NASDAQ THOUGHTS 16-JUL-2024Hello all, Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
NASDAQ 100 CFD
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 15 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
During analysis noted the following:
M - Month candle is still in formation but very bullish, but at time of writing, the wick is 3'500 pips and the body is 8'500 pips. So still a very bullish candle indicating bullish sentiment
W - Last week's candle closed as a doji candle - could indicate that bulls are losing momentum
D - Massive gap up of 425 pips. Friday's candle closed as an inverted hammer candle (this is a bearish candle).
4H - Bears pushed down on Friday after candles touched the 0.618 Sell fib level. Doji candle possibly indicating that down trend is over.
1H - Strange looking DB (it kinda threw me off) but neckline broken upwards. I made the assumption that the DB marked in blue lines on the 1H TF was indeed a DB. I don't know if in theory it would be classified as such, but price gaped up significantly at C. and so although there is no green candle indicating price moved up, price gapped up and I took it as a DB.
Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
1. Fib - price made a large DB just above the 4H - 0.50 fib level + pivot point
2. S&R - Pivot point was acting as a strong support with long candle wicks sticking out the bottom (on the 1H TF). Entered a buy when I was convinced on the 5min TF that the 4H EMA would not push price down and that price was able to successfully break & re-test the 4H EMA area.
3. Trend - buy is in the same direction as the overall bullish trend of Nasdaq. I keep my bias as a buy until a reversal pattern appears at least on the D TF.
4. Candlesticks - a doji candle appeared on the 1H TF at D. indicating that sellers may be losing momentum. Also the long wick sticking out of the pivot point indicate that sellers pushed down hard but bears were able to hold this area strong
5. Market pattern - DB with neckline broken upwards, as marked with the blue lines. You can also see a nice little re-test of the neckline at E.
Mental stop was place at the thick pink line, which was the 4H - 0.318 buy fib level. If candles started closing below the fib level then my buy would be invalidated.
Price action was pretty choppy and price came close to my SL area but as market opened, bulls stepped in and boosted price.
I was hoping for a sweet TP 1 at the green TP1 line, but the 4H - 0.618 fib level was too strong.
I closed half my position at the arrow icon, when bears pushed down hard and bulls were unable to keep price above the 4H - 0.618 sell fib, I knew there was trouble. I decided to be aggressive with the remaining half of my position and was hoping that price would not retrace all the way to my entry before hitting TP1.
It was aggressive, because for me last week's doji candle means that I need to take profit on my buys because it could be that bears step in at any moment.
But alas, no TP1 for me today! And I was out at entry on my other half position.
So only bagged about a 1'000 pips profit on half a position.
Hope you had a good trading day! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
US100 / NDX / USTECH Bullish Robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist US100/NASDAQ 100 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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USNAS100 / Bullish Momentum Amid Earnings SeasonTechnical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Amid Earnings Season
Next Outlook:
The Nasdaq maintains a bullish trend as long as it trades above 20085. Stability below 20385 may trigger a retest down to 20085, whereas stability above 20385 indicates a potential push up to 20725.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price trades above 20385, targets are set at 20540 and 20725.
Bearish Scenario:
The price needs to stabilize below 20385 and close a 1-hour or 4-hour candle under this level to target 20085. A break below 20085 would open the path to a bearish zone, aiming for 19845 and 19625.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 20385
- Resistance Levels: 20540, 20725, 20900
- Support Levels: 20085, 19845, 19625
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 20085 and the resistance at 20725.
NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Analysis#NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Analysis
Continuation of the trend, we can consider the formation of a 3-wave structure. In order not to increase risks, it is better to consider the exit after the 2nd wave, since the price can once again update the local minimum and form the ABC structure for further upward movement. Globally, targets may be at the level of 21750.
Target 20750 - 21750
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Friday 12 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - PPI @ 13:30
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
Took a massive 2'000 pip loss the day before, so I knew I had to tread carefully today and make my best trading decisions. This was no time for revenge trading nor cowboy moves.
