First Nasdaq market analysis 2025Happy Happy New year traders! Join me for the first Nasdaq market analysis for the year 2025. Share your charts, ask questions, and let's discuss trading strategies.
NASDAQ 100 CFD
QQQ Fib Levels - just touched 2.0I used to be a big advocate for Fib levels, but I feel like the lead me astray more times than helped, but none the less here is a high-level look with my estimate of fib levels. If I did it correctly, QQQ just touched off the 2.0 level. This could explain the weakness we saw this holiday season instead of the normal "Santa Claus Rally". Will we get a sizeable correction in 2025? Don't know, but there is clear weakness with some form of pullback coming. Just short term or something bigger, hard to know yet. I'm in the camp of a pump and dump on the Trump administration. How does it go, buy the rumor, sell the news. Feels like it to me.
Happy New Year!
NASDAQ 2025: The First Direction? 25.01.01Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Tuesday Briefing Results
Let’s start with the results of Tuesday’s briefing.
Both buy and sell signals played out as expected.
Buy Signal:
The breakout above the resistance trendline and 21476 level was the trigger for a buy entry.
The target was the yellow box supply zone, and the price moved as predicted.
The breakout occurred after the NASDAQ had already corrected significantly, making it a reasonable entry.
Maximum profit for this position was 120 points, equating to approximately $2,400 per contract.
Sell Signal:
For short positions, I recommended waiting for a breakdown of Monday’s low at 21253 in addition to the trendline break.
The price broke 21253 and exceeded the target of 21204, providing a solid short trade.
From the entry point, the NASDAQ dropped 70 points, yielding a profit of approximately $1,400 per contract.
Total Potential Profit:
Combined, the maximum profit for both trades was approximately $3,800 per contract on Tuesday.
Daily Chart Analysis
To prepare for Thursday, let’s examine the daily chart.
As mentioned on Tuesday, the price touched the 60 EMA and briefly broke below it but ultimately closed at the EMA level.
The remaining support is the December 20 low at 21006, which is the key level to watch.
A breakdown below 21006 would confirm entry into the yellow box supply zone or potentially the red box demand zone.
Key Observations:
The red box zone aligns with the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud, which makes it a significant support level unlikely to break easily.
However, the yellow box zone has no clear support levels, as it previously acted as a supply zone that pushed the price upward.
If the price enters the yellow box, expect either volatile swings or a one-directional move, depending on market sentiment.
Descending Broadening Pattern
The NASDAQ is forming a descending broadening pattern after the sharp drop on December 27, 2024.
Key Insights:
Support levels appear weak, and the trend has shifted bearish since December 27.
A complete trend reversal requires a breakout above 21734, the starting point of the pattern.
Trading Strategy:
For short positions: Focus on larger moves, as the downtrend dominates.
For long positions: Keep trades short-term and within the range until a clear breakout invalidates the pattern.
Buy Perspective
Buy Entry Levels:
First Entry: Breakout above the red box resistance trendline and 21360.
If this level breaks, the price may briefly rise to the top of the yellow box at 21442.
However, this is not a full trend reversal, so a conservative approach is recommended.
Second Entry: Breakout above the blue resistance trendline.
If this occurs, the yellow box top will likely already be broken, opening up a potential move to 21571.
Even then, the trend reversal would still be incomplete, so caution is advised.
Third Entry: Breakout above 21571.
This level opens the path to the next significant resistance at 21746, providing a stronger buy signal with momentum.
Sell Perspective
Sell Entry Levels:
First Entry: Breakdown below Tuesday’s low at 21177.
Target: 21128, which corresponds to a past demand zone with historical support from prior wicks.
Second Entry: Breakdown below 21128.
Target: 21006, the December 20 low, which is a critical support level.
Extended Target:
If 21006 breaks, the daily chart opens up for a potential move into the 20000 range, as previously analyzed.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is currently in a volatile and pivotal zone:
For buyers: Focus on breakouts above key levels (21360, 21571) with conservative targets until a full trend reversal occurs.
For sellers: Use breakdowns of key supports (21177, 21128, 21006) for entries, with room for larger moves in case of further downside.
Patience and precision will be key to navigating this market. Let’s trade smart and make the most of these opportunities. 🚀
NASDAQ 100 index / US 100 outlook Based on the previous week rejection of the 21742.33 zone, I'm anticipating price to come back to 21610.60 which is my daily point of interest for sell continuation (a pullback os anticipated) taking the Monday high as Inducement. But I'm looking forward to catching the pullback with the H4 POI: 21045.73 , yesterday's low as Inducement hence buying till we reach my daily poi before the sell continuation.
What's your outlook on this.
Comment let's interact
Don't forget to follow to get notifications of I drop my outlooks.
Final Nasdaq analysis for 2024: 31-Dec-2024 Let’s dive into the last Nasdaq market analysis for 2024. Share insights, and potentially spot opportunities for good pips.
Nasdaq Analysis: Wrapping Up 2024 with Precision 24.12.31Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis focuses on the Nasdaq.
Results from Monday's Briefing
Let’s start by reviewing the results of Monday's briefing.
Buy Scenario: Breakout above the resistance trendline.
Sell Scenario: Breakdown below the upward trendline.
The buy scenario did not activate as the entry level was not reached.
In the sell scenario, the price broke below the upward trendline and dropped to approximately 343 points lower.
For a single contract, this move offered a profit of about $6,800, providing a solid opportunity for gains.
Today's Analysis
Daily Chart Overview
If a rebound occurs, the price might bounce up to the 20-day moving average on the daily chart.
However, instead of focusing on the rebound potential, it’s more important to analyze how much further the downside could extend.
As of now:
The 60-day moving average on the daily chart aligns near yesterday’s support zone at 21,253.
This moving average could serve as short-term support.
If this support fails:
The price could drop to the recent low of 21,006, recorded on December 20, 2024.
The red box marks a key level. If this zone breaks, the price could enter the cloud zone, fully entering the green box supply zone on the left. This could further open the possibility of a decline to the lower boundary of the green box.
Buy Scenario
Today's buy scenario presents two potential entry points:
Entry 1: Breakout above the high supply zone from the Asian session + Breakout above 21,476.75.
Target: Maximum 21,571.
Entry 2: Breakout above 21,571 + Breakout above the yellow resistance trendline, located in the green box.
Target 1: 21,666.
Target 2: 21,739.
Target 3: Maximum to the orange box.
Targets 1 and 2 are based on the premise that the price has entered the white supply zone on the left.
Sell Scenario
For the sell scenario, the entry will not rely on the trendline break due to its shallow slope. Even if the trendline breaks, a retest bounce from yesterday's low of 21,253 is likely.
Thus, the sell entry point will be upon a breakdown below the green box, which marks yesterday’s low of 21,253.
Target 1: 21,204 (red box).
The first target is relatively small because the past data shows a bounce from the orange box supply zone on the left.
Target 2: 21,006, the low recorded on December 20, 2024.
Conclusion
Let’s finish 2024 strong! Since January 1 is a holiday, I’ll return with the next briefing on January 2.
Happy New Year in advance, and see you soon!
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 30 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY, all higher TFs are bullish
Morning analysis:
M TF - Bullish, but long wick starting to appear which indicates the pressure from bears - at time of writing, wick is 7'295 pips
W TF - Potential W neckline identified. On line chart candle closes have managed to stay above upward trend line.
D TF - Price came up to retest the DT (marked with green lines) and failed to successfully break the neckline upwards. Bears stepped in and pushed back down, now (at time of writing) it seems D EMA is acting as dynamic support.
As the day progressed:
Tried a small buy position at the top hand icon, but it turned out to be a fake out and I took a small loss (+- 300 pips).
Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - DB on 30min TF
2. S&R - D EMA seemed to be acing as dynamic support
3. Trend - temporary pink downtrend line broken upwards
4. Fib - DB forming right at D 0.382 fib level
Mental SL placed at the thick pink line i.e. half the height of the DB pattern. As candles started closing below my mental stop, I closed my position at 300 pips loss.
