NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🧐
Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path 🏦, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment.
1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture 🗺️
The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively.
A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating.
2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure 🏗️
My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4).
This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area.
Anticipated Scenario:
I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it.
Point of Interest (POI):
The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. 👍
3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15):
Entry Confirmation Trigger 🔫
The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level).
What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows).
Confirmation Signal:
For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for:
A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high).
Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows.
Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level.
Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary).
Synthesized Outlook & Strategy:
The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback.
The Strategy:
Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). 🧘♀️
Confirmation:
Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). 📉
Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry.
Targets:
Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. 🎯
Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. 🛡️
Fundamental Check:
cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. 📰
Nas100idea
Tactical US100 Trading: Converting 1W Trend into 30m Opportunity📈 The US100 index is currently exhibiting a bearish trend pattern on the weekly timeframe. We can observe a notable rally followed by a retracement into equilibrium when analyzed against the previous price wing range.
🔎 Currently, the index is positioned at a premium level, creating an environment where short sellers might be building positions in anticipation of further downward movement. However, market dynamics remain highly sensitive to external influences, particularly unexpected statements and social media announcements from influential figures like Donald Trump.
🌊 With such market unpredictability in play, focusing on shorter timeframes provides more actionable intelligence. Price action signals offer clearer guidance in this volatile environment.
⚡ Trade Opportunity: The 30-minute chart reveals a defined trading range worth monitoring. A definitive break above this range could present an opportunity to enter long positions, while a breakdown below support might signal a favorable short entry point.
🎯 This breakout strategy enables traders to respond to actual market movements rather than attempting to forecast the broader market direction—a particularly valuable approach given the current unpredictable market landscape.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk of capital loss and may not be appropriate for all investors. Historical performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Always perform independent research and consider your personal financial circumstances before executing any trades. Market conditions are subject to rapid changes, and no trading methodology ensures profits. The information presented should be used as one of many inputs in your decision-making process.
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NAS100 Turn of the Month Strategy Meets Market Volatility!In this video, we dive into the Turn of the Month Strategy and explore how it could play out in the current market environment. Historically, mutual funds rebalance their portfolios at the end of the month, creating buying pressure that often leads to higher stock prices into the new month. Additionally, recurring financial inflows, such as monthly salary payments and pension contributions, tend to boost market demand during this period.
However, this month presents a unique challenge. The NASDAQ 100 has capitulated into the end of the month, driven by heightened volatility and uncertainty fueled by Donald Trump's rhetoric. With the market currently trading into a significant support zone and liquidity pool, we analyze whether the Turn of the Month effect can counteract the recent bearish momentum.
📊 Key Highlights in the Video:
Price Action Analysis: The NASDAQ 100 is deeply overextended, trading into a critical liquidity pool.
Trade Idea: A potential counter-trend rally could emerge as the market seeks to correct and rebalance.
Strategy: Look for a short-term rally into resistance, followed by a possible shorting opportunity as the market resumes its downward trend.
This video is perfect for traders looking to combine price action trading with seasonal strategies like the Turn of the Month effect. Will the market rally into the new month, or will bearish momentum prevail? Watch now to find out! 🚀
NASDAQ Trade Plan: From 4-Hour Trend to 15-Minute Execution!NAS100 Strategy: Using Fibonacci and Market Structure for Precision!
📊 In this NASDAQ (NAS100) trade idea, I focus on a top-down approach starting with the 4-hour chart. If the 4-hour trend is bullish, I look for higher highs and higher lows. If bearish, I focus on lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 My key strategy is identifying pullbacks into equilibrium—around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level—within any price swing. This is my point of interest.
Once price moves into this area, I shift to the 15-minute chart to refine my entry. 🔍 Here, I wait for a break of structure during the pullback, aligning with the overall trend direction. This approach allows for precise execution while staying in sync with the larger trend. 🚀
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
Will NASDAQ Rally Continue? Technical Analysis & Trade Idea.NASDAQ NAS100 (4H Chart) Analysis 📊📈
The NASDAQ NAS100 is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart. The chart suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a potential move toward the 21,013.0 target. 🚀
Key Levels to Watch 👀
Support Levels:
19,750.9: Near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, this level has seen strong buying interest.
19,405.8: The 100% Fibonacci retracement, marking the swing low and a critical support zone.
Resistance Levels:
20,209.4: The 0% Fibonacci retracement, acting as immediate resistance.
20,611.2: The 50% Fibonacci extension, a key target for bullish continuation.
21,013.0: The 100% Fibonacci extension, representing the ultimate bullish target in this trend.
Volume Profile Insights 📉
The Volume Profile shows heavy trading activity between 19,800–20,000, confirming strong support in this range. Above 20,200, trading volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a quick rally toward 21,000.
Momentum and Indicators ⚡
Trend: The index is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows since the recent swing low.
Fibonacci Confluence: The alignment of the 50% retracement and Volume Profile support strengthens the bullish outlook.
Curved Arrow Projection: A pullback to the 19,800–19,750 zone is likely before the next leg higher toward 21,013.0.
Social Media Sentiment 🌐
Twitter: Analysts are optimistic, citing strong tech sector performance and easing interest rate fears. Many traders are eyeing the 21,000 level as the next milestone.
Reddit: Discussions emphasize the importance of the 19,800 support zone, warning that a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion 📝
The NASDAQ NAS100 is set for a bullish continuation, with key support at 19,750–19,800 and resistance at 20,209.4 and 21,013.0. Watch for a potential pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement before the next upward move. A break below 19,750 could signal a shift in momentum, while a breakout above 20,209.4 would confirm the bullish trend. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a professional before trading. 📢
NAS100 I Potential Gap Fill and More Growth to 21,000Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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NAS100 Analysis: Potential higher timeframe pullback in playOn the higher timeframe, NAS100 remains bullish. However, recent price action suggests that a higher timeframe pullback may be underway, providing a discounted price opportunity.
