SoFi Technologies (SOFI) – Prepping for Liftoff?Analysis Overview:
The chart suggests that SOFI may be setting up for a major bullish reversal, but confirmation is still needed. Let’s break it down:
Key Bullish Factors:
✅ Optimal Trade Entry (OTE)
Price is currently sitting at an OTE level, a premium zone for long setups often used by smart money. These zones historically mark powerful reversal points.
✅ Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Respected
The stock tapped into a monthly FVG—a high-probability demand zone—suggesting institutional interest. A break and close above this zone would strengthen the bullish case significantly.
✅ 30 Moving Average (MA) as Confirmation
Price is still below the 30MA. A clear break and close above the 30MA would serve as the first strong confirmation that buyers are regaining control.
✅ Massive Upside Potential
If this plays out, the first target is the previous buy-side liquidity at $18.33, and if momentum sustains, we could even see a long-term move toward the all-time high at $28.54—a potential 228% gain from current levels.
What We Want to See Before Full Confidence:
🔹 Price to break and close above the 30MA
🔹 Clear displacement through the Monthly FVG
🔹 Sustained bullish volume stepping in
Conclusion:
SOFI could be gearing up for a powerful upside run, but let the market confirm it. Watch the 30MA and how price behaves around the FVG. If those get respected and price pushes higher—this could be a sleeper play to watch in 2025.
🧠 As always... DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
Nasdaq
$AEHR Set to Report Q125 Financial Results Post-Market April 8thAehr Test Systems ( IG:NASDAQ : NASDAQ:AEHR ) will report its first-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results on April 8, 2025. The announcement will follow the market close and the earnings call will begin at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time.
The upcoming report covers the fiscal quarter ending February 28th, 2025. Zacks Investment Research expects the company to post an EPS of $-0.02. This compares to an EPS of $-0.05 from the same quarter last year.
As of 3:35 p.m. EDT on April 7th, AEHR stock traded at $7.31, up $0.05(0.69%), with the price hovering above a key support level at $7.
Recent Financial Performance and Guidance
In July 2024, Aehr reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024.
For Q4 2024, revenue was $16.6 million, down from $22.3 million in Q4 2023. GAAP net income was $23.9 million or $0.81 per share. This included a tax benefit of $20.8 million. Non-GAAP net income was $24.7 million or $0.84 per share.
Bookings during the quarter totaled $4.0 million. The backlog stood at $7.3 million as of May 31, 2024. Effective backlog, including post-quarter orders, reached $20.8 million. For the full year 2024, Aehr recorded record revenue of $66.2 million. This was slightly higher than $65.0 million in 2023. GAAP net income for the year was $33.2 million or $1.12 per share. Non-GAAP net income reached $35.8 million or $1.21 per share.
Cash and cash equivalents were $49.2 million at the end of May 2024. This was an increase from $47.6 million at the end of February 2024. The company expects at least $70 million in revenue for fiscal 2025. It also projects a pre-tax profit of at least 10% of revenue.
Technical Analysis: Support at $7 Holds
AEHR stock is testing a crucial support zone at $7, a level that has shown buyer interest in the past. The stock is currently trading slightly above support as traders watch to see if it remains above this level after earnings.
A positive earnings report may offer more bull strength at the support and trigger a rebound. If the price rebounds, the next immediate target is a descending trendline resistance. The trendline has rejected prices to trade above it in recent months. This therefore acts as a strong point that will need positive market developments to break above.
However, if earnings disappoint and bearish pressure grows, the stock could fall below $7. A breakdown would however expose NASDAQ:AEHR to lower support zones and potential new lows.
JetBlue Airways (JBLU) – Technical Analysis 1WJetBlue shares have broken a key weekly trendline, reinforcing a bearish outlook. After breaking support at $5.21, the price is heading toward $4.52 and potentially $3.41.
Technical indicators confirm the weakness: RSI shows declining momentum, MACD signals a bearish crossover, and EMA 50/200 indicate sustained selling pressure.
Fundamentally, the airline sector faces macroeconomic instability, rising Fed rates, and volatile fuel prices. A close below $5.21 will confirm the downtrend, targeting $4.52 and $3.41, while a recovery above $6.44 could signal a potential rebound.
