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NASDAQ 100 CFD

Nvidia Q1 25 earnings preview – will the Kraken awake?Due to report shortly after market close on 22 May (typically 06:20 AEST / 21:20 UK). “The most important stock in the world” - That was the label given to Nvidia (NVDA) throughout February as we geared up for its highly anticipated Q424 earnings results. Where, at the time, the sheer number of articles written on the stock was incredible – when you are a momentum stock, you need this sort of attention to fuel the beast. Since March though the hype has settled, and we see reduced news flow. In fact, we’re seeing an increasing number of articles directing traders away from Nvidia and towards other smaller names in the AI-semi space that could potentially see explosive moves. With the momentum in NVDA falling away since Nvidia’s last earnings, and with Nvidia lacking a near-term catalyst, amid some concern of an over-supplied chips market, market players have moved their attention towards quality defensive areas of the equity market and value as an investment factor, with utilities, energy, and materials all seeing strong outperformance of late vs the S&P500. We can also see this lack of momentum in NVDA’s technical set-up and price action, with shares rallying in a $205 range between $947 to $756, and now finding a fair value around $900. Traders remain buyers of pullbacks, where the trigger for long positions seems to be when the shares fall 10% below the 50-day moving average. Nvidia may not be the hot topic it was in February, is that about to change? For a short period, absolutely, with the eyes of the trading world falling once again on NVDA’s quarterly earnings. The options market is pricing a -/+8.9% on the first day of trade after earnings (i.e. the 23 May), which if priced correctly, from current levels, could see the stock trade into new all-time highs or see it closer to $820. With a current market capitalization of $2.260t, an 8.9% move would equate to $200b in gained/lost market cap in one day, which would essentially be larger than the market cap of 82 companies in the NAS100. We can also go back over the past 8 quarterly earnings announcements and that Nvidia has seen an average move of 8.5% on the day of reporting, with shares closing higher in 6 of the past 8 quarters. Many will recall the Q424 earnings (reported in February), where the share price closed +16.4% on the day and went on to rally a further 23.4% over the following 11 trading sessions. Earnings pedigree – few do it better Let’s not forget that few companies globally have NVDA’s form at beating analysts’ consensus expectations on earnings-per-share (EPS), revenue, or gross margins. Perhaps the bar is perennially set too low, but NVDA has beaten expectations for revenue for the reporting quarter, as well as on expectations for the upcoming quarter, on all but two occasions since 2018: Q32019 and Q2 2023 being the exceptions. In the past 4 quarterly earnings reports, NVDA has beaten guidance on sales for the upcoming quarter by an average of 14% - remarkable form, especially when they have a CEO (Jensen Huang) who knows how to hit the sweet spot and say exactly what investors want to hear in the post-earnings conference call. Earnings expectations for Q1 2025 – will they beat yet again? Q125 EPS – $5.51 (Q2 25 guidance expectations - $5.96c) Q125 revenue - $24.58b (Q2 25 guidance expectations - $26.617b) Data centres revenue - $20.903b (Q2 25 expectations - $22.567b) Gross Margins – 77.01% (Q2 25 guidance expectations - 75.61%) Recall in the prior earnings call CEO Jensen Huang suggested AI was at ‘a tipping point, which was a big topic of discussion. Given that NVDA only recently held its GTC conference in March and explored the future across multiple touch points, this time around traders will react on news that isn’t already discounted into the stock - growth opportunities, maintain its monopolistic qualities, levels of capex, and future partnerships. Traders have found opportunities outside of AI-related semi and while many feel Nvidia lacks a near-term catalyst, the element of surprise is always there. The idea of ‘as goes Nvidia, as goes the market’ has dissipated, but it could make a return – and with big movement expected, this is a key event for equity and index CFD traders to have on the radar.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Pepperstone
35
NAS100 (NASDAQ, US100) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea The NAS100 (NASDAQ, US100) has traded into a 1D and 4H nested bullish order block. Currently we are seeing an aggressive pullback down into our optimal entry zone. In the video we cover the trend, price action, market structure and I share a couple of trade ideas for consideration It's important to note that the information shared is intended purely for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Trading entails inherent risks, underscoring the criticality of implementing robust risk management protocols consistently.
