Nasdaq
NASDAQ Outlook IF the daily close above the weekly level 20491.21 or the Daily candle closes bullish , I'll be looking for buys 📈↗️opportunity to 21009.46
That's because of the imbalance that needs to be filled around that zone. Hence I'm going to watch how price reacts at that level for sell continuation.
The monthly candle is bearish. It might end bearish by the end of the Month.
Kindly boost this if you find it insightful ciao!
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/13/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/13/25
📈 21074
📉 20660
1/2 way mark 📈 20970.50 & 📉 20763.5
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Xometry (XMTR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Xometry NASDAQ:XMTR is a leading marketplace for custom manufacturing, connecting buyers and suppliers through an AI-powered platform. The company's platform spans a broad range of industries, offering services such as CNC machining, 3D printing, injection molding, and sheet metal fabrication.
Key Growth Drivers
International Expansion:
Global Scaling Efforts:
Xometry is expanding its reach beyond the U.S., targeting international markets where demand for custom manufacturing is rising due to increasing industrialization and digital transformation.
The company’s global presence positions it to tap into diverse manufacturing needs across Europe, Asia, and beyond, creating new revenue streams.
AI-Enabled Platform:
Smart Manufacturing:
Xometry’s AI-powered platform connects customers to suppliers, optimizing processes such as quoting, production management, and quality control. This provides a competitive edge in providing fast, reliable, and cost-efficient services.
The platform’s automation capabilities drive operational efficiency, creating a seamless manufacturing experience for users.
Focus on High-Growth Sectors:
CNC Machining and 3D Printing:
These high-demand services, which are critical in industries like aerospace, automotive, and consumer electronics, provide Xometry with a solid foundation for long-term growth.
With growing demand for additive manufacturing (3D printing) and precision machining, Xometry is well-positioned to benefit from these trends.
Market Positioning and Tailwinds
Industry Leadership:
As a key player in the custom manufacturing space, Xometry benefits from being a one-stop-shop for a wide range of industries, differentiating itself from competitors with a diverse service offering.
Customization Trend:
The growing trend towards personalized products and on-demand manufacturing is fueling the need for Xometry's solutions, positioning the company to scale rapidly in an evolving marketplace.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisition Potential:
Xometry's ability to acquire new companies and form strategic alliances enhances its market leadership and expands its technological capabilities, especially in automation and AI integration.
Financial and Stock Outlook
Bullish Momentum Above $34.00-$35.00:
Given the company’s strong growth drivers, international expansion, and technological advancements, Xometry is poised for continued success in the custom manufacturing space.
Upside Target: $68.00-$70.00, reflecting confidence in its scalability, innovative platform, and growing market presence.
Investor Confidence:
Xometry's unique market position, technological capabilities, and focus on high-growth sectors make it an attractive investment, appealing to those seeking exposure to the future of manufacturing.
Conclusion
Xometry’s AI-enabled platform and focus on high-growth manufacturing sectors provide a strong foundation for future growth. As the company expands globally and continues to innovate, it remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for custom, on-demand manufacturing services.
📈 Recommendation: Bullish on XMTR above $34.00-$35.00, targeting $68.00-$70.00.
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Applied Optoelectronics NASDAQ:AAOI specializes in optical network solutions, serving data center, telecom, and broadband markets. With a focus on high-speed fiber optics, AAOI is at the forefront of next-generation communication technologies.
Key Growth Drivers
Innovative Fiber Designs:
Partnership with Credo Technology:
Joint development of 400G and 800G fiber optic solutions addresses rising demand for high-speed, low-latency networks in data centers.
These innovations lower power consumption and costs, strengthening AAOI's competitive edge.
Positioned to capitalize on the ongoing shift toward 800G architectures as hyperscalers scale their infrastructure.
Strategic Index Inclusion:
Russell 3000 Index Membership:
Elevates AAOI’s profile among institutional investors, potentially increasing liquidity and long-term stock valuation.
Patent Lawsuit Potential:
Ongoing litigation against Accelight Technologies could result in financial gains or licensing agreements, adding a non-operational upside to AAOI’s valuation.
Market Positioning and Tailwinds
Expanding Demand for Fiber Optics:
Rapid adoption of cloud computing, 5G, and AI drives demand for higher bandwidth and lower latency.
AAOI’s ability to deliver cost-effective and energy-efficient solutions positions it well in this competitive market.
Diversified Customer Base:
Serving key markets—data centers, telecom, and broadband—provides revenue diversification and reduces dependence on a single vertical.