I had to make a really good trading decision or stay out to protect my capital, until a quality trade made itself visible.
Judging the candles and the fact that price had dropped 6'000 pips (un-freakin-believable), I felt like price would retrace to at least test the sell fib levels.
Price had formed a consolidation triangle (marked in blue lines during the early morning hours). These can break up or down. So I knew I had to be careful because it could be that price was just stalling before making a further plunge down to sellers TP1 (marked in orange and found by drawing a sell fib from swing high at A. to swing low at B.)
Price broke down from the consolidation triangle, but the yellow highlighted S&R zone seemed strong enough to hold price up.
Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - DB formed on the 30min TF with a break of the neckline upwards. Entered when the neckline break candle closed.
2. Fib - consolidation triangle + DB market patterns were forming just above the W - 0.050 fib level
3. S&R - yellow highlighted support zone seemed to be holding up price, indicated by the long wick candles forming at this zone.
4. Trend - the buy was in the same direction as the overall bullish trend on Nas, and the break of the neckline candle had broken the temporary downtrend line (the upper blue line of the consolidation triangle)
5. Time frame confluence - at the same time as the DB with a broken neckline was formed on the 30min TF, it also formed on the 1H TF. So multiple TF's were giving bullish signals.
Mental stop loss was placed at half the height of the market pattern and I decided to place my SL at half the height of the 15min DB, just because it was also the 1H S&R zone that seemed to be holding strong.
For me, if candles started closing below this level than my buy would be invalidated.
As I entered, price immediately dropped.
Price was playing around my SL but when the long wick hammer candle closed on the 30min TF, I decided to keep my buy active.
Price moved up and away from my stop loss area. When PPI news broke, price spiked down, but even on the 5min TF, the candle closed way above my SL zone.
From there, bulls pushed up hard and price moved up quickly.
This is what makes trading Nas so difficult in my opinion, candles can spike drastically, but it's how they close that really matters. So sometimes you have to have the bravery to sit out a deep spike. Not easy.
So now I knew a retracement was in play and the area around the pivot was a strong sell zone because:
Pivot point + 4H - 0.318 fib level + 4H EMA (at that time).
Price blasted past this zone but when there was weakness in the candles on the 15min TF, I decided to call it a day at 2'000 pip profit and thank my lucky Nasdaq stars that I had recovered my my previous day's mistake.
In theory, I would have liked to keep a runner open in case price moves back up but I had no such luxury today....I needed every pip that Nasdaq would give me.
Hope you are having a good weekend!
See ya Monday for more Nasdaq fun! ;)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 11 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 13h00 GMT
Economic news - CPI @ 13h30
Directional bias - BUY
This post is titled: CRASH AND BURN!!! :(
So I have runner's that are still in play from previously - roughly in the area of the bang emoji.
My plan for CPI was to keep my directional bias as a buy, but I only wanted to get in if price spiked down.
If price spiked upwards, I was happy for my runners to benefit.
I identified 2 areas of interest -
Area 1:
Pivot point + 1H 0.382 fib (drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.) + Consolidation triangle market pattern profit target (marked in orange lines.
Area 2:
4H 0.50 fib level + orange trend line + 4H EMA (at that time) + strong 4H S&R zone + 4H 0.618 fib level not to far below + D - 0.382 fib level not too far below.
I set a smaller position buy limit at Area 1 and a bigger position buy limit at Area 2.
At 13h30, the CPI data was released and came in below expectations.
Market spiked up, but bulls could not keep price afloat.
When the long wick appeared on the 1H TF, I recognized that bulls may be losing momentum.
I immediately removed my buy limit in Area 1 because it was too close to price in my opinion and I would rather enter manually in that zone if need be.
To my surprise, price dropped like a hot potato.
Welcome to Nasdaq trading! Haha! :)
I was still pretty confident in my Area 2 and so kept that buy limit, after all it was +-1'500 pips from where price was at that moment.
My order triggered and I was in with a buy.
But my overconfidence got the better of me. I was so confident in the strength of this zone and so confident in my expectation that price would at least bounce from here, that I never actually considered where my stop loss would be.
