TORXF breaking out for short term upside to 23 Hello Everyone,
Have spotted a bullish pattern on the chart that can take the prices to 23 in the short while.
Points to note:
> Breaking out from Symmetrical Triangle
> Forming rectangle pattern
> Rising volumes on the breakout.
> Hammer spotted
Important levels:
Support: 19.4 (lower trendline of the triangle)
Resistence: 23 (supply zone confirmed twice previously)
Entry Levels: 20-20.25 (weekly close above the triangle)
Exit Levels: 19.3 or trail with EMA 100 once it breaches 21 levels.
Risk to Reward: Optimal Entry 20 – Target 23 = Almost 4x Reward to Risk
Nasdaq
Combined US Equities - Critical Support Line drawnAs expected, not a good finish, not a great start.
Now, a potential trend change pattern might be forming. This pattern has a series of two of each Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). With that criteria fulfilled (LL 926 and 925.75), the Critical Support Line can be drawn at 925.75.
A breach and breakdown to close below 925.75 is likely to send the US equities market reeling over and down the cliff. This is the trend change pattern that is very reliable.
Noted that the RoVD indicator has crossed below the zero line, bearish.
Watch the Critical Support Line, and the TDST lines now...
Prepare before National Foundation Day on Nasdaq 25.01.09Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
First, I’d like to apologize for not posting a briefing yesterday, January 8, due to personal reasons. Let’s dive into today’s analysis of the NASDAQ.
Tuesday’s Briefing Results
Buy Entry: No buy entries were triggered, so there’s no commentary for this perspective.
Sell Entry: The trigger was a breakdown below the ascending trendline and the lower boundary of the supply zone at 21640.
Outcome: After the breakdown, the NASDAQ dropped by 350 points.
Profit: Approximately $7,000 per contract.
Daily Chart Analysis
The NASDAQ is currently consolidating between the 20 EMA and the 60 EMA, which suggests indecision:
The price has not closed below the 60 EMA, indicating that support is still holding and cautioning against premature selling.
The price has not entered the Ichimoku Cloud, which means a full bearish transition has not occurred yet.
This range-bound movement suggests that the market is awaiting a major catalyst, such as an economic indicator or political news, to determine the next directional move. A more strategic approach is required in this scenario.
Key Supply Zone Dynamics
The current range is highlighted in the orange box, where price movements have shown inconsistent behavior:
Resistance and support levels within this range do not align consistently.
The best approach in this zone is to wait for a clear breakout in either direction before entering a trade.
This area is prone to stop-hunting, increasing the risk of being prematurely stopped out in both directions.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Buy Scenario:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above the green box at 21812.
Reasoning:
The red box marks the upper boundary of the resistance zone, but breaking above it alone does not provide a strong buy signal.
A move above 21812 would signify a breakout above key resistance levels, including the descending trendline and prior candle resistance, providing sufficient justification for a buy entry.
Sell Scenario:
Entry Trigger: A breakdown below the orange box support.
Reasoning:
Breaking the short-term ascending trendline would open the door for a test of Wednesday’s low.
If the low is breached, the price could decline further to the 21006 level.
The 21006 support zone corresponds to the January 2, 2025 low of 20983, a critical level.
A breakdown here would signify entry into the daily Ichimoku Cloud, opening substantial downside targets.
Conclusion
Today is a market holiday in the U.S. (National Foundation Day), so trading activity will be paused.
In such conditions, I recommend avoiding impulsive or speculative trades and instead observing the market’s behavior to prepare for the next session.
Stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
This briefing will remain valid until Friday due to the market holiday.
The next NASDAQ briefing will be shared over the weekend in preparation for Monday’s trading.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower. On the daily chart, the MACD has fallen below the zero line, signaling continued selling pressure. If the 60-day moving average support level is broken, it would be prudent to prepare for a drop toward the monthly 5-day moving average and potentially the 120-day moving average, depending on market conditions.
However, with the U.S. stock market closed today and the futures market closing early, trading is expected to be light, and the trend direction will likely become clearer after Friday’s non-farm payroll data release. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal lines have moved below the zero line, indicating stronger selling pressure. Sell-side strategies are recommended, and given the early market closure, taking quick profits would be advisable.
