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Nasdaq 100: Make-or-Break Trendline SupportChart Analysis: The US 100 Index has pulled back from recent highs but remains above its rising trendline (black), maintaining the broader bullish structure. 1️⃣ Rising Trendline: The trendline, originating from the August lows, has been a key dynamic support for the index. Price is currently testing this level around 21,150, making it a critical area to watch. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): The index remains above the 50-day SMA at 20,818, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 19,438, reflecting a long-term bullish trend. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 51.88, signaling neutral momentum, giving room for the index to either bounce or consolidate further. MACD: The MACD line has turned downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum but no decisive bearish crossover yet. What to Watch: A bounce from the trendline could signal a continuation of the uptrend, with immediate resistance near the recent highs around 21,600. A break below the trendline may shift attention to the 50-day SMA or the 20,800 level for potential support. The US 100 Index remains within a broader bullish structure, with the rising trendline acting as a critical support level for near-term price action. -MW
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
1
NAS100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalNAS100 is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,404.67 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 21,660.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 20,949.82 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
3
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (NAS100USD 1D chart) Support zone 1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0 2nd: 19582.6 However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important. The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th. If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
OANDA:NAS100USD
by readCrypto
Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770. On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 22120 Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510 Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120 - Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
LGIH - Long - Rate Cut - Falling Wedge, Double Bottom The FED just cut rates for the third time in 2024 and sees the possiblity of two more cuts next year. LGI Homes has a strong management team, a great business model and a record of profitability in the toughest market conditions. They've grown significantly since 2003, to become one of the top home builders in the country. Throughout 2024, many shareholders increased their position in the company and the recent optimism about the economy should positively affect their share price. Long throughout 2025.. TP1 $136 TP2 $140 SP $84 Let's see if the recent rate cut from the FED turns this Falling Wedge around. A drop below $84 could continue 10 to 15% more. This is not investment advice. Talk with your financial manager about investing. Why LGI Homes (LGIH) is a Smart Investment in the Homebuilding Sector With rising interest rates, inflation, and an economy that is sluggish in some areas, and doing well in others, homebuilder stocks may not seem like a wise long-term investment. However, inflation is decreasing, and there’s a very good chance we will see a third rate cut today from the Fed LGI Homes is positioned well for a struggling economy, an economy much worse than the one we face today. After all, according to a recent Fortune/Deloitte survey, 84% of CEOs are optimistic about the next 12-months . It feels like every day Americans are too. LGI has a portfolio of affordable homes, experienced management, and a proven track record of remaining profitable when many competitors are losing money. LGI Homes (NASDAQ: LGIH) sticks out as a solid bet in our current climate. One of the safest investment opportunities in the homebuilding sector, particularly for investors that like to bet on companies with invested executives and a deep portfolio of products with a mass market. catering to first-time homebuyers in the nation's most popular construction markets. Based on the information provided and recent market developments, let’s analyze the investment potential of LGI Homes. Company Strengths LGI Homes has been a leader in affordable housing for over , focusing on first-time buyers in a market where affordability is key. The company’s strengths extend beyond their business model of building move-in-ready homes for first-time homebuyers. They’re focused on processes and procedures that ensure efficient operations. Market Positioning LGI Homes has carved out a strong position as one of the top homebuilders in the U.S., focusing on entry-level homes for first-time buyers. This is particularly important in today’s economic environment, where most potential homeowners are concerned about affordability. By targeting this growing market segment, the company ensures a steady demand for its products, helping the company remain competitive. Resilience LGI Homes’ ability to stay profitable during the 2008-2009 financial crisis is a testament to its executive team, processes, and market strategy. While many builders faced huge losses or went out of business entirely, LGI Homes remained profitable. This ability to adapt and perform well during tough times speaks volumes about the company’s long-term strength. Operational Efficiency LGI Homes only builds move-in-ready homes, allowing the company to build quickly without sacrificing quality and better manage standing inventory. The company maintains strong operational practices that support high margins, such as utilizing a paperless paper order system and master build schedule to improve efficiency. They have also maintained long-term relationships with subcontractors, often working with the same partners since 2003, leading to consistent quality and reduced warranty costs. Financial Conservatism A key part of LGI Homes’ success has been its cautious approach to finances. By focusing on stability and minimizing risk, the company quickly became one of the nation’s top homebuilders. This conservative financial strategy offers security to investors, even in uncertain economic times, and positions the company well to weather market fluctuations. Employee Satisfaction LGI Homes stands out in the industry for its strong company culture and investments in employee training and growth. This year they were recognized for the fourth consecutive year as a great place to work and recieved another Top Workplace USA award from Energage. The company was also placed on Newsweek’s list of the World’s Most Trustworthy Companies in 2023 and 2024. This recognition is a sign of high employee satisfaction, which often leads to higher productivity and lower turnover. Recent Developments In recent news, Basswood Capital Management LLC increased its stake in LGI Homes by acquiring over 26,000 shares, valued at around $3.1 million and many other large investors increased their holdings throughout the year. These moves reflect confidence from institutional investors in the company’s future. When large