US NAS 100
NAS100USD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 17959.5.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 18481.5.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NAS100 Trade IdeaThe US100 index has retraced, entering a bullish 1D order block. Analysis of the prevailing trend on this timeframe indicates a clear bullish trajectory. I am eyeing a potential buy entry opportunity within at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. Employing a risk management strategy, stops will be placed below the preceding low, while targeting the previous high and potentially beyond with the implementation of a trailing stop. However, it's imperative to note that trading carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Therefore, traders should conduct thorough research and exercise caution before making any financial decisions.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Wednesday 6 March 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:20am
On 5 March I entered buy positions at C.
Refer to that post for confirmations
Market moved up, breaking the 1H neckline and retesting the neckline at E.
Bulls pushed through all obstacles (i.e. various EMA's and pivot point)
Ultimately though, bears stepped in on sellers 0,618 fib level (at D.) and pushed down heavily
Bulls were unable to close above the 4H EMA - meaning that the 4H EMA will be a strong resistance on 7 March.
A large double top formed with neckline and profit target (height of the market pattern) marked in black lines
Bears broke the neckline down, with a neckline retest at F. and market pushed down further.
Ultimately market moved 2594 pips from my entry and I closed half my position in the region of F. (1344 pips)
Reason for closing at F. = bearish market pattern with neckline break
The remaining half of my position will be left running and hope that NFP will buy tomorrow, otherwise I will be taken out at entry.
I suspect that market may be weird today as we approach NFP tomorrow.
What could I have done differently?
No very happy with the pips I grabbed. I feel I should have closed out more pips since market moved so high.
Looking at the 30min chart, there is a clear DT (at D.) and I should have taken profit at break of this neckline
This would have meant I would have secured 630 pips more
Bulls were so strong throughout the day and I was hoping that buyers would step in again at the 1H EMA.
But a double top on the 30min TF at a seller's 0.618 fib level cannot be ignored!
Happy Trading! :)
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = Exponential moving average
DT = Double Top
DB = Double Bottom
Why I technically feel, Tesla is ready to build 30X againKeep It Simple and Trade With the Trend.
As a trader, you have probably heard the old adage that it is best to "trade with the trend." The trend, say all the pundits, is your friend. This is sage advice as long as you know and can accept that the trend can end. And then the trend is not your friend. There are multiple ways to spot trends, direction, and momentum.
So how can we determine the direction of the trend?
Let's take a look on the KISS rule, which says, "Keep it (as much as possible) simple, stupid!" Here is a method of determining the trend, and a simple method of anticipating the end of the trend.
Before we've started, it should be mentioned the importance of time frames in determining the trend. Usually, when we are analyzing long-term investments, the long-term time frame (one-week or larger) dominates the shorter time frames. However, for intraday purposes, the shorter time frame could be of greater value. Trades can be divided into three classes of trading styles or segments: the intra-day, the swing, and the position trade.
Large commercial traders, such as those companies setting up production in a foreign country, might be interested in the fate of the currency over a long period of such as months or years. But for speculators, a weekly chart can be accepted as the "long-term".
Averages Moving in Pairs
With a weekly chart as the initial reference, we can then go about determining the long-term trend for a speculative trader. To do this, we will resort to two very useful tools that will help us determine the stage of the trend. These two tools are the simple moving average and the exponential moving average.
Going further and keeping in mind all the mentioned above rules, lets build the trend.
Darlings, well graphed Tesla stocks trend is still the same as in 2019, where it started 30x gain.
Anybody tried to get all the path at those times? There's a chance you'll miss it again!
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 5 March 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:20am
During analysis noted the following:
So following on from Monday's analysis, I had identified the yellow highlighted area as my "Zone 2" area of interest
This was a strong area of confluence because:
It was the 4H 0,618 fib level (drawn from swing low at A to swing high at B)
+ Day 0,382 fib level
+ 4H EMA (position during the morning roughly marked in green)
I entered a pretty big buy at C. and set my stop loss really low at the orange thick line.
