Warning: what can save us from a collapse: must read.⚠️This analysis isn’t purely chart-based, but in this macro environment, understanding the bigger picture is essential for predicting market movements. Hopefully, TradingView will allow this idea so that everyone can read it.
What Can Save Us?
Before looking for a solution, we must first acknowledge the problem—and then determine if and when a resolution is coming.
1. Trump’s Tariffs & Policies: A Market Shock
Trump’s economic strategy marks a radical departure from the policies of the past 30 years. However, previous administrations weakened U.S. global influence, shifting power in favor of China.
Since Trump's motto is "Make America Great Again", serious changes are inevitable. Until investors fully grasp these policies, uncertainty will persist.
Let’s break down the key areas of impact and Trump’s expected responses:
2.Monetary Policy & The Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve (FED) and Jerome Powell are not aligned with the White House.
Powell is sticking to his monetary policy approach, but Trump needs 0% interest rates to implement his vision.
Markets hate uncertainty, and this is fueling volatility.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Expect a bombshell move—Trump will fire Jerome Powell and replace him with a Fed chairman who supports rate cuts to 0%. This will cause short-term chaos but ultimately fuel a massive market rally as:
✔️ The housing market recovers
✔️ Liquidity surges
✔️ Stocks skyrocket
3.U.S. Dependence on China & Russia for Raw Materials
The U.S. imports essential resources from China and Russia, making it vulnerable.
The BRICS alliance is strengthening, further threatening U.S. dominance.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Trump has openly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, citing its rich natural resources. He will take it by military force if necessary, positioning the U.S. as a raw material powerhouse on par with Russia.
4.Lost Allies: Canada, Mexico & South America
Canada is aligning with Europe
Mexico & South America are leaning towards BRICS
🔴 Trump's Response:
To counter this:
Canada will be pressured into rejoining a U.S.-led trade bloc—or face potential annexation.
South American economies will be crippled by tariffs, forcing them to reintegrate under U.S. influence.
5.Geopolitical Conflicts: Middle East & Ukraine
Iran is aligned with Russia & China
Ukraine relies on Europe (France, UK, EU), rather than the U.S.
The U.S. is not benefiting from these wars
🔴 Trump's Response:
If Zelensky continues to align with Europe, Trump may order a full-scale U.S. bombing of Ukraine, flatten Kyiv, eliminate Zelensky live on TikTok, and then split Ukraine with Russia.
This move would:
✔️ Strengthen U.S.-Russia relations
✔️ Secure a deal on Greenland
✔️ Humble Europe
6.Conclusion: A Global Power Shift
Expect a period of chaos and fear. However, what investors must understand is that Trump is 100% serious about these moves—and he will execute them regardless of global opinion.
If Trump’s strategy works:
✅ The U.S. will regain dominance
✅ Markets will rally hard
✅ Confidence in the U.S. economy will be restored
If Trump fails:
🚨 A prolonged economic downturn (15-20 years of stagflation)
🚨 U.S. & Europe suffer major losses
🚨 Best move? Relocate to Asia or the Middle East before the crash.
So, even if Trump’s policies seem insane, the best-case scenario is that he succeeds.
💡 DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #MAGA #Geopolitics #StockMarket #SPX500 #Trading #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #RateCuts
Nasdaq
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following news of additional tariffs on China. On the daily chart, the index failed to break above the 20-day moving average and pulled back to the 5-day MA, continuing its box-range movement. Since the 5-day MA is still acting as support, the current trend can still be seen as a sideways consolidation, with 18,500 acting as a central pivot level.
The MACD on the daily chart has not yet clearly broken above the Signal line, so it remains uncertain whether it will make a golden cross with additional upward momentum, or turn downward again. Thus, it’s best to adopt a neutral range-bound trading strategy, keeping strict stop-losses on both sides.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have moved above the zero line, entering a key area to observe whether the third wave of MACD upside begins after this box-range consolidation. Since the current price is correcting after a rebound from a double bottom, and is maintaining the center of the prior bullish candle, buying remains more favorable. Unless the previous day’s low is broken, it’s better to stay buy-biased.
Please note that today's PPI data release is scheduled, which may lead to increased volatility around the announcement time.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower with a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, it failed to hold the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, breaking below the 5-day MA. The MACD continues its downward slope, and unless oil clearly reclaims the 10-day MA, the market will remain bear-biased.
