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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NAS100 - Nasdaq, no interest in Santa Rally!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply zone will provide us with the conditions to sell it. In the annual rebalancing of the Nasdaq Index, the shares of Tesla, Meta Platforms, and Broadcom saw a reduction in their weighting, while Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet gained more weight. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, this marks the second time in roughly a year that index regulators have adjusted the allocations for its largest members. The rules governing the Nasdaq 100 are designed to prevent a small number of companies from exerting excessive influence on the index. These rules have become increasingly relevant in recent years due to the extraordinary growth in market value of major companies and advancements in artificial intelligence. Although the Nasdaq 100 is weighted by market capitalization, certain limits are enforced if a few companies grow disproportionately large. This recent rebalancing may have been prompted by a rule that allows regulators to reduce the weighting of the top five companies to below 40%, with other adjustments made accordingly. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, remarked, “At times, the Nasdaq 100 has to take such measures because it becomes a victim of its own success; the largest stocks in the index have grown significantly faster than others.” This year, the shares of major technology companies have risen sharply due to advancements in artificial intelligence. Broadcom, a key chip supplier for Apple and other tech giants, reached a market value of $1 trillion. Tesla also surged by around 75% following the U.S. presidential election. In the Nasdaq 100, Apple’s weighting increased from 9.2% to 9.8%, while Nvidia rose from 7.9% to 8.4%. Microsoft and Amazon also gained weight, and Alphabet saw a slight increase. However, Broadcom’s weighting fell from 6.3% to 4.4%, Tesla’s dropped from 4.9% to 3.9%, and Meta’s decreased from 4.9% to 3.3%. Currently, over 200 exchange-traded products, with combined assets totaling approximately $540 billion, track the Nasdaq 100 or its variations globally. Athanasios Psarofagis of Bloomberg Intelligence noted, “This highlights the increasing influence of index providers on market dynamics.” Last year, thanks to the resilience of the economy, strong earnings reports, a 100-basis-point rate cut by the Fed, and the leadership of the Mag7, the S&P 500 recorded 57 new all-time highs (ATHs). On Friday, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, speaking at the Maryland Bankers Association, outlined the conditions needed for rate cuts and discussed the broader impacts of the new tariff plan proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. Barkin downplayed the immediate and direct effects of the tariff program. Markets do not anticipate any rate changes in the upcoming Fed meeting. The private and non-farm payrolls report (ADP) set to be released on Wednesday, along with Thursday’s weekly jobless claims data, could offer a clearer picture of the U.S. labor market ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Additionally, the ISM Services PMI for December, scheduled for release on Monday, could provide further insights into the overall performance of the U.S. economy, as the services sector accounts for over 80% of GDP. The minutes of the December Fed meeting will also be published on Wednesday, but they are unlikely to have a significant impact on markets as updated economic forecasts have already been released. The November Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a sharp increase in job creation, with 227,000 new jobs added to the U.S. economy. This contrasted with just 12,000 jobs added in October, marking the weakest job growth since December 2020. If the December report also indicates that October’s weakness was temporary, some investors might conclude that even two rate cuts in 2025 would be excessive. This could contribute to the continued strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies. The key question is whether the stock market, given expectations of fewer rate cuts, will continue its downward trend or recover with signs of robust economic performance.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 Price ActionHello Traders, Our Supply Demand Analyzer indicator has identified fresh zones that price has yet to test. These untouched zones present high-probability areas where price action is likely to respond—potentially moving from a strong demand zone to the next key supply zone. Additionally, I’ve highlighted two types of breakout patterns: 1. Curve Breakout – An early signal indicating a potential breakout. 2. Channel Breakout – A more confirmed breakout pattern for added confidence. You can leverage these supply and demand zones to plan long entries effectively. Pro Tip: Always prioritize risk management before executing your setups. Wishing you profitable trades and continued success. Happy Trading!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by SuvashishFx
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 21,388.20, an overlap resistance close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 20,866.82, a support level. The stop loss will be placed at 21,771.47, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
