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NASDAQ 100 CFD

Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 5 March 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:20am During analysis noted the following: So following on from Monday's analysis, I had identified the yellow highlighted area as my "Zone 2" area of interest This was a strong area of confluence because: It was the 4H 0,618 fib level (drawn from swing low at A to swing high at B) + Day 0,382 fib level + 4H EMA (position during the morning roughly marked in green) I entered a pretty big buy at C. and set my stop loss really low at the orange thick line. Ultimately I watched my position tank and took a big loss. This scenario has caught me out many times before. I know that before entering at a fib level, one should wait for price action to confirm the reversal. If you look at the price action at C. level, there is clearly no price action indicating a reversal. But if you trade Nasdaq and you know this index well, you will know that Nasdaq very often does not give price action confirmation on the bigger timeframes (15min and above) You see it all the time how Nasdaq will dip down touch an area and the spike back up, leaving a loooooong wick candle of a hundreds of pips. Some of my most profitable trades have been entering at these levels without price action confirmation. But like yesterday, it can also bite me in the behind. I still haven't figured this out yet. Maybe there is confirmation on a lower timeframe? If you know what I mean and have an antidote, please let me know! ;) My next area of interest was the green highlighted zone. This represented an area of confluence because: The D EMA was at this level This was also the Week 0,50 fib level This time I did wait for price action confirmation :) And in typical Nasdaq style, it only gave it to me way above my area i.e. 600 pips above where I would've wanted to enter (see what I mean). So I entered at D. - Confirmations: Market Pattern - a DB had formed on the 15min TF with a break of the neckline Candlesticks - neckline break with strong momentum candle Fib - W 0,50 fib level and market moving up S&R - Dynamic support from the D EMA Market moved up and I have secured my positions at entry, so trading risk free today. I hope market moves well today. Lots of news so could be choppy! What could I have done differently? Still trying to figure it out, but on the surface, I don’t think I could have done anything different other than cutting my losses sooner. As said, this strategy often pays off for me. All the best! TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance EMA = Exponential moving average DT = Double Top DB = Double Bottom
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Is Nasdaq finally done?Two weeks ago, I mentioned the possibility of a significant correction for PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 , suggesting that the index could drop to as low as the 16k zone. As always, navigating uncharted territories, particularly at all-time highs (ATHs), presents challenges in determining price levels and timing trades. However, I now have a reference point, which is yesterday's high. From a technical perspective, as I've mentioned previously, we're observing a rising wedge pattern, typically indicative of a reversal, coupled with indicators showing divergence. In conclusion, in my opinion, we have reached a peak for now, and PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is likely to enter a correction phase.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Mihai_Iacob
5
NASDAQ Hits Record Highs:A Short-Term Correction on the Horizon?Last week witnessed the Nasdaq soaring to new heights, surging to an all-time high of 18,346 during the European session. However, amidst this bullish fervor, indications of a possible retracement loom on the horizon. As the Nasdaq index ventures into overbought territory, as evidenced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), investors are cautiously eyeing a potential reversal. With the RSI signaling overbought conditions, market sentiment suggests a corrective move, with the 18,000 level emerging as a plausible target for price adjustment before contemplating further bullish momentum. In the realm of economic events, this week's agenda is marked by significant announcements. Today, investors eagerly await the release of the Sentix Investor Confidence data for March, which could offer insights into market sentiment and future investment outlooks. Looking ahead, all eyes turn to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's semi-annual monetary policy report and congressional testimony scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday. Powell's remarks are anticipated to provide clarity on the Fed's stance regarding interest rates and monetary policy measures, potentially influencing market sentiment and investor behavior. Simultaneously, Thursday brings forth the highly anticipated monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB's announcement will shed light on its policy outlook and potential measures to address economic challenges, offering valuable cues for market participants. In light of these developments, investors are preparing for a short setup, anticipating a temporary correction in the Nasdaq's upward trajectory. While record highs have been achieved, prudent risk management strategies are in place to navigate potential market fluctuations and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
FX:NAS100Short
by FOREXN1
5