Operational Strength:
Continued R&D investments ensure a pipeline of innovative products, maintaining AAOI’s technological leadership in optical components.
Financial and Stock Outlook
Bullish Momentum Above $28.50-$29.00:
With its innovative product line and strategic advancements, AAOI is well-positioned for growth.
Upside Target: $60.00-$65.00, reflecting optimism about its market share expansion and potential litigation gains.
Investor Appeal:
Strategic partnerships, inclusion in the Russell 3000, and innovation-focused operations make AAOI attractive to growth-focused investors.
Increased institutional interest could serve as a catalyst for sustained stock performance.
Conclusion
Applied Optoelectronics is strategically positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-speed optical networks. Its focus on cost and energy-efficient fiber solutions, coupled with institutional tailwinds, underscores its growth potential.
📈 Recommendation: Bullish on AAOI above $28.50-$29.00, targeting $60.00-$65.00.
NASDAQ One more low to go.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down since the December 16 2024 High. So far it has made two Lows and each one bottomed after the 4H RSI made Double Bottom as seen on the chart.
Right now the 4H RSI just turned oversold below 30.00, so technically we still have room for one last Low before we see a rebound. We expect the next Bullish Leg to target at least 21300, which is marginally below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that formed the previous two Lower Highs of the Channel Down.
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Nasdaq under pressure and aims for 18'400NQ is being pushed down, and a rebound doesn’t seem possible at the moment.
There are some fundamental factors supporting this weakness. However, as a chart analyst, I focus on the signals within the chart itself.
What I see is a possible target around 18,400, which aligns with the L-MLH.
With the weakness of the MAG7, the Nasdaq is unlikely to make further gains. The options are sideways or down. The latter is what I trade according to the rulebook.
Weekly and Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following the non-farm payroll data release. As noted in yesterday’s analysis, the possibility of a sharp drop in the third wave of selling on the 240-minute chart was highlighted and has largely materialized. The monthly 5-day moving average (20,880) emphasized this month acted as support, forming a lower wick.
On the weekly chart, the MACD has crossed below the Signal line, generating a sell signal. The index is positioned between the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day moving averages above and the 20-day moving average below, suggesting the possibility of a range-bound market this week. If the market moves upward at the beginning of the week, it may decline later, and conversely, if it drops initially, a rebound may occur later in the week. The upper range is projected at 21,360–21,400, while the lower range is expected to be below 20,880. Flexible responses to early-week movements are crucial, especially with Wednesday’s CPI release likely to serve as a key turning point.
On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, making sell-side strategies near the 3-day or 5-day moving averages preferable during rebounds. Downward movement toward the 120-day moving average is possible, but there’s a strong likelihood of a rebound after forming a lower wick, so avoid chasing the sell-off. On the 240-minute chart, while selling pressure remains strong in the third wave of the downtrend, support and a potential trend reversal could occur below 20,700. Overall, a sell-on-rebound strategy is advantageous today.
Oil
Crude oil surged on the possibility of U.S. sanctions on Russian crude exports. As previously noted, oil continues to display a pattern of reversing trends and sharply rising from the bottom. In pre-market trading, prices have already surpassed $78, but with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, caution is warranted today.
On the weekly chart, the divergence from the 5-week moving average and the presence of previous highs around the $78 range suggest that even if prices rise further, chasing the rally should be avoided. The most favorable scenario this week involves buying on dips near the 5-week moving average, with corrections potentially reaching $73.4–$74.
On the daily chart, more time is needed for shorter-term moving averages, such as the 20-day and 60-day, to align with current prices. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, generating a buy signal. However, if prices fail to surge further, divergence in the MACD could occur. Pay attention to potential sell signals and additional declines. As the rapid rise calls for a correction, prices are likely to consolidate around $78 during pre-market trading, making range-bound strategies favorable.
Gold
Gold surged on Friday due to reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut following employment surprises. On the weekly chart, gold has formed a bullish candle, breaking above key short-term moving averages. However, the significant divergence between the MACD and Signal lines suggests that surpassing the previous high near 2,760 will be challenging.
On the daily chart, the MACD is above the zero line, and the Signal line is trending upward, showing a buying trend. Buying on dips near the strong support zone at the 5-day and 60-day moving averages around 2,690 is a favorable short-term strategy. With additional upward movement possible, a buy-on-dips approach is recommended. However, volatility is expected to increase with Tuesday’s PPI and Wednesday’s CPI data, so plan accordingly.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, with the RSI entering the overbought zone, making premature selling risky.