NAS100 Bull BiasCurrent Market Structure: 1. Trend Analysis: • The price is still within a well-defined ascending channel. • The recent price action shows a pullback toward the channel’s midline after hitting resistance near the upper channel boundary. 2. Key Levels: • Resistance: • 21,400–21,500: Price is near this key zone, which aligns with previous swing highs. A break above this could confirm further bullish momentum. • 21,800: The next significant resistance, where a potential rejection could occur. • Support: • 21,200–21,300: Immediate support zone near the current price. A break below may lead to a retest of the channel’s lower boundary. • 20,766 (blue line): Major support that aligns with previous lows and the base of the channel. Possible Scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: • If price holds above 21,300 and breaks through the 21,500 resistance zone, there’s a strong likelihood of a move toward the next resistance at 21,800 or even the upper boundary of the channel at 22,200. • Buy confirmation: Look for bullish momentum candles or a retest of 21,400–21,500 as new support. 2. Bearish Case: • If the price fails to break 21,500 and falls below 21,300, we may see further downside toward 20,766 (blue line). • A break below 20,766 would invalidate the bullish structure and potentially lead to a deeper pullback toward 20,400–20,321. Indicators to Watch: • Trendline Interaction: The price is near the channel midline. A bounce or rejection here will determine the direction. • Volume: A breakout above resistance zones requires strong volume for confirmation. • Momentum Indicators (e.g., MACD/RSI): Watch for divergences or crossovers that might indicate a shift in momentum. Trading Plan: 1. Long Setup: • Entry: Above 21,500, after a breakout and retest. • Target: 21,800, then 22,200. • Stop Loss: Below 21,300 (midline). 2. Short Setup: • Entry: Below 21,300, after rejection. • Target: 20,766, then 20,400. • Stop Loss: Above 21,500. Conclusion: The market remains in an ascending channel, favoring bullish bias unless 20,766 is broken. Monitor price action at 21,300–21,500 for confirmation of direction.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by AutoMarkets
New Monday For Nasadaq Trading Strategy 25.01.04Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we’ll be analyzing the NASDAQ, focusing on recent results and strategies for Monday's market. Friday’s Briefing Results Buy Signal: Trigger: Breakout above the resistance trendline and the 21360. Outcome: The NASDAQ experienced significant upside, though it did not reach the maximum target of 21575. Profit: The price movement offered approximately $5,000 per contract for a range of 250 points. Sell Signal: Trigger: A break below 21120 was required for sell entry. Outcome: The level was not breached, so no sell trades were triggered. Monday’s Market Strategy Let’s first analyze the daily chart: Following Thursday’s decline, the price tested the Ichimoku Cloud's support. Although the 20 EMA wasn’t touched, the daily candle closed as a bullish candle. Notably, the Lagging Span found support at the candles, which can be seen in the green box. Key Resistance: If the price breaks above the 20 EMA, the next major resistance is 21812, supported by the blue box candlesticks as evidence. Buy Entry Points Recommended Buy Zones: First Entry: Above 21575 Reasoning: This level represents the resistance encountered during the December 30 session and Friday’s high. Caution: A breakout above the Daily 20 EMA is essential; otherwise, resistance is likely. Targets: TP1: 21645 TP2: 21670 TP3: 21740 Second Entry: Above 21746 + Resistance Trendline Breakout Reasoning: Breaking the black box supply zone opens the door for a one-way rally, as there are no significant overhead resistances. This scenario also implies a clear breakout above the daily 20 EMA, signaling strong bullish momentum barring any unexpected news. Targets: TP1: 21812 TP2: 21895 TP3: 21935 Sell Entry Points Recommended Sell Zone: Trigger: Break below the ascending trendline + 21345 Reasoning: Historical support at 21345 has been confirmed multiple times (black box zone). A break below this level, coupled with a trendline breakdown, would suggest a shift to a corrective trend. Additionally, this level acted as a pullback zone during Friday’s rally, suggesting significant supply if revisited. Targets: TP1: 21265 TP2: 21206 TP3: 21120 Extended Scenario: If 21120 (marked in the blue box) is breached, additional downside is likely. While new entries are not recommended, breaking this level increases the probability of testing Thursday’s low. Conclusion The market showed downward momentum from Monday to Thursday last week, followed by a recovery on Friday. As a futures trader, I always consider both bullish and bearish scenarios, emphasizing the importance of flexibility and preparation. This approach ensures we can adapt to any market conditions effectively. Take some time to rest over the weekend, and let’s aim for another successful trading week ahead. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