Oil
Oil faced resistance near its previous high and closed with a bearish candle. Due to the rapid surge toward its previous high, a short-term correction appears inevitable. Maintaining support at the 240-day moving average will be crucial. The need to align short-term moving averages such as the 20-day and 60-day with current price levels suggests a period of price and time correction is likely.
On the 240-minute chart, a long upper wick has formed, resembling the head of a head-and-shoulders pattern. A neckline could form near the 240-day moving average, potentially leading to a rebound that forms the right shoulder. Given the wide divergence between the MACD and Signal lines from the zero line, another attempt at an upward move seems plausible. Buying on dips near key support levels is the preferred strategy.
Gold
Gold closed higher. The daily chart indicates a consolidation phase within a range, and market conditions suggest that trends will become clearer after Friday’s non-farm payroll data. Currently, a buy signal is visible on the daily chart, meaning any downward move may require a sharp decline, potentially driven by Friday’s data or next week’s CPI report.
On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal remains intact. Buying on dips is advisable, although the divergence between the MACD and Signal lines is relatively small. For gold to gain momentum, a significant breakout with a strong bullish candle would be essential. For now, range-bound strategies are recommended, favoring selling at highs rather than chasing prices upward.
Today's Market Notes
The U.S. stock market is closed today, and the futures market has an early close. With reduced volatility, a mixed and range-bound market is expected. Please trade with caution and aim for success!
■ Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21,270 / 21,190 / 21,155 / 21,065 / 20,990
-Sell Levels: 21,410 / 21,500 / 21,550
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 72.80 / 71.90 / 71.00
-Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.40 / 74.80 / 75.20
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,670 / 2,665 / 2,661 / 2,654 / 2,649
-Sell Levels: 2,686 / 2,693 / 2,704 / 2,710
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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NASDAQ: The buy zone is under the 1D MA50.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.510, MACD = 54.540, ADX = 27.946) as it got rejected yesterday back to its 1D MA50. This trendline is holding since September 12th and during this 4 month period is sustained a very steady uptrend. This is so far the bullish sequence with the slowest pace inside the 2 year Channel Up. This lack of strength along with the fact that the 1D RSI formed a pattern that during these 2 years was followed by a dip under the 1D MA50, suggests that it might be best waiting for the price to hit the 1D MA100 before placing a long term buy again. Once this condition is met, we will go long and aim for the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 24,350), which was always hit when a Channel Top was priced.
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NASDAQ Analysis: Bearish Momentum Targets Key Support LevelsUSNAS100 Technical Analysis
The price has dropped by approximately 500 pips and continues to move toward 20,990 while remaining below 21,215.
As long as the price trades below 21,215 and 21,160, it is expected to target 20,990 and 20,860. A retest of 21,215 is possible before resuming the bearish trend.
A bullish reversal will be confirmed only if a 4-hour candle closes above 21,220.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21145
Resistance Levels: 21280, 21390, 21535
Support Levels: 20990, 20860, 20670
Trend Outlook:
Bearish while below 21215
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 7 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - JOLTS Job Openings @ 15h00
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
Morning analysis:
M TF - Currently showing bullish sentiment, even after last month's doji candle close.
W TF - Bulls have managed so far to keep price above W neckline (on the W TF change the chart type to line chart and you will clearly see the "M" representing a DT market pattern).
D TF - D 0.618 SELL fib level was broken, as bulls pushed price up well above this level and managed to close the D candle above it. Even though bulls showed massive strength on Monday, they were unable to close the D candle above the D falling wedge pattern top blue line, i.e. they were unable to break the pattern upwards. At time of writing in the morning, temporary blue downtrend line is being respected. The blue downtrend line represents the D downtrend of the falling wedge (drawn on the D TF) and the green down trendline represents the 4H downtrend line (drawn on the 4H TF)
4H TF - Potential neckline of a DT noted and marked with orange. If the 7am candle breaks this neckline downwards, price will push down because we are at the top of a higher TF market pattern (D falling wedge) + we have a 4H DT. These are strong bearish signals, but they will only be valid should price action give a reversal signal by bears being able to break the orange neckline downwards. The D buy fib levels coincide with the 4H buy fib levels as both are drawn from swing low at B to swing high at A on each respective TF. This gives a form of TF confluence and makes these levels stronger.