There is resistance now at the 3-day and 5-day MAs, so it’s important to see whether further downside unfolds. As previously noted, the $59 level is a key support zone — watch closely for any breakdowns.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is trending up and pulling the Signal line along, but both remain below the zero line. If oil continues in a box range but the MACD turns downward again and forms a dead cross, there could be another leg lower. For now, continue to focus on buying near the $59 level, and maintain a range-trading approach until further confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed higher with another strong rally. On the daily chart, the MACD has now crossed above the Signal line, generating a buy signal. However, this signal will only be valid if today’s candle closes as a bullish bar, so watching the daily close is critical.
Gold hit new all-time highs during the pre-market session, with the long-awaited 3,216 level, which has been the target since March, now within reach. Beyond this level, we enter the overshooting zone, where it’s difficult to define a precise top. Therefore, it's best to stick to dip-buying strategies, as safe-haven demand continues to surge.
Even though the MACD has crossed bullishly, divergence may form if the current MACD fails to exceed the previous peak. Avoid chasing long positions at the top; instead, look for entries during pullbacks.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has climbed above the zero line, showing a strong one-way bullish trend. RSI across intraday charts is now in overbought territory, so it’s best to avoid short positions entirely for today.
Market Sentiment & VIX
Looking at the VIX index, the daily candle has once again broken above the 5-day MA, indicating that volatility could expand further at any time. With Trump’s remarks shaking markets, it’s impossible to predict what new developments might emerge over the weekend.
Avoid holding overnight positions due to heightened headline risk, and make sure to wrap up this trading week with solid risk management.
Wishing you a profitable trading day!
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Does History Repeat Itself? How Far Can the Nasdaq Fall?Let's examine the current 2025 correction on a logarithmic chart: the price movements show significant similarities to the February 2020 decline. At that time, the global crisis—then driven by COVID-19 panic—fundamentally influenced market movements, while now, trade uncertainties are generated by President Trump's aggressive tariff announcements.
The chart reveals that the Nasdaq is declining steeply, and technical levels play a decisive role: yesterday, the price bounced back from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. However, it is clear that supporting technical indicators—such as the break of the RSI convergence trend on the days triggering the decline—confirm the downward movement.
In the earlier 2020 decline, massive volume accompanied the initial weeks' movements, while this year's movement is characterized by steadily increasing volume. Nevertheless, the current volume peak falls short of the peak measured in the 2020 week (4.45 million vs. 6.8 million), indicating that the trend may continue with further declines.
Overall, technical analysis—the examination of logarithmic charts, the break of the RSI trend, and volume movements—suggests that the current correction may deepen further, and the Nasdaq's target price can be estimated between 14,500 and 15,000 points.
Observing a similar scenario in history, when global events triggered high volatility, it appears that market reactions now do not differ from past patterns. If the current negative trend continues, a further deepening of the correction is plausible, as the lag in market volume (4.45M vs. 6.8M) indicates that investors have not yet been able to offset the negative sentiment prevailing in the sector.
Tesla Shares Tumble 7%+ Following Cybertruck Quality ComplaintsTesla Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) faced another sharp sell-off on Thursday 10th. The stock dropped 7.27% to close at $252.40, down $19.80 for the day. However, volume was high, reaching 399.04 million shares.
The fall followed reports of build quality issues in Tesla’s Cybertruck. Owners posted complaints on the Cybertruck Owners Club forum. Several noted that the vehicle’s metal panels had detached.
Additionally, videos showing Cybertruck damage in cold weather gained attention on social media site X. These reports raised concerns over production quality.
Tesla had been recovering before the recent plunge. However, concerns about product reliability appear to have paused the rebound.
Technical Analysis
The 3-day chart shows Tesla in a strong downtrend. The stock broke below $290, triggering a drop to around $220 before bouncing back to $252. Price recently respected a key support near $190m, which may act as a floor for future declines. High volume near support signals buyer interest. If Tesla breaks above $290, it could retest $300. That zone acts as resistance and aligns with the 50- and 100-day moving averages at $252 and $232, respectively.
The longer-term target is near $488, but the price must clear $290 first. A failure to hold support near $220 could send the stock back toward $180. The RSI is at 42.77, slightly above oversold. Momentum is weak but may shift if price builds support above $250. Tesla’s next move depends on how it manages both technical resistance and consumer concerns.