Price was unable to break through the 30min EMA. If Nasdaq is particularly bullish or bearish, price will react to the 30min EMA.
I was wary of this when I entered and so I entered my buy with a small position, ready to scale in if price moved my way.
However, price moved down significantly, tapping the W 0.618 fib level and the D 50 EMA.
Here price started to consolidate and formed a DB on the 15min TF.
Entered a full position size buy at the blue arrow icon - Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - DB on the 15TF, with a strong momentum candle breaking the neckline upwards (marked in turquoise lines)
2. S&R - strong D S&R zone (marked in red highlight on the D chart), from which price has significantly moved at A. and B. This level acted as resistance at A. and support at B. evidencing that this level is strong.
3. Trend - The temporary downtrend line (marked in orange) was broken upwards, indicating that price is no longer respecting this downtrend and is ready to move upwards.
4. Fib - Price wicked down to the W 0.618 fib level and the DB formed just above this level. This indicated that price is not only reacting to this level but also gave a trend reversal signal (DB pattern) at this level.
5. Candlesticks - A red inverted hammer candle formed on the 30min TF, just before the break of the 15min DB. This candle is bullish in nature and shows that bulls have entered the market and tried to push price higher, but bears did not have the strength to push price down significantly past the candle open. Indicates bearish loss of momentum.
Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, placed below the W 0.618 fib level and below the candle wicks sticking out below this fib level.
Price moved up nicely and I closed my position at 1'300 pips at the top blue arrow when price made a reversal pattern on the 15min TF (DT).
YEAR END CLOSING:
After today's nice profit, I decided to close out my trading year and so I wont be trading tomorrow.
This year was my best trading year yet.
I made 72% ROI and I can't help but say how proud I am of the progress I have made.
It's been a long road, but seeing the returns slowly building is very rewarding.
I hope you had a great trading year! And if not, this is a reminder that it is possible. It's extremely hard, but it is possible. Just keep going!
All the best for 2025! :) Hope we make some good $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ :)
The total move for the day in the direction that I was looking for was 3'118 pips:
I captured 42 % of the total move and looking at the candles, I am happy with that.
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
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NAS 100: Bullish Trend with Year-End Pullback - Where To Next?In this video, I analyze the NAS 100 on higher timeframes, starting with a quick top-down review to explore a potential trade setup. The three-week and weekly charts indicate a bullish trend; however, as we approach the end of the year, there’s some pullback and uncertain price action. I share my insights on the current market conditions and discuss a possible trade idea. Please note, this is not financial advice.
NAS100 update and buy setupOn our last analysis of NAS100, we were bearish and managed to place sell trades as per our strategy. We are still holding those positions because we are still bearish and we would eventually like to target the 4H low. However, we will be prepping ourselves to take buy positions as per our strategy, while still holding those sell positions. If you want to learn more about how our strategy works, visit our page on X. The link is in the bio.
Actionable Nasdaq insights: 30-Dec-2024Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
NASDAQ Analysis: Preparing for Monday’s Trading 2024.12.28Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ in preparation for Monday’s trading.
Friday's Trading Strategy Recap
Let’s first review the results of Friday’s trading strategy.
For buy positions, the breakout of the resistance trendline did not occur during the session, so the suggested entry above the red box did not materialize. As a result, no buy positions were taken.
For sell positions, the breakdown of the ascending trendline occurred after the European market opened. However, entry was only recommended upon breaking the green box to the downside, which occurred during the U.S. session.
As you can see, this resulted in a one-way downward trend, surpassing the target of 21558 and offering a high-probability trade for easy profits.
Maximum Profit:
1253 ticks per contract.
$6,260 per contract.
Weekly Chart Analysis
The weekly candle analysis shows the following:
After the doji bearish candle from December 16, 2024, the direction of the following week was crucial.
This week’s candle closed as a bullish candle with a long upper wick. While it filled last week’s body with an upward move, it eventually declined and closed with a long wick and a small body.