1H - Bears have managed to break below the pivot point + 1H EMA. The 1H candle that closed at 6am, wicked down to the pink uptrend line and there was a strong reaction (long lower candle wick) alluding to the validity of this uptrend line.
Interest area's:
1. One buy area of confluence marked in green highlight - 4H EMA + D EMA (at that time) + D 0.382 buy fib level
As the day progressed:
Bulls managed to push up and break the pivot point upwards.
The candle that broke the pivot closed right on the 30min EMA. When Nas is very bullish or bearish, the 30min EMA will act / be respected as dynamic support and resistance.
Hence, I didn't want to enter my buy right at this level. I waited to see what price action would reveal.
Looking at the 15min TF you can see a small price retracement to the pivot point (red candle at C.), a doji right at the pivot point and a green candle pushing up and away from the pivot and closing higher .
It was at this point that I entered on a full position size, as I deemed my risk low because I had waited for the break and re-test:
Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - 30 min DB with neckline broken upwards and re-tested
2. S&R - pivot point + 1H EMA acting as dynamic support
3. Trend - Buy is in the overall bullish direction of the recent market and temporary orange downtrend line broken upwards. Price also rejecting and moving away from temporary down trend blue line
4. Fib -
5. Candlesticks - bullish engulfing candle to the left of C. on the 1H TF + previous long wick candle rejecting the D sell 0.618 fib.
Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, so that the pivot point the 1H EMA and bulls rejecting the 4H neckline could possibly protect my buy.
Price action was a bit choppy, but I held my position open as price was making higher highs and higher lows on the 1H TF. Price gradually trending upwards along the 1H EMA.
Then news came out at 15h00 and price fell through the floor.
JOLTS Job Openings is not really a "high impact" news event for Nasdaq like the CPI and NFP is. So this was a surprisingly volatile move, indicating how sensitive traders are to economic news that would affect Fed decisions regarding rate cuts.
For me, up until the news, Nas was showing really good bullish price action. And then price just fell through the floor.
I closed my biggest position at 1'150 pips loss (as I usually don't like to take losses of more than 1'000 pips a day). My smaller position size, I hesitated to close and took a loss of 2'411 pips! WHAT THE HELL!!!
This was the fist time in a long time that I hesitated to close and it cost me badly, my emotions really got in the way here.
Then, as per my strategy, when price reached my interest area, I moved down to the 5min TF and entered a buy when price made a DB on the 5min TF at the lower hand icon..
But that was a false signal i.e. a small bounce off a strong reversal zone, but price ultimately tanked further and I closed at 1'126 pips loss.
What a freakin disaster....I basically took a 2'927 pips loss today (if I smooth the effect of position sizing).
Part of this loss is due to variance and part of it is due to my own fault.
There is no way I could have projected that Nas would fall through the floor on this news event and I don't regret my entry as I do believe my entry is correct for my bias and I did wait for the break and re-test.
My mistake was that I hesitated to close and took a bigger loss than I should have.
I also should not have entered again if I had already taken such a huge loss for the day. My strategy is to be out for the day if I make a 1000 pip loss.
So it was a bit of a disaster.
Nasdaq (and mostly myself) DESTROYED me today!
After this devastation to my trading account, I think I will sit the rest of the week out, as tomorrow market are closed in national mourning and then Friday is NFP which I don't trade anyway.
I need market to be as "normal" as possible because now I have my work cut out for me to slowly make up these losses. I will need to look for good quality entries and limit my risk.
Losses are normal in trading and these will be faced by every trader. But the biggest damage a trader can do to his progress is to have uncontrolled losses and let losses get bigger than they should.
It has been many months since I made this error, so I am making progress, but one bad day can cause serious damage.