$SPX Flirting With a Bear Market alongside $QQQ NASDAQ fell another 4% touching down 26%
S&P 500 walking a tight rope falling 21% to play with the idea of a Bear Market, but has rebounded a bit.
NASDAQ:QQQ did have a stronger response from buyers than SP:SPX
Nonetheless, we would need several WEEKLY closes sub 20% losses to enter a textbook Bear Market.
TLT - Monthly Targets (Long Term)Markets are currently tight squeezing due to Trumps terrifs etc, something has to give in, based on this chart:
- TLT has found a bid at .963 Fibonacci level @ $82.42 (EXTREME RETRACE)
- Dec 2, 2024 = the 369 ratio in time for $82.42 (time & price 📐)
NEXT TARGET PROJECTION IS 50% OF THE MAX TARGET ANGLE = ($121)
(BETWEEN 2025 - 2029)
MAX TARGET = $183 - $212
(BETWEEN 2025 - 2034)
The Nasdaq 100 nears a big breaking pointThe Nasdaq 100 has continued declining, attempting to find some support after breaking below the August 2024 lows on 4 April. The next obvious support levels lie around the late 2021 and 2022 highs, which, for now at least, are offering some stability. It would not be surprising to see the index test that region during the trading session.
However, a break below support at 16,700 could be a negative signal for the Nasdaq, suggesting the index may head even lower. The next level of technical support would not appear until the July 2023 highs at 15,750. If that level breaks, the next area of support lies at the October 2023 low of 14,100, effectively erasing all gains made over the past 18 months.
The problem for the Nasdaq is that several areas on the chart will likely offer little to no support should it break under its 2021 highs, with numerous lower gaps remaining unfilled. This suggests the potential for further declines, which could extend to the 1.618% level around 14,510, especially as we’ve only seen a full extension of the initial bear flag so far.
If the Nasdaq can find support at the November 2021 highs, there is room for a rally back to 17,265, which marks the August lows, and potentially further to 18,360. However, a complete reversal back to the previous highs seems highly unlikely, given that the market may now reprice risk and reassess how much it is willing to pay for it.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
NQ volatility likely to persist until retest of 13k buy zonechart shows it all...expect more volatility this month, likely a retest of 61.8 fib level at 15k & 78.6 fib levels (based on lows from 2023) near 13k before we finally run to the highs again into 2026!
tariffs have similar impact as rate hikes...overall will be digested by markets just fine & we'll head back to the highs as fed sees more freedom to cut given those effects...very incentivized to prevent a "hard landing" economically without also boosting inflation too much, so this is all actually a good thing if you can see it :)
Nasdaq Enters Correction Territory Do we go Deeper
Monthly analysis done on the NQ with the ambition to connect with current price activity and gauge a deeper technical understanding on if this is just the start of a bigger correction for the year ahead . Tools used in this video Standard Fib , TR Pocket , CVWAP/ PVWAP Incorporating PVWAP and CVWAP into trading strategies allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics used to assess trading performance and market trends.
Date and price range and trend line .
Some research below regarding the previous correction that I reference the technicals to in the video .
In November 2021, the Nasdaq reached record highs
However, concerns over rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and supply chain disruptions led to increased market volatility. These factors contributed to a correction in the Nasdaq, with the index experiencing notable declines as investors reassessed valuations, particularly in high-growth technology stocks.
VS Today
March 2025 Correction:
As of March 2025, the Nasdaq Composite has faced another significant correction. On March 10, 2025, the index plummeted by 4%, shedding 728 points, marking its third-worst point loss ever, with only earlier losses during the COVID-19 pandemic surpassing this.
This downturn has been attributed to several factors:
Economic Policies: President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has unsettled markets, raising fears of a potential recession
Inflation Concerns: Investors are closely monitoring upcoming consumer-price index (CPI) reports to gauge inflation trends, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates, exacerbating stock market declines
Sector-Specific Declines: Major technology companies, including Tesla, have experienced significant stock price declines, contributing to the overall downturn in the Nasdaq
Comparison of the Two Corrections:
Catalysts: The November 2021 correction was primarily driven by concerns over rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes. In contrast, the March 2025 correction has been influenced by geopolitical factors, including new tariff announcements, and ongoing inflation concerns.