Weekly Overview
This week, early movements are likely to continue last week’s trends, with a potential inflection point around Wednesday’s CPI data. Manage risks carefully, and have a successful trading week!
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bearish Market
-Buy Levels: 20,945 / 20,900 / 20,780 / 20,740 / 20,680
-Sell Levels: 21,110 / 21,210 / 21,310
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 76.55 / 76.00 / 75.60 / 74.60
-Sell Levels: 78.35 / 78.85 / 79.45 / 80.00
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,713 / 2,703 / 2,695 / 2,685 / 2,677
-Sell Levels: 2,726 / 2,735 / 2,742 / 2,753 / 2,759
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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MNQ Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25 Price delivered precisely to the Daily Discount Draw on Liquidity which was the D BISI 50% quadrant at 20,875.75 underneath that nice triple bottom PDLs.
Now the question to ask is does price justify staying inside that BISI or will price cut through the BISI and continue to reach for the SSL at 20,640.00?
Lets continue to watch and see if price reverses or continues lower from here.
This week I got to experience first hand why its good to have a Directional Bias and why its a good idea to stick with it regardless of being right or wrong.
- First always remember as a traders we do not control outcome only our performance and if we get one day wrong then thats okay because its only one day in my trading career not my whole trading career. Also its very important to have methodology or an edge that can produce consistency as that will help aid the mental battle of missing trades or getting the bias wrong and not getting the framework to take a trade. In the beginning it might feel bad but keep in mind the game is not capital gain but capital preservation. If your methodology is consistent in terms of producing setups then missed setups or hitting SL should not worry you as there will always be another day to trade and get a setup.
-Another key thing I want to touch on is the peace of mind you get when sticking to your Directional Bias. When your looking for example only Bullish scenarios and ignore all Bearish ones then your not over here investing mental capital on a trade that you know is counter to the HTF Bias and could easily hit your SL. Watching price action also becomes enjoyable as well because you don't care to be right or wrong so if your right and your setup forms then take the trade and if your wrong then just turn the charts off and trade another day as there is plenty of trading opportunities through out the year.
ICICI BANK LTD (IBN) WEAKNESS COULD DRAG PRICE TO ITS MEAN!The price of IBN is now showing weakness, all that is left is a pullback above 29 followed by rejection...
N.B!
- IBN price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#IBN
#NASDAQ
#SP500
#NYSE
$NQ & ES BearishThe NQ and ES on the monthly chart showed signs of rejection, indicating a possible correction toward a PDA located in the discounted region of this timeframe. Consequently, on the daily chart, there was a shift in the price delivery state, now seeking this liquidity as well as the daily sell sides. We maintain a bearish outlook for the assets, but it is important to note that the price may correct toward the premium region of the daily chart, seeking new liquidity to build momentum and ultimately reach the monthly chart objective: a more pronounced drop.
NASDAQ (US100): Bullish Momentum Poised for New HighsThe NASDAQ (US100) continues to display strong bullish momentum, having recently broken above its previous higher high. The price has since retraced to test this level as support, aligning with the structure of a proposed ascending channel. With no bearish signals currently evident, the index shows potential to establish a new high.
*Trade responsibly and implement proper risk management strategies.
Prepare Nasdaq for Monday on weekend 25.01.11Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Briefing Results
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
No buy entry signals were triggered during session.
Sell Perspective:
While the initial blue ascending trendline break could have been a sell entry, the timing occurred outside of market hours (during the Asian, European, and U.S. sessions), rendering the move insignificant.
Thus, the sell entry was based on the extended yellow ascending trendline. Upon its breakdown, the target was exceeded, resulting in a total drop of 325 points and approximately $6,500 in profit per contract.
Daily Chart Analysis (Perpetual Contract)
Chart:
On the daily chart:
Lagging Span (Chikou Span):
The Lagging Span has definitively entered below the candles, suggesting a high probability of a trend reversal.
For a full reversal, the price must break above 21555.
Current Position:
The price is currently at 21016.
The Lagging Span suggests the potential for upward movement toward 21437 on Monday, barring further breakdowns.
Green Box:
Previously acted as a support zone, but the red box candlesticks broke below, creating new lows.
Ichimoku Cloud:
While the price has entered the cloud, it continues to close above the upper boundary, maintaining support for now.
Key Moving Averages:
Without a gap-up on Monday, the daily candle is likely to open below the 20 EMA and 60 EMA.