Limiting losses is more important than making money. If you don't have this skill you will never be profitable over the long run - I was reminded of this valuable lesson today.
Hope you had a better day than me!
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower due to disappointment following Nvidia's new product announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD failed to converge with the Signal line, turning downward, and strong selling pressure emerged. If the weekly chart shows a candle with an upper wick breaking below the 10-day moving average, a dead cross on the MACD is likely. On the daily chart, the index has found support twice at the 60-day moving average. However, if it breaks below this level during the current selling wave, there’s potential for further declines toward the monthly 5-day moving average at 20,880.
The 240-minute chart has triggered a sell signal around the MACD zero line, indicating the possibility of steep declines if selling continues. The Nasdaq is currently forming a pattern of lower highs, favoring sell-side strategies. However, with Friday's non-farm payroll data approaching, pre-market movement may remain range-bound.
Oil
Oil closed higher, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Although it hasn’t pulled back to the 3-week moving average on the weekly chart, continued gains this week could result in a candlestick pattern that reflects support at this level. Strong buying momentum persists on the daily chart, making buy-side strategies advantageous. Selling opportunities may arise if oil challenges the previous high at $76.
The steep divergence between current prices and daily moving averages suggests the need for some price or time correction to bring the moving averages closer. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal emerged but was followed by a short-term rebound. Given the divergence and angles of the MACD and Signal lines, an immediate breakout to the upside seems unlikely. If prices rise but the MACD fails to form a golden cross, a pullback is likely. Avoid chasing the rally; instead, focus on buying dips at key levels and selling at highs.
Gold
Gold closed higher with an upper wick, showing significant volatility following economic data releases. On the daily chart, gold continues to consolidate within a range. As Friday’s non-farm payroll data approaches, further consolidation is likely, so avoid chasing buying at highs or selling at lows. The MACD and Signal lines on the daily chart show minimal divergence, indicating a range-bound movement.
On the 240-minute chart, another buy signal has appeared, but given the upcoming data releases, it’s more practical to approach this as part of a range-bound strategy rather than expecting a breakout. Exercise caution and focus on range-trading until clearer trends emerge.
■Pre-Market Trading Strategies
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21,280 / 21,230 / 21,160 / 21,060 / 20,990
-Sell Levels: 21,450 / 21,505 / 21,555 / 21,600 / 21,680
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 74.20 / 73.80 / 73.10 / 72.70
-Sell Levels: 74.90 / 75.40 / 76.40 / 77.20
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,659 / 2,654 / 2,649 / 2,644 / 2,635
-Sell Levels: 2,669 / 2,676 / 2,681
These strategies are applicable only during pre-market hours, with profit-taking and stop-loss levels set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 15–20 ticks.
Trade successfully while keeping an eye on market indicators!
BUY Rating: SBC Medical Group – A Compelling Growth StorySBC Medical Group Holdings (NASDAQ: SBC), a leader in end-to-end solutions for aesthetic clinics, has earned a "BUY" rating, reflecting its robust growth trajectory and strategic expansion initiatives. The company’s recent performance and forward-looking plans justify its valuation, presenting an attractive opportunity for investors.
Valuation and Market Position
Compared with SBC’s current price with a valuation target of $11, underscores its growth potential. Despite facing challenges like fluctuating exchange rates and integration costs from recent acquisitions, the company’s fundamentals remain strong. SBC’s market capitalisation stands at $697 million, supported by an annual revenue estimate of $217 million for 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12%.
While SBC operates in the competitive medical aesthetics space, its comprehensive suite of consulting, marketing, and equipment leasing services distinguishes it from peers. The company’s ability to generate steady revenue and expand profit margins highlights its efficiency in leveraging its unique business model.
International Expansion Driving Growth
A pivotal driver of SBC's growth is its strategic acquisition of Aesthetic Healthcare Holdings (AHH) in Singapore. AHH operates 21 outlets under established brands like SkinGo! and The Chelsea Clinics. Singapore's business-friendly regulatory environment, strong economic growth, and status as a regional hub make it an ideal base for SBC’s expansion into Southeast Asia.
