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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NASDAQ ANALYSIS💸NASDAQ💸 Chart : 4Hour Overall Trend : Bullish Current Market Structure : Downtrend Scenario 1 : | If you look at the overall trend on Nasdaq , we are currently in a bullish market . As price is respecting our trend-line . Where price is now we are currently sitting at a 4Hour supply area ,where sellers can come into play . As CPI impulsive move to the downside was recovered by the correction phase . Possible sell opportunities on the lower timeframe if 4h supply area holds , counter trend
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Brehayne_
Nvidia Q424 preview – this needs to be on everyone risk radar Whether trading equity, equity indices or even FX, Nvidia’s Q424 earnings (due after-market on 21 Feb) should be firmly on the risk radar. Markets could come alive with movement and traders may need to dynamically react. How the Nvidia share price reacts immediately after its earnings results and CEO Jensen Huang’s guidance could have far-reaching implications - not just for those holding exposures in Nvidia equity CFDs - but for those with open positions in NAS100 and US500, and even risk FX, such as AUD, NZD, and NOK. Nvidia is a true market darling – it hits the sweet spot in A.I revolution, which may not be a completely new theme, but given the sheer rate of change in the evolution market participants still have very low conviction when it comes to forecasting future cash flows. This inability to price certainty only increases the volatility. Looking at consensus expectations on sales, margins, and earnings may not prove to be overly worthwhile, given fundamentals mean little for what is essentially a pure momentum vehicle like Nvidia. It’s the commentary and guidance and the tone of the outlook that inspires investors, notably around its long-term data centre sales. We can explicate how the business is likely tracking from recent earnings numbers from the likes of AMD, SMCI and TSMC, and given the strong trends we’ve seen of late can assume sales are growing at a solid clip. Options structures price big moves on earnings If we look at the options market, the implied or expected move for the day of reporting sits at an impressive -/+11%. That level of implied volatility could indeed be mispriced, but an -/+11% move for a company with a $1.83t market cap would be staggering. When we consider that Nvidia has the fourth largest weight on both the S&P500 and NAS100, commanding a 4% and 5% weighting on each index respectively, an -/+11% move could have significant implications – especially if the move in Nvidia’s share price spreads into other A.I and mega-cap tech names, which it most probably would. Should we see a move in US equity futures it would likely impact the USD and risk FX, such as the AUD, NZD, or NOK. Staying in the options space, we see that Nvidia’s 1-week call options (10% out-of-the-money) currently commands an implied volatility of 100.8%, a clear premium over 1-week put options (with strikes 10% out of the money) at 85%. This is rare, as put option implied vol is typically higher than calls, given the increased relative demand to use put options to hedge against equity drawdown. We also see that 9 of the top 10 most traded options strikes recently (expiring on 23 Feb) are traders buying call options, which just adds to the view that equity traders are positioning portfolios for higher levels and remain incredibly bullish on their near-term prospects. The bottom line – Nvidia’s share price is not being driven by fundamentals – valuation matters little – it is all order flows and momentum. What matters to traders here is that the market expects a huge move on the day of earnings, and this could send ripples through broader markets. This creates opportunity but it also is a risk for traders that needs to be managed – put Nvidia on the risk radar.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Pepperstone
8
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea - Full ExplanationMarket Observations: The #NAS100 has maintained a bullish trajectory. However, price action on the monthly timeframe suggest the #US100 is overextended. Additionally, the weekly chart reveals a double top pattern, hinting at a potential retracement down to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci levels. This area could provide the liquidity needed for major market players to fill long orders. Trade Strategy: Consider an intraday/swing trade short entry following a potential stop run above the current range. Target an initial profit level around the previous lows near 17250, with a secondary target at 17000 (slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci level on a 1W chart). Implement a well-placed stop-loss order to manage risk effectively. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my observations and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own independent research and carefully assess your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
