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$Meta and U.S equity Bull Run Almost Finished? Was just having a little fun before bed and brainstorming on the NASDAQ:META chart. Our darling as of late. I love trying to find similarities and patterns between macro swings and cycles. Human psychology and business cycles have a way of repeating themselves pretty often. As they say, history doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. This recent melt up reminds a lot of the price action NASDAQ:META saw in 2021-2022. RSI overbought both times, currently approaching the 2.618 fib when connecting them to major high and low points. Decreasing volume on the moves up. There's a lot of other data to support a bear market may be on the horizon: Weak housing data/stocks (I do see some outlier stocks in the housing sector). The yield curve un-inversion which typically precedes major bear markets 6-12 months after un-inversion. The dollar seems to want to keep going higher. However it has shown a lot of weakness here lately which could help fuel the rest of the bull market. The unwinding of the Japanese Yen carry trade has seemed to play a big factor in U.S equities as of late. Every time the BOJ hikes interest rates, a lot of U.S. equities see pretty sizable bearish volatility shortly after. Being the darling that NASDAQ:META has become, once this trend line breaks it will be a signal that everyone should be taking note of in my opinion. I think the risk of a bear market increases dramatically. Maybe we get a shallow or 2022 style bear market next year and continue to make one last lag into new highs in 2027. Here are some ideas that could support that theory: China seems to be coming out of a depression-style bear market and is beginning to inject liquidity into their economy. This could help give U.S. equities a little more juice to run higher for longer chips could make a major comeback and fuel SPY/QQQ higher for longer. Names like Google, Tesla and Amazon can continue to show strength and we could see a rotation into them. Maybe we get some more significant quantum breakthroughs with the help of AI. These are things to keep in mind, but I think the probabilities of this this bull market we've enjoyed since 2008 is A LOT closer to the end than the beginning. I base most of my sentiment off the 18.6 year real estate/land cycle theory that I have been following since 2022. I also give a lot of credibility to U.S. yield curve un-inversions sending shockwaves through the global economic system. What do you guys and gals think?
NASDAQ:META
by ChazzyFreshh
$BEKE Inverse head and shouldersKE Holdings Inc. is a publicly traded Chinese real estate holding firm that offers a comprehensive online and offline platform for housing transactions and related services through its subsidiaries. It stands as the largest online real estate transaction platform in China. Investors commonly refer to the entire operation as "Beike." The company has garnered financial support from major players like Tencent, SoftBank Group, and Hillhouse Investment. In August 2020, KE made its debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), successfully raising $2.12 billion during its initial public offering. On its first trading day, the stock soared by 87%, bringing the company's valuation to nearly $40 billion. By May 2022, KE expanded its reach by becoming a dual-listed entity, adding its shares to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. KE operates two primary businesses: Lianjia and Beike. Lianjia functions as a real estate agency, while Beike serves as an online platform that connects customers with estate agents, including Lianjia. Lianjia is often likened to Redfin, whereas Beike is compared to Zillow. The company is divided into four key business segments: 1. Existing home transaction services 2. New home transaction services 3. Home renovation and furnishing 4. Emerging and other services
NYSE:BEKELong
by BallaJi
$NTES NETEASE to benefit from Chinese stimulus.NetEase, Inc. is a prominent Chinese internet technology firm established by Ding Lei in June 1997. The company offers a diverse range of online services encompassing content, community engagement, communication, and commerce. It specializes in the development and operation of online games for both PC and mobile platforms, alongside advertising, email services, and e-commerce solutions within China. As one of the largest players in the global internet and video game industry, NetEase also manages several pig farms. Additionally, it features an on-demand music streaming service. Notable video game titles from NetEase include Fantasy Westward Journey, Tianxia III, Heroes of Tang Dynasty Zero, and Ghost II. From 2008 to 2023, the company was responsible for the Chinese versions of popular Blizzard Entertainment games, including World of Warcraft, StarCraft II, and Overwatch. In August 2023, NetEase unveiled a new American studio, spearheaded by veterans from Bethesda and BioWare.