Ultimately I watched my position tank and took a big loss.
This scenario has caught me out many times before.
I know that before entering at a fib level, one should wait for price action to confirm the reversal.
If you look at the price action at C. level, there is clearly no price action indicating a reversal.
But if you trade Nasdaq and you know this index well, you will know that Nasdaq very often does not give price action confirmation on the bigger timeframes (15min and above)
You see it all the time how Nasdaq will dip down touch an area and the spike back up, leaving a loooooong wick candle of a hundreds of pips.
Some of my most profitable trades have been entering at these levels without price action confirmation. But like yesterday, it can also bite me in the behind.
I still haven't figured this out yet. Maybe there is confirmation on a lower timeframe?
If you know what I mean and have an antidote, please let me know! ;)
My next area of interest was the green highlighted zone. This represented an area of confluence because:
The D EMA was at this level
This was also the Week 0,50 fib level
This time I did wait for price action confirmation :) And in typical Nasdaq style, it only gave it to me way above my area i.e. 600 pips above where I would've wanted to enter (see what I mean).
So I entered at D. - Confirmations:
Market Pattern - a DB had formed on the 15min TF with a break of the neckline
Candlesticks - neckline break with strong momentum candle
Fib - W 0,50 fib level and market moving up
S&R - Dynamic support from the D EMA
Market moved up and I have secured my positions at entry, so trading risk free today.
I hope market moves well today. Lots of news so could be choppy!
What could I have done differently?
Still trying to figure it out, but on the surface, I don’t think I could have done anything different other than cutting my losses sooner.
As said, this strategy often pays off for me.
All the best!
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = Exponential moving average
DT = Double Top
DB = Double Bottom
NASDAQ Hits Record Highs:A Short-Term Correction on the Horizon?Last week witnessed the Nasdaq soaring to new heights, surging to an all-time high of 18,346 during the European session. However, amidst this bullish fervor, indications of a possible retracement loom on the horizon.
As the Nasdaq index ventures into overbought territory, as evidenced by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), investors are cautiously eyeing a potential reversal. With the RSI signaling overbought conditions, market sentiment suggests a corrective move, with the 18,000 level emerging as a plausible target for price adjustment before contemplating further bullish momentum.
In the realm of economic events, this week's agenda is marked by significant announcements. Today, investors eagerly await the release of the Sentix Investor Confidence data for March, which could offer insights into market sentiment and future investment outlooks.
Looking ahead, all eyes turn to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's semi-annual monetary policy report and congressional testimony scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday. Powell's remarks are anticipated to provide clarity on the Fed's stance regarding interest rates and monetary policy measures, potentially influencing market sentiment and investor behavior.
Simultaneously, Thursday brings forth the highly anticipated monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB's announcement will shed light on its policy outlook and potential measures to address economic challenges, offering valuable cues for market participants.
In light of these developments, investors are preparing for a short setup, anticipating a temporary correction in the Nasdaq's upward trajectory. While record highs have been achieved, prudent risk management strategies are in place to navigate potential market fluctuations and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 4 March 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:20am (just before 1am EST)
Looking exclusively for a buy because "the trend is your friend"
During analysis noted the following:
Price consolidating in a triangle on 1H (marked by blue circle)
I feel the market will retrace today
Two interest zones identified
Zone 1:
Area of confluence because -
Pivot point
4H 0,382 fib level (fib drawn from swing low at A to swing high at B)
Market pattern - Just past profit target if a double top forms; market tends to reverse at or near profit target to re-test the neckline. I like being part of a re-test that is the same as the overall trend (bullish in this case)
Zone 2:
Area of confluence because -
4H 0,618 fib level
D 0,382 fib level
4H EMA (was in this region at time of analysis and throughout the day)
I set buy limits at each zone as follows:
A smallish buy position at Zone 1, because for me the confirmations are not soo strong and it really depends on price action so I will judge the market sentiment based on candles to see if I add more
A large buy position at Zone 2, because these are strong confirmations and price should at least bounce from here.
Ultimately a DT did form and break the neckline down. But market was very slow and none of my zones of interest were triggered.
In the evening, I cancelled my buy order in Zone 1 because I felt market was very slow and I wouldn’t get the reaction that I wanted in this area.
Clearly, investors are waiting for the inflationary data this week.
What could I have done differently?
Nothing
Hope you had a good trading day! :)
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = Exponential moving average
DT = Double Top
DB = Double Bottom
NAS100 LONG (UPDATE)This is an update on my previous post of NAS100 longs. So NAS didn't give us the retracement we were looking for but we could easily still identify areas where we could take good entries off of. The initial move that bought NAS past the 18000 level was quick but gave us some hints as too where price could retrace to. If we look at where volume was present it falls on a key level (17800), which from previous price action has shown to be a well respected level. That along with some rejection off of that area would give us enough confirmation to enter and target fib extensions at price level 18300. Sometimes when price doesn't play out how we want it to we have to react of what it is giving us and that is a very important skill that any trader should practice.
Strong Bullish Trend Continues for US NAS 100The US NAS 100 has shown strong upside potential in a channel-like pattern on the daily chart. We expect it to smoothly rise towards the top of the channel and after reaching the channel roof, experience a slight downtrend towards the bottom of the channel. 📈📉
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Friday 1 March 2024I trade Nasdaq intraday exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6:30am GMT (1:30 EST)
During analysis noted the following:
The February month candle closed as a green momentum candle, indicating a very bullish market, despite being at all-time highs and despite the worries around inflation / Feb rate cuts
On the D TF, a beautiful DT had formed in the past few days, broken the neckline down and then price completed the pattern perfectly by moving down the same distance as the height of the market pattern
The area at the pumpkin was an area of confluence because:
It was the profit target of the DT (same distance as the height of the DT)
It was the D 0,382 fib level, as well as coinciding with the W 0,382 fib level
Generally, after reaching the profit target of a market pattern, price will reverse to test the neckline
I like to be part of a re-test that is in the same direction as the overall trend (in this case bullish)
From the pumpkin, price re-tested the neckline and with the help of inflation data news on 29 Feb (PCE and initial jobless claims), price broke through the neckline and continued upwards
Meaning that the bullish trend CONTINUES!!
Interesting to see how price came back down to test the temporary downtrend line marked in red. It was a deep retest of 830 pips by bears (pushing down till A.), but on 1H TF, you can see how bulls pushed back up and managed to close the candle at A. above the temp downtrend line
So looking exclusively for a buy - the trend is your friend!
At time of my analysis, price has reached TP1 (roughly at the pink horizontal line) of the move yesterday
This means that market may retrace at this point, so I need to wait patiently for a convincing break of this area before buying, or alternatively, wait for the retracement before jumping in.
Yellow highlighted area = area of good confluence:
4H EMA was in this zone at time of analysis
4H 0.618 fib level - a strong fib level (Fib drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.)
Daily pivot point
I set my Buy Limits in this zone for a big position size, due to strong confirmations
Entered a buy at C. - Confirmations:
Market seemed to have convincingly broken above the TP1 level (on 30min TF) and seemed to want to move directly to TP2
I don’t like buying at the very peak of price, so I entered a very small buy
Ultimately price reversed and this position was in draw down
I closed at entry as soon as price moved back up
I was waiting for price to reach my yellow buy zone, but it never did.
Price dipped to touch the 4H 0,50 fib level, and a DB appeared on the 15 min TF
This indicated that price was ready to move up and would not reach my buy zone
I entered a buy at D - Confirmations:
Fib - price had touched the 4H 0,50 level and moved up
Trend - entering a buy meant I was trading in the same direction as overall trend
Market Pattern - DB formed on 15min TF at 4H 0,382 fib level
Candle sticks - The red 1H candle at D. closed with a long wick touching the 0.50 fib level and closing above the 0,382 fib level
I entered at half my total planned buy position in case market still moved down into my yellow buy zone and at the moment of entering a buy at D., I cancelled half of my buy limits as I had entered these positions higher at D.
Ultimately market moved up 3000 pips and I took partial profit at TP 1 and closed above TP2.
What could I have done differently?
I am happy with my D position
I should not have entered my position at C as there was not enough confirmations - I was lucky to be able to close at entry
Hope you had a great trading day!
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = Exponential moving average
DT = Double Top
DB = Double Bottom
S&P 500 INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 27/02/2024BUY ABOVE - 5088
SL - 5081
TARGETS - 5100,5110,5120
SELL BELOW - 5070
SL - 5081
TARGETS - 5057,5047,5039
NO TRADE ZONE - 5070 to 5088
Previous Day High - 5100
Previous Day Low - 5070
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NAS100 FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKResistance
18097.01
18092.92
Fib .50 level
17998.84
Support
17919.08
17900.67
Point of interest
18220.75
17777.96
Waiting to see if NAS100 breaks either daily high or low.
After break and closure of the high or low an entry is going to be
initiated using the fib level to determine point of exit.
nasdaq (us100)
Hello friends
Unfortunately, I can't upload a video for you since yesterday
I will post it as a picture
We are currently in the range of the trading range, after the successive rises, the price is tired and resting, and we can be a seller in the ceilings and a buyer in the floors. specified to move
Do not log in without getting confirmation and be careful not to fall into the trap of unsuccessful failures
TQQQ Technical Analysis - Breakout and Key LevelsTechnical Breakout:
On November 13, 2023, NASDAQ:TQQQ experienced a significant structural shift with the breach of the $40 resistance level. The subsequent bull run in the tech sector propelled NASDAQ:TQQQ to a peak of $61.22 on February 12, 2024.
Fibonacci Retracement:
After reaching the peak of $61.22 on February 12, 2024, NASDAQ:TQQQ made an attempt to pull back, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $53.18. However, the retracement was not sustained, and NASDAQ:TQQQ returned to the previous high of $61.22 on February 23rd.
Current Situation:
As we await the market open on Monday, NASDAQ:TQQQ stands at a crucial juncture following the recent retest of $61.22.
RSI Divergence:
Since January 24th, we've observed RSI divergence, indicating a discrepancy between the price action and the strength of the trend. This could be a crucial signal, suggesting a potential shift in momentum that traders should closely monitor.
Upcoming Events :
This week brings important economic indicators:
Monday: Japan Inflation Rate
Tuesday: GfK Consumer Confidence and USA Durable Goods Orders
Wednesday: USA GDP
Thursday: USA PCE and Personal Spending
Friday: ISM Manufacturing
Market Expectations:
Anticipations are focused on the USA GDP, expected to perform worse than forecasted . This could influence market sentiment and potentially impact NASDAQ:TQQQ 's performance.
Forecast:
Given the current technical setup, RSI divergence and the upcoming economic events, there is a likelihood that NASDAQ:TQQQ could move towards the 0.5 Fibonacci level of $50.69 by Friday, March 1st. Traders should closely monitor developments and be prepared for potential volatility.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and consider risk factors before making any investment decisions.
CAN US100 MAKE A NEW ALL TIME HIGH ?Hello traders .
i think for nasdaq the market is still bullish ,
if the price manages to give a bullish reaction on the area it is likely that it going to give a trend continuation
for bears out there if you wanna sell look for shorts on round numbers / Psycological levels but don't hold for long its agaisnt the trend i think its going to keep going and maybe start possibly reversing on 20.000.
just a personal prediction of mine . according to the relative strenght index the market is making higher high but they are getting weaker and weaker i am thinking at the price 20000 by then the buyers will be tired and we might see a possible correction.