FX:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Market Observations: The #NAS100 has maintained a bullish trajectory. However, price action on the monthly timeframe suggest the #US100 is overextended. Additionally, the weekly chart reveals a double top pattern, hinting at a potential retracement down to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci levels. This area could provide the liquidity needed for major market players to fill long orders. Trade Strategy: Consider an intraday/swing trade short entry following a potential stop run above the current range. Target an initial profit level around the previous lows near 17250, with a secondary target at 17000 (slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci level on a 1W chart). Implement a well-placed stop-loss order to manage risk effectively. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my observations and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own independent research and carefully assess your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
FX:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bearish reversalThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target. Entry: 17,728.70 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level Stop Loss: 17,852.90 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lies above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 17,515.80 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lies above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by VantageMarkets
Nasdaq - Time To SellHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 14 years the nasdaq has been trading in a super obvious bullish parallel rising channel. In the beginning of 2023 we had another retest of the lower support which was followed by a +65% rally. If the Nasdaq rejects the current resistance towards the donwside and retests the support mentioned in the analysis, I will then be looking for long setups again. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
TVC:NDQ
by basictradingtv
4
Nasdaq Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
SKILLING:US100Short
by ShahedZare
1
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 8 Feb 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Looking exclusively for buys - the trend is your friend! :) Did my analysis at +- 5:20am During analysis noted the following: Bulls rallied over 2000 pips yesterday and overnight, had managed to keep price at this level. Market has consolidated in a triangle / rising wedge pattern (I felt it was more a rising wedge pattern based on the bodies of the candles) Rising wedge patterns tend to break down, but can break either way Pivot point and fib levels are far down from where price currently is, +- 800 pips. So I need to be careful buying because if the market does retrace, it is a big draw down that I will have to handle. Initial jobless claims will be released today - I feel that due to the sensitivity of the Fed / interest rate debate, this may cause volatility at time of release. Pivot point zone looks of interest to me as a potential buy zone because it is close to the 1H 0.382 fib level, creating an area of confluence. This fib drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B. To make matters a bit more exciting, I am not able to be at my trading screens today. This means I need to set my buy limits and hope for the best. I set my buy limit for 50% of my usual position size at C. - Confirmations: Fib - This represented the 0.382 fib level S&R - pivot point I set a second buy limit at D. for 50% of my usual position size - Confirmations: Fib - This represented the 0.618 fib level Trendline - blue uptrend line, intersecting this area S&R - 4H 20 EMA was roughly at this level Unfortunately, price never reached my buy zones. When I returned to my screens and did my analysis, I noted that the entry for today would have been quite clear. If I was trading properly today, I would have entered at E. because price made a nice double bottom just above my zone, by the 1H EMA. I would have entered on the break of the neckline, which also meant that price had broken back above the 1H EMA There was also a nice inverted hammer candle on the 1H TF, followed by a green momentum candle at E. further supporting the buy entry. Market moved up from here +- 700 pips. What could I have done differently? Nothing, as I wasn’t able to be at my desk today! :( Hope you had a good trading day! TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance EMA = Exponential moving average
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Nasdaq Intraday Review – Wednesday 7 Feb 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:20am During analysis noted the following: The 4H EMA has acted as a strong support for 2 x 4H candles (marked at A.) The D neckline (you see it better on the line chart) that was previously broken down and re-tested by market, is resistance turned support & is acting as a strong support Trend is clearly uptrend - nearly seen from D line chart Looking exclusively for a buy - The trend is your friend Entered a sell (even though I just said I was looking for buys ;) ) at B - Confirmations: - Market Patterns - Market had broken the 4H neckline marked in pink, travelled down the same distance as the height of the pattern i.e. reach profit target and was now returning to test the neckline. The early morning bulls had pushed past the neckline but met bear resistance at C. It looked as if bears had won the battle as price was pushed below 1H + 30min EMA + pivot point at E. So even though I was looking for a buy, I believed market would sell as neckline failed the bull re-test - Candlesticks - Strong bear momentum candles between E. and B. on 15min through to 1 H TF - Fib - Point C. was at the seller's 0.618 fib retracement level and market was moving