investors make such moves, it often signals strong expectations for the company’s growth. Strategic Management LGI Homes’ success isn’t just about building houses; it’s about building a stable, sustainable business. The company’s approach to both financial and operational efficiency has allowed it to thrive regardless of the economy. Below you’ll see, this combination of discipline and adaptability makes LGI Homes stand out in the homebuilding industry and with investors. Consistent Profitability Since it started building homes in 2003, LGI Homes has maintained consistent profitability, even during the great recession. This track record speaks to the company’s disciplined financial management and its ability to navigate challenging economic conditions with stability. Strong Balance Sheet The company keeps a conservative capital structure, which provides them with flexibility and financial stability. As of September 30, 2024, the company had a total liquidity of $375.4 million, including $60.9 million in cash and a $314.5 million revolving credit facility. Their relatively low debt-to-capitalization ratio of 42.7% reflects the company’s careful management of debt. Move-in-ready Homes/Spec Homes LGI Homes focuses on building homes that are move-in-ready, allowing them to better manage costs and inventory. This approach gives the company more control over the construction process. By offering spec homes, LGI can provide a smoother, more predictable experience for buyers, while also ensuring they’re able to deliver quality homes without the delays or unexpected costs that can come with other building models. Insider Confidence The company’s executives have a significant financial stake in the company, indicating their confidence in its future. When insiders have a large personal investment, it aligns their interests with those of shareholders, showing they’re committed to driving long-term success. High Gross Margins LGI Homes has managed to maintain impressive gross margins, even when market conditions have been challenging. The company’s approach focuses on profitability over sheer volume, balancing smart pricing strategies with thoughtful growth and land acquisition. This combination has helped them remain strong in terms of margins, year after year. Here’s a closer look at the key factors behind their success: Disciplined Pricing and Incentive Approach LGI Homes prioritizes maximizing profitability on every home they sell rather than pursuing a higher volume of homes at the expense of margins. They do this by implementing a “pace versus price” strategy, which involves avoiding broad price cuts, using targeted incentives and marketing efforts, and maintaining discipline in pricing decisions. This approach allowed the company to achieve an adjusted gross margin of 27.2% in Q3 2024, aligning with their pre-pandemic performance. Community Growth and Selection While LGI Homes prioritizes profitability, growth is also an important part of its business model. Increasing their community count by 30% year-over-year, they have grown to 138 communities in Q3 of 2024, allowing for economies of scale. Furthermore, LGI Homes strategically selects and develops communities to support their margin growth, focusing on opening more self-developed, higher-margin communities. Efficient Land Acquisition and Development LGI Homes is also known for its smart land acquisition strategy. The company often develops land on its own, capturing profits from both land development and homebuilding. This not only helps them maintain control over costs but also boosts their gross margins. By implementing these strategies, LGI Homes has consistently delivered strong gross margins, with their Q3 2024 adjusted gross margin of 27.2% exceeding their full-year guidance and aligning with pre-pandemic levels. This performance underscores the effectiveness of their approach in maintaining profitability even in challenging market conditions. Withstanding Market Challenges The housing market today is facing several challenges, including rising home prices and shifting interest rates, which makes affordability a critical issue. LGI Homes is in a strong position to tackle these challenges. Their focus on entry-level, turnkey homes puts them in a position to benefit from first-time homebuyer tax programs passed by Congress or offered through states and cities. They can build more homes if the government decides to stimulate housing to address the shortage of homes and reduce inventory if the market fluctuates. Adapting to Market Conditions Even though LGI Homes takes a conservative approach, they’ve shown an ability to adapt when needed. For example, they’ve offered lower fixed rate mortgages and lowered home prices to offset rising costs and keep their inventory of finished homes low. Commitment to Affordable Housing With home prices climbing and interest rates fluctuating, affordability is a major hurdle for many buyers. LGI Homes’ focus on affordable, entry-level homes for first-time buyers puts them in an ideal spot to respond to these challenges. Their specialization in affordable housing ensures they will continue to attract a steady stream of homebuyers, even in uncertain times. Diversifying Market Reach LGI Homes has also broadened its offerings by adding not just more entry-level homes, but also active-adult and move-up homes under their Terrata Homes brand. This gives them access to a wider range of buyers, from first-time homeowners to empty nesters or people looking to upgrade. By expanding their product line, and sticking with building turnkey homes, LGI is positioned to weather economic ups and downs, ensuring they’re not overly reliant on any one market segment. Ability to Meet Increased Demand If a first-time homebuyer tax credit were introduced, or interest rates continue decreasing, LGI would benefit from a surge in demand. While many competitors may struggle to keep up with increased demand, LGI has efficient construction processes and procedures that make it possible for them to quickly adapt. Investment Considerations With its strong market position, operational efficiency, and potential to benefit from market trends or (state and federal) government programs, LGI Homes is an attractive investment for anyone looking to gain exposure in the homebuilding sector. Like any investment, there are risks to consider, such as the impact of broader economic conditions, interest rates, and potential policy changes that affect the housing market. That said, Freddie Mac estimates that we’re nearly 4 million homes short of meeting demand. Conclusion Having LGI Homes as part of an investment portfolio could prove to be a prudent financial decision for investors looking for stability and growth. The company’s strong financials, its focus on affordable and move-in-ready housing, and its ability to adapt to market changes make it well-equipped to thrive, even in tough conditions. With a track record of consistent profitability and solid strategies in place to navigate an unpredictable market, LGI Homes offers a reliable option for investors interested in the affordable housing space. While it’s important for potential investors to do their homework and know their personal risk tolerance, LGI Homes is certainly a company worth considering an investment in.