So I made a deadly mistake - I entered a trade without having a trade plan.
As price continued to fall, my mind started reeling and I had no clue what to do. My runner's were closing and I just couldn't think clearly.
EVENTUALLY I closed this position. But I closed it way too late and took a MUCH bigger loss that I would have if I had planned my trade.
I took a loss of +- 2'000 pips on a pretty big position.
Even just writing that feels ridiculous and I can't believe I let that happen, but my mind was reeling and the drop was happening fast.
My regret is not that I entered a buy (I am glad that I did because the area was super strong in my opinion).
My regret is that I entered without a proper trade plan.
To prevent this from ever happening again, I have added a new trading rule to my trading system:
If I enter a buy limit order, my SL is 500pips from entry, no matter what. Reason is that I only enter buy limits when I feel the area is strong and if price is able to move 500pips from that area of interest in the opposite direction to my expectation, then it means I got it wrong and I need to get out of the trade quick!
So learn from my costly mistake (and one that I don't normally make)....always plan your stop loss!
Once out, I knew I needed to wait for really strong confirmation before entering again. So no revenge trading for me!
Hope CPI went better for you! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NASDAQ/US100 Market Money Heist PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist US100/NASDAQ Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday
Nasdaq thoughts - 11-JUL-2024Hello all, here's my plan for Nadaq entries for today. Remember to use this to compare with your chart and improve yourself, they aren't meant for you to just use as signals. On trading view, you can click on " Make this chart mine" and it will automatically open the chart on yours.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Wednesday 10 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
So yesterday I opened 4 x positions at about the "bang" emoji.
Refer to yesterday's post to understand those entries.
Last night I had secured all positions at entry and went to sleep hoping for the best. Early morning bulls pushed price nice and high by the time I woke up.
I closed my 1st position at Exit 1:
Bears pushed down strongly at the 0.618 sell fib level (sell fib level marked in red and fib drawn from swing high at B. to swing low at C.)
A DT formed on the 1H TF (marked with green lines) which is a high and strong timeframe.
So we have a 1H DT right on the sell 0.618 fib level, PLUS the red candle right above the words "Exit 1" actually broke the neckline of the DT down.
So I had to secure some profit at this point and closed 1 out of 4 positions at about 530 pips.
Happy with this exit.
At Exit 2 I closed another position.
Mainly because if at D. price continued to go down, D. would have been the second top of a 4H DT.
Not super thrilled with this one, I think I could have been more aggressive here and stayed in the game, especially as I had already taken some profit.
But the strong bear candle on the 1H TF came down hard and I suspected a DT may be forming.
But it is what it is - 878 pips ain't so bad after all.
At Exit 3, I closed my third position.
Happy with this exit, it was TP1 on the Day fib extension - fib drawn on the D TF but swing low and swing high shown on the 4H TF as A. and B.
This exit was 2'400 pips in the profit.
Still have my 4th position running and will be super aggressive with this one and hope CPI and PPI goes in my favour and I bang out the big bucks.
Alternatively, happy to have this position close at entry.
You gotta risk some to win big and I already have my profit bagged.
Hope you benefited from the massive buy today!
See ya tomorrow for CPI!
USNAS100 / New All-Time Highs and NFP Implications Technical Analysis: New All-Time Highs and NFP Implications
Today's Outlook:
The price has recently surged past previous high levels, trending towards a new all-time high around 20410. A retest of this level might occur, potentially driving the price down to 20100. However, today's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) announcement is expected to significantly impact market movements.
Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish trend to be confirmed, the price must break below 20100 and stabilize with a 4-hour candle close beneath this level. This could lead to further declines towards 19845 and potentially 19625.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 20100, the bullish trend is likely to continue, targeting 20410 and 20540. There is also a possibility of a retest down to 20100 before resuming the upward movement.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 20220
Resistance Levels: 20400, 20540, 20750
Support Levels: 20100, 19960, 19625
Today's Expected Range:
The price is expected to fluctuate between the support at 19625 and the resistance at 20540.
