🔥 #NASDAQ - More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index (NAS100) chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price is still being corrected based on the previous analysis, and if it stabilizes below the level of 18290, we can expect a further drop from the price, whose Its targets will be 18150, 18090 and 17950 respectively!!
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NASDAQ 100 CFD
NAS 100 I Potential long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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NAS100 Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18217.2.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 18560.5.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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N1WEEKLY
Highest high, peak, top price. 18467, we bouncing around these areas and that is indication of more bulls to come. For now it's first a matter of getting momentum to go.
DAILY
18300 being the strong level of rejection with wicks all over the place is signs of reversals we would anticipate them going down and falling hard.
4H
Aiming down, possibly to 17900. But it's not conclusive as all the slowing down (wicks, spinning tops, dojis) all show reversals of current price and rejection so we'll wait.
1H
Bounce of 18180 will give us the idea we need for the next move.
15Min
Bad trade idea so rather stay waiting
NASDAQ is approaching a significant level.Hey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NASDAQ for a selling opportunity around 18300 zone, NASDAQ is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 18300 support and resistance area.
We would also like to consider the current bullish bias on DXY due to the negative correlation that may put extra pressure on NASDAQ.
Trade safe, Joe.
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea #US100 #NASDAQNAS100 has traded bullish and is currently over extended. In the video we look at the trend, market structure, price action and we discuss two potential trade opportunities on both the 1D and 4H time frames. Not financial advice, manage risk well.
NASDAQ Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NASDAQ for a buying opportunity around 18220 zone, NAS100 was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 18220 support area.
Trade safe, Joe.
N1Good thing we were patient and stayed out.
Following the previous post, I had not set out an idea. This was just placed and not taken.
Now we have a better idea as to where and what to do:
We waiting for the retest on the rectangle and confirmation of bull movement before we set out our buy stops and market entries to go with the bull run.
US100/NASDAQ/USTECH Bearish Side Short PlanOla Ola Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of NASDAQ Market. Guys U can enter at my entry area or below the trending candles, Our target is Caution Zone. This is my Intraday Robbery plan. Guys Kindly Loot and escape before the Caution zone bexause trend make Pullback or Sideways so becareful.
Nasdaq H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Nasdaq (NAS100) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 18,253.60
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Stop Loss: 17,994.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that sits below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 18,605.45
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
N1Sum of the averages within the blue boxes and that is still what I am seeing. I had a great long last week but was taken out by the SL in profit, yet it went the full direction of the forecast.
We seeing a flag forming that is slightly bearish, which would allow us to place buy stops just above and a SL below the flag low, but this is the high price Nas has ever hit. So from my own observation and backtesting, before it goes through a high again. It will drop and gain momentum and spend 3-5 days pushing further up or collapsing before finally going in the obvious direction you had set out.
Trade Idea : NONE sit your ass in that chair and stay patient
NAS100/NASDAQ HIGHER CONTEXT BUYHello fellow traders, this idea is BUY only. if you can wait for this zone.
The BTFP already dried up since March 11, Im expecting a bearish scenario on most indices like this $nas100. This idea is for higher context traders who like swing.
This is not a financial advice either, Im not giving a higher explanations on my idea.
Trade it or wait for it. You either a short or Longs.
This is only for traders who understands higher timeframes.
NASDAQ Aiming Higher: New Upward Rally Continues!NASDAQ maintains its upward trajectory, continuing its ascent in a new rally. With bullish momentum intact, the index remains focused on reaching higher levels. Investors are optimistic about the sustained growth potential, driving confidence in the NASDAQ's performance. As the rally persists, attention is keenly directed towards emerging opportunities and potential market developments. Amidst evolving market dynamics, the NASDAQ's resilience and upward momentum underscore its significance as a key benchmark for technology and growth-oriented stocks.
NAS100 incoming Rally!It's been a minute but here is a quick Freebie for y'all! Enjoy! We have been destroying CME_MINI:NQ1! lately on all of our funded accounts.
Quick Scalp Trade:
Entry@ 18273.75
Take Profit #1 @ 18341.00
Stop Loss @ 18266.50
Larger Swing Trade:
Entry@ 18273.75
Take Profit #2 @ 18672
Stop Loss @ 18104.25
QQQ bearish Head-and-Shoulders pattern confirmedNASDAQ:QQQ has shaped Head-and-Shoulders formation on the daily chart. Daily downtrend confirmed, weekly consolidation has started.