Singapore’s GDP growth and high levels of U.S. foreign direct investment further validate SBC’s choice to focus on the region. This acquisition not only accelerates SBC's regional footprint but also positions the company to capitalise on the growing demand for aesthetic services across Asia.
Financial Highlights
SBC’s Q3 2024 revenue reached $53.1 million, a 12.3% year-over-year increase, with gross profit rising to $43.2 million and margins improving to 81.5% from 70.9% in the prior year. This growth was driven by a shift toward higher-margin revenue streams, including royalty income (29.6% of revenue) and procurement services (33.1%).
The company’s decision to discontinue its lower-margin management services business has further enhanced its profitability. Net income for the quarter was $2.8 million, or $0.03 per share, with strong contributions from franchisee expansion and increased demand for aesthetic treatments.
Financial Flexibility
SBC's financial position is robust, with $137.4 million in cash and equivalents and less than $15 million in long-term debt as of Q3 2024. This financial flexibility enables the company to fund its growth strategies, including further acquisitions and geographic expansion.
Strategic Initiatives
Beyond its international expansion, SBC has entered partnerships to enhance customer loyalty and corporate wellness offerings. Its alliance with MEDIROM Healthcare in Japan integrates the loyalty programs of both companies, providing access to over 4 million members. SBC also launched SBC Wellness to offer corporate clients improved employee benefits, tapping into the growing demand for wellness services.
Growth Catalysts
The rising global acceptance of aesthetic medicine, coupled with SBC’s established expertise in high-demand procedures such as liposuction, breast augmentation, and eyelid surgery, positions the company for continued growth. With low market penetration for these services in Japan (estimated at 10%), there is significant upside as demand grows among younger and middle-aged demographics.
Risks and Outlook
While SBC faces risks such as foreign exchange fluctuations and potential challenges in integrating new acquisitions, its strong balance sheet and strategic focus mitigate these concerns. As the company continues to execute its growth initiatives, share price appreciation and valuation multiple expansion are likely.
Conclusion
SBC Medical Group Holdings presents a compelling investment opportunity, with a clear path to growth through strategic international expansion, enhanced profitability, and innovative partnerships. Its current valuation offers an attractive entry point for investors seeking exposure to the growing medical aesthetics sector. With strong financials and a proven business model, SBC is well-positioned to deliver long-term shareholder value.
Cleanspark (CLNK) may have started a short buyCleanspark (CLNK) may have started a short buy.
I think this asset is a good buy with the following data.
Entry 1: $9.79 SL 1: $8.97 TP 1: $12.97
Entry 2 ( late entry): $10.37 SL 2: $9.45 TP 2: $13.38.
I have a trade from $9.79.
Manage your trade and risk.
TSM: Growth and Charts Align for 15%+ Target?Hey Realistic Traders, Will NYSE:TSM Create a New All-Time High? Let’s Dive In....
TSMC is the world’s largest contract chipmaker. Recent Earning Call reported whooping third quarter revenue of $759.69 billion, marking a YoY increase of 36.5%. The performance is beating the market forecast. Double Digit Revenue Growth is driven by demand for AI Chips especially with major client like NVIDIA & Apple and 3-nanometer &5 nanometer technology in Smartphones. TSMC Chief Financial Officer Huang Renzhao shared optimistic project for the company. TSMC expect Q4 quarterly revenue growth of approximately 13%, sligtly above the market the market expectation.
Strong AI-Related demand predicted to persist for year, inlined with the company’s perfomance and expectation. The positive sentiment support our bullish call on NVIDIA.
Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe, TSM has remained above the EMA200 line for over a year, maintaining its bullish trend. On August 5, 2024, TSM rebounded impulsively from the EMA200 line after completing an ABC correction pattern, signaling the start of a new bullish wave.
The second and fourth corrective waves have retraced to the Fibonacci 0.382 and 0.618 golden ratios, respectively, aligning with Elliott Wave rules that typically indicate further upward movement.
In addition to the Elliott Wave analysis, a breakout from a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has been identified. Such breakouts often signal the continuation of the prevailing market trend.