On the daily chart, a market structure shift occurred when NAS100 broke below the 20,477 level. The most recent price action indicates a short-term pullback to the upside on lower timeframes, potentially to mitigate the internal supply zone and reach premium price levels.
I am closely watching the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level around 21,028 for potential selling opportunities, with downside targets at 19,113 and 18,297.
How Are You Trading NAS100 This Week?
Share your thoughts in the comments!
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NAS 100 Overextended – Brace for a Pullback! The NAS 100 is looking highly overextended at the moment 📊. Market conditions are precarious, with many instruments trading into key support and resistance levels on both the daily and weekly timeframes ⏳.
A sharp pullback 📉 could be on the horizon, potentially offering a counter-trend buying opportunity on the lower timeframes for the US 100 💰. If it pushes higher, it may set up a potential short trade 🎯.
🚨 Not financial advice – trade wisely and manage your risk! ⚖️
NAS100 Analysis: Key Levels & Bearish Trade Setup📊 NAS100 Analysis and Trade Idea | Key Levels & Bearish Bias Explained 📉
Dive into a detailed analysis of the NAS100 (NZ 100) with a focus on key support zones, retracement levels, and a bearish trading bias. Learn how to identify overextended price movements, imbalances, and potential short setups using the daily and 4-hour timeframes. Perfect for traders looking to refine their strategies in indices trading! 💡 💬 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments below!
Is the NAS100 Setting Up for a Reversal? Here’s My Game Plan!👀 👉 In this video, we break down the US100, which appears overextended after pushing into a key weekly high. A significant retracement could be on the horizon this week. I’ll walk you through my trading strategy, covering breakout trades and trend continuation setups. 🚨 *Not financial advice.
NASDAQ 100 Hits Key Resistance: Is a Retracement Imminent?In this video, I analyze the NASDAQ 100 (#NAS100) as it trades into a key resistance level, appearing overextended on the 4-hour timeframe. I discuss the potential for a counter-trend trade, targeting a retracement to the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous price swing. Watch for insights and strategies on navigating this setup! Not financial advice.
Bearish Shift in NAS100: What’s Next for the US100 Trend?👀 👉 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the NAS100, analyzing its trend, market structure, price action, key support and resistance zones, and how liquidity is influencing the market. Currently, the US100 is approaching an important support level following a bearish market structure shift. We discuss possible strategies if the trend continues. All the details are covered here. Please note, this is not financial advice.
Uptrend or Reversal? Unpacking a Case for NAS100! The NAS100 has been trending bullish recently, but when we zoom out to a higher timeframe, there’s a case to be made for a potential bearish opportunity. In the video, we explore the trend, price action, and market structure, analyzing how it’s approaching a key resistance level. We also discuss a possible trade setup if the conditions align. This is not financial advice.
NAS 100 Counter-Trend Opportunity: Possible Bounce from Support 📊 The NAS 100 looks overextended right now. It’s tapped into a key liquidity pool support zone, and I’m eyeing a potential counter-trend trade back up to equilibrium. ⚖️ After that, we could see another sell opportunity if the price action aligns. 🚨 *This is not financial advice.*
NAS100 on Pause: Focused on Scalping Until NFP Shifts the Market👀 👉 The NAS100 has been stuck in a range and lacks a clear trend at the moment. Currently, I only see potential for scalping opportunities. With NFP coming up tomorrow, I’m leaning toward staying on the sidelines and waiting to see if a US100 trend develops next week, which could present some profitable setups for the NASDAQ. ⚠️ This material is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
NAS 100: Bullish Trend with Year-End Pullback - Where To Next?In this video, I analyze the NAS 100 on higher timeframes, starting with a quick top-down review to explore a potential trade setup. The three-week and weekly charts indicate a bullish trend; however, as we approach the end of the year, there’s some pullback and uncertain price action. I share my insights on the current market conditions and discuss a possible trade idea. Please note, this is not financial advice.
NAS100 update and buy setupOn our last analysis of NAS100, we were bearish and managed to place sell trades as per our strategy. We are still holding those positions because we are still bearish and we would eventually like to target the 4H low. However, we will be prepping ourselves to take buy positions as per our strategy, while still holding those sell positions. If you want to learn more about how our strategy works, visit our page on X. The link is in the bio.
NAS100 Overextended? Anticipating a Retracement to Re-BalanceThe NAS 100 has seen a sharp move to the downside and, in my view, is overextended. It has reached previous lows on the daily timeframe, sweeping southside liquidity. Considering the extreme nature of this move and the presence of significant gaps or imbalances above, I anticipate a retracement as the market seeks to rebalance. Additionally, there is buy-side liquidity resting above that could serve as a target. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if the conditions outlined in the video materialize. This is not financial advice.
NAS100 Update and Trading The Fakey Shakey👀 👉 In this video, we revisit the price action covered in a previous upload—an aspect I often emphasize in my videos. The NAS100 offers a classic example of the "fake shaky" chart pattern and key signals to watch for as price moves away from critical support or resistance zones. We also explore a common trap that traders can fall into. As always, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
NAS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 While the NAS100 has maintained a bullish trend, recent price action shows signs of consolidation within a sideways range. Historically, price has often retraced significantly following strong rallies—could we be on the brink of another pullback? In this video, we delve into the trend, price action, market structure, and a potential trade setup. Disclaimer:* Trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can shift rapidly. This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
NAS100 I Potential pullback and more growth Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!