AUDJPY BULLISHAUD/JPY appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, indicating strong buyer interest and the absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further reinforces the bullish setup.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, signaling that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, driving momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Increasing volume and momentum will be key to confirming this potential upward move.
+ testing inferior KL, aiming for higher ones
NASDAQ 100 CFD
GOLD BULLISHGold appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong buyer interest and absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further strengthens the bullish case.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, indicating that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, fueling momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing volume and momentum as confirmation of this potential upward move.
+ precisely the contrary of NASDAQ with a little more zigzag liquidity
NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached.
+ big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
iamtradingdon | NAS100 Market Daily Technical AnalysisWhile NAS100 continues to display a bullish trend, I closely monitor indicators suggesting a likely bearish shift. The price has consistently encountered resistance at a Rejection Block, marking this area as a significant institutional resistance zone. If the price drops and a bearish candle closes below 21735, I will establish my target at 21580.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 10 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None, but tomorrow is CPI
News - None
Directional bias - BUY. The M TF is very bullish and until there is a reversal pattern eg. DT on a high TF (like the D TF at least), I continue to hold my buy bias.
Morning analysis:
M TF - very bullish
D TF - Price is right at the neckline area (marked in green) at time of writing this morning. If candles start closing below neckline towards the mushroom, Nas will turn bearish, because then a day DT has formed with the neckline broken down (change the D TF chart to a line chart and it will be easily visible). D fib retracement levels were broken down yesterday, in other words bulls were not able to overcome the bears at these levels and bears push down past these levels. Now only W retracement levels remaining. W 0.382 fib level is 2800 pips down (at time of writing in the morning). Bulls last defense against the bears is the D neckline (marked in green) and a strong D support level, exactly at the D neckline. So this is the level were bulls will have to step in if they do today.
4H TF - Shrinking red candles at C. indicate a loss of bearish momentum. Hoping that bulls will push up from the green support / neckline. Drawn in the SELL fib levels because these will be key take profit levels. Sell fib drawn from swing high at B. to swing low at A.
As the day progressed:
As the morning progressed a falling wedge pattern formed on the 1H TF, as marked by the thick pink lines.
Entered a buy at the hand icon, when price broke upwards on the 15min TF - Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - Falling wedge pattern formed on 1H TF, right above key support. Pattern broken upwards, indicating that price is ready to move upwards
2. S&R - Green line represents D Neckline and key D support area. On the 1H TF, price is reacting to the 100 EMA, indicating that the torquiose EMA line is acting as dynamic support.
3. Trend - Buy is in the overall bullish trend of Nasdaq. Also the temporary downtrend line (the top pink line of the market pattern) is broken, indicating that price is ready to move upwards
4. Fib - None
5. Candlesticks - Shrinking candles on the 4H, indicating loss of bearish momentum
Mental SL placed at the thick pink line. I was willing to risk more today because it might have come down one last time to test the green line, this was purely based on my feeling, which luckily turned out not be true.
Luckily I had zero draw down and price shot up.
I took partial profits at the top hand icon (because that was TP2 on the buy fib (as drawn) and then closed almost all the rest of my position at the blue arrow (when a strong DT started forming on the 15min TF).
I left a runner open, just in case I could possibly benefit from a push up at CPI tomorrow, but this was taken out at entry ultimately.
Majority of my profits was about 1000 pips.
Stats:
The total bullish move for the day was +- 1575 pips:
I captured 63% of the total move (I'm happy with that).
Amazing to see how price reacted to the sell fibs today. Fib levels are real baby!
P.S. A note from yesterday's trading....I took a loss of 800 pips yesterday (I tried twice and hit SL twice). I was pretty bummed about it and didn't post :(
Won't be trading CPI tomorrow, because I feel I cant stack the probabilities in my favour! See ya Monday!
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NAS 100 BREAKER BLOCK SHORT! With Price action giving us strong rejection wicks at our area of interest, breaking through the Swing low (Break & Retest set up), along with sweeping buy side liquidity formed at the Daily support level.
Price is poised for a pull back to the breaker block (Structure Low). If we receive a Bearish confirmation, once price reaches the Breaker Block. This would be a good and confident short entry. Watch your risk as we are still above the subjective Bullish Trend line
Take profit 1 at The FVG 21,245
Take profit 2 (Stretch Goal) is the 38.2 Fib retracement level.