Therefore based on these technical analysis, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $217.85 or second target at 234.46
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 177.95
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Taiwan Semiconductor."
Pre-Market Analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and Gold Futures The Nasdaq closed higher with an upper wick on the daily chart.
As mentioned previously, this week is expected to show buying pressure at the beginning, followed by selling pressure towards the latter half. After the 240-minute chart's buy signal, the daily chart's MACD is moving closer to the Signal line, indicating buying momentum. However, achieving a complete golden cross appears challenging due to the divergence and angle. The 21,900–22,000 range is considered a short-term high zone, where the market might either sharply drop after forming an upper wick or move sideways before failing the golden cross, leading to a downward shift in the MACD and a subsequent sell-off.
Notably, Nvidia, which has been driving the current index, continues to show strength. Monitoring Nvidia's previous high as a resistance point will be crucial. While the 240-minute chart exhibits strong buying pressure, the steep angle of the recent surge suggests that managing risk and opting for selling opportunities near the highs—rather than buying on dips—would be more advantageous. Additionally, keep an eye on key economic indicators such as the ISM Services Index and JOLTS report, which are scheduled for release today.
Crude oil closed lower with an upper wick.
Given its recent rapid surge, crude oil's daily chart shows significant divergence from the 5-day moving average. It is advantageous to focus on selling at the highs in this scenario. If the price pulls back to the 240-day moving average, observing whether it finds support will be critical. This week, oil could pull back to the 3-week moving average on the weekly chart and then rebound. Therefore, caution is advised against chasing the rally, and selling near previous highs would be prudent. However, buying on dips near the 3-week moving average could present an opportunity.
On the longer-term 240-minute chart, a bearish candlestick at the high has triggered a sell signal. It would be wise to anticipate potential sharp declines and prioritize selling during rebounds. For buying opportunities, it is recommended to act cautiously and at significantly lower levels.
Gold closed lower with a lower wick.
Ahead of Friday’s non-farm payroll data, gold is likely to remain range-bound in a consolidation phase. On the weekly chart, gold faces resistance from moving averages, and this week’s key data releases may determine its trend. On the daily chart, while a buy signal was generated, gold failed to make a significant surge, leading to the MACD and Signal line moving sideways.
With market flows becoming more uncertain, a range-bound strategy is advisable. On the 240-minute chart, gold could form a triangular consolidation pattern in the short term. Until Friday, trading within a range would be the most effective approach.
The weather has turned colder with a cold wave sweeping in, and flu season is here. Please take care of your health, and I wish you successful trading today!
■Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21,660 / 21,565 / 21,495 / 21,450
-Sell Levels: 21,885 / 21,940 / 22,005 / 22,045 / 22,110
■Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 72.80 / 71.90 / 71.00
-Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.20 / 74.85
■Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,641 / 2,635 / 2,625
-Sell Levels: 2,652 / 2,658 / 2,666 / 2,672
Tuesday: Make Your Day a Payday with NASDAQ 25.01.07Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday Trading Results
Buy Signals: The green boxes marked the buy entry zones for Monday’s session.
Sell Signals: No sell entries were triggered, so there is no commentary for sell trades.
Outcome: Both the first and second buy entries were activated, and all targets were achieved.
Profit: The price moved a total of 321 points, resulting in approximately $6,400 in profit per contract.
How Should We Approach Today’s Market?
Looking at the daily chart, the price appears to have entered the supply zone within the green box range, which spans 21619 to 21896.
While Monday’s bullish candle demonstrated strength, the upper wick formed during the U.S. session's close indicates that bullish momentum was met with selling pressure. This leaves a less-than-ideal setup for the bulls.
The trend is likely to continue in the direction of the breakout from this supply zone.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above both the resistance trendline and Monday’s high at 21897 is recommended for a conservative buy entry.
Target Levels:
First resistance: The yellow box, which contains the purple resistance trendline.
Beyond this, the maximum target lies at 22111.
Scenario Analysis for Bulls:
Should the price rally, the green box zones (previous lows) will form a double bottom structure, providing a strong foundation for continued upside.