NASDAQ Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Opportunities 25.01.03Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we’ll dive into a detailed analysis of the NASDAQ, starting with a review of the recent trading signals and results. Briefing Results 1. Sell Signal: Red Box Entry Entry Trigger: During the Asian session, prior to the Hang Seng market opening, the NASDAQ broke below Tuesday’s low of 21177. Result: Price quickly reached the target of 21128, delivering a clean, decisive trade. Profit: $1,000 per contract for a 48-point range. 2. Buy Signal: Green Box Entry Entry Trigger: During the transition between the Asian close and the European open, the price rebounded strongly, presenting a buy opportunity. Result: The maximum profit for this trade was 133 points, or approximately $2,660 per contract. 3. Sell Signal: Light Blue Box Entry Entry Trigger: During the U.S. session, the NASDAQ broke below the previous low of 21006. Although there was a notable rebound afterward, the price met its target. Observation: The candlesticks showed significant lower wicks, indicating strong attempts to hold support. Profit: $2,600 per contract for a 130-point range. Total Briefing Results: The maximum combined profit from these trades was $6,260 per contract, demonstrating the effectiveness of the strategy. Daily Chart Analysis The price tested but failed to sustain inside the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming a rebound at the lower boundary. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) has now intersected with the candles, signaling a pivotal moment. Key Watch Point: Whether the Lagging Span finds support at the candles or falls below them will be critical for determining the next directional move. Trend and Market Structure The NASDAQ remains firmly within a descending channel. A repeated pattern has emerged: modest gains during the Asian and European sessions, followed by a bearish reversal during the U.S. session. Breakout Requirement: A breakout above the blue box at 21575 is essential for confirming a shift out of the current downtrend. Until this occurs, the channel’s movement will likely persist as the prevailing trend. Buy Opportunities Recommended Entry: A breakout above the black box zone and the horizontal resistance at 21360 is required for a valid buy signal. Why This Zone Matters: On the 4-hour chart, this level aligns with the 20 EMA, which has acted as a resistance during U.S. session pullbacks. Breaking above this level would signal renewed bullish momentum. TP: 21421 / 21456 / 21492 / 21523 / 21575 A move beyond 21575 would strongly indicate a potential trend reversal, providing room for further upside. Sell Opportunities Recommended Entry: A conservative sell entry would occur if the price breaks below 21120, a key support zone. Reasoning: The lack of clear support below this level increases the risk of rapid, one-way moves. Observing how the price reacts to this zone will be critical for managing risk. Targets: Initial target: 20984 (yesterday’s low). Below 20984: If this level fails, the downside potential becomes unpredictable and will depend on market momentum. Conclusion The NASDAQ is currently at a critical juncture, with clear opportunities for both bulls and bears: For Buyers: Focus on breakouts above 21360 and 21575, as these levels are pivotal for a potential trend reversal. For Sellers: Watch for breakdowns below 21120, with the potential for significant downside if 20984 is breached. While the market remains volatile, patience and precision in executing trades at key levels will be essential for success. Let’s stay disciplined and take advantage of the opportunities the market provides. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 2 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - Initial jobless claims @ 13:30 News - None Directional bias - Not sure, will decide after analysis Morning analysis: M TF - Doji formed on the M TF, with a long upper wick of 11'636 pips. This indicates that bulls may have run out of steam to push price higher. Sellers may be entering the market at this point. So price could either be stalling at this level and then push through upwards, or bears may take control at this level and push price down. Price action on the lower timeframes will answer that question. W TF - DT has formed and price is currently below the neckline. The candle for this week has not closed yet and so we don't know for sure if neckline is in fact broken downwards (can only reach this conclusion once the candle is closed). But either way, price is very bearish, with sellers currently holding price below neckline. Also have a temporary uptrend line on W TF seemingly broken downwards (again can't know for sure until this weeks candle closes). D TF - I interpret the chart to indicate a massive DT with the neckline broken downwards. So I see very bearish price action. The Day candles have closed below the weekly DT neckline for 2 days in a row - very bearish. But in the early morning trading of today, price spiked down low and bulls have managed to fight back and push price higher (at time of writing). So maybe the W 0.618 level is holding strong. 