Nasdaq racing to 18,800 level - Trenders havenSInce the Nasdaq reached our take profit, our hands have been sat on! It's tricky for a breakout trader to trade the trends. We never know how long to hold on for (with daily interests that eat up our portfolios). So, I can only assume the uptrend will prevail until it reaches a target of 18,800. This is most likely where the US 30 will reach its target at 40,000 psychological level. But until then, we'll just wait for our breakout pattern to emerge.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Timonrosso
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 4 March 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:20am (just before 1am EST) Looking exclusively for a buy because "the trend is your friend" During analysis noted the following: Price consolidating in a triangle on 1H (marked by blue circle) I feel the market will retrace today Two interest zones identified Zone 1: Area of confluence because - Pivot point 4H 0,382 fib level (fib drawn from swing low at A to swing high at B) Market pattern - Just past profit target if a double top forms; market tends to reverse at or near profit target to re-test the neckline. I like being part of a re-test that is the same as the overall trend (bullish in this case) Zone 2: Area of confluence because - 4H 0,618 fib level D 0,382 fib level 4H EMA (was in this region at time of analysis and throughout the day) I set buy limits at each zone as follows: A smallish buy position at Zone 1, because for me the confirmations are not soo strong and it really depends on price action so I will judge the market sentiment based on candles to see if I add more A large buy position at Zone 2, because these are strong confirmations and price should at least bounce from here. Ultimately a DT did form and break the neckline down. But market was very slow and none of my zones of interest were triggered. In the evening, I cancelled my buy order in Zone 1 because I felt market was very slow and I wouldn’t get the reaction that I wanted in this area. Clearly, investors are waiting for the inflationary data this week. What could I have done differently? Nothing Hope you had a good trading day! :) TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance EMA = Exponential moving average DT = Double Top DB = Double Bottom
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
A Traders’ Weekly Playbook: Records are there for breaking After a quiet start to the week in markets, Friday’s US session saw risk come alive. A poor US ISM manufacturing at 47.8 – notable in the new orders and employment sub-components – was married with comments from Fed members Lorie Logan and Chris Waller, in turn promoting a strong rally in US Treasuries, with additional rate cuts being priced through 2024. The result was new all-time highs in the US500, US30 and NAS100, with the US2000 eyeing a key breakout of its longer-term range high. New US equity highs backed new highs seen in the AUS200, JPN225 and EU Stoxx and GER40. Gold also got huge attention from clients, rallying 1.9% to set at a new closing high, and we’ve seen many in our alt-crypto offering (notably Bitcoin cash) ripping. We’ll see if the feel-good factor lasts, but I find it interesting that equity and risky assets rallied despite seeing poor US data – where it’s easy to argue that poor data that increases economic slowdown risk, could have prompted risk aversion. So, while we can also point to Fed chatter, it seems in this case bad economic data was good for risk, with the overriding factor being increased rate cut expectations. We’ll see if that same reaction is seen in the outcome of the US ISM services print and the various labour market readings, as these will be the key cross-asset drivers this week. Powell’s testimony to Congress will also get a look-in from traders and we know if he wants to move market pricing he can. The ECB and BoC meeting and the China NPC meeting will get good attention but will play second fiddle to the US data. The poor market internals in equity may be an amber warning sign to some, but market internals and breadth have offered no profitable signal for a while - pullbacks remain shallow and there is a hunt to go hard on risk. There is plenty to navigate this week but for now, the price action shows that the bulls are very much in control. Long equity hedged with gold exposures seems the play, and looking at the charts on the higher timeframes it feels like the path of least resistance being onwards and upwards. Good luck to all. The marquee event risks for the week ahead: The key risk events for markets this week – China NPC meeting, ECB meeting, Jay Powell’s testimony to Congress & US nonfarm payrolls. Monday Switzerland CPI (18:30 AEDT) – the market looks for CHF headline CPI to print 1.1% yoy (from 1.3%) and core CPI at 1% (from 1.2%). The CHF swaps market prices a 25bp cut at the Swiss National Bank (SNB) meeting on 21 March at 70%, so a weaker than expected CPI print should see the market push that implied to c.90%, suggesting the SNB could lead G10 central banks in the sequencing of policy easing. As a result the CHF could become a consensus short from hedge funds. Look for XAUCHF to rally hard on a weak CPI number. Tuesday   US ISM Services Index (Wednesday 02:00 AEDT) – the market looks for the services index to print 53.0 (from 53.4). Given the moves in risky assets (equity, credit) and gold post last week’s ISM manufacturing this data point could drive market volatility. A print below 51.0 would be a surprise and promote further upside in XAUUSD, with the market putting notable attention on the new orders and unemployment components of the survey. Japan (Feb) Tokyo CPI (10:30 AEDT) – the market looks for JP headline