Magnitude: While both corrections were significant, the March 2025 correction has been more severe in terms of single-day point losses. The 4% drop on March 10, 2025, resulted in a loss of 728 points, marking it as one of the most substantial declines in the index's history.
Investor Sentiment: Both periods saw increased market volatility and a shift towards risk aversion. However, the recent correction has been accompanied by heightened fears of a potential recession, partly due to inconsistent government messaging regarding economic prospects.
In summary, while both corrections were driven by concerns over inflation and economic policies, the March 2025 correction has been more pronounced, with additional factors such as new tariffs and recession fears playing a significant role.
Bearish Setup on NFLX: Correction Wave (C) UnfoldingTF: 4h
NFLX appears bearish at the moment. The corrective structure on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential decline. The current formation indicates that wave B likely completed at 998.61 , and the stock has now begun its descent into wave (C) of the correction.
The correction may extend to the 100% projection of wave A at 788.67 , or potentially deepen to 659.06 , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave A. After the completion of wave (C), traders can buy for the target up to wave B at 998.61 .
I will continue to update the situation as it evolves.
NASDAQ Black Monday or a Massive Rally??Nasdaq (NDX) opened on early Monday futures trade below both its August 05 2024 and April 19 2024 Lows. All technical Supports have been broken and the market made new 12-month Lows. The market sentiment is extremely bearish, technically oversold, even the 1W RSI is below the 30.00 oversold barrier and the prevailing fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth Tariffs between nations don't leave much room for encouragement.
The index is more than -25% off the February 17 2025 All Time High (ATH), technically Bear Market territory, and the last time it dropped more this fast is during the lockdowns of the COVID crash (February 20 - March 23 2020). The market dropped by -32%, below also all known technical Supports (including its August low) before finding support and forming a bottom just above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
The two time events are virtually identical with the only notable difference is that Nasdaq is about to form the 1D Death Cross now while in 2020 it did about 1 month after the low.
The only technical development that leaves room for encouragement is that the 1W RSI during COVID got oversold just a day before the eventual market bottom.
Does today's 1W RSI drop into oversold territory mean that we are about to form a bottom? Unknown. But what we do know is that on March 03 and 16 2020 on two urgent, out-of-schedule meetings, the Fed stepped in to save the market from the free-fall (and save they did) by cutting the Interest Rates to near zero (first to 1.25% and then to 0.25% subsequently from 1.75% previously).
Perhaps that is the only thing that can restore investor confidence (certainly the only action that the Fed can do) and avoid a Black Monday below the 1W MA200, which would be catastrophic. On the other hand, if the U.S. government reach indeed trade deals with the rest of nations and the Fed do what they can from their end, we may even hit new ATH by August!
So what do you think it's going to be? Black Monday or Massive Rally?
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
QQQ Selling Just StartingIf you have any illusions this will be a buy-the-dip market, you are taking on a major risk!
1. Last time QQQ sold off it lost 84%
2. It took 17 years to break even
3. It took much longer to break even inflation-adjusted
You can't buy low if you don't sell first. You don't have infinite money.
WARNING!
Market Review: Full Higher Time Frame Review of NASDAQ bear runI hope this get's featured 🎯
The simplest macroeconomic review of NASDAQ you may see this year.
It's all a fib retracement. That's all I have to say for now 🔪 Share this with someone looking for a good review 💰
**Video was cut short by a minute or two but the general idea was complete
NASDAQ New Week Gap will tell you everything you need to knowIf you watched my idea update from Friday, I was saying that the sellside monthly lows as well as the 2023 yearly high are being targeted.
Low and behold, we hit all targets on the weekly gap drop. Let's see how price approaches the new week opening gap mid level (dashed white). It will definitely hit that level before the end of the week.
If it does not, that means we have super easy sellside targets to hit after a clear rejection back below tested highs as always.
Share this with someone needing easy targets 🎯
SPX500 & Nasdaq: Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!With consumer confidence off at circuit breaking levels, the market, technically, has reached extreme levels of support. Let's look at it:
Technicals:
(1) Horizontal Levels of support
(2) 50%/61.8% fib confluence
(3) exDiv1
(4) extreme indicators
(5) Chikou span testing cloud support
(6) 28% drop is SPX
All of these levels are lining up around the same location. And just like in real estate "Location! Location! Location!" is the adage; in markets, "Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!" is the adage!