A breakout above 22111 would confirm a larger double bottom pattern, potentially paving the way for a rally toward previous highs or even new all-time highs.
Sell Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A break below the ascending trendline and Monday’s corrective low at 21619 serves as the sell signal.
Target Levels:
Maximum target: 21520
Beyond this, further downside is possible; however, key support zones are unclear due to differing stair-step patterns during recent rallies and corrections.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, balancing between bullish potential and bearish risks:
For Buyers: Watch for a breakout above 21897 for potential upside to 22111 and beyond.
For Sellers: Monitor a breakdown below 21619, with 21520 as the initial target.
Be prepared for both scenarios, as the market continues to provide dynamic opportunities. Let’s stay sharp and trade wisely. 🚀
NASDAQ: Key Support at 21,500 Poised to Propel a Rally Toward 22Looking at the chart, the 21,500 level is a strong support zone as it aligns with previous bullish positions and significant volume activity. This support could act as a solid base for a potential upward move toward the 22,000 resistance level.
Key Observations:
21,500 Support Zone:
Historical bullish activity suggests buyers are actively defending this area.
The price has bounced from this level, reinforcing its strength.
Volume Profile:
Heavy volume concentration near the support indicates strong interest in this region.
Limited resistance zones between 21,500 and 22,000 support the case for a move upward.
Target Resistance:
22,000 is a psychological and technical resistance level.
Reaching this level would require sustaining bullish momentum above 21,500.
If the price remains above 21,500, it could fuel a bullish rally toward 22,000, assuming no external bearish factors interfere. Monitoring price action near these levels is crucial for trade planning.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 6 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - I think BUY.
Morning analysis:
M TF - so far, buyers are showing strength after last month's doji candle close. Can't read too much into it though because the candle is not fully formed and closed, but it does indicate buyers sentiment currently.
W TF - Last weeks candle closed just below the W neckline, but does this constitute a break of the neckline downwards? Difficult to say because bulls were in total control of the market last Friday and drove price up by thousands of pips, creating a very long wick candle. It was only in the final 4H of Friday that bears pushed price down +-170 pips below the neckline. The market is imperfect, and I would not be too quick to read this as a neckline broken downwards, especially because the early morning trading of today shows a strong rejection of the neckline area. I draw my neckline and S&R as lines but one should always keep in mind that these are areas or zones.
D TF - Clear falling wedge pattern in formation (shown in grey and blue lines). These tend to break upwards, but can break in either direction. A break of this pattern in either direction, will result in a large move because the pattern is so large the resulting break + profit target will be large. At time of writing this morning, price is consolidating at D EMA.
4H TF - Strong uptrend and this morning we see a strong rejection of the W neckline area, with a gap up and a candle wick down to the neckline area.
Morning interest areas where identified but these later changed as fibs had to be re-drawn (and so not shown on the charts).
Later once price stabilised, interest zones where identified but price did not retrace. Day and 4H fibs were drawn from swing low at B to swing high at A.
Area's of confluence marked in green highlight but now invalid as price keeps climbing.
This morning....
I identified a red highlighted area which I deemed a strong sell area due to D EMA possibly acting as dynamic resistance + D 0.50 sell fib level.
Price started to consolidate here in an ascending triangle pattern. These patterns usually break upwards, but can break in either direction.
I entered a buy at the hand icon on the break of the market pattern + the D EMA (D EMA has now moved higher as price has moved higher).
I took a small position because I don't like these entries where you buy at the highest level of the day which it was at the time of my buy (I find these to be risky and prone to fake outs). I prefer retracement entries (for me, safer entries).
Hence my small position.
Now I wish it was my usual position size because price is up +- 3'300 pips! :)
At least I caught the buy!
Hope you had a good trading day! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Why We're CELH LONG: A Bold Bet on Growth and OpportunityWe're CELH LONG based on strong technical confluence: liquidity has been swept, a key high that led to a new low has been taken and confirmed, and our entry aligns with a 4H breaker block and an imbalance from last week's Thursday-to-Friday price action, signaling a high-probability reversal setup.