CPI to print 2.5% (from 1.6%) and CPI ex-food and energy unchanged at 3.1%. After last week’s upside surprise in the JP national CPI print, and the upside move in 2-year JGB yields to 0.19% (the highest level since May 2011), the market will watch this one closely and an upside surprise could see JPY shorts cover. BoJ Gov Ueda speaks at a fintech summit (15:00 AEDT) – after speaking last week at the G20 meeting and his comments considered dovish, we’ll see if this is the forum for a change in Ueda’s stance. ‘Super Tuesday’ – the biggest day in the primaries calendar, with some 15 states voting to nominate their choice of Presidential nominee. Given Trump’s result in South Carolina, it seems a done deal that he will get the REP nomination, so it's hard to see Super Tuesday as a market event. China 14th National People Conference – the market will learn of the government’s economic targets for 2024 and what they are aiming for GDP, inflation, unemployment, and the deficit. We should see officials target growth of “around 5%” but it is feasible they aim for more. Wednesday US JOLTS job openings (Thursday 02:00 AEDT) – the market looks for 8.89m job openings (from 9.026m) – Traders with long positions in equity and gold and USD shorts will want to see a weaker print vs consensus expectations. Australia Q4 GDP (11:30 AEDT) – the market looks for Q4 GDP of 0.3% QoQ / 1.4% YoY (from 2.1%), but expectations will be massaged as we get the partials (inventory, company profits, net exports as a percentage of GDP). Can’t see this being a mover of the AUD to any great degree, so would have limited concerns about holding AUD positions over this data point. UK Budget (23:30 AEDT / 12:30 local) – Rishi Sunak needs Jeremy Hunt to pull a rabbit out of a hat to get voter momentum into the UK election - but one questions if this budget moves the dial on voting intentions and impacts the UK bond market, and by extension the GBP? Recent media suggests the chance of a major fiscal boost from the budget has been reduced - see my colleague Michael Brown's preview here - pepperstone.com Bank of Canada meeting (Thursday 01:45 AEDT) – the BoC won’t move on policy and will almost certainly keep rates at 5%. Given the recent downside surprise in December GDP (1.1% YoY) and January CPI print (of 2.9%) we could get stronger guidance on future easing. CAD swaps price 85bp of cuts (or just over three 25bp cuts) by December, so the move in the CAD will come as traders reconcile the tone of the statement with this pricing. Thursday Fed chair Jay Powell testifies to Congress (Friday 02:00 AEDT) – Jay Powell’s testimony will garner big attention from the market, where most see Powell offering a balanced/neutral view of economic risk and policy – this is his last formal forum to speak before the 20 March Fed meeting, in which some feel some risk of a risk of a hawkish pivot. China trade data (no set time) – a hard one to react to given there is no set time for the release – the market looks for exports to increase by 3% and imports by 1.5%. A larger import number could boost currencies such as the AUD, NZD, and CLP. Japan labour cash earnings (10:30 AEDT) – while we look ahead at Japan’s spring wage negotiations, the market looks for cash earnings of 1.3%, which suggests real wages of -1.4% Mexico CPI (23:00 AEDT) – the market looks for headline CPI at 4.43% (from 4.88%) and core CPI at 4.62% (from 4.76%). Given recent economics, the prospect of a 25bp cut in the 21 March Banxico meeting looks likely, and the CPI print could reinforce that belief. Conversely, an upside surprise could see USDMXN break 16.9924 support and offer a larger downside move to 16.8000. ECB meeting (Friday 00:15 AEDT) – the ECB are not expected to ease until June, so the statement and Christine Lagarde’s speech will most likely reflect the market’s central view. The bar seems high for the ECB to open the door to an April cut at this meeting, and Lagarde’s commentary may point to a “few month months” of data before they ease. The ECB’s updated economic projections, while likely to be downgraded, will still not be poor enough to suggest increased urgency to normalize. Unless we get a big surprise from the ECB, I’d be looking to fade moves in EURUSD into a 1.0920 to 1.0760 range this week. Friday US nonfarm payrolls (Sat 00:30 AEDT) – the market looks for moderation from the blowout January report, where the consensus sits at a healthy 200k jobs created in February. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 3.7%, with average hourly earnings growing 4.3% yoy (from 4.5%). NFPs is the marquee event risk of the week, but forging a playbook is not clear cut – One questions if a rise in the U/E rate lifts risky assets as bond yields fall (rate cut expectations increase), or whether this outcome promotes risk aversion as traders consider the negative implications on economics. The USD will hold the cleanest read on the review of the data. Canada employment report (Sat 00:30 AEDT) – the market looks for 20k jobs created and a tick up in the U/E rate to 5.8%. International Women’s Day Saturday China CPI/PPI (12:30 AEDT) – the market sees CPI increasing by 0.2%, which would mark the first positive read after four months of falling consumer prices (month-on-month). PPI is eyed -2.6%. The trader’s concern here is around whether this offers any gapping risk for China assets, or its proxies (AUD, NZD, CLP etc) – I would argue it doesn’t. US earnings – Target, Marvell Technology, Costco, Broadcom Full Fed speaker line-up for the week
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Pepperstone
1