The NASDAQ is still holding support at the 20 EMA on the weekly chart, making next week’s direction critically important.
Daily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, the NASDAQ closed below the 20 EMA.
During the session, there was steep selling pressure followed by a slight rebound near the close.
However, closing below the daily 20 EMA makes it difficult to view the session positively.
The price is likely to oscillate between the 20 EMA and 60 EMA, as highlighted in the red box, and there’s a high probability of testing the 21300 level next week.
15-Minute Chart: Buy Setup
For short-term buy opportunities, let’s look at the 15-minute chart.
The red box shows a long bullish candle closing at 21746.5. However, the price failed to surpass this level by the close of the U.S. session.
If no significant news occurs over the weekend, the price may break above this level and resolve the bearish candle within the green box, leading to a potential rebound.
If the rebound is strong, the light blue box breakout will serve as the first buy entry point, targeting 21935.
The second buy entry would occur upon breaking the upper resistance at 21989, with the next target being the resistance trendline.
15-Minute Chart: Sell Setup
For short-term sell opportunities:
The short-term ascending trendline is highlighted in red. A breakdown could trigger a short-term correction, with the red box lower boundary serving as the maximum target at 21630–21613.
For conservative entries, wait for a break below the blue box at 21476.75.
If the green box breaks to the downside, it may trigger additional selling opportunities. However, given Friday’s rebound at 21476.75, there’s a possibility of the price finding support and bouncing back.
The maximum downside target for a sell-off is the orange box lower boundary at 21008.
Conclusion
It’s been a long year, and I hope you finish it strong. Let’s work together in 2025 to achieve significant profits through disciplined trading.
Your engagement and support motivate me to provide these detailed analyses, so please don’t forget to like, subscribe, and recommend my content. Let’s make the upcoming year a success! 🚀
Will QQQ hold support?QQQ testing the long term channel for support after breakout. Holiday are low volume and a usually a time for the market to climb some without any selling pressure. If I had to guess, then I would say we generally move sideway and up through the end of December. When the traders are back in full for in January will tell us if this rally continues or it has been a big pump and dump for the incoming Trump administration and its new policies.
NAS100 Sell setup updateOn our last analysis of NAS100, we were bearish for the longer term and we were waiting for price to reach our area of interest where we would be looking for selling opportunities. Price did indeed push till our area of interest and we managed to place sell trades as per our strategy.
USNAS100 / Correct before Bullish trendTechnical Analysis
The price still shows bullish momentum but is expected to first retest the 21,630 level before starting a bullish trend. If a 4-hour candle closes above 21,760, it indicates the start of a bullish trend without correction.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21760
Resistance Levels: 21900, 22110, 22300
Support Levels: 21630, 21535, 21400
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Correction: Possible decline to 21,630 if stability remains below 21,760.
Bullish Momentum: Likely continuation of an uptrend if stability is maintained above 21,760.
Actionable Nasdaq insights: 27-Dec-2024Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with Actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
Nasdaq Analysis - Dec 27, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis focuses on Nasdaq.
Before starting today's briefing, let me share the results from the previous analysis.
For the buy perspective, the entry price was not reached, so there were no positions to report.
On the other hand, for the sell perspective, the break of the upward trendline occurred at the start of the European session. After the breakout, the market transitioned into a downward momentum, resulting in a decline of approximately $140.
For a single contract, this equated to a profit of $2,800.
Now, let's start with the sell perspective.
Currently, we are observing a break below the extended upward trendline.
While a short-term correction could occur, I do not strongly recommend entering at this time.
For today's sell recommendation, I suggest entering below the green box at 21,816.
This corresponds to the left-side supply zone, with a maximum target of the red box at 21,543.
Next, let's look at the buy perspective.
The first entry point would be a breakout above the resistance trendline, which is currently around 22,060.
For the second entry, it would be at the top of the frame around 22,111.
Regarding targets:
For Target 1, the entry of the first position will aim for the second entry level as the goal.
Beyond that, the next resistance levels are 22,210 and 22,296.