Major resistance levels are at 21090 and 21440, respectively.
March Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
While largely similar to the perpetual contract:
The price closed within the Ichimoku Cloud.
Intraday trading on Friday even saw the price break below the cloud’s lower boundary.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 21213 (cloud upper boundary).
Support: 20930 (already broken once, so its strength as support is questionable).
Key Daily Chart Patterns
Chart:
Two notable patterns emerge on the daily chart:
Descending Triangle (Red Lines):
Height: ~6.8%.
The pattern broke downward on Friday, suggesting a potential target at 19594 (6.8% below the breakdown point).
Falling Wedge (Blue Lines):
While this indicates a corrective downtrend, a breakout above the blue box could signal a return to the highs or even new all-time highs.
Both patterns offer insight into market sentiment but require confirmation to act upon.
Monday Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above the green box + 21206.
Context: The price has shown resistance at 21206 following a rebound and subsequent decline.
Targets: Resistance levels are marked on the chart; verify specific price points on the chart’s left side.
Key Consideration:
Without a breakout above 21562 (light blue box), the overall trend remains bearish.
Any potential buy would likely be a temporary retracement within a broader downtrend.
Sell Perspective:
Recommendation: Monday may be best suited for observation rather than aggressive sell entries.
Risks: There are no clear support trendlines, and selling on a break of the previous low carries considerable risk.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is a dynamic and unpredictable market where what appears to be a correction may not actually be one.
Recent declines can trigger panic among traders, but it’s critical to approach the situation with patience and a calm, strategic mindset. Avoid emotional decisions and focus on the bigger picture.
Trade smart and stay prepared for any market movements. 🚀
QQQ trying to breakout of downtrendA gap up and attempt to breakout of downtrend today. However, regular hours trading was pretty flat. You can see the high and low wicks on the candle testing support and resistance, but ultimately, price went nowhere after the gap up. Tomorrow should give us a good idea on which way it is going.
Combined US Equities - Critical Support Line BROKEN DOWNJust yesterday, the line was drawn and by the close of the day/week, it was done... the line broke with a close below.
So, zooming out into the weekly charts, and we see the TD Sequential starts for a Buy Setup (means bullish till end of Setup). Projecting a simple waterfall scenario brings US equities down to target at the TDST, and meeting a confluence of several support levels.
Noted MACD crossed down as is RoVD tapering down too.
This is the simplest straight line outcome.
Alternatively, might see a weak bounce for a lower high on the weekly charts and then the cliff fall in mid- to end-February.
Just need to know, then decide what to do.
On a seperate note.
The First 5 days of the trading week of January is part of the January Barometer where how January closes is how the year goes. and this ended DOWN.
Now, if January is ending DOWN as well, then you decide how 2025 is ending most likely.
Already obvious 2025 is challenging till September.
Watch for it and be wary.
All the best!
MNQ!/NQ1! (EARLY) Day Trade Plan for 01/10/25MNQ!/NQ1! (EARLY) Day Trade Plan for 01/10/25
📈 21560
📉 20930
1/2 way mark 📈 21406 & 📉 21090
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
SQ - Building "Block"Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After being stuck in an accumulation phase for almost two years, SQ has finally broken above its range.
The shift in momentum is now confirmed in favor of the bulls, with the price trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
🏹 As SQ retests the lower blue trendline, I will be looking for trend-following long positions, targeting the $200 round number.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed flat due to the U.S. stock market holiday and early futures market closure. The MACD has fallen below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating continued selling pressure. Today's non-farm payroll data will be a key event, as it may determine whether the Nasdaq breaks below the 60-day moving average and continues its decline.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, indicating a persistent bearish trend. This suggests a possibility of further sharp declines, potentially expanding the divergence. Ahead of the data release, the pre-market is likely to remain range-bound. Focus on range-trading strategies but manage risks carefully as the non-farm payroll data approaches.
Oil
Oil closed higher, finding support near the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. After facing initial resistance around the $75 level, oil found support at the 240-day moving average, indicating a strong chance of another attempt to break above $75. Additionally, support near the 10-day moving average suggests the potential for another upward wave.
On the 240-minute chart, a buying attempt is evident as the MACD moves closer to the Signal line. The chart resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern, where the neckline provides support, and the price may be attempting to form the right shoulder. Whether oil will surge beyond $75 remains uncertain, as the divergence in the MACD on the 240-minute chart and potential for time correction on the daily chart suggest caution. Avoid chasing prices at the highs; instead, confirm a breakout before taking action. Overall, buying on dips is the preferred strategy.