NFP Scenarios:
- Previous Result: 272K
- Expectation: 191K
If the NFP release is less than 191K, the indices are likely to follow a bullish scenario. Conversely, a result exceeding 191K, particularly around 250K, would likely lead to a bearish scenario.
In summary, today's market direction will be heavily influenced by the NFP results and the key price levels outlined. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for navigating the day's trading volatility.
NAS100 US100 Trade Idea NASDAQConsidering the NAS100 is currently exhibiting a strong bullish trend, there may be a potential buying opportunity if it retraces into a discount zone near the 61.8% Fibonacci level. US100 NASDAQ
Trading involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough analysis and consider risk management strategies before making any trading decisions.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 9 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
During analysis noted the following:
M TF - current month's candle is 9'300 pips strong, indicative of strong bullish momentum
D TF - is bullish with yesterday's candle closing with a very small upper wick
4H TF - price has moved further than orange profit target, but I suspect that bears might start putting pressure on price.
1H TF - formation of a rising wedge market pattern, marked with dark blue lines. These usually break downwards, but can break in either direction. If the rising wedge does break downwards, the subsequent move down will be significant because the wedge pattern itself is large. Profit target is always the same height as the market pattern.
Noted 2 x areas of interest (areas of interest changed throughout the day because fib levels changed as market kept rising + EMA's moving - but ultimately these were my areas of interest for the day):
Area 1:
Pivot Point + 4H 0.618 fib level
Area 2:
Assuming that wedge market pattern has broken downwards and this area is the wedge profit target + 4H EMA + D 0.50 fib level(ish)
In the morning hours, entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
Market pattern - DB formed on the 15min TF, with a break of the neckline upwards. Entered on the break of the neckline
Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall bullish trend + temporary uptrend formed marked by the bottom pink line of the triangle
Candlesticks - the 1H candle close before this 15min DB entry was a doji candle, indicating that sellers may be losing momentum.
S&R - when the market is very bullish then price will respect the 30min EMA. There was a long wick candle down to the 30min EMA indicating that price was reacting to this dynamic support.
Fib - none
Set a mental SL at half the height of the market pattern as indicated by the think pink line.
Entered only half a position because it seemed unlikely that price would really move up from here with out first retracing.
Price moved up and then back down and price action broke my SL area and I closed at 100 pip loss (losing 100 pips is not a big deal in my books)
So waited patiently for my next set up, but was pretty confident in my Area 2, so set a buy limit for this zone for my full position size.
The area at the mushroom is pretty strong area because it is a strong S&R zone on the 4H TF and the D 0.382 fib level.
Price wicked down to this level and then seemed to reverse.
Watching price action carefully, I entered buys when a DB formed on the 5min TF with a break of the neckline upwards - this DB formed right on the 4H 0.618 fib level and the D pivot point.
I entered further buys when a DB formed on the 15min TF and 30 min TF, meaning that price was giving bullish signals on all the lower TF's i.e. timeframe confluence.
Mental stop was always at half the DB for each entered position.
Now currently, my positions are roughly 300 pips up and secured at entry.
I will leave them running till tomorrow and set TP 1 at a re-test of the ascending wedge pattern.
Sell Fib levels are also shown on the 1H TF, so tomorrow I will be watch for a reversal at these points (seems bulls have already pushed past the 0.382 sell fib level)
Hope you had a good day trading!
Catch ya tomorrow!
What could I have done differently / better?
Pretty happy with my performance today, I was patient and waited for market to give me a signal to buy. I also managed risk well by scaling in my buys as confirmation grew stronger and stronger on the various TF's
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
75: Post-Liquidation Strategy for Nasdaq Mini FuturesAfter liquidating longs at the low, we aim to hold the level of 20,712 in the Nasdaq Mini Futures market.
Recent market movements have shown increased volatility, making it crucial to identify key support and resistance levels. Staying informed about macroeconomic events and earnings reports is essential as these factors can significantly impact market direction.
Bullish Scenario:
If we maintain this level, we will wait for a gain at 20,713 and then look for new highs around 20,752.