When will NASDAQ stop melting? You can't say I didn't warn you!I hate to say I told you but I warned about this crash at my analysis back at September 2024 for NQ1! (you can see it at related ideas below), anticipating market moves based on structure well before the narrative around election and tariffs even began circulating.
We often see markets engineer these kinds of dramatic dives below obvious lows. This projection towards the 4.0-5.0 zone looks characteristic of such a liquidity hunt, designed to clear out sell-side stops and shake out traders before a potential major move higher – a dynamic not unlike what we anticipated previously.
While the projected sharp drop on NQ1! below key levels like the Monthly Order Block near 3.0 and the AG (actual gap) level near 3.5 might look aggressively bearish, I'm viewing this as a potential setup for a significant buy opportunity.
My attention is focused on that "Possible reversal level 1" between 4.0 and 5.0. If price stabilizes and shows rejection signs within this zone, it could signal the start of a powerful rally, potentially targeting levels back up towards the 1.75 area or even revisiting prior highs.
Remember, these market structure plays can take time to fully develop, just as previous setups did. We could see NQ consolidate or even briefly dip lower within that 4.0-5.0 zone before the anticipated upward reversal truly gains traction.
Thanks for reading, boost and follow to stay liquid and not become liquidity.
Wish you safe and informed trading decisions.
___________
CME_MINI:NQ1! TVC:VIX
Weekly Market Forecast: Short Term Buys, Then Sells! In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of April 7 - 11th.
The Stock Market Indices may find support at current levels for a Bear Market Rally. Wait for the market structure shift to the upside before taking any buys. Let the market confirm it's intended direction first, then look for valid buy setups for a short term countertrend play.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 Records Largest Weekly Decline Since 2020The S&P 500 Index has suffered its steepest two-day drop since the pandemic crash in March 2020. On April 4th, 2025, the benchmark index closed at 5,074.08, down 322.44 points (5.97%). This marks a loss of $5.4 trillion in market value across just two sessions.
The sell-off followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He warned that President Donald Trump’s new tariffs could lead to persistently higher inflation. All 11 sectors in the S&P 500 closed in the red. Only 14 stocks remained positive as Nvidia and Apple fell more than 7%, while Tesla dropped 10%.
The Nasdaq 100 Index plunged 6.1%, confirming a bear market after losing over 20% from its February peak. The rapid decline mirrors the speed seen during the 2020 COVID crash and the 2000 dot-com bust.
President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on U.S. imports on Wednesday. These include a 10% general tariff and higher rates on dozens of countries. China responded by imposing a 34% levy on American goods. The tit-for-tat measures triggered fears of a full-scale global trade war.
Global markets reacted sharply. Investors pulled out of stocks and moved into safer assets like government bonds. The two-day loss of $5 trillion on the S&P 500 set a new record, surpassing the $3.3 trillion loss during March 2020.
Rick Meckler, of Cherry Lane Investments, said the escalation is now deeper than many investors expected. The initial belief that tariffs were a negotiation tactic has now given way to serious market concerns.
Technical Analysis: Price Approaching Key Support Zones. Will They Hold?
The S&P 500 has shown a bearish trend since early 2025. Several weekly candles have closed bearish, confirming a strong downtrend. Currently, the index is trading lower toward a key ascending trendline near $4,930.
The $4,930 support level may offer short-term support. A bounce from here could see a brief recovery. However, the sentiment remains bearish without strong economic data or policy changes.
Further Downside Risk If Support Fails
Another horizontal support sits at $4,780. If both support levels fail, the index may fall toward the $4,500 psychological zone. This level is crucial as it marks a long-term support and potential reversal point.
At present, bearish momentum dominates, with much strength coming from trade war fears. Unless data shifts investor sentiment, the downtrend may persist.
SPX500: The trendline show a bottom in Sept 2025 at 4700 We're being magnetically pulled toward the trendline bottom around 4700.
Based on the current MACD and RSI signals, the bearish scenario could continue until September–October 2025. This correction is very similar to the one from 2022.
There will be some dead cats bounces, but do not be fooled, the MACD is reseting hard.
Stay sharp. Be ready.
DYOR.