CCC Intelligent (NASDAQ: $CCCS) Slides 17% Amid Insider SalesCCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CCCS ) saw its stock fall sharply in recent trading. On April 7th, 2025, shares dropped 17.84% in pre-market trading. This sharp decline pointed to a major shift in investor confidence.
Recent insider activity may have contributed to the drop. CAO Rodney Christo sold 5,846 shares. Board member Eileen Schloss sold 27,478 shares. These insider transactions raised concerns among market participants. Despite the drop, CCC Intelligent maintains a market cap of $5.60 billion. It trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio that reflects investor valuation against earnings.
Seven research firms rate the stock as a “Moderate Buy.” This suggests that analysts still consider the stock a potential opportunity. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase & Co. has significantly raised its stake. The firm boosted its holdings by 753.3% during Q4. This large move may reflect institutional confidence in the company's long-term outlook.
As of the latest update at 1:00 PM, CCCS trades at $8.87, down $0.15 (1.66%). Volume stands at 15.34 million shares.
Technical Analysis
The 3-day chart shows a strong downtrend with high selling volume. Price touched a major support zone near $8.20 and bounced slightly. Resistance lies near $9.80 to $10.00. This zone could serve as a barrier for further upside as the price needs to break above it to signal recovery.
A descending trendline from prior highs caps the upside near $12.50. A break above this trendline could also confirm a trend reversal. The 3-day RSI sits at 33.26, close to oversold territory. This may hint at short-term bounce potential toward the resistance at the $10 level. However, downside risk remains if price fails to hold current support at the $8 level. A break below the $8 level, however, may target $7.40 previous low.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/10/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/10/2025
📈19130
📉18530
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
PEG @ 0.22 DEBT/ASSET @ 0.09 NVIDIA LOOKS CHEAP WITH SELL-OFFFundamental metrics favour NVIDIA and with the company's return on equity (ROE) stands above 119%, NVDA stock price looks irresistible below 105.
N.B!
- NVDA price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#nvda
#nasdaq
#nyse
NVIDIA Update 3 Rangebound with new Low for longsIn this video I bring to your attention what we could possibly expect if we lose the current level and if we do then where is the next crucial zone to look for Longs.
If you have read this then pls do Boost my work and any questions then leave them below
07/04/25 Weekly Outlook Last weeks high: $88,502.90
Last weeks low: $77,786.89
Midpoint: $83,144.89
Never a dull moment in this game, last week we saw a relatively flat move from Bitcoin as traditional markets continued their heavy sell-offs thanks to the tariff trade war. The high of the week coming from the run up to Trumps tariff announcement, that then retraced as the speech went on and as the week closed a heavy capitulation move down.
As the week begins BTC's price hit as low as $74,500 barely frontrunning the HTF goal of $73,500 to close the inefficiency wick from the US election 6 months ago. For me this is where I start to pay attention to where buyers may be stepping into the market at this HTF support area. Obviously the worry is still in Tradfi, just how low will the SPX, DJI etc go? That's hard to tell but there is certainly a huge amount of fear in the market and fear brings opportunity.
The NY open should be an interesting one and should set the tone for the week, A reclaim of the weekly low sets up yet another SFP long opportunity to then go and test the midpoint, acceptance under the weekly low may provide one last push to close tout the move to $73,000.
The Federal Reserve is having am emergency closed board meeting today too, if an emergency cut to interest rates comes of this to boost growth then BTC will definitely see the benefits of this.
Good luck for the week ahead!
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed with a sharp surge following news of a possible delay in Trump’s tariff implementation. A 12% single-day rally on the daily chart is unprecedented — it was an extraordinary rise. On the daily chart, the 20-day moving average is acting as resistance, and to fully fill the April 3rd gap-down, the index would need to rise to around 19,750. If the Nasdaq continues to climb and fills that gap, a potential pullback should be anticipated.
Although the MACD has turned sharply upward in a V-shape, it hasn't fully broken above the Signal line yet. Given the rapidly changing global conditions, the possibility of a reversal still exists. However, since the 90-day tariff delay has been confirmed, the market may be entering a phase of relative stability. On the weekly chart, we see a sharp rebound that has brought the index up to the 5-week moving average. Both the Nasdaq and the VIX suggest that today could be a range-bound (sideways) session, so it's better to set wider trading ranges and adopt a box-range trading strategy.