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
⭐️ NASDAQ’s Critical Supply Zone and Its Impact on Future PricesAfter examining the NASDAQ chart on a 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price, after an initial correction from the 18250 area, has re-entered this zone and shown a negative reaction! As I mentioned in the previous analysis, the range from 18250 to 18340 is a very important supply area, and I expect the price to react to it! Now, if the price stabilizes below this Zone, after an upward movement to gather liquidity, we will likely witness a significant drop. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
15
NAS100 Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 17914.2. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 17280.9 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by SignalProvider
4
⭐️ NASDAQ’s Roller Coaster : A Week of Ups and Downs, More Fall?After examining the NASDAQ chart on a 4-hour timeframe, we noticed that the price, following our previous analysis, experienced a drop of 170 pips and managed to correct to 17,970. Subsequently, it regained demand and moved towards the second supply zone. Today, as the NASDAQ index reached 18,250, we witnessed a significant drop from this level, with a decline of 160 pips down to 18,090. It is likely that we will see further declines in the NASDAQ chart in next week. I hope you have made the most of this analysis this week! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
NAS100 Will Go Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18194.68. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 19376.63. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:NAS100Long
by SignalProvider
1
NAS100 H4 | Potential bullish breakout for TechThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is trading close to a breakout level and the bullish momentum could potentially push it higher from here. Buy entry is at 18,145.43 which is a potential breakout level ( Wait for the 1-hour candle to close above this level for confirmation ). Stop loss is at 17,960.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 18,376.63 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Long
by FXCM
ABNB Potential Bearish Continuation SetupAfter the first "confirmed " reversal signal of Extreme Reversal Sniper on the H4 Chart Time Frame; we look for bearish breakout confirmation as decribed on the chart. Holding Period : 5- 7 days Major Trend : Bullish Chart Time Frame: H4 Trade Type: Correction Price Target: Targets are the trendlines on the chart. Status : Not confirmed yet. Important Note: Reversal/Correction is not confirmed. You need to wait for the confirmation signal.
NASDAQ:ABNBShort
by chartreader_pro
Pre-Market Analysis: May 9th, 2024 $ES & $SPYMarket Observations: The S&P 500 futures NYSE:ES and S&P 500 ETF AMEX:SPY have consolidated with low volume over the past two days. Trading Strategy: Given the current range-bound price action, I am not actively seeking trades around the 5200-5210 level. Instead, I am looking for a breakout from this range accompanied by increased volume to establish a directional trend. Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 5210 suggests a potential rally towards 5240. Entry: Long after a pullback that finds support above 5210. Note: Short positions may be considered if weakness emerges around 5210. Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below 5200 could lead to a decline towards 5180 and potentially 5150. Given the recent buying pressure, this decline would likely be swift. Entry: Short positions may be considered, but with limited size due to the potential for quick reversals. Overall: This analysis provides a framework for potential trading opportunities based on the current market conditions. Like and Retweet if you found this helpful! Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Quick_Edge_Stocks
NAS100 Is Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 18063.0. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 16988.7. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by SignalProvider
2
⭐️ Nasdaq’s Dip & Bounce : Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the #NASDAQ Indext Chart in the 4-hour time frame, we see that the price is close to an important supply range (18085 to 18175 and 18250 to 18340) and we will probably see a drop of #NAS100 soon, The possible targets of this drop will be 17940, 17780 and 17670 respectively! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
32