aggressively down - S&R - Pivot point had failed as support and 30min + 1H EMA was acting as resistance - Trendline - This was against the trend but I looked to me like a trend change in progress The 4H EMA + the red support line of the "D Neckline " was too strong for bears to break down and ultimately market moved up from here. I closed at my mental stop, which was the thick pink line, taking a loss of 445 pips. Usually I would have been discouraged that my first entry for the day did not work out. Usually, self-doubt creeps in and I become very insecure and hesitant. Today, I was determined not to let that happen and keep my mental state as level as possible. Watching price action carefully and needing to be convinced that market had indeed properly broken through the neckline, I entered a buy at D. - Confirmations: - Market Pattern - My initial reason for selling is not turned around so, price seemed to have convincingly broken through the neckline, meaning that the down trend was over and an uptrend would begin - Fib - Point B. was at the buyers 0.50 fib level, representing a strong fib level - Candlesticks - I opened a buy after a very long wick green hammer candle closed on the 15min TF. This represented market testing the pivot point one last time with a big rejection. - S&R - The 30min + 1H EMAs + pivot had turned into support - Trend - Trading with the overall trend which usually tends to be my most profitable trades. Also the orange temporary down trend had been broken Usually when self-doubt creeps in, I tend to open very small positions in an attempt not to increase my losses for the day. But this time I opened at my full position size. As market moved up, I closed partial profits to cover my losses for the day and still have a runner open which I will close as per what the candles are saying. Market has moved 1886 pips from my position, I am trading risk free (stop loss at entry) with my losses covered for the day. So I am a happy chappy! Ultimately I closed my position at 17739, when a double top started forming on the 30 min. What could I have done differently? I had analysed in the morning that the 4H EMA and the red slanted support line were very strong, but I choose to ignore that when I entered my sell as price was right at this level. I should have waited to see how price would react to these strong elements before jumping in. Hope you caught this nice buy! TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance EMA = Exponential moving average
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Wolfe Research thinks NAS100 moves higherWolfe Research thinks NAS100 moves higher Several mega-cap entities, including Meta and Nvidia, are propping up the Nasdaq 100, following Jerome Powell's 60 Minutes interview on Sunday, which has further diminished the likelihood of a March rate cut (currently below 20%, according to the Financial Times). Potential support zones might materialize around the 17,450 and 17,100 levels, with the latter representing the bottom of last week's significant wick. Positioned just above this level is the 20-day moving average. Short-term declines could be possible entry opportunities into the market, with a particular focus on the support levels. Wolfe Research anticipates the market's upward grind to persist until U.S. economic growth expectations diverge from current projections, with smaller-cap stocks overperforming as they play catch-up to their mega-cap counterparts. The first resistance worth monitoring appears near 17,600, roughly aligning with the all-time highs for the index.
BLACKBULL:NAS100
by BlackBull_Markets
NAS100 - EMBARKING ON THE BIGGEST BULLRUN IN HISTORY? Hello Traders, what a week it has been! So I think it is justified to provide you with everything I know and show you how I see things. On the chart you’ll notice an image. The image shows theoretical price action with a parabolic curve step-like formation, representing an idealised pattern in price action trading. The formation begins with Base 1, where the stock starts to show an uptrend, followed by Base 2, indicating continued growth and increased investor interest. Base 3, marked by an "X", signals a critical entry point for traders, as it suggests potential for the stock to double in value rapidly. We are depicted to be at this third phase, which is considered the most opportune moment for entry before the final ascent. Base 4 represents the peak of the trend, culminating in a Sell Point where the stock reaches its maximum and sharply declines, thus completing the pattern. However, as we gear up for the CPI data release on the 13th of February, be aware that it might steer us into a broad consolidation phase. The market's parabolic trend may not be sustainable given the upcoming figures. Prudence is key here—anticipate potential stabilisation or sideways price action as the market digests the CPI results. Additionally, watch out for how price reacts to the BOS level. No structure is definite and it's important to adapt to what price is showing us and not to cling to an idea that no longer is valid. NAS100 Weekly NAS100 Daily To add to this NAS100 analysis, I think it’s important to discuss its main components. The "Magnificent Seven" Big Tech stocks, including Nvidia, Apple, and Amazon, have seen varied performance since the pandemic, challenging the notion of them as a homogenous group. The dispersion in their returns and diverse business models highlight the differences