On the 240-minute chart, a double bottom pattern has formed, with the MACD bouncing off the Signal line and rising again. The MACD is trending upward, but the Signal line remains below the zero line, which means a short-term pullback could still occur. Overall, it is advisable to use a buy-low, sell-high approach, with more upside potential still open. Also, today’s CPI report is scheduled, so please be mindful of increased volatility around the data release.
Crude Oil
Crude oil rebounded sharply from the $55 level, showing an impressive 12% range between high and low. However, the sell signal remains active. The price has broken above the 5-day moving average and entered a box range between the 5- and 10-day MAs, suggesting that a moving average-based box strategy would be effective.
On the weekly chart, oil has not yet reached the 5-week MA, so there’s still room up to the $65 level, which has historically served as strong resistance. Around that area, it might be more effective to consider short positions. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD showed signs of a third wave down, but failed to make a new low — signaling bullish divergence. A head-and-shoulders inverse pattern may be forming, with the right shoulder potentially developing around the $59–$60 zone. Overall, the strategy should remain range-based, with some more room to the upside.
Gold
Gold also closed sharply higher, benefiting from the tariff delay news. On the daily chart, the price closed higher, giving the illusion of a support bounce off the lower Bollinger Band, as that band is rising. The MACD remains above the zero line, so there’s still room for a retest of the Signal line, but given the current gap between MACD and Signal, the price needs to either rise further or move sideways to bring the MACD closer and potentially break above the Signal line.
If it fails to rise from here, the MACD may turn down again, so avoid chasing the price upward. Like Nasdaq and oil, gold is heavily influenced by global developments, so stay updated on the geopolitical landscape. On the 240-minute chart, gold formed a triple bottom around the 2,980 level and then rebounded strongly. The MACD is trending upward and pulling the Signal line along with it, but resistance around the 3,130 level remains significant. Gold may see increased volatility from today’s CPI report and tomorrow’s PPI release, so stay alert.
Market Summary
The market has been showing signs of irrational behavior. Investor sentiment is extremely volatile and driven more by emotion than logic. In times like this, it’s more important than ever to stick to the basics, shorten trade duration, cut back on risk, and trade with discipline. The more you chase after gains, the more likely your trades will be swept away by market turbulence.
Warren Buffett is considered a legend in the financial markets precisely because he has always stuck to fundamental principles. Likewise, it is crucial to establish and stick to your own trading principles to survive in the markets. If you haven’t yet experienced the kind of volatility we saw during the Trump era or the pandemic, this is a time to be especially cautious and defensive in your approach.
Wishing you another day of successful trading
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Tesla Taps the Golden Zone – Is the Launch Sequence Engaged?Tesla (TSLA) has shown textbook precision by respecting the golden zone after a significant sweep of previous highs. Rather than violating the last HTF low—which would’ve hinted at deeper downside—price instead retraced cleanly into the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) range and reacted with strong bullish intent.
This move indicates a healthy retracement rather than weakness, suggesting a continuation to the upside. Confirmation of this potential bullish leg would be a sustained close above the 272–300 level, which aligns with previous buyside liquidity zones and Fibonacci confluence.
Key Observations:
- Golden Zone respected: Price bounced cleanly between the 62–79% fib levels.
- HTF low protected: No violation of higher timeframe bullish structure.
- Volume spike supports the reversal move.
Targets:
- Short-term: 300.61
- Mid-term: 416.67
- Long-term swing: 861.17 (over 255% potential gain)
Conclusion:
Tesla looks set for lift-off 🚀. The reaction at the golden zone and the preservation of structure give high confluence for a potential explosive move higher. Wait for confirmation via price continuation and structure integrity.
As always — DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Another tariff u-turn: Oil overbought on news? President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for countries that have not retaliated, sparking a sharp rally in U.S. markets. The Nasdaq 100 led gains with a 12.2% surge. The U.S. dollar also strengthened against safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc.
Crude oil prices rebounded alongside equities, with oil futures rising more than 4% to trade above $62 per barrel.
However, the strength of the oil rally may be overstated. China, one of the world’s largest oil consumers, was among the first to retaliate against U.S. tariffs. Tensions between Washington and Beijing have worsened, prompting the U.S. to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%.
Adding to the caution, analysts at Goldman Sachs revised down their 2026 average price forecasts for Brent and WTI, citing rising recession risks. The bank now expects Brent to average $58 per barrel and WTI to average $55.