NASDAQ:NTESLong
by BallaJi
ADTRAN (ADTN) AnalysisCompany Overview: ADTRAN NASDAQ:ADTN is a leader in broadband access, fiber optics, and 5G technologies, providing high-speed connectivity solutions for service providers. The company is positioned to benefit from expanding fiber deployments and emerging defense and government contract opportunities. Key Catalysts: Enhanced Short-Term Unit (ESTU) Module ⚙️ ADTRAN’s new ESTU timing module is a game-changer for securing high-margin contracts in defense, space, and metrology. This innovation taps into a $700 million U.S. military communication market. 5G and Fiber Expansion 📶 As telecom operators accelerate fiber and 5G deployments, ADTRAN’s OSC-52v3 timing solution targets a $1.2 billion Total Addressable Market (TAM) through 2027. Defense Contract Favorability 🛡️ Department of Defense (DoD) supply chain audits that prioritize domestic suppliers could further boost ADTRAN’s growth potential in the U.S. defense sector. Sector Tailwinds 🌬️ The ongoing expansion of broadband infrastructure, driven by federal and private investment in fiber and high-speed networks, provides long-term tailwinds for ADTRAN’s core business. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We remain bullish on ADTN above the $9.00-$9.50 range, supported by product innovation, expanding defense market opportunities, and strong fiber/5G sector growth. Upside Potential: Our price target is $16.00-$17.00, reflecting confidence in ADTRAN’s ability to leverage sector tailwinds and capitalize on defense and fiber deployment opportunities. 📢 ADTRAN—Advancing Connectivity with Fiber, 5G, and Defense Innovation. #Broadband #FiberOptics #ADTN
NASDAQ:ADTNLong
by Richtv_official
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher, breaking through resistance near 22,000. Although Trump held a press conference on tariffs, the market interpreted the grace period as a bullish signal, driving a breakout from the previous range with a strong bullish candlestick. On the daily chart, the MACD remains in an upward trend, and since the index has broken out of its previous range, today’s strategy should focus on buying at the 3-day moving average, which aligns closely with the previous range high. Today marks the weekly close, making the Retail Sales data release a crucial event. If price action sustains its bullish momentum, it will be important to check whether a weekly buy signal is confirmed on the closing price. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has emerged, reinforcing the breakout above the range. Buying on dips remains the preferred strategy, but traders should stay mindful of potential volatility spikes around the Retail Sales report. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off the $70 support level with a long lower wick. Despite this rebound, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. However, this area also represents a strong historical support zone, making buying on dips a favorable strategy. As mentioned earlier this week, oil is forming a potential double-bottom pattern, which could provide further upside potential. The key trigger would be either a bullish MACD crossover near the zero line or a bearish continuation if the crossover fails, leading to a strong directional move. On the 240-minute chart, price action has exhibited a false breakdown, followed by a bullish divergence, suggesting that a bottoming process is underway. Buying on pullbacks remains the most effective approach, but traders should be cautious with weekend risk, as Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations could bring unexpected developments. Gold Gold closed higher, digesting the PPI data while trading near previous highs. The key focus is whether gold is forming a double-top pattern at this level. The recent rally can largely be attributed to global inflation fears stemming from Trump’s tariff policies. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but traders should be cautious, as a corrective pullback could emerge at any time. The MACD and signal line tend to converge naturally, so chasing momentum at current levels carries increased risk. On the 240-minute chart, gold has bounced off the 2,900 support level, triggering a buy signal. However, there is now a wide divergence between price and MACD, meaning that even if gold breaks above previous highs, the MACD may fail to surpass its previous peak, potentially signaling a bearish divergence. If a divergence forms and price pulls back, the correction could be sharp, as overbought conditions often lead to strong reversals. However, since the MACD and signal line remain well above the zero line, even a pullback is likely to find support, leading to a range-bound structure. The safest approach is to buy only at key support levels. Today’s Retail Sales report could drive significant market volatility, particularly as it will influence the weekly close. Always focus on the larger trend, manage risk effectively, and stay disciplined. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. Thank you. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 22000 / 21945 / 21900 / 21840 -Sell Levels: 22160 / 22240 / 22300 / 22360 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market(March) -Buy Levels: 71.10 / 70.45 / 69.85 -Sell Levels: 71.85 / 72.55 / 73.00 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2945 / 2936 / 2930 / 2921 -Sell Levels: 2966 / 2974 / 2985 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