4H TF - Bulls have pushed past the 4H 0.382 and 0.50 fib levels and price now at the 4H 0.618 fib level. This indicates that bulls have found strength. Also we have a small dojiísh green candle, followed by a gap up and the a long wick bullish green candle that has a body that is much larger than the previous candle. This indicates that bulls are (so far) building momentum upwards, even after a strong bearish push down (the long wick). However, price is at a very strong S&R zone (as indicated by the red highlight), so it remains to be seen if bulls can break this resistance zone. 1H TF - Early this morning there was a DB formed right at the W 0.618 level. If I was awake then, I definitely would have taken that buy. Price moved up and broke the pivot point + the 30min & 1H EMA, indicating that price is very bullish. Falling wedge pattern noted on the 4H and 1H TF (as marked in blue lines). These tend to break upwards, but can break in either direction. So the higher TF's are bearish and lower TF's are bullish, meaning we do not have TF confluence (all TF's are not saying the same things). I have already missed the buy, so I think considering the bearish indications on the higher TF's, today I will look for a sell! I will wait until the lower TF's are also giving bearish signals and then we will have TF confluence i.e. all TF's giving bearish signals. If that doesn't happen and price moves up, then I am happy to sit on the sidelines and wait a day or two until Nasdaq direction is clear again. The 7am 4H candle closed with a candle body bigger than the previous 4H candle. Indicating that bulls are picking up momentum and effectively breaking the 0.618 sell fib level. As the day progressed: A nice DT formed at the 4H 0.618 fib level. Entered a sell at the bottom hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Fib - 4H 0.618 fib 2. Trendline - temp uptrend broken downwards (as marked with the light blue line) 3. Market pattern - DT on 30 min TF with neckline broken down which formed at the top of the falling wedge pattern (i.e. at the downtrend line) 4. S&R - DT formed on strong S&R zone 5. Candle sticks - none Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, which was above the highest close of the DT peak. Price moved upwards with strength and momentum and closed a 15min candle above my mental stop and I closed my position - took a loss of 560 pips Turned out just to be a spike upwards when the 30min candle closed red with a long wick spike sticking up. Nasdaq can be such a bi@@tch sometimes with it's hectic spikes. So I re-entered a sell at roughly the some level as my first entry. Unfortunately for me, price moved up again, because the 1H + 30min EMA provided dynamic support. I closed my position at the blue arrow, taking another loss of 550 pips. So that's more than 1'000 pips on a full position size. This trade would have been higher quality if the 30min and 1H EMA's were broken down too. Then even though I had identified the red highlighted zone as a strong area of confluence for a sell (4H EMA + D 0.318 + W neckline), I took no action when price got there. Usually on area's of interest, I would move down to the 5min TF and take a position once a price reversal pattern forms. However, I am so used to working in a bullish environment that my brain didn't register what to do in a bearish environment. It sound's dumb because I literally didn't click that I need to take action now. I am not used to applying my strategy in reverse. So what I should have done is enter a sell again at the squiggly line on the 5min DT. Would have made a few thousand pips. But would have, could have, should have. Point is that I didn't take the sell and I do know from the past that I struggle to apply my strategy in reverse. Lesson: Write actions directly on my chart for bearish biases. I do take comfort from the fact that my analysis was ultimately correct (at time of writing), I just didnt find the correct entry today. Out for the day, I like to limit my daily losses to 1'000 pips. I know I can easily make this up and prefer to live to trade another day than trying to revenge trade. Hope you had a better 1st day trading than me! :) The total bullish move for the day was 3'100 pips (at time of posting) I captured ZEROOOOOOOO % of the total move AAAAAHHHHH :( Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
QQQ Fib Levels - just touched 2.0I used to be a big advocate for Fib levels, but I feel like the lead me astray more times than helped, but none the less here is a high-level look with my estimate of fib levels. If I did it correctly, QQQ just touched off the 2.0 level. This could explain the weakness we saw this holiday season instead of the normal "Santa Claus Rally". Will we get a sizeable correction in 2025? Don't know, but there is clear weakness with some form of pullback coming. Just short term or something bigger, hard to know yet. I'm in the camp of a pump and dump on the Trump administration. How does it go, buy the rumor, sell the news. Feels like it to me. Happy New Year!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Dr_Roboto
NASDAQ 2025: The First Direction? 25.01.01Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Tuesday Briefing Results Let’s start with the results of Tuesday’s briefing. Both buy and sell signals played out as expected. Buy Signal: The breakout above the resistance trendline and 21476 level was the trigger for a buy entry. The target was the yellow box supply zone, and the price moved as predicted. The breakout occurred after the NASDAQ had already corrected significantly, making it a reasonable entry. Maximum profit for this position was 120 points, equating to approximately $2,400 per contract. Sell Signal: For short positions, I recommended waiting for a breakdown of Monday’s low at 21253 in addition to the trendline break. The price broke 21253 and exceeded the target of 21204, providing a solid short trade. From the entry point, the NASDAQ dropped 70 points, yielding a profit of approximately $1,400 per contract. Total Potential Profit: Combined, the maximum profit for both trades was approximately $3,800 per contract on Tuesday. Daily Chart Analysis To prepare for Thursday, let’s examine the daily chart. As mentioned on Tuesday, the price touched the 60 EMA and briefly broke below it but ultimately closed at the EMA level. The remaining support is the December 20 low at 21006, which is the key level to watch. A breakdown below 21006 would confirm entry into the yellow box supply zone or potentially the red box demand zone. Key Observations: The red box zone aligns with the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud, which makes it a significant support level unlikely to break easily. However, the yellow box zone has no clear support levels, as it previously acted as a supply zone that pushed the price upward. If the price enters the yellow box, expect either volatile swings or a one-directional move, depending on market sentiment. Descending Broadening Pattern The NASDAQ is forming a descending broadening pattern after the sharp drop on December 27, 2024. Key Insights: Support levels appear weak, and the trend has shifted bearish since December 27. A complete trend reversal requires a breakout above 21734, the starting point of the pattern. Trading Strategy: For short positions: Focus on larger moves, as the downtrend dominates. For long positions: Keep trades short-term and within the range until a clear breakout invalidates the pattern. Buy Perspective Buy Entry Levels: First Entry: Breakout above the red box resistance trendline and 21360. If this level breaks, the price may briefly rise to the top of the yellow box at 21442. However, this is not a full trend reversal, so a conservative approach is recommended. Second Entry: Breakout above the blue resistance trendline. If this occurs, the yellow box top will likely already be broken, opening up a potential move to 21571. Even then, the trend reversal would still be incomplete, so caution is advised. Third Entry: Breakout above 21571. This level opens the path to the next significant resistance at 21746, providing a stronger buy signal with momentum. Sell Perspective Sell Entry Levels: First Entry: Breakdown below Tuesday’s low at 21177. Target: 21128, which corresponds to a past demand zone with historical support from prior wicks. Second Entry: Breakdown below 21128. Target: 21006, the December 20 low, which is a critical support level. Extended Target: If 21006 breaks, the daily chart opens up for a potential move into the 20000 range, as previously analyzed. Conclusion The NASDAQ is currently in a volatile and pivotal zone: For buyers: Focus on breakouts above key levels (21360, 21571) with conservative targets until a full trend reversal occurs. For sellers: Use breakdowns of key supports (21177, 21128, 21006) for entries, with room for larger moves in case of further downside. Patience and precision will be key to navigating this market. Let’s trade smart and make the most of these opportunities. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
NASDAQ 100 index / US 100 outlook Based on the previous week rejection of the 21742.33 zone, I'm anticipating price to come back to 21610.60 which is my daily point of interest for sell continuation (a pullback os anticipated) taking the Monday high as Inducement. But I'm looking forward to catching the pullback with the H4 POI: 21045.73 , yesterday's low as Inducement hence buying till we reach my daily poi before the sell continuation. What's your outlook on this. Comment let's interact Don't forget to follow to get notifications of I drop my outlooks.
FX:NAS100
by HallowAdept
1
Nasdaq Analysis: Wrapping Up 2024 with Precision 24.12.31Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today's analysis focuses on the Nasdaq. Results from Monday's Briefing Let’s start by reviewing the results of Monday's briefing. Buy Scenario: Breakout above the resistance trendline. Sell Scenario: Breakdown below the upward trendline. The buy scenario did not activate as the entry level was not reached. In the sell scenario, the price broke below the upward trendline and dropped to approximately 343 points lower. For a single contract, this move offered a profit of about $6,800, providing a solid opportunity for gains. Today's Analysis Daily Chart Overview If a rebound occurs, the price might bounce up to the 20-day moving average on the daily chart. However, instead of focusing on the rebound potential, it’s more important to analyze how much further the downside could extend. As of now: The 60-day moving average on the daily chart aligns near yesterday’s support zone at 21,253. This moving average could serve as short-term support. If this support fails: The price could drop to the recent low of 21,006, recorded on December 20, 2024. The red box marks a key level. If this zone breaks, the price could enter the cloud zone, fully entering the green box supply zone on the left. This could further open the possibility of a decline to the lower boundary of the green box. Buy Scenario Today's buy scenario presents two potential entry points: Entry 1: Breakout above the high supply zone from the Asian session + Breakout above 21,476.75. Target: Maximum 21,571. Entry 2: Breakout above 21,571 + Breakout above the yellow resistance trendline, located in the green box. Target 1: 21,666. Target 