Micron's Time to Be THAT Semiconductor is coming and FastNASDAQ:MU is extremely undervalued, I produced this chart last night. Its time that the market appreciates this monster with such solid fundamentals. Micron since 2022 has been working hard to become a major producer in the United States. I believe that Trump and his government could get behind the only major memory company to be based in the United States.
-----------------------
Balance Sheet:
Cash: $8.22b
Debt: $11.54b
Equity: $48.63b
Total Liabilities: $24.42b
Total Assets: $73.05b
All Stated in $ USD
-----------------------
Valuation:
Price To Sales: 2.72
Price To Earnings: 18.30
Forward Price To Earnings: 6.84
-----------------------
Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) – Energizing Global GrowthCompany Snapshot:
Monster NASDAQ:MNST continues to dominate the $60B+ global energy drink market, expanding across 159 countries with a diverse portfolio and strong executive leadership.
Key Catalysts:
Global Market Expansion 🌐
Strategic brands like Predator and Fury targeting emerging markets
New geographies = incremental revenue & brand exposure
Category Leadership & Diversification 🥤
Strong lineup: Monster Energy®, Reign®, Bang®, Java Monster®, NOS®
Broad consumer appeal → fuels market share gains in both premium & value tiers
Industry Tailwinds 📊
Energy drink market projected to grow at 7.6% CAGR (2025–2029)
Monster well-positioned with affordable, recognizable, and global brands
Leadership & ESG Strength 💼💚
Longtime Co-CEOs Rodney Sacks & Hilton Schlosberg driving global strategy
Involvement in charitable events reinforces brand goodwill and consumer trust
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $50.00–$51.00
🚀 Upside Target: $75.00–$76.00
📈 Growth Drivers: Emerging market expansion, brand strength, leadership, and rising category demand
⚡️ Monster – Powering growth from the shelf to the streets. #MNST #EnergyDrinks #GlobalLeader
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower after forming an upper wick at the 5-day moving average on the daily chart. If it had closed with a bullish candle, a technical rebound from the oversold condition could have opened the way to the 10-day moving average, but instead, it ended with a bearish candle.
The daily chart still shows a sell signal, but the best-case scenario would be for the market to form a double bottom pattern after confirming a short-term low and attempt another rise toward the 10-day moving average.
On the intraday charts, there's a high probability that the market will show a double bottom during the pre-market session, especially since there's no clear sell reversal on lower timeframes yet. The 240-minute chart shows a golden cross on the MACD, and although a death cross hasn't yet occurred, the large gap between the MACD and the zero line suggests a continued corrective trend.
As long as the death cross doesn't materialize, buying on dips near the bottom remains favorable. The 16,500 level is a strong support zone on the monthly, weekly, and daily charts, so shorting is not recommended — better to lean toward long setups. With the FOMC minutes due out early tomorrow and the CPI report on the horizon, volatility is expected to rise as the market attempts to form a bottom. Stick to buying on dips, manage risk carefully, and reduce leverage in this volatile environment.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, continuing its recent downtrend on the daily chart. Concerns over a global economic slowdown and increased production from OPEC nations are dampening the upside. Although the sell signal on the daily MACD remains, there's still potential for a short-term rebound toward the 5-day moving average. If trading short, make sure to set a stop-loss, especially near the strong $57 support zone, where shorting is riskier.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has re-crossed into a death cross, showing signs of a third wave of selling pressure. However, there's still a chance of bullish divergence, so avoid chasing short positions. The $57–$59 support range remains strong, and unless this level breaks, buying on dips offers a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Note that today's U.S. crude inventory report could introduce more volatility, so trade carefully.
Gold
Gold closed lower with an upper wick on the daily chart. While the price is still above the 0 line on the MACD, if it pulls back to the previous high resistance area, which coincides with the lower Bollinger Band and the 60-day moving average, it may present a good buying opportunity for swing trades. On the weekly chart, gold is still moving within a sideways range, trapped between key moving averages. With the FOMC minutes today and the CPI tomorrow, it's important to monitor whether the price breaks out of this range.
The 240-minute chart shows that the MACD has not yet formed a golden cross, and there's still a large gap from the 0 line. If MACD rebounds and then corrects again, it's crucial to check whether a double bottom around the 2,980 area is forming. Overall, gold remains a buy-the-dip candidate, and if the price falls to around the 60-day moving average, it could present a great swing entry.
