool how price really did move down to the profit target (end of blue vertical line)! It happens so regularly that price respects market pattern profit targets so perfectly :) Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
NAS100 Will Go Lower! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,056.31. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 20,692.20 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by SignalProvider
1
Bearish drop off 161.8% Fibonacci extension?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 21,161.95 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 21,371.18 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 20,692.20 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by VantageMarkets
Nasdaq Insights: 13-NOV-2024Good morning! Join me for today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share your charts, ask questions, and let's discuss trading strategies. #Nasdaq #StockMarket #Trading #Investing #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #FinancialNews #WallStreet #NasdaqToday #NasdaqAnalysis #NasdaqTrading #StockMarketNews #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategies #FinancialMarkets #TradingTips #NasdaqForecast #MarketInsights #Nasdaq100 #TechStocks #GrowthStocks #IndexFunds #ETFs #StockMarketAnalysis #TradingStrategies #RiskManagement #InvestorEducation #FinancialLiteracy #EarningsSeason #FederalReserve #EconomicIndicators #MarketVolatility #GlobalMarkets
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by DrBtgar
NAS100 Market Update: Key Levels and ProjectionsThe Nasdaq 100 (NAS100) is continuing its bullish run but is approaching critical resistance areas where a correction may occur. Here's a quick overview of key levels: Strong Sell Zone: 22,233 - 21,052 Expect potential pullback as the index nears this resistance. This zone is likely to trigger a price correction, offering short-term selling opportunities. Strong Buy Zone: Below 18,297 This major support level offers a favorable buying opportunity if the market pulls back. Buyers are expected to step in aggressively here, supporting the next bullish move. Current Price: 20,338.7 NAS100 is approaching resistance after breaking above 19,600 support. Continued upward momentum is likely, but a correction could follow once resistance is tested. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 22,233 - 21,052 (Strong Sell Zone), 20,800 - 20,600 (minor). Support: 19,600 - 19,400, 18,800 - 18,600, 18,297 (Strong Buy Zone). Outlook A pullback is expected near 22,233, with support at 18,297 as a key level for the next bullish phase. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to boost this post if you agree with my analysis. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Gravity-Traders-Academy
3
NAS100 H1 | Bearish DropBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 21,133.31 an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 20,886.22 which aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension The stop loss will be placed at 21,255.69, which is a swing-high resistance." High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
1
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 11 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None, today is Veterans Day, market may be slow News - None Directional bias - BUY. The strong upsurge in the stock markets are a clear indication that the markets view the US election results favourably. Bulls have stepped in with both volume and momentum. Morning analysis: M TF - very bullish, candle is 13'000 pips strong at time of writing. Still 18 days to go till candle close but definitely indicative of strong bull sentiment W TF - Finally the W candle managed to close above the strong weekly resistance at 20'363. D TF - Friday's candle closed as a doji candle, could be an indication that price is stalling and a bigger price retracement is in the works. D TF and W TF fib levels are aligned, this will make this fib levels very strong. Huge gap up of +- 600 pips noted. As the morning progressed, the 4H fib moved and finally settles on swing low at A. and swing high at B. Identified an area of interest / confluence (highlighted in green), where pivot point and 4H 0.618 fib are in the same zone Price should at least bounce from here, enough for me to secure my position at entry. As the morning progressed, price moved down rapidly to my interest zone. Once price reached this green highlighted area, I start to keep an eye on the 5min TF because this is an area of high probability of price movement and with Nasdaq being so volatile, this TF can give signals at these high interest zones. Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Trend - a buy is in the same direction as the overall trend. I prefer trading with the trend as “the trend is your friend”. 2. S&R - the daily pivot point represents an objective and strong support & resistance zone which Nasdaq often respects. 3. Market pattern - a DB formed on the 5min and broke the neckline up, indicating that buyers are over-powering the sellers at this zone 4. Fib - 4H 0.618 fib level was in this zone Mental SL placed below the lowest candle close of the first bottom of the DB on the 5min TF (marked with think pink line). Market moved up enough for me to secure my trade (I usually secure my trades once price is 250 pips or more from my entry). But then unfortunately moved back down and took me out at entry! Today represented a big retracement. In my trading style I don’t like to trade against the overall trend (I don’t trade retracements), so I would never have taken a sell. But hope you got the sell, you would have coined it today! ;) Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84