within the sector. While Nvidia thrives as an AI specialist and Apple boasts defensive qualities, Amazon combines retail with cloud computing. The sector's valuation spectrum reflects a mix of growth prospects and market expectations, suggesting a nuanced investment landscape rather than a uniform "bubble." This diversity raises questions about the future performance of growth versus value stocks within these leading tech companies. Apple's revenue grew during the holiday quarter, driven by iPhone sales and a record in services, despite a drop in China sales due to competition and geopolitical issues. The company faces regulatory scrutiny and a patent dispute, but remains optimistic about its product ecosystem and upcoming launches like the Vision Pro headset. Amazon's stock surged 7.9% following a report of strong holiday sales, boosting its market value by approximately $135bn. CEO Andy Jassy highlighted the company's future focus on AI, projecting AI revenues to reach "tens of billions," further driving optimism for its growth potential. Alphabet's shares dropped after advertising revenues missed expectations, despite integrating its Gemini AI into various services. The company plans significant investments in AI infrastructure, raising investor concerns about the balance between growth and expenditure in the generative AI race. Meta's shares soared over 20% after announcing a first-ever dividend and a $50bn increase in share buybacks, signalling recovery from a recent advertising slump. The company plans more investment in AI and the metaverse, despite expecting short-term AI products not to significantly drive 2024 revenue. Full-year expenses are projected to rise notably. Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market, essential for technologies like OpenAi's ChatGPT, has driven its significant growth, with the stock more than doubling in value over the past year. This surge contrasts with the broader semiconductor industry's struggles with excess inventory and reduced demand in other sectors. Nvidia's success is partly due to partnerships with major tech firms like Microsoft and Meta, with the latter planning to acquire almost 600,000 high-end Nvidia GPUs for AI research. This focused investment in AI has positioned Nvidia at the forefront of the data centre market, overshadowing traditional leaders like Intel. Microsoft's shares fluctuate after announcing strong cloud sales integrated with OpenAI's tech, but ended lower due to concerns over high investments in AI infrastructure. Despite a 20% increase in cloud revenues, investors remain cautious about the costs associated with expanding AI capabilities. Tesla's shares dropped 12% amid warnings of lower sales growth due to reduced demand and increased competition. CEO Elon Musk announced a new lower-cost car for 2025, aiming to regain momentum. Tesla faces challenges from price cuts, higher costs, and a shift in the EV market, impacting its financial performance. Here’s some economic theory for you, to add some more depth to the analysis. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, particularly changes in the federal funds rate, has a significant impact on bond yields and, subsequently, stock prices. When the Fed raises interest rates to combat inflation or cool down an overheating economy, bond yields tend to rise as well. Higher bond yields make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, which can lead to a decline in stock prices as investors may shift away from equities. Conversely, when the Fed lowers interest rates to stimulate economic growth, bond yields often decrease, making stocks more appealing, which can boost stock prices. So, Fed rate decisions play a crucial role in influencing the relationship between bond yields and stock prices. In economic theory, bond yields and stock prices exhibit a negative correlation. This is why yield charts matter. Have a look: The general outlook is that the US Federal Reserve is cautious about cutting rates despite inflation slowing, due to concerns about potential economic growth and inflation resurgence. Market expectations of rate cuts exceed the Fed's projections, but with inflation drivers easing, the case for reducing rates is growing stronger. However, the US job market added 353,000 jobs in January, surpassing the expected 180,000, leading to reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in March. The strong job growth supports the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, despite political pressures. In my opinion, if the US economy continues to show such resilience and the next CPI release is lower than consensus, we might be witnessing the beginning of the largest bull run in history. In summary, the NAS100's trajectory is at a crossroads with the upcoming CPI data potentially triggering market consolidation, despite the recent parabolic pattern. The diverse performance among Big Tech stocks underscores the need for nuanced analysis. While Federal Reserve policies continue to sway bond yields and stock prices, the strong job market suggests caution in anticipating rate cuts. Keep a close eye on how the NAS100 responds to the interplay of inflation data and tech sector dynamics. Overall, maintain a strategic approach and be ready to adjust to new information as we navigate these complex market conditions. Stay informed, stay agile. As always, I hope you enjoyed this one and have a great weekend!! ;)
FX:NAS100Long
by Lexi_Is_Trading