4H Inverted Cup & Handle NAS100Analyzing NAS100: Identifying Long-Term Trends and Potential Selling Positions Introduction: In this video, we'll dive into a long-term analysis of NAS100, uncovering key patterns and trends that could inform our trading decisions. By examining the inverted cup and handle pattern and the emerging downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, we aim to provide clarity on potential selling positions and assess the overall sentiment in the market. Identifying the Inverted Cup and Handle Pattern: The inverted cup and handle pattern is a classic technical formation characterized by a downward price movement followed by a consolidation period resembling a cup, followed by another downward movement forming a handle. This pattern often signals a bearish reversal, indicating a shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish. Spotting the Forming Downtrend on the 4H Timeframe: On the 4-hour timeframe, we observe the formation of a downtrend, marked by consecutive lower highs and lower lows. This trend suggests sustained selling pressure and reinforces the bearish outlook for NAS100 in the near term. Target Levels for Selling Positions: Based on our analysis, we have identified multiple levels that could serve as potential targets for selling positions. These levels are strategically chosen based on key support and resistance zones, Fibonacci retracement levels, and other technical indicators. Traders may consider these levels as entry points for short-selling NAS100, aiming to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement. Clarity of Stance on NAS100: Our analysis leaves no room for ambiguity regarding our stance on NAS100. The convergence of the inverted cup and handle pattern with the forming downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe strengthens our conviction in the bearish outlook for NAS100. This clarity enables traders to make informed decisions aligned with the prevailing market dynamics. Signs of Bullish Euphoria Waning: Finally, it's essential to acknowledge the signs indicating that the bullish euphoria in the market may be losing steam. Market sentiment plays a significant role in driving price movements, and recognizing shifts in sentiment can be invaluable for traders. As we assess the technical landscape of NAS100, we remain vigilant for further indications of a weakening bullish bias. In conclusion, our analysis of NAS100 underscores the importance of understanding long-term trends and patterns in shaping trading strategies. By leveraging technical analysis tools and staying attuned to market dynamics, traders can navigate the markets with confidence and precision. Thank you for watching.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by tshiiamom_sa
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: The tables have turned for riskWhile we await earnings from Nvidia (on 22 May) that will be influential on future market direction, we move into the tail-end of US quarterly earnings, but also past a dovish Fed meeting, a strong US ECI report and weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls and 2 hefty bouts of MoF/BoJ intervention. Yet, despite these landmines, a gentle calm descends over financial markets – early last week the USD was threatening to trend higher, but now momentum shifts to the downside, with US Treasuries finding better buyers, US interest rate markets pricing close to two cuts by year-end, while the VIX index has pulled back to 13.5%, with the S&P500 closing above the 29 April high. By way of significant movers - aside from a lazy 25% w/w fall in Cocoa and a 32% w/w gain in Nat Gas – where NG needs to be on the radar given the breakout and the growing potential for a bullish trend to materialise, we see solid movement in the HK50 (closing 6.9% wow), while Bitcoin has rallied 10% off its lows and is eyeing a move back to the 50-day MA at 65,890. In FX, CADJPY saw the biggest 5-day percentage change, falling 3.6% w/w. The MAG7 equity names look to have regained their mojo, amid solid earnings and some lofty guidance for capex - suggesting growth and innovation remain at the core of their investment thesis, backed by renewed buybacks and some big names even rolling out dividends. China tech is also flying higher, where both Tencent and Alibaba have run hard of late and while overbought should be well supported into weakness. How the tables have turned, and the reassuring view from Fed Chair Jay Powell that policy is still “sufficiently restrictive” and “it’s unlikely the next policy move will be a hike” has reinvigorated the risk bulls. Add in a weaker US ISM services print and a moderation in US nonfarm payrolls (NFP) and the market has gained greater confidence that the US economy is not indeed overheating. Conviction levels may still be low, but the platform is in place for risky assets to move higher this week, notably if truce talks in Gaza gain real traction. Looking ahead and the landmines through which we navigate positions: US data is thin on the ground this coming week, with the senior loan officer survey