Please note that broad SP500 market is still technically in an uptrend, meaning that buyers are still strong. So if you plan entering SHORT on QQQ I would wait for a pullback to increase risk-reward. An example of possible trade is shown on the chart. Of course, it is important to monitor how things develop and make corrections if needed.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
A Traders’ Weekly Playbook: Long event risk, short sleepThe markets will come alive this week reacting to the outcomes of an incredible array of tier 1 event risk, with some 14 central bank meetings, including six G10 central bank meetings, as well as numerous emerging market central banks too.
At a more micro level, Nvidia takes centre stage with the highly anticipated GPT conference a potential volatility driver for the AI juggernaut. We consider that the findings could impact the wider semiconductor space and even promote volatility across broad markets.
In the playbook, we break down what matters most in each event risk and what could drive market moves above all else, while offering trading thoughts on where the skew of risk resides.
This coming week there will be opportunities across markets, but more importantly, the ability to skillfully manage risk and assess correct position sizing will be where traders live to fight another day.
For a more detailed run-through of the week’s events, as well as analysis of the technical set-ups front of mind and the trades I am reviewing, join the livestream on TradingView on Monday at 1pm AEDT.
Good luck to all.
Key event risk for the radar this week
Nvidia GTC conference (18-21 March)
After a record 10 weeks of consecutive gains for Nvidia’s share price, investors get a chance to hear more about the future of generative AI, as well as new products in the pipeline and potential sales opportunities through the lens of the AI market leader. We hear from CEO Jensen Huang (on 18 March) and other key figures within the business. Expectations that the conference will hit the sweet spot are sky-high and the options market implies an -/+11.6% move in the share prices by Friday.
The importance of Nvidia to the broad US and even global equity market can’t be overstated and the read-through to semiconductors and the wider NAS100 is a real risk. AI has been the key equity theme for a while and will continue to be so, and Nvidia is at the epicentre of this. The prospect of a sell-on-fact scenario is a real risk.
Tencent – a key influence on the HK50 index, Tencent report earnings on 20 March with the options market implying a -/+3.8% move on the day of earnings. The HK50 index has formed a wedge pattern within a long-term bear channel – a set-up that needs monitoring – preference to chase strength should price break above 17,200.
FOMC meeting (21 March at 05:00 AEDT) and Chair Jay Powell’s press conference (05:30 AEDT)
What to focus on:
• The Fed won’t cut rates at this meeting and the guidance and overall tone will likely remain unchanged from prior commentary. US interest rate swaps price 75bp of cuts by year-end, so the FOMC statement, economic projection (SEPs) and Jay Powell’s press conference will need to reconcile against that pricing.
• The ‘dots’ are key – if 2 Fed members lift their projection for the fed funds rate in 2024 it will result in the median projection for the collective being reduced to 2 cuts (from 3) through 2024. Given market pricing for 75bp of cuts this year, a move towards 2 cuts for 2024 as the median ‘dot’ should cause US bond yields to spike higher, taking the USD higher and US equity and gold trade lower.
• The longer-term projection for the fed funds rate – or what is considered the ‘neutral rate’ for Fed policy - currently sits at 2.5% - could this be revised higher to 2.75%?
• If the Fed’s 2024 dot for 2024 remains at 4.6% (and for 3 rate cuts), but we also see an upgrade to the 2024 GDP forecast (currently 1.4%), we could feasibly see a relief rally in equity and gold and promote USD sellers.
Trader thoughts: The algo’s will be set to respond rapidly to the 2024 dot, as this is what matters above all else. A move to pencil in 2 rate cuts this year is not consensus but it is a real possibility and would likely see markets implied rate cuts by December 2024 reduced from 75bp to 60bp of implied cuts. This outcome would see the USD spike and see equity and gold trade lower. Conversely, if the 2024 ‘dot’ remains at 3 cuts, then we could see an immediate relief rally in risky assets and gold. The risk to markets seems balanced, so it seems prudent to reduce exposures over the FOMC meeting and look to react accordingly when the facts are known.
BoJ meeting (19 March – likely seen between 1pm and 4pm AEDT)
• Despite strong union wage increases on Friday, 29 of 31 economists see BoJ rates left at -0.1%, with a view that the BoJ send a strong signal they will hike rates in the April meeting. Market pricing, however, implies a 10bp hike at 50%, suggesting an elevated risk of JPY volatility over the meeting.