Investor sentiment is reaching extreme levels, and we're witnessing unusually fast and wide price swings. It's hard to rely on daily or weekly charts alone, so it's important to focus on short-term price action and use appropriate leverage for your strategy.
The market will always be open. Survival and consistent profitability are what matter most in the long run. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and take a long-term view as a trader.
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NASDAQ: Cyclical correction most likely completed. ATH by June?Nasdaq remains oversold both on its 1D (RSI = 25.630) and 1W (RSI = 28.851, MACD = -442.980, ADX = 36.399) technical outlook as yesterday's rally is being corrected today on strong technical selling. Long term it looks like this was a cyclical correction, reached -25%, hit the 3W MA50/1W MA200 zone (which has been the best buy entry in the past 10 years) that has most likely been completed. In addition, the 1W RSI is on the same oversold levels as May 16th 2022, the lowest it has been since 2008. According to the Fibonacci Channel Up, the market can hit 22,300 as early as June.
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower after experiencing extreme volatility the previous day. Following a gap-down open, the market attempted a bottoming process. However, the spread of fake news related to tariffs triggered a 10% intraday swing, making the Nasdaq trade more like an individual stock than a major index. Massive trading volume occurred due to margin calls from CFDs and hedge funds, and the market showed some signs of recognition around a potential short-term bottom.
On the weekly chart, the index rebounded but was resisted at the 3-week moving average. On the daily chart, a doji bullish candlestick with strong volume formed, suggesting the market may attempt another rebound. However, since volatility from the bottom remains significant, if you’re planning to enter long positions, it's best to buy as close to the bottom as possible. If the market continues to form a base, a rebound toward the 5-day or 10-day moving average on the daily chart is possible.
On the 240-minute chart, the market is still in a death cross and remains oversold. Still, it's showing signs of forming a base around the 16,500 level, so it's better to avoid chasing short positions during any pullbacks that could form a double bottom. In this oversold environment, a buy-on-dip approach near the lows is favorable for a technical rebound. But since volatility remains high, make sure to set clear stop-loss levels for both long and short trades.
Crude Oil
Crude oil experienced a gap-down on the daily chart and closed lower after hitting resistance at the 3-day moving average. On both the daily and weekly charts, the $57–$59 zone appears to be a short-term support level. If the price dips into this zone, it may offer a buying opportunity. Yesterday’s candle was resisted at the 3-day line, so if a bottoming pattern forms today, a rebound toward the 5-day moving average could be anticipated. However, since the MACD has just issued a sell signal near the zero line, it's better to treat any long positions as short-term trades.
On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal is still valid, and the market remains in oversold territory. Watching for a potential double bottom formation before entering long positions is recommended. That said, if market sentiment continues to accept economic recession as a given, oil prices could keep falling. There's also the risk of a one-way downward move, so if you're going long, ensure tight stop-loss levels are in place.
Gold
Gold saw sharp volatility and closed lower after being rejected at the 5-day moving average. Due to the weaker dollar from U.S. tariff announcements, the attractiveness of gold has diminished in the short term. On the weekly chart, gold is still forming a range-bound movement near the 10-week moving average, with support appearing near the $2,975 level. On the daily chart, the lower Bollinger Band and the 60-day moving average are rising and beginning to converge.
These overlapping indicators could form a strong support zone, so if the price drops into this area, it may present a good opportunity to buy the dip. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal lines have both dropped below the zero line, and the RSI has entered oversold territory.
While this could lead to further accelerated selling, it is also a zone where a rebound from oversold conditions could easily occur. It’s best to avoid chasing the downside and instead focus on buying during pullbacks near strong support zones.
Market volatility is increasing, but this is also a zone where technical rebounds are likely due to excessive declines. While confirmation of a bottoming pattern is needed, in this kind of market, it's safer to focus on one direction rather than trying to trade both ways.
Long positions currently offer a better risk-reward ratio, so it’s advisable to enter at the lower end of the range. Reduce leverage as much as possible and always set stop-loss levels to ensure safe trading in these turbulent conditions.
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Are we done with the slide, or not? US indices are suffering right now, but is there light at the end of the tunnel?
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:US500
MARKETSCOM:US100
MARKETSCOM:US30
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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