Bearish Scenario:
When losing this level (20,712), we will shift our focus to 20,686 and wait for new scenarios to develop.
Staying vigilant and adaptable in this volatile market environment is key to navigating potential trading opportunities and risks.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 8 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY (because an overall trend is like the current of a fast flowing river, if you go against the fast flowing waters, you will go a shorter distance than you may expect. If you go with the current, you will go further than you may initially expect)
During analysis noted the following:
M TF - Bullish
W TF - price stalled at the 19'737 zone (with a shooting star and doji candle formations) but then price pushed higher
D TF - bullish with Friday Day candle closing with a strong momentum bull candle
Noted an area of interest:
Area of confluence highlighted in green is where D pivot + 4H 0.382 exactly align (as at morning analysis when fib was drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.)
Set a buy limit to enter a full buy position at this level.
As the morning progressed a descending triangle pattern formed, marked in blue lines
Entered a buy at the hand icon on the 30min TF (even though I thought that market may retrace to my area of interest, Nasdaq gave the clear sign that it was ready to move up).
Confirmations:
Market pattern - Descending triangle patterns usually break down but can break in either direction. In this case the pattern was broken upwards as the bullish support level (bottom horizontal line of triangle) held strong. I entered a buy when the 30min candle closed on the 30min TF. I waited for this candle close because I wanted to be sure that price could break the 1H S&R zone marked in the light blue highlight.
Also a DB had formed and neckline broken upwards on the 30min TF and temporary down trend line was broken - marked with orange lines
S&R - 1H S&R level was broken
Trend - buy is in the same direction as the overall trend and the temporary down trend line in blue had been broken too
Fib - none
Mental stop loss was placed at the pink thick line, which is half the height of the DB formation
Price moved 580 pips from my position.
I secured when price had moved 250 pips from my entry.
When market opened (US session) there was a tug of war between bears and bulls.
Price came down to my entry twice at C. - I removed my stop loss both times (the first two candle wicks at C.) because I wanted to see how price would react to the 30min EMA.
On the third wick down at C. I was out at entry because I did not feel confident as to the direction of market on the third bearish push down.
Decided I will enter again if price comes down to the pivot point and my area of interest.
If not, and if price moves up from here, then I will let my runner from Friday take advantage of the upward move.
Ultimately price moved 890 pips from my entry but I did not gain from this move because I was out at entry at C.
At least my runner took advantage of the buy and I live to trade another day.
What could I have done differently / better?
Looking at the price action now, I don't see a re-entry point that I would have been happy and confident with.
So ultimately, I am happy with the risk I took to watch price action at the 30 min EMA twice in a row by removing my stop loss (not something I usually do).
But I have no regrets to being out at entry, because it could have gone the other way today. So I took a risk and then protected my capital.
A good day on Nasdaq is a small loss, being out at entry or a win.
So I guess it was a good day! ;)
Hope you profited from this buy!
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NAS100USD ( CORRECTIVE TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price breakout resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bullish
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a blue line around 20,559 , indicates selling have already increase this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 20,245 , indicates buying have already increase this level .
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price between support level and resistance level , in my opinion after the price breakout the resistance trendline price stabilizing bullish , so the price corrective a support level around 20,245 , after rising to resistance level at 20,559, then stabilizing this level reach 20,750 , if the breaking support level at 20,245 by open 4h candle below this level reach a 20,088
TARGET LEVE L :
RESISTANCE LEVEL :20,559 , 20,750
SUPPORT LEVEL : 20,245 ,20,088
XAUUSD M30 - Sell Signal (trend)XAUUSD M30
As we can see actively, we are trying to break south of the previous area of M15 and M30 consolidation. Depending on how we trade as we settle in to the EURO/LON session, we may look to trade something on a similar basis to this M30 trend. Something similar to that indicated with the red arrows.
M30 LTF trend entries, or $2390/oz major resistance swing entry. It's obviously very early on in the week, and I'd like to see us settle into the week more, before jumping in to anything.