2: 21,739. Target 3: Maximum to the orange box. Targets 1 and 2 are based on the premise that the price has entered the white supply zone on the left. Sell Scenario For the sell scenario, the entry will not rely on the trendline break due to its shallow slope. Even if the trendline breaks, a retest bounce from yesterday's low of 21,253 is likely. Thus, the sell entry point will be upon a breakdown below the green box, which marks yesterday’s low of 21,253. Target 1: 21,204 (red box). The first target is relatively small because the past data shows a bounce from the orange box supply zone on the left. Target 2: 21,006, the low recorded on December 20, 2024. Conclusion Let’s finish 2024 strong! Since January 1 is a holiday, I’ll return with the next briefing on January 2. Happy New Year in advance, and see you soon!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 30 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None News - None Directional bias - BUY, all higher TFs are bullish Morning analysis: M TF - Bullish, but long wick starting to appear which indicates the pressure from bears - at time of writing, wick is 7'295 pips W TF - Potential W neckline identified. On line chart candle closes have managed to stay above upward trend line. D TF - Price came up to retest the DT (marked with green lines) and failed to successfully break the neckline upwards. Bears stepped in and pushed back down, now (at time of writing) it seems D EMA is acting as dynamic support. As the day progressed: Tried a small buy position at the top hand icon, but it turned out to be a fake out and I took a small loss (+- 300 pips). Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB on 30min TF 2. S&R - D EMA seemed to be acing as dynamic support 3. Trend - temporary pink downtrend line broken upwards 4. Fib - DB forming right at D 0.382 fib level Mental SL placed at the thick pink line i.e. half the height of the DB pattern. As candles started closing below my mental stop, I closed my position at 300 pips loss. Price was unable to break through the 30min EMA. If Nasdaq is particularly bullish or bearish, price will react to the 30min EMA. I was wary of this when I entered and so I entered my buy with a small position, ready to scale in if price moved my way. However, price moved down significantly, tapping the W 0.618 fib level and the D 50 EMA. Here price started to consolidate and formed a DB on the 15min TF. Entered a full position size buy at the blue arrow icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB on the 15TF, with a strong momentum candle breaking the neckline upwards (marked in turquoise lines) 2. S&R - strong D S&R zone (marked in red highlight on the D chart), from which price has significantly moved at A. and B. This level acted as resistance at A. and support at B. evidencing that this level is strong. 3. Trend - The temporary downtrend line (marked in orange) was broken upwards, indicating that price is no longer respecting this downtrend and is ready to move upwards. 4. Fib - Price wicked down to the W 0.618 fib level and the DB formed just above this level. This indicated that price is not only reacting to this level but also gave a trend reversal signal (DB pattern) at this level. 5. Candlesticks - A red inverted hammer candle formed on the 30min TF, just before the break of the 15min DB. This candle is bullish in nature and shows that bulls have entered the market and tried to push price higher, but bears did not have the strength to push price down significantly past the candle open. Indicates bearish loss of momentum. Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, placed below the W 0.618 fib level and below the candle wicks sticking out below this fib level. Price moved up nicely and I closed my position at 1'300 pips at the top blue arrow when price made a reversal pattern on the 15min TF (DT). YEAR END CLOSING: After today's nice profit, I decided to close out my trading year and so I wont be trading tomorrow. This year was my best trading year yet. I made 72% ROI and I can't help but say how proud I am of the progress I have made. It's been a long road, but seeing the returns slowly building is very rewarding. I hope you had a great trading year! And if not, this is a reminder that it is possible. It's extremely hard, but it is possible. Just keep going! All the best for 2025! :) Hope we make some good $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ :) The total move for the day in the direction that I was looking for was 3'118 pips: I captured 42 % of the total move and looking at the candles, I am happy with that. Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
"US100 / NASDAQ 100 / US TECH" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US100 / NASDAQ 500 / US TECH" Indices Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 22,800.0 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Thief_Trader
NAS 100: Bullish Trend with Year-End Pullback - Where To Next?In this video, I analyze the NAS 100 on higher timeframes, starting with a quick top-down review to explore a potential trade setup. The three-week and weekly charts indicate a bullish trend; however, as we approach the end of the year, there’s some pullback and uncertain price action. I share my insights on the current market conditions and discuss a possible trade idea. Please note, this is not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony