NQ expectations based on macro-economic analysis and structuralThere are 2 scenarios that I expect to occur, both with the final outcome, the circumstantial achievement of historical highs, because: we had a response to the restrictive monetary policies of the FED before 3/11/2023 with a lower than expected NFP and a rate of rising unemployment; then with decreasing inflation. I expect scenario 1 (white) to occur if in these days the markets close with a bearish acceptance below the last Value Area; scenario 2 (green) only if we have a bullish acceptance of the last established maximum. Seasonality should also not be overlooked as we are in Q4 and the very close Christmas rally, a Risk-ON period.
Nasanalysis
Nas100: A breakout of the ranging market and bearish projectionHello traders, last week we saw buyers struggling to take price higher from 14000 psychological level. At the start of this week price broke below 13900 where price was held in a ranging state last week. At this moment there is high chances that we might see price continuing to decline. I will be looking for further developments and bearish confirmation for possible short positions with targets of 13400 and 13100.
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NAS100 ANALYSIS Overall sell set-up on NAS100 has finally been completed, I hope you guys were also able to capitalize on that position
Price has impulsively moved towards the downside and given us the third touch on the overall current market structure and has also given us a nice rejection on the H1/H4.
Price could form into a smaller (short-term) correction on a LTF indicating to us a continuation to the upside which is the highest probability.
If you decide to capitalize on this set up, I would enter at this current point in time or you could wait for the next impulsive move followed by a tight correction on the H1.
This is a basic set up hence I know if you manage your trade and your risk accurately, you can and surely will make a lottt of money from this set up alone.
Remember, patience + persistence = consistency
LETS MILK THESE MARKETS MY FELLOW TRADERS!!
NAS100 ANALYSIS -UPDATEfrom previous trade set up analysis: If you calculated your risk correctly and played with your entries a little, you would have closed or TP would’ve been hit -depending on your broker spread- with an overall with a good amount of profit while still managed to maintain a good R:R
Current Analysis Update: I’m still anticipating further downside movement on NAS100 but currently on the lower time frames (M15 & H1), as you can see we had an impulse to the upside hence price is likely to push further up to grab liquidity and then after I will be waiting for price to give me a sell entry at least on the H1 or M15 before entering short positions as we are overall still in the correctional phase of an impulse to the downside on the H4.
I will wait for 6-8 H1 candles before entering, if the opportunity does not present itself yet, I will not enter until there is M15 confirmation. Remember, this is not a signal, this is only my analysis/representation of when and how I will be entering this trade. If you guys decide to take this trade, please use proper trade & risk management.
NAS100 with next pump?Hey tradomaniacs,
When I look at the entire market I can`t see any real reasons for these moves as fundamentals aswell as monetary policy hasn`t changed yet.
Banks keep printing money and the economy improves❗️
1️⃣"We are getting a little bit of weakness ... even though the earnings and economic data is good," said Ryan Detrick"
2️⃣"The underlying fundamentals are extremely strong and it wouldn't be overly concerning after the rally we have seen in the past 13 months for the market to catch its breath a little bit more in the face of strong earnings."
The only reason why the market is correcting might be the fact that it is overheated and that the margin debt has never been so high, as you can see on this chart.
As many traders are long with leverage, falling rates can cause a domino-effect due to the rising pressure (margin-calls).
We can soon expect a reversal, probably with good news as big players can play ping-pong with stop-loss-levels until then.
I`m still bullish on equities and so bearish on US-DOLLAR and will patiently wait for reversals to end in order to follow the trends as I see great incoming opportunities.🙏
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
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