2025-02-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: As expected after yesterday’s cpi reversal, bears are not strong enough and bulls wanted a higher high badly. Now a new ath is much more likely than prices below 21800. Max bullishness would be if we stay above 22k but everything above 21900 is ok for the bulls. We have a decent channel on the 1h tf but it’s not steep enough to get to 21400 tomorrow. So it’s probably best to pay more attention to the lower trend line and not looking to short the upper one. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21800 - 22500 bull case: Bulls now only need to keep it above 21900 and bears can’t hold shorts on this. We could easily print 22500 or higher tomorrow. Today we had wild swings on smaller time-frames so I doubt many bulls would want to buy the highs but we should know an hour into the Globex session if we can expect sideways to down first or if bulls just keep it above 22k in fear of not getting enough points to the upside. Odds are good for a max long day tomorrow. Invalidation is below 21900. bear case: Bears can scalp short on new highs but the risk of getting trapped if we break above was never higher this week. If they somehow manage to get below 21900 again, the bull case would be in trouble but for now we are making clear higher highs and higher lows. Could bears stay below 22100 tomorrow and break sideways out of the channel? Yeah but we closed at 22094. If Globex sells-off hard, might happen but I doubt it. Bears do not have much here. Invalidation is above 22150. short term: Clear plan. Stay above 21900 and long for 22400+. Dip below and see if bears can generate follow-through. Leaning heavily bullish though. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again. trade of the day: Strong selling on the open but by now everyone knows bears are only getting trapped this week, so buying around 21750 was where market found support late yesterday and we dipped only 6 points below the low from yesterday evening. Market refused to go down after the early EU session selling was done, so long it was. The pullback from 22000 down to 21890 was deep and holding longs through it was tough but if you look at the 1h chart at the end of the day, it was much more bullish than lower time-frames suggested.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
Cisco Systems Up 7% In Premarket Amidst Rising Annual OutlookCisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) is making headlines as its stock surges 7% in premarket trading, fueled by a robust earnings report, an upgraded annual revenue outlook, and solid demand for its networking gear. Strong Earnings and AI-Driven Growth Cisco’s latest earnings report and guidance have impressed analysts and investors alike. Here’s why: 1. Upgraded Revenue Guidance: Cisco raised its fiscal 2025 revenue forecast to $56 billion–$56.5 billion, up from its previous range of $55.3 billion–$56.3 billion. This upward revision reflects strong demand for its networking products, particularly routers and ethernet switches, which are critical for AI-powered data centers. 2. AI as a Growth Catalyst: CEO Chuck Robbins highlighted Cisco’s role in helping customers scale their network infrastructure to meet the demands of AI. With AI adoption accelerating, Cisco is well-positioned to benefit from the surge in data center investments. 3. Strong Q2 Performance: Cisco reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $0.94 per share, beating estimates of $0.91, and revenue of $13.99 billion, surpassing the expected $13.87 billion. This marks another quarter of consistent execution and growth. 4. Shareholder-Friendly Moves: The company increased its dividend by 3% to $0.41 per share and authorized an additional $15 billion in share buybacks, bringing its total repurchase program to $17 billion. These moves underscore Cisco’s commitment to returning value to shareholders. 5. Resilience Amid Tariff Headwinds: Despite the impact of tariffs on China, Cisco has factored these costs into its guidance, demonstrating its ability to navigate macroeconomic challenges. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, CSCO is showing strong momentum, but traders should be mindful of potential pullbacks. 1. Premarket Surge: CSCO is up 6.90% in premarket trading, reflecting strong bullish sentiment following the earnings report. 2. Overbought Conditions: The stock closed yesterday’s session with an RSI of 78.26, indicating overbought conditions. This suggests a potential pullback in the near term, which could provide a buying opportunity for traders. 3. Key Support and Resistance Levels: - Support: The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could serve as a key support zone if the stock cools off. - Resistance: A breakout above the 1-month high of $67 could open the door to further upside, potentially targeting the analyst price target of $75. 4. Long-Term Uptrend: CSCO has gained over 17% in 2024, reflecting strong institutional interest and a favorable market outlook. Analyst Sentiment and Valuation Analysts are bullish on CSCO, with at least six firms raising their price targets following the earnings report. The average 12-month price target stands at $60.82, representing a slight downside from current levels. However, this target may be revised upward given the company’s strong performance and growth prospects. - Valuation: CSCO trades at a 12-month forward P/E ratio of 16.23, significantly lower than peers like Arista Networks (43.21). This makes Cisco an attractive option for value-oriented investors. Conclusion: A Stock to Watch Cisco Systems is riding a wave of strong fundamentals and technical momentum. Its upgraded revenue guidance, AI-driven growth potential, and shareholder-friendly policies make it a standout in the tech sector. While the stock is currently overbought, any pullback to key support levels could present a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
NASDAQ:CSCOLong
by DEXWireNews
Costco Wholesale: Robust Earnings Support Bullish Trend◉ Technical Observation ● The stock price is exhibiting a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending parallel channel. ● A recent breakout from a rounding bottom pattern has propelled the price higher, nearing the upper boundary of the channel. ◉ Two Possible Scenarios 1. Rejection and Pullback: The price may face resistance at the upper end of the channel, leading to a potential decline. 2. Breakout and Continuation: Alternatively, the price may break through the upper boundary, sustaining the uptrend and driving the stock higher. ◉ Q1 FY25 Result Highlights ● Net Income: Up 13.1% to $1.79 billion, compared to $1.58 billion in Q1 FY24. ● Comparable Sales: Increased by 5.2% in the US and 5.8% in Canada. ● E-commerce: Comparable sales soared by 13%, with adjusted e-commerce comparable sales rising to 13.2%. ● Membership Revenue: Grew by 7.8% to $1.166 billion, reflecting strong customer loyalty. ● Gross Margin: Improved by 24 basis points to 11.28%.