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Friday 1 March 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 6:30am GMT (1:30 EST) During analysis noted the following: The February month candle closed as a green momentum candle, indicating a very bullish market, despite being at all-time highs and despite the worries around inflation / Feb rate cuts On the D TF, a beautiful DT had formed in the past few days, broken the neckline down and then price completed the pattern perfectly by moving down the same distance as the height of the market pattern The area at the pumpkin was an area of confluence because: It was the profit target of the DT (same distance as the height of the DT) It was the D 0,382 fib level, as well as coinciding with the W 0,382 fib level Generally, after reaching the profit target of a market pattern, price will reverse to test the neckline I like to be part of a re-test that is in the same direction as the overall trend (in this case bullish) From the pumpkin, price re-tested the neckline and with the help of inflation data news on 29 Feb (PCE and initial jobless claims), price broke through the neckline and continued upwards Meaning that the bullish trend CONTINUES!! Interesting to see how price came back down to test the temporary downtrend line marked in red. It was a deep retest of 830 pips by bears (pushing down till A.), but on 1H TF, you can see how bulls pushed back up and managed to close the candle at A. above the temp downtrend line So looking exclusively for a buy - the trend is your friend! At time of my analysis, price has reached TP1 (roughly at the pink horizontal line) of the move yesterday This means that market may retrace at this point, so I need to wait patiently for a convincing break of this area before buying, or alternatively, wait for the retracement before jumping in. Yellow highlighted area = area of good confluence: 4H EMA was in this zone at time of analysis 4H 0.618 fib level - a strong fib level (Fib drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.) Daily pivot point I set my Buy Limits in this zone for a big position size, due to strong confirmations Entered a buy at C. - Confirmations: Market seemed to have convincingly broken above the TP1 level (on 30min TF) and seemed to want to move directly to TP2 I don’t like buying at the very peak of price, so I entered a very small buy Ultimately price reversed and this position was in draw down I closed at entry as soon as price moved back up I was waiting for price to reach my yellow buy zone, but it never did. Price dipped to touch the 4H 0,50 fib level, and a DB appeared on the 15 min TF This indicated that price was ready to move up and would not reach my buy zone I entered a buy at D - Confirmations: Fib - price had touched the 4H 0,50 level and moved up Trend - entering a buy meant I was trading in the same direction as overall trend Market Pattern - DB formed on 15min TF at 4H 0,382 fib level Candle sticks - The red 1H candle at D. closed with a long wick touching the 0.50 fib level and closing above the 0,382 fib level I entered at half my total planned buy position in case market still moved down into my yellow buy zone and at the moment of entering a buy at D., I cancelled half of my buy limits as I had entered these positions higher at D. Ultimately market moved up 3000 pips and I took partial profit at TP 1 and closed above TP2. What could I have done differently? I am happy with my D position I should not have entered my position at C as there was not enough confirmations - I was lucky to be able to close at entry Hope you had a great trading day! TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance EMA = Exponential moving average DT = Double Top DB = Double Bottom
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
A Roadmap on How this Year May Turn Out | QQQYet again buyer are still able to keep price higher and higher but at the same time we can spot weakness in each rally that occurs. Key note to look out for is that this rally that started in 2023 seems similar to the last in 2020 except for the Feds stimulus package that set the economy in turbo mode. As highlighted in green you can analyze the strength in both rallies to help predict what this year could look like, and going into the next. Based on the analysis QQQ is set to hit around $500 near the end of this year. As seen with technology carrying the market on its back, BTC, NVDA, and top performing assets are really set to explode even higher than what we see now. Buckle UP
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Nathanl19
3
NAS100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalNAS100 could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 18,035.07 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 18,200.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and the all-time high resistance. Take profit is at 17,652.31 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
CAN US100 MAKE A NEW ALL TIME HIGH ?Hello traders . i think for nasdaq the market is still bullish , if the price manages to give a bullish reaction on the area it is likely that it going to give a trend continuation for bears out there if you wanna sell look for shorts on round numbers / Psycological levels but don't hold for long its agaisnt the trend i think its going to keep going and maybe start possibly reversing on 20.000. just a personal prediction of mine . according to the relative strenght index the market is making higher high but they are getting weaker and weaker i am thinking at the price 20000 by then the buyers will be tired and we might see a possible correction.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by xAB777
3