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The government’s strategic initiatives, including RM1.3 billion for hospital upgrades and RM300 million for dilapidated clinics in rural areas, highlight a push towards more efficient healthcare delivery. Fitch Solutions’ BMI predicts that Malaysia's healthcare expenditure will grow at an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.7% from 2023 to 2028, outpacing previous estimates. This growth will be fuelled by increased demand for both public and private healthcare services, bolstered by initiatives such as outsourcing public patient care to 91 private hospitals and the gradual rollback of subsidies for higher-income individuals. The shift in subsidies is expected to drive affluent patients towards private healthcare, expanding opportunities for private healthcare providers.
Private healthcare companies, especially those involved in preventive care and supplements, stand to benefit significantly from these trends. One notable player is Nasdaq-listed Agape ATP Corporation (ATPC), a leading healthcare supplement company in Malaysia. With Malaysia’s emphasis on chronic disease prevention and healthier lifestyles, Agape ATP is well-positioned to meet the rising demand for wellness products. The company’s established reputation and product range make it an attractive choice as the nation prioritises self-sufficiency in medical products and preventive healthcare.
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Today and Weekly Outlook for Nasdaq, Crude Oil, and Gold FuturesNasdaq Analysis
Yesterday, Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. It formed a double bottom near the 21,000 level and rebounded, entering a consolidation range near the moving averages. The MACD remains above the zero line, and the Signal line is also above the zero line, suggesting the potential for another upward attempt this week. However, due to the significant gap between the MACD and Signal lines, there is a high possibility of a failed buy attempt followed by a downward move. If the MACD shifts downward, a break below the 60-day moving average could occur.
On the weekly chart, no sell signal has emerged yet, but the MACD and Signal lines are closely aligned. This week may determine whether the weekly chart enters a third wave of buying or declines into a death cross. The 240-minute chart currently shows a buy signal, indicating that the market may focus on buying at the start of the week, with a potential shift to selling later in the week as the MACD leans bearish and a third wave of selling emerges on the 240-minute chart. It is advisable to consider support and resistance levels based on daily moving averages and respond to key levels in the longer-term range.
Crude Oil Analysis
Yesterday, crude oil continued its strong upward trend and closed higher. The price has posted five consecutive bullish candles, with the short-term peak near $74 serving as a resistance zone. A pullback to the 5-day moving average should not be ruled out. On the weekly chart, crude oil formed a large bullish candle, breaking through major resistance levels like the 60-week and 120-week moving averages in one move. Buying near the 72.80 level, which corresponds to the 3-week moving average, is favorable during pullbacks, and maintaining support at the midpoint of the weekly bullish candle will be crucial.
The 240-minute chart also reflects strong buying momentum. Above $74, a short-term sell with stop-loss protection is advisable, while aggressive buying during pullbacks below the 5-day moving average on the daily chart is favorable. This is a typical pattern transitioning from bearish alignment to bullish alignment, so caution is advised when considering selling.
Gold Analysis
Gold closed lower yesterday with a bearish candle. Combining Thursday and Friday’s candlesticks, a doji pattern emerges. If gold fails to break above the 60-day moving average on the daily chart and tilts downward, the key support level at 2600 will be critical. On the weekly chart, the sell signal remains intact, with strong resistance around the 10-week and 20-week moving averages. If gold cannot strongly break through this resistance, a pullback should be anticipated. Although the daily chart confirms a buy signal, the movement lacks significant momentum, leaving room for a swift erasure of the buy signal and a shift to selling this week.
On the 240-minute chart, gold is facing resistance at key support/resistance levels. While the pattern can be viewed as a range-bound box, a sell signal on the 240-minute chart could lead to strong selling momentum following a false breakout. Adopting a range-bound strategy with a focus on selling is advantageous.
This Week's Outlook
This week, major events such as CES 2025, the release of FOMC minutes, and the Nonfarm Payroll report are on the agenda. Additionally, next week’s CPI is within view. Be cautious around key events and data release times to manage risks effectively. Wishing you a successful trading week!