* If we see a 38.2 retracement this should be a rejection off of the subjective "Bullish Trendline"
** Volume is giving us a great push down from the breaker block, Also just above TP2 is another area of great volume that could server as potential support.
Concepts used:
Structure
Volume
Price Action
Fibs
ICT
US100 - 1H - Short Setup to $21,000 (Technical Analysis)The CAPITALCOM:US100 bounced from the upper side of it's wedge where it marked it's new ATH. On the way up we opened two gaps (red in the chart) which are still left to get closed. We also see a RSI divergence which implies we've seen the top for now and are heading lower (at least for the time being).
Current targets would be the support at $21,184, then the trendline of the current wedge at around $21,000 and a bit lower the bigger support zone at around $20,600. If we break above $21,600 this short setup is denied.
Target Zones
$21,184 (Gap Close)
$21,000 (Trendline)
$20,600 (Bigger Support Zone)
NASDAQ ONE MONTH FORECASTAfter breaking so many levels and reaching such a high price, nasdaq should stop soon to correct ;
we think it could go up to 22K max, then come back to the red KL, which are the ones that never were corrected ;
not exactly sure when or how, but this round top seems like a realistic way to end the year for US100.
GOLD GAPHuge trade opportunity tonight with a gap so huge that it got filled right away ;
bulls took their chance, nice job, now it should head back to the original configuration towards 2600s, then 2550s later this month ;
the first week price is always the most important, here anyone could have made a huge trade by simply aiming at filling the gap by selling.
Views Of Gold New Weeks ☄️Overview of the new week's gold market☄️
➡️Currently, the gold price is still in the side ways area in the large frame H1 and H4. They will break the 2700 area and return to the 2644 - 2641 area, we will Buy.
➡️And if we break the 2580 area and return to the 2620 area, we will sell
➡️Next week we will Buy and Sell in the area 2661 - 2615 until there is a price breakout and we will apply the above prices.
✨Wishing you a happy and happy weekend with your family✨
NASDAQ, setup for 25k (20% potential)Hello everyone,
based on the major wave 3, we can make a projection to imagine where the global markets could form a major top. In my view we are entering the last stages of the bull run, with a potential of 20% gains to come. After reaching the top, a major bear market could start, but I don't expect the top to be in before at least Q1 of 2025.
What I also want to point out is that we are about to test the very significant last swing high from where wave 4 started. I should be a good zone to start buying again, as we are in a strong bullish trend. If you need confirmation observe this level closely.
USNAS100 / New ATH Historical Price, and Still To 21590Technical Analysis
The price has successfully reached a historic all-time high (ATH) at 21500 and continues to gain momentum, targeting the next resistance at 21,590, and then it's possible to trade with a bearish trend after 21590.
So now any stability above 21485 will get the price toward 21590, and then should break the resistance zone to get 21900,
Otherwise, stability below 21450 by closing the 4h candle under it, means will drop to get 21290 and 21220
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21480
Resistance Levels: 21590, 21670, 21800
Support Levels: 21290, 21150, 20990
previous idea:
XAUUSD ON THE MOVEAfter make such a sudden hard uptrend, Gold seems ready to come down again ;
in a liquidity slow pattern this time, as it seems to have already started yesterday ;
just like BTC, gold sometimes like to come back where it started but in a slow way compared to the huge candlebox it just did ;
so this seems like a plunging pattern looking at aiming for 2550s.
US100/NASDAQ GOING UPAfter a long uptrend which we could not wait would stop, seems like yesterday's move set the tone for next days ;
it seems thanks to Trump that it is going up for real in a super bullish trend that wants to break 22K ;
and as BTC just blew 102-103K, we never know what could happen.
More precisely, this seems like a triangle pattern which will either make the price fall hard or keep going up smoothly, which seems more accurate now.
All Time Highs on the Horizon!!!Price is on a Bullish Up trend In a Current Retracement.