NASDAQ:LGIH
by ItaintJG
TESLA tags my Target 2 price objectiveTracking Tesla is an exhilarating experience, thanks to its significant price fluctuations, the attention it garners, and the charismatic presence of Elon Musk. The momentum of this electric vehicle powerhouse seems unstoppable. This year has truly been a wild ride for Tesla! It started with a dramatic 30% drop in stock value during the first quarter, fueled by worries about falling revenues and challenges with vehicle profit margins. This was Tesla's toughest quarter since late 2022. However, as we look at the current situation, the company's financial and operational performance is on the upswing. The enthusiasm and optimism surrounding this stock are off the charts. Fortunately, we successfully capitalized on the two major movements from the peak of the previous cycle in 2021, leading us to the current extraordinary surge (or perhaps more fittingly, a "Marsshot!") that both the stock and Elon are experiencing.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BallaJi
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/18/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower. Considerations The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights. For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately. To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Giovanni_Bandini
NASDAQ: Bullish until March 2025.Nasdaq is overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 72.532, MACD = 396.420, ADX = 56.355) and is about to do the same on the 1W as well (RSI = 69.424). This is because the Bull Cycle is on full extent. However, in anticipation of Q1 2025, we are entering the final phase of the Cycle. This is a Top sequence that we've seen three time before in the last 10 years. The early signal for this is when the 3W RSI forms overbought (RSI > 70.000) LH. Each time that happened, the index had a sharp drop to at least the 3W MA50. TP = 19,000 could be an early target. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
7
Tesla (TSLA): Long-Term Breakout Backed by Strong MomentumChart Analysis: Tesla shares have surged past key resistance at $415, marking a significant breakout with strong bullish momentum. 1️⃣ Key Breakout: The price broke above the horizontal resistance level at $415, which previously capped gains in 2021. This breakout signals renewed strength and opens the door for potential continuation. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-week SMA (blue): The price is well above the 50-week SMA at $227, highlighting robust upward momentum and a bullish long-term structure. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Currently at 80.96, signaling overbought conditions. While this reflects strong buying interest, traders may watch for signs of exhaustion or a pullback. MACD: Bullish momentum is accelerating, with the MACD line rising sharply and far above the signal line. What to Watch: A potential retest of the $415 breakout level as support would be a key technical development to confirm the breakout's strength. Traders should monitor RSI for signs of divergence or overbought reversals while keeping an eye on continuation patterns. Tesla has broken free from a multi-year range, driven by strong bullish momentum. The price action and breakout above $415 suggest bulls are firmly in control. -MW
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FOREXcom
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/17/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower. Considerations The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights. For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately. To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Giovanni_Bandini
$AMD Forms Another Double Bottom – Will History Repeat Itself?I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve noticed on NASDAQ:AMD daily chart. The stock just completed what looks like a classic double bottom pattern—something it’s done before with impressive results. What I’m Seeing: Double Bottom Revisited: We can see that AMD has formed another “W” shaped bottom, where price tested a support zone twice and successfully bounced. Historical Precedent: The last time AMD completed a double bottom, the subsequent breakout and follow-through rally were significant. After the neckline breakout, price continued to move higher, rewarding patient traders and confirming the pattern’s bullish nature. Volume & Confirmation: It’s worth looking closely at volume to confirm the pattern. In many textbook double bottoms, volume often increases on the breakout, signaling that buyers are stepping in. If we see heavier trading volumes as AMD breaks through the neckline, it could be an indication that a similar move might unfold. Potential Price Target: A common way to project a double bottom target is to measure the height of the “W” and add it to the breakout point. If this pattern performs similarly to the last one, we could see a significant upside move. Of course, there are no guarantees, but patterns like these give traders a framework to manage risk and set objectives. What to Watch For: Neckline Break: A clean move above the neckline (resistance area) would be a key bullish signal. Volume Expansion: Higher volume on the breakout adds conviction. Market Conditions: Broader market health and sentiment can affect whether the pattern plays out as expected. AMD has shown us before that this pattern can precede major rallies. As always, manage your risk appropriately—no matter how promising a setup looks, it’s wise to confirm with price action and volume before jumping in.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Scatman_Jeff