on bank lending practices really the only economic event risk to be concerned with – traders can trade the KRE ETF (US Regional bank ETF) here and react to markets interpretation of the survey. We also get 11 speeches from Fed members, but until we get the US (April) CPI report on 15 May, I suspect traders will not be too concerned with holding risk over their respective views. It will be a lively week at a central bank level, with the RBA (on hold), BoE (on hold), Swedish Riksbank (skewed to cut), Banxico (cut) and Brazilian Central Bank (50bp cut) all meeting. We should get a 25bp cut in Mexico, with a 50bp cut expected to the Brazilian Selic rate. The RBA meeting and Statement on Monetary policy will get big focus, and while the RBA will almost certainly keep rates at 4.35%, and continue to suggest “the board is not ruling anything in or out”, Aussie swaps price a near 40% chance of a hike by August (see pricing below), so many are expecting a modest shift in their commentary and a clearer roadmap to future hikes – if we don’t see that play out in the wording then we could see the AUD trade lower, notably vs the FX cross rates. The GBP navigates Thursday’s BoE meeting, with the broad consensus expecting a dovish split in the voting and a statement that justifies the view priced into interest rate pricing, where the BoE is expected to embark on its first cut in August. We also get UK Q1 GDP, a speech by BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill and 1-year inflation expectations from the DMP (Decision Makers Panel), and that could be looked at by some in the market. GBPJPY and GBPAUD shorts, EURGBP longs, were the preferred plays last week, and I still favour these staying in these positions. Wednesday’s Riksbank meeting puts the SEK (Swedish krona) firmly in play, with economists split on whether we see the Swedish central bank join the Swiss National Bank in starting its easing cycle. The SEK swaps market implies a 25bp cut at around 80% probability, so those holding SEK short positions will have some concern with that position over this event. The risk-to-reward trade-off favours short NOKSEK over the meeting, but a 25bp cut is a lineball call and as many will attest to, trading over news like this is more of an exercise in risk management, or for those running tactical or special situation strategies. We also see inflation prints in Mexico, Norway, Columbia, Chile, Brazil, and China. Trade data (Thursday – no set time) from China will also get a focus, with imports expected to increase by 4%. In Japan, I guess kudos go to the MoF/BoJ - they hit JPY shorts hard with two bouts on size intervention and as luck would have it, they’ve been given a helping hand from Jay Powell and the first below estimate NFP print since October 2023. Those using the JPY to fund a saturated carry position will almost certainly think twice about using the JPY tactically here in the near term, and until we see a better trend in the US data, or if we see a hotter US CPI print, USDJPY has scope for ¥150. Conversely, on the week, I’d be expecting the upside to be capped at ¥155 and would be selling rallies into ¥155.50. As always, an open mind to market movement (as price will always go to where it wants to go), and a dynamic approach to react will serve you well in this market.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
QQQ pull back done or another leg down?QQQ had a bad week last week after trying since February to break long term resistance of the Blue trading channel. There was a lot of momentum but ultimately after being squeezed between resistance of the blue channel and support from black channel midline, it was time to take profit for the big guys. Clearly, inflation readings and uncertainty about interest rate cuts were the main factors. A hard sell off last week to establish a clear down channel with the biggest selling on Friday. Using the channel from August to November last year and with some minor tweaks, you can see that it ended Friday right on the support line. Another thing I was looking at were several of the most recent pullbacks over the last few years. You can see them overlayed on the peak of March 21st. Going by them, QQQ has already come close to extent of the smaller pullbacks. In my limited experience, these two indicators are usually a good sign for a rebound this week. The RSI is also in the oversold range and in line with other bottoms. The rebound could just be a short-term rally in the down channel like back in Aug and Sept last year with another leg down in the coming month or so. Or we could see a new attempt to break out of the blue channel. Either way, I was brave enough to open a few positions Friday before the close. Hopefully I don't regret that.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Dr_Roboto