NASDAQ's Inverse H&S that targets $25000Nasdaq (NDX) is forming the Right Shoulder of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The price action is 'stuck' within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested on Friday for the first time since March, and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Since the 1D MA200 was the level that initiated the March 26 rejection, it is possible to see a short-term pull-back now, all in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and after the market digests the new Fed Rate Decision, starts the next Leg Up. Note that the 1D RSI is already on its February highs.
As a result, our long-term Target is at 25000, just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, which is a standard technical target for IH&S patterns.
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Nasdaq
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio.
Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January.
Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week:
Monday, May 5, 2025
The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors:
• Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors.
• After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report.
Tuesday, May 6, 2025
Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings:
• Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space.
• After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector.
Wednesday, May 7, 2025
A packed day for earnings reports:
• Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors.
• After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively.
Thursday, May 8, 2025
This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce:
• Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector.
• After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus.
Friday, May 9, 2025
Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest:
• Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing.
This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing.
Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity.
Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S.
Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures.
The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting.
The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting.
Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April.
Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
Bullish till March 26 High but open for retrace.We are at a daily -BPR at the moment. All daily candles have been bullish so far since April 22. The whole sentiment behind this has been the 90 day tariff pause.
There definitely is a mix of fundamental and technical reasons for both bullish and bearish bias once we achieve this target.
For this week, I would look for a long entry only if NQ retraces lower first. Otherwise would have to just watch it do its thing. Once we hit the March 26 High, I am very open for NQ to go to All time high again because that is what it historically does but I am also completely open for it to start dumping to monthly lows because it seems that the sell-side was not hit and the higher lows made on the 4H chart seem to be very low resistance targets.
Not a good time to marry a bias.
BUYS For the Markets. Wait for BUYS in Gold and Silver.In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 5 - 9th.
The Indices are moving higher, and it's buys until they are not. Simple.
Gold is near potential support at 3201. This may present a great buying opportunity once the lows are swept. A weakened USD will help this cause.
Silver has made a bearish market structure shift (MSS), so buys are not yet on the table. If it disrespects a Daily -FVG, then sells are warranted. It is considerably weaker than Gold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
#202518 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls want at least 20536 now and run all the stops from before the big sell-off. Bears are not doing anything at all, so bulls will likely get it. This could be a breakout-retest and I marked the area for that with the red rectangle. Small chance bears come around next week but for now it’s too early to short and buying into 9 consecutive bull days is statistically beyond moronic.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 15500 - 23000 (upper range is a guess, could also become 21000 but for now we don’t know so I assume the higher price)
bull case: 20536 and then 21000. Those are the next targets and bulls are in full control of the market. The measured move from the buy spike at the lows is around 22350 and it’s possible that we get there. I think we need to see a pullback and how deep that will be. If we get only another sell spike and immediate buying for higher highs, we can also assume much higher prices. Above 21100 there is no reason not to go for 23000.
Invalidation is below 19100.
bear case: Bears have nothing. Below 19100 market is neutral but until then, selling this is dumb. Wait for more bears to appear or at least seeing something that resembles a topping pattern. Like a lower high on the 1h chart. Don’t try to be the lucky bear who shorted the exact high.
Invalidation is above 21100.
short term: Neutral. No interest in buying such a buy climax but it’s way too early for shorts. Patience is key.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-26: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer.
WEEKLY ANALYSIS TO HELP YOUR TRADING: Nasdaq, NQ, NAS100A pretty accurate week from my last video analysis if I do say so myself.
This week, I'm anticipating more bullish price action, however, there's also a strong chance for an inside bar which could have price working within last week's trading range. Based on the levels discussed in this video, price has reason to try and close bullish yet again, so I'll be watching price action for entries into longs and managing my risk accordingly.
Happy Trading,
The Meditrader
This AI-Backed IPO Is Just Warming Up — Next Stop: 86% Gains?CoreWeave is showing classic IPO 'honeymoon phase' price action, with early liquidity swept and bullish structure forming.
🔍 Price swept the daily sell-side liquidity at $35.70
📈 Now pushing higher — next major buyside targets at $55.04 and $65.22
🤖 Backed by NVIDIA, adding serious momentum and credibility
🧠 Expecting strong continuation as institutions begin to build exposure
If price maintains structure, this could be one of the strongest IPO moves of 2025.
Is The Nasdaq Bullish? Moving Higher Tomorrow...?In this video, we will analyze the NASDAQ futures for Friday, May 2nd.
Markets are looking tradeable again.
NQ has swept an old high, and retraced today. I like the location of the bullish FVG right below... which price has just tapped into a little while ago.