• We also look for changes to Yield Curve Control (YCC) and/or the pace of bond and ETF purchases.
Trader thoughts – Again, the algos will play a key role in determining initial market moves, and hedge funds will set them to respond squarely on whether we see a 10bp hike or not. While the broad market is short of JPY it feels that unless we see a 10bp hike and changes to the rate of JGB purchases then it will be hard to promote a material move higher in the JPY.
Swiss National Bank (21 March at 19:30 AEDT)
• The Swiss swaps market prices the chance of a 25bp cut at 30%
• 18 of 20 economists see interest rates unchanged at 1.75%
Trader thoughts – Two weeks ago the broad view was that the SNB could cut rates by 25bp, perhaps even by 50bp – now the broad consensus view is that the SNB leave policy unchanged at 1.75%. Given market pricing, the risk is we see a bigger move lower in the CHF on a 25bp cut, than any potential rally in the CHF should the SNB leaves policy unchanged. Short CHFJPY and Long USDCHF positions subsequently look attractive – although, as many traders will attest to, trading over news like this needs to be carefully considered and position sizing is of paramount importance.
Banxico (22 March at 06:00 AEDT)
• Mexican swaps price a 25bp cut at an 80% probability.
• 16 of 18 economists see a 25bp rate cut to get the overnight rate to 11%
Trader thoughts – With a 25bp cut - that commences a potential cutting cycle, largely priced by rates traders, a surprise outcome to leave rates unchanged could see USDMXN trade through 16.65 and into new cycle lows. Should the market get the expected 25bp cut we could see a move through 16.75, but the extent of the rally will be down to the statement and whether there is a strong appetite to cut again soon.
Bank of England (21 March at 23:00 AEDT)
• The BoE statement will likely be a low volatility event for the GBP, with the UK swaps market not pricing the first full 25bp cut until August. Look for a 7-1-1 split decision and a patient stance, with the BoE content with current market pricing on rate expectations.
Trader thoughts – I hold no real directional bias for the GBP from this meeting, so GBPUSD will likely take its direction from the UK CPI print and moves in the S&P500 and broad risk semantics. That said, the trend in GBPUSD skews risks to the downside, and I favour GBPUSD shorts, with stops above 1.2770.
RBA meeting (19 March at 14:30 AEDT)
• Aussie interest rate futures prices a zero probability of a cut at this meeting, with a full 25bp cut priced by September. We also see 38bp (or 1.5 25bp cuts) priced by December.
• The RBA statement will likely remain largely unchanged, guiding that “it will take some time before inflation is sustainably in the target range”, and “further increase in interest rates cannot be ruled out”. While other central banks actively express a bias for rate cuts, it would be a shock to the market if the RBA opened the door to cuts in this statement.
Trader thoughts – the RBA meeting will likely be a low-volatility affair, and AUDUSD is likely to take its direction this week from the FOMC meeting, as well as iron ore, copper, and Chinese equities. A break of 0.6550 may see the early March lows of 0.6477 revisited, although this would be unlikely unless the VIX index trades into 17% and we see broad de-risking through broad markets.
Norges (Norway) Bank (21 March at 20:00 AEDT) – the market implies a zero probability of a change in Norwegian interest rates at this meeting, with the first 25bp cut not fully priced until September. I am biased for USDNOK to push towards the top of the range at 10.70.
China PBoC 1 & 5-year Prime rate (20 March at 12:15 AEDT) – after a larger-than-expected cut last month to the prime rate (the benchmark rate that households and businesses can borrow from commercial banks), the PBoC are unlikely to cut the prime rate again this time around. A surprise cut would therefore likely see Chinese/HK equities rally.
Colombia central bank (23 March at 05:00 AEDT) – the consensus is for rates to be cut by 50bp to 12.25%. Will this forum be the catalyst to see USDCOP break out of the tight trading range the pair has held throughout 2024?
Brazil central bank (21 March at 08:30 AEDT) – the overwhelming consensus is that we see the Selic (interest) rate cut by 50bp cut to 10.75%.
Other key economic data points of note – China retail sales/industrial production/property sales (18 March), Canada CPI (19 March), UK CPI (20 March), Australia employment report (21 March), EU manufacturing and services PMI (21 March).
NASDAQ under the pressure of a strong DollarHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 18130 zone, NASDAQ is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 18130 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.