This Thesis uses several different concepts. Based off of Market structure, support & resistance, RSI Divergence, Fib lvl's, ICT Concepts,
Daily: Bullish, Price is Rejecting Bullish TL and Testing structure , 61.8 prz (Daily Breaker Block forming)
H4: Bullish, Morning star R Pattern at H4 lvl
H1: Bearish (Wait for price action to return Bullish before entering)
Thesis:
Looking for price to bullish break H4 lvl to order block
and retest back to daily lvl 20595 / previous structure high zone, for bullish entry.
Notes:
price has a overall retracement 61.8 prz
Price rejecting off bullish Trend line
Price rejecting 4H FVG
H4 Hidden Bullish Divergence
Daily Bullish Breaker Block
Cons:
-4H could be a Head and shoulders Pattern if price rejects and doesn't break through Daily lvl 20595
Wait for H1 Time frame and Execution time frames to line up with macro Bullish Trend before Executing!
TP1: 21,150
TP2: 21,468 (ATH)
TP3: 22,242 Stretch Goal (ATH)
US100 Bullish ideaUS100 looks bullish on daily time frame, currently it is retesting the trendline by creating higher low, we can enter the long here and stops loss can be placed as per last low which is 19825.00. Furthermore, there is no divergence in sight in current bullish rally which is an additional confirmation for continuation of the rally.
The Silent Cost of FOMO Trades: What Your Anxiety Is SayingLast Thursday, I watched my 8-year-old nephew at a birthday party, desperately trying to play with every toy, eat every snack, and join every game simultaneously. He ended up in tears, overwhelmed and exhausted, having fully enjoyed none of them. Looking at my trading journal that evening, I had to laugh - I'd done exactly the same thing in the markets that day.
The FOMO Frenzy
You know that feeling - EUR/USD is climbing, GBP/JPY is breaking out, and USD/CAD is testing support. Your heart races. Your palms sweat. Suddenly you've got positions in all three pairs, and your mind is spinning like a circus juggler with too many balls in the air.
What Your Anxiety Is Really Saying
That knot in your stomach? It's not just stress - it's your internal risk manager throwing up red flags. Think of anxiety like your car's check engine light. Most people try to ignore it or put tape over it. But what if that warning light is actually your most valuable trading tool?
The Real Cost (It's Not Just Money)
Last month, I lost 4% of my account in a single day chasing trades. But the real cost wasn't the money - it was:
Three sleepless nights
Snapping at my wife over breakfast
Missing my kid's soccer game because I was glued to charts
Taking twice as long to recover my confidence
The Birthday Party Strategy
Now I treat my trading like I wish my nephew had handled that birthday party. Pick one game. Enjoy it fully. Then, if it makes sense, move to the next one. In trading terms:
One trade at a time
Full focus on that setup
Clear exit plan
]No peeking at other pairs until this trade is managed
Your Brain on FOMO
Here's what happens when FOMO kicks in - your brain floods with dopamine, the same chemical that makes my nephew grab three cupcakes at once. Your prefrontal cortex (the rational part) gets overwhelmed by your limbic system (the emotional part). Suddenly you're trading like a sugar-rushed 8-year-old.
The Solution: Your Personal FOMO Filter
I've taped a note to my monitor that asks:
"If this were the only trade you could take this month, would you take it?"
It's amazing how quickly FOMO evaporates when you frame it that way. I went from taking 15-20 trades per week to 2-5, and my profit has doubled.
Your Next Step
FIf you find yourself battling FOMO, try this: Each time you feel the urge to place a trade, wait 5 minutes. Just 5 minutes. Write down what you're feeling. You'll be amazed at how many FOMO trades never make it past this 5-minute filter.
Remember, the market is like an endless birthday party - it'll be there tomorrow, next week, and next year. You don't have to play every game or eat every cupcake today.
Cheers to your success,
Gio
USNAS100 / Downside Momentum Amid Jobs ReportsTechnical Analysis
The price reversed from its ATH, which is 21530, and now has a bearish momentum due to the high pressure from NFP and Unemployment rata reports,
So as long as trades below 21465 and 21530, there will be a bearish trend to touch 21290 and 21220.
To be bullish till 21670, should close at least 1h candle above 21530
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21465
Resistance Levels: 21540, 21670, 21800
Support Levels: 21290, 21150, 20990
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Momentum within News effect