NASDAQ:COST
by NaranjCapital
2025-02-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: CPI was the gift to the bears and what was the perfect setup for continuous selling to the lows of this bigger trading range, became the ultimate bear trap. Bears now have only 2 daily bear bars during the past 8 trading days and today printed a really nasty reversal bar. We are still making lower highs but if bears can’t stay below 21900 tomorrow, I think we could see a bullish breakout above for a retest of the ath. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21500 - 22000 bull case: Bulls probably burned enough bears today that many will give up until we see bigger selling pressure instead of single sell spikes. That opens the possibility for the bulls to print higher highs above 21900 and test the previous monthly high at 21967. If bulls are strong enough tomorrow, it could setup the next impulse higher to retest 22450. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Likely that bears are done with these reversals and they could give up tomorrow because market clearly rejects lower prices. Bears now had 5 big spikes down in the past 8 trading days and all were rejected hard. Above 21967 I highly doubt bears will fight this if we get above 21967. What would the bears need to keep this another lower high and go down? Yeah right. Neither trade war stuff nor the hot cpi print could bring this down. If somehow bears manage to get strongly below 21750 tomorrow, there is a small chance of more downside to 21670 but at this point it’s very low probability. Invalidation is above 21970. short term: Can’t be bear after such a trap today. Bulls need something above 21967 and if they get it, it’s a clear buy signal and we likely melt higher. Bears having more arguments if they strongly go below 21760 again but it would likely turn the market neutral at best. Middle of this range is still 21700. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again. trade of the day: I am always flat into bigger news releases, so shorting into cpi was out of the question. Could you buy the big cpi print near 21500? Well, I would not and I did not. Why? Of course bulls reversed most this week but the spike was so huge, it could have easily become a risk-off event. Biggest question today was, when should you have joined the bulls and when did it became clear that bears can not retest the lows again? Bar 19 had a huge tail below, bears tried to test down to 21500 but failed. Bulls then printed another very strong 5m bar and if you did not want to go long like me, it should have been at least the death for bearish price action for that moment since if bears would have been strong, those big bull bars would have never happened or would have at least been followed by a bear bar and bulls just printed consecutive bull bars.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
NASDAQ: Ready to break out of consolidation and aim for 24,600Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.119, MACD = 45.480, ADX = 25.617) as it is trading sideways for the last 2 months. The 2 year Channel Up is intact and such consolidation patterns have broken out aggressively in the past to the new HH. As long as the 1W MA50 is supporting, the long term bullish trend will stay intact and we can aim for a total of +43% price increase (TP = 24,600) from the last HL, a -4% drop rate from the last one. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
Nasdaq - Starting The Final Parabolic Year!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is perfectly following the breakout: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Back in 2020 we already witnessed the channel break and retest, which was followed by a parabolic rally of another +50%. And in mid 2024, the Nasdaq again broke the channel trendline towards the upside, preparing the repetition of the parabolic rally which we saw four years ago. Levels to watch: $30.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQLong
by basictradingtv
14
Prepere yourself for buying opportunities ... So there we are ... CPI little bit higher than exceptating , powel clearly talks about monetary policy and Trump goin wild with tarrifs ... what to except in this macro&political economic driven environment ? I don't think it will grow to extreme values ​​now. Rather, there will be some more carving and from a short-term perspective an opportunity to buy at a good price ... Well, it is very important, at least for me in this environment of a trade war combined with a period when historically the Fed has raised rates and not lowered them as many expect. It is important to take profits and hold losses short and uncompromisingly exit losing positions. The year 2025 will be full of opportunities, which goes hand in hand with pain. What is heaven for one guy is hell for another guy. I am a fan of everyone who tries to make money in this environment and I hope to rob you of your money. Because that is what the market is about. Good luck and enjoy your game
TVC:VIX
by STLMfx
1
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES 1/8 Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️ 2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64) • Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B) • Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭 3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS • $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth • Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting • New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐 4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS • Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report • CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky • Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔 5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT • Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused • SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x) • Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀 6/8 – RISKS • Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell) • Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes • Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️ 7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks 2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins 3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK • 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot • Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers • Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
1