NASDAQ 100 CFD
Nasdaq Continues Uptrend After Retest, Consolidation ExpectedNasdaq Technical Analysis
The price retested its support line yesterday, then resumed its upward movement, continuing the bullish trend. The current momentum suggests further advances toward 18,760 and 18,910, before potentially pulling back as long as trading remains below the pivot zone.
Next Outlook:
The price is expected to consolidate between 18,760 and 18,420 until a breakout occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 18,760 will support a bullish trend towards 18,910. A break above 18,910 could extend the rally to 19,100.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price stabilizes below 18,760, it may indicate a downward move, fluctuating between 18,760 and 18,420.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 18,650
- Resistance Levels: 18760, 18910, 19100
- Support Levels: 18420, 18325, 17910
Today's Expected Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 18,911 and 18,420.
Nasdaq Thoughts 12-Aug-2024Good morning all, Kindly find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ - US100 Facing Bearish PressureThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index is currently facing significant downward pressure, largely due to mounting concerns about the U.S. economy. The potential for a recession is growing as recent data points to an increase in unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve has decided to delay interest rate cuts. This has created uncertainty in the markets, as higher unemployment could lead to reduced consumer spending, further exacerbating the economic slowdown. The anticipation of prolonged higher interest rates is also weighing on investor sentiment, making the stock market, particularly tech-heavy indexes like NASDAQ, more vulnerable to declines.
Technically, the BLACKBULL:NAS100 index has been following a clear pattern of reactions to its trendlines. The index recently fell and touched the third trendline support, which has historically been a critical level for determining market direction. After this touch, the index attempted a recovery, moving back towards the second trendline, which now acts as a breakeven point. However, the failure to break through this level and the subsequent rejection suggests that the bears are firmly in control. The pattern indicates that the index may face further declines, particularly if it breaches the third trendline support.
In conclusion, both fundamental and technical factors are pointing towards a bearish outlook for the NASDAQ index. The rising possibility of a recession, driven by increasing unemployment claims and the Fed’s cautious approach to rate cuts, has dampened investor sentiment. On the technical side, the index’s inability to reclaim key trendline supports indicates that more downside is likely. As a result, investors should be cautious and prepared for potential further declines in the NASDAQ index in the coming weeks.
Bearish reversal?NAS100 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,747.67
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 19,237.14
Why we kike it:
A pullback resistance level lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 17,953.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US100 Outlook ICT ConceptsNASDAQ-100 (US100) Analysis
💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
In the previous analysis, we anticipated the price to begin expanding higher after a significant move to the downside, which has occurred as expected.
📍 Current Market Overview:
• Price Reaction: The NASDAQ-100 (US100) had a strong bullish reaction after sweeping the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) and tapping into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG).
• Expansion Higher: Currently, the price is expanding higher, moving into a premium zone as marked by the Fibonacci retracement levels.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels:
• PMH: Previous Month High
• PWH: Previous Week High
• PML: Previous Month Low
• SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
• Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): The levels that can be targeted if we go long.
• Daily FVG: The Daily Fair Value Gap, where the price had a significant reaction.
• 4H Bearish FVG: A 4-hour timeframe Fair Value Gap located above the current price.
• Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key Fibonacci levels (0.50, 0.62, 0.705, 0.79) indicating potential resistance or retracement areas in the current premium zone.
📊 Key Considerations:
• Premium Zone: The price is currently in a premium zone, as identified by the Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone is generally where we anticipate some form of retracement or consolidation.
• Daily and 4H Bearish FVG: These gaps are significant resistance levels above the current price, which might act as targets if the price continues to move higher.
• Possible Retracement: Given that we are in a premium zone, a retracement lower is possible. However, further upside cannot be ruled out, especially if the price breaks through to the daily or 4H bearish FVG.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
• Sweep of Lower Time Frame SSL: For any new long positions, we need to see a sweep of lower time frame Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). After this, longs can be considered, targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) levels.
• Targets: The primary targets would be the Daily Bearish FVG and the 4H Bearish FVG above.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
• Retracement from Premium Zone: Given the current position in a premium zone, we could see a retracement lower. If this occurs, the key levels to watch would be the SSL areas or any previous supports near the Daily FVG.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
• Bullish Expectation: We have seen the long scenario play out successfully. For new longs, wait for a sweep of lower time frame SSL before targeting BSL, with potential targets being the Daily and 4H Bearish FVGs above.
• Bearish Expectation: Consider the possibility of a retracement from the premium zone. If the price shows signs of weakness, a move lower to previous supports or SSL levels could be expected.
Conclusion:
The NASDAQ-100 is currently at a critical junction in the premium zone, with the possibility of either further expansion to the upside or a retracement lower. The key to the next move lies in observing the price action around the Fibonacci retracement levels and the reaction to the bearish FVGs above. Any long positions should be taken cautiously after a lower time frame SSL sweep, targeting BSL levels, while keeping an eye on potential retracement scenarios.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
USNAS100 6H / Uptrend toward 18680 !!!Nasdaq Technical Analysis
The price has reversed and stabilized above the pivot line at 18,425.