Gold
Yesterday, gold closed higher, continuing its upward trend on the daily chart. The MACD is approaching the zero line, and today's non-farm payroll data will determine whether gold moves above the zero line to resume a bullish trend or sharply reverses, resulting in a MACD dead cross and a bearish trend.
On the 240-minute chart, the bullish momentum remains strong, but upcoming events such as today's data and next week's CPI report could create a turning point. Given the potential for trend changes, it’s better to react to established trends. While the short-term trend is strong, range-bound movement in the pre-market is possible, so trade accordingly. Buying on dips remains a favorable approach.
As we approach the end of the trading week on Friday, heightened volatility is expected due to the non-farm payroll data. Manage risks carefully, and may you have a successful trading day!
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21,190 / 21,120 / 21,065 / 20,990 / 20,945
-Sell Levels: 21,315 / 21,360 / 21,410 / 21,500
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 73.90 / 73.50 / 73.00
-Sell Levels: 74.80 / 75.20 / 75.60 / 76.40
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,685 / 2,681 / 2,676 / 2,670 / 2,665 / 2,661
-Sell Levels: 2,700 / 2,705 / 2,710 / 2,716
These strategies are applicable only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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XAU/USD : And Another Bullish Move Ahead! (READ THE CAPTION)Gold prices have followed an interesting trajectory over the past 24 hours, aligning perfectly with our earlier expectations. After a strong rally, gold hit the critical target of $2656, reaching as high as $2664 before entering the marked supply zone. As anticipated, the supply zone acted as a resistance, triggering a sharp decline to $2642. This movement provided an excellent trading opportunity for those who closely monitored the levels outlined in our previous analysis.
Current Market Context
At the moment, gold is trading around $2650, navigating within a crucial range. The price action suggests that gold is testing the resilience of buyers and sellers. If it stabilizes above $2644, we could see further bullish momentum, with the potential to hit the following targets:
• $2655 – A minor resistance level, which could set the tone for stronger upward momentum.
• $2661 – The next key level, signaling continued bullish strength.
• $2666 – A level of psychological resistance, marking a significant test for buyers.
• $2673 – The ultimate target for this leg of the rally, contingent on sustained demand and favorable conditions.
Fundamental Factors Driving Gold Prices
Gold's current trajectory has been influenced by a mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers:
• U.S. Economic Data: Robust job market data released earlier this week highlights the resilience of the U.S. economy. Job openings rose to 8.09 million in November, reflecting strong economic activity. However, this has bolstered the U.S. dollar and treasury yields, creating headwinds for gold as a non-yielding asset.
• Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have diminished, as recent comments from Fed officials suggest a cautious approach to monetary easing. Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasized that the Fed may slow down rate cuts due to persistent inflation.
• Central Bank Gold Demand: On the bullish side, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month, a move that reflects sustained demand for the metal from the world’s largest consumer. Central bank purchases, particularly in the context of geopolitical uncertainties, have continued to support gold prices globally.
Technical Insights
From a technical standpoint:
• Support Levels: If gold fails to hold above $2644, we could see a deeper retracement toward $2633 and possibly $2625. These levels represent the nearest support zones where buyers may re-enter the market.
• Resistance Levels: On the upside, the supply zone between $2664 and $2673 will be a critical area to watch. A break and sustained close above $2673 could signal the start of a new bullish trend.
• Market Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders closely watching global economic data and U.S. Federal Reserve updates for further direction.
Looking Ahead
Key events later this week, including U.S. jobs data and the ADP employment report, will likely have a significant impact on gold's short-term direction. Traders should also keep an eye on movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and treasury yields, as these remain inversely correlated with gold prices.
Action Plan: For now, the focus remains on how gold reacts around $2644. If the metal stabilizes above this level, traders can look for opportunities to target $2655, $2661, and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below $2644 could lead to short-term selling pressure, offering opportunities for a potential retracement trade.
Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis! Let’s capitalize on these market moves!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NAS100 on Pause: Focused on Scalping Until NFP Shifts the Market👀 👉 The NAS100 has been stuck in a range and lacks a clear trend at the moment. Currently, I only see potential for scalping opportunities. With NFP coming up tomorrow, I’m leaning toward staying on the sidelines and waiting to see if a US100 trend develops next week, which could present some profitable setups for the NASDAQ. ⚠️ This material is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.