Conclusion
Thank you for your hard work this week. Wrap things up well, and let’s prepare for next week!
NVIDIA | 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME | STOCK TRADINGHello guys, I made NASDAQ:NVDA analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY NVIDIA 137.26 - 134.44
🟢TP1: 140,90
🟢TP2: 144.90
🟢TP3: 150.90
🔴SL: 128,03
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DJ30 Short 15 Min Chart SMA+ Trend line + On weekly BBDow30 short after getting clear Resistance from the SMA+ Trend line + On the weekly BB
NAS100 Overextended? Anticipating a Retracement to Re-BalanceThe NAS 100 has seen a sharp move to the downside and, in my view, is overextended. It has reached previous lows on the daily timeframe, sweeping southside liquidity. Considering the extreme nature of this move and the presence of significant gaps or imbalances above, I anticipate a retracement as the market seeks to rebalance. Additionally, there is buy-side liquidity resting above that could serve as a target. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if the conditions outlined in the video materialize. This is not financial advice.
NAS100 go to 230001. NAS100 has risen for three consecutive days and closed above the midline of the trendline.
2. Resistance is expected near 22140, with a potential pullback. Support during the pullback is still anticipated around the trendline midline. If the daily close fails to hold above this level, the outlook turns bearish toward 20750.
3. If the pullback finds support at the trendline midline (around 21400), the bullish momentum is likely to continue, potentially reaching a new high of 23000 before pulling back toward 20750.
4. The key level to watch is the trendline midline support (or around 21400).
nasdaq analysis 2024-12-26"NASDAQ Analysis: Key Levels and Strategies"
Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Let’s dive into the NASDAQ analysis.
Let’s start with the 30-minute chart.
On December 24, Christmas Eve, the NASDAQ began to rally right after the U.S. market opened. As shown in the chart, the index broke through the red box, which previously acted as resistance during Monday’s session rebound. Once it surpassed this resistance, a one-way upward movement followed.
30-Minute Chart Trading Strategy
From a buying perspective, now does not seem like an ideal entry point.
While the NASDAQ is showing an uptrend that offsets the strong decline from the orange box on the left, entering at this point would mean buying near the upper boundary of the orange box, rather than the middle or lower levels.
Although the supply zone opens up to the red box above, this depends on sufficient buying momentum to sustain the rally. A conservative buying strategy would be to wait for a breakout above the upper boundary of the red box. A breakout would also mean overcoming the resistance trendline, potentially paving the way toward new highs.
Selling Perspective
For a selling strategy, the first signal would be the breakdown of the ascending trendline. If the NASDAQ breaks below the blue box’s lower boundary, this could be an entry point for short positions.
However, note that the NASDAQ has been consistently following the 20 EMA on the 30-minute chart. Therefore, the first sell signal would likely come from a break below both the 20 EMA and the ascending trendline.
Target Levels
In the short term, the green box serves as the target for any bearish moves. If the NASDAQ breaks below the green box, it would indicate entry into the next price frame. In this case, a decline to as low as 21558 could be possible. However, given the current bullish trend, a conservative approach is recommended.
Conclusion
For buyers: Wait for a breakout above the red box’s upper boundary for confirmation before entering.
For sellers: Watch for the breakdown of the 20 EMA and the ascending trendline as your initial signal. A break below the blue box’s lower boundary could solidify your entry point.
Trend caution: While short-term corrections are possible, the overall trend still leans bullish, so trade cautiously.
Let’s trade smart and aim for success. Best of luck in the markets! 🚀
Price Consolidation and Breakout Scenarios: Key Levels for TrendTechnical Analysis
The price is expected to consolidate between 21,535 and 21,625 until a breakout occurs.
A breakout above 21,630, confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level, will support a bullish movement toward 21,770.
Alternatively, if the price stabilizes below 21,535, it may turn bearish, targeting 21,400 and 21,330.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21620
Resistance Levels: 21770, 21900, 21990
Support Levels: 21535, 21400, 21215
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum: Stabilization below 21,535
- Bullish Momentum: Stabilization above 21,625