Next Outlook:
The price is expected to consolidate between 18,415 and 18,680 until a breakout occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 18,420 will support a bullish trend toward 18,680, with potential to reach 18,910.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price drops and stabilizes below 18,420, it may decline toward 18,325. Continued stability below this level could further support a fall toward 17,900.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 18,435
Resistance Levels: 18680, 18910, 19100
Support Levels: 18325, 17910, 17625
Today's Expected Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 18,911 and 18,325.
Tendency: Uptrend, as long as trading remains above 18,425.
Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Aug-2024Please find my NASDAQ market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
USNAS100 12H / Markets Remain Volatile Awaiting Jobs DataNasdaq Technical Analysis
Markets Remain Volatile Awaiting Jobs Data
Next Outlook:
The price is expected to consolidate between 17,900 and 17,590 until a breakout occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to develop, the price needs to stabilize above 17,900 by closing a 4-hour candle above this level, which could support a rise towards 18,420.
Bearish Scenario:
Stability below 17,900 will support a decline towards 17,590. Further stability below 17,590 could drive the price downward to 17,050.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 17900
- Resistance Levels: 18050, 18240, 18420
- Support Levels: 17730, 17590, 17300
Today's Expected Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 17,980 and 17,580.
Tendency: Downward, as long as trading remains below 17,900.
Previous idea:
NAS100 H1 | Falling to pullback supportNAS100 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 17,441.70 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 17,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 18,427.26 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Bearish drop?NAS100 has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 18,292.33
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 18,736.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 17,445.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
What's going on with QQQ and Tech?Here is what I have been tracking with my technical analysis. What we saw since the end of July is the AI bubble losing its momentum.
What happened?
You can see on June 24th where price gaps up above the long-standing blue trading channel from 2009 that contained trading from 2009 until the 2020 bubble.
You can see it gap down back into the blue channel on July 24th.
It found some support on the mid-line of the longer running black channel from 2009 that includes the covid bubble peak.
Then we got a test of the blue channel resistance on August 1st with a very strong rejection.
Then the bottom dropped out to break below the AI rally purple channel.
Where are we now?
The morning open on Monday saw a test of the red trend line with a strong rally to back above the 200.
We saw a test of the previous purple channel with a high wick on Tuesday.
Today (Wednesday) saw a strong rejection of the channel, where it looks like support has now become resistance. We saw the high wick touch the orange price line around $449. The good news is that the 200-day SMA is showing support again.
Where are we going (this is my guess)?
It looks like the market is trapped between a rock and a hard place. I think the 200 day and the red trend line are going to give QQQ support as long as there are no other panics.
It is unlikely that the AI momentum will be coming back either.
I think it is going to drift sideways for a few days before picking a direction. This means it may bounce up and down between the purple channel and the 200-day into next week. You can see the red down channel that has now formed.
If we do get a counter rally then I would expect it to stay inside the channel. That would leave us with a potential another leg down. The RSI is only a little into the oversold range. How far? My guess would be either the red trend line again, or maybe even farther to the center of the blue channel. We get down that low, then I have a bunch of cash to go long.
I just can't see why QQQ would rally back to ATH now. There is way too much uncertainty now, but markets are irrational. I could see QQQ working back up the underside of the purple channel until the end of the year, with a lot of up and down action.
I really do think that there is a bigger pullback sometime in the next several months. The market is just running close to the top of the decade plus trading channel and the AI bubble may finally become deflating some. I believe that we will see a touch of the center line of the blue channel in the next few months, which could be Nov or Dec time frame. That will give us a lot more room to rally and make some good money.
NASDAQ Is Approaching The Main TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 17500 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 17500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NAS100 I Daily correction potentially to 19,000 zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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US100 / NAS100 - Bullish from here?Currently there is uncertainty in financial markets due to fears of recession. This trade idea is purely based on technical analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100 has been in a long term bullish trend. Currently price is retesting a long term trend line, which I expect will trigger bullish momentum just like previous support found at this level. Keeping our SL below a prominent low below the trend line!
USNAS100 6H / Futures rally as Big Tech extends recovery
Nasdaq Technical Analysis:
Futures rally as Big Tech extends recovery
Next Outlook:
The price reached their resistance at 18430, so as long as trades on it means bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 18435 will support rising to get 18625 and 18930
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 18435 will drop to touch 18145 and 17880
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 18430
- Resistance Levels: 18625, 18760, 18930
- Support Levels: 18140, 17880, 17630
Today's Expected Range is between 18435 and 17870
Tendency: Downward as long as trades under 18435
Nasdaq Thoughts 07-Aug-2024Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Nasdaq Thoughts 06-Aug-2024Hello all, Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great