Look for the reaction from that +FVG, and trade accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NASDAQ: 50% probability that this Golden Cross is bearish.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.920, MACD = 61.810, ADX = 33.031) as it continues its recovery from the Low of the previous month. In the meantime, it formed a 4H Golden Cross, the first since January 23rd. Even though this is a bullish pattern theoretically, it often doesn't deliver an immediate rise. More specifically, since the October 2022 market bottom, Nasdaq has had another 10 Golden Crosses on the 4H timeframe. The interesting statistic is that 5 have extended their rallies but the other 5 cuased a pullback (short or medium term). Consequently we call for caution in the next 2 weeks, as the market may correct towards the 4H MA200 before it resumes the long term uptrend.
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Mega Cap Tech Setting a Head & Shoulders – Breadth Collapse IncoICEUS:NYFANG (FANG+) is showing a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern — Left Shoulder, Head, and a freshly printed Right Shoulder.
The setup becomes even more concerning when you combine it with the Nasdaq Oscillator, which just printed an identical spike to the one that marked the 2024 top.
🧠 Here's the backdrop:
Netflix, Meta, Google, and Microsoft have already had their post-earnings moonshots.
Tonight it’s Amazon and Apple — the last two horses in the race (Nvidia is still weeks away).
Breadth is collapsing — this rally is being carried by fewer and fewer names.
📉 Breakdown below the neckline could mean:
🔻 –25% correction (minimum)
🚨 Potential –50% wipeout if the neckline fails
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Time for Pullback
There is a high chance that US100 will retrace from the underlined
blue daily resistance.
I spotted a double top pattern on a 4h time frame after its test
and a nice bearish imbalance candle that was formed
during the NY session yesterday as confirmations.
Goal - 19590
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NVDA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025NVDA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 111.90 109.90
📉 105.90 103.90
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
TQQQ Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025TQQQ Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 55.10 55.60
📉 52.10 51.60
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 299 305
📉 274.50 268.50
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025
📈 20130 20219
📉 19770 19700
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 19560 19685
📉 19185 19060
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ testing its 1D MA50. Break-out or Fake-out?Nasdaq (NDX) has reached its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since February 24. Following the (near) rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), this looks like a textbook recovery from a correction to a new long-term Bullish Leg.
Chronologically the last such correction was the March 2020 COVID flash crash, which after it almost touched the 1W MA200, it recovered as fast as the current rebound and when it broke above its 1D MA50, it turned it into the Support of the new long-term Bullish Leg.
What wasn't a break-out but a fake-out was the rebound after the June 13 2022 (near) 1W MA200 rebound, when the break above the 1D MA50 was false as it produced a new rejection and sell-off later on. The difference is that 2022 was a technical Bear Cycle both in terms of length and strength.
Whatever the case, Nasdaq has seen the lowest 1W RSI (oversold) reading among those 3 bottoms. So do you think today's 1D MA50 test is a break-out or fake-out?
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Nasdaq: Where should I buy from next? New bullish orderblockWe are hunting the next buyzone already. The correction zone is printing now.
This is how you accurately forecast your next entry ahead of time. Learn how corrections should work. Long below higher time frame (Hourly/Daily/Weekly) lows is the name of the game.
This should be easy work, and you can feel free to look for longs below 15m lows on the way to the targets above. Once we hit those, we should look for correction after closing below hourly candles, the same way we were able to freely take long after close above hourly candles today just as I prescribed while it was dropping.
This is just the rules of the game 🔓 gotta be sharp enough to observe them and trust the mechanics. Thanks for tuning in
Is Nasdaq still bullish? Steep correction today as expectedIf you look at my last post, you can see where I explained the expectation.
As range theory would state, the rejection from the bottom of a range creates a target in the high of the range. I have identified the candle top that I believe is the target for this rally.
If the bearish imbalance is stacked with too many orders we will not make it there. We are sitting right around the 50EMA for hourly as well as retesting the break point and bottom of the hourly bearish orderblock as I have marked.
It is in my opinion that the Void will act as a magnetic anomaly and assist in pulling price up as many institutional orders will be in that range, but we'll see 🔑
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NASDAQ: Rejected on the 1D MA50. Can it break it?Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.608, MACD = -100.810, ADX = 23.609) as it got rejected today on the 1D MA50. That is the first serious Resistance test of the April 7th rebound and until it breaks, we can see a technical pullback to the 4H MA100 in order to establish the new Support. With the 1D RSI confirmed the new long term bottom with a DB, buying the dips on every such pullback is the most effective strategy on such occasions. Our short term target is the R1 level (TP = 20,300).
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