GOLD GLOBAL VIEWThis is what it looks like for us : a huge rally where the price is to reach at least 2780 pretty soon.
Look at our next post to get the micro view and the daily signal.
The idea is to compensate the green top area, which acts like a super KL, making the price come back to such high levels.
On the other hand, since the economy in the US seems to get more and more stable, the Gold Index should not grow that much on the next few years, only in case of a major event.
Which is why you can observe the red dotted line going back to the ground, to another super KL.
Nasdaq
NASDAQ GOING UPAfter a some fake rallies, some fails and some real good forecasts, we're back with more energy and more confidence to try and offer you all the best signals.
The red dotted line that you see at the top is the price we're aiming for. As you can see yesterday's forecast (green drawing) was a little late but eventually pretty good.
We believe that US100 has to climb back to 22K asap to compensate for the US firms on a national level, and to compensate with the blue areas on the chart on a technical levels, which are super key levels supposed to hit again.
Anything is possible at and after 2:30 PM (London time), but keep in mind that there are more prices to reach above than below
NQ LongEntry Point: Price is reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, with the potential to buy near 20,865.75.
Stop Loss: Set just below the 0.79 Fibonacci level, around 20,690.00.
Take Profit: Targeting a move towards the 0.0 Fibonacci extension around 21,371.25 (blue rectangle area).
Analysis:
The market has experienced a retracement, reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This could act as a support zone for a possible upward move.
The price action suggests a strong potential for a rebound as it aligns with a previous high.
This trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the potential for significant upside towards the 0.0 Fibonacci extension.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher, digesting the release of the CPI data. On the weekly chart, it faced resistance at the 5-week moving average, forming an upper wick. After a downtrend early this week, the market rebounded significantly. On the daily chart, the index rose to around the 20-day moving average but has yet to see the MACD cross above the signal line, making it premature to confirm a buying signal. Even if the uptrend continues, it would be prudent to wait for a golden cross in the MACD before committing to a buy position. Moreover, there is significant resistance from prior supply zones, making a sell strategy around higher levels valid.
On the 240-minute chart, as mentioned previously, a failed dead cross led to a rebound, forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The MACD is trending upwards and diverging from the signal line. However, since the signal line is still below the zero line, a sideways consolidation phase may be necessary before a sustained move higher. Today, it is advisable to focus on range-bound trading within a box, managing risks carefully with sell strategies at higher levels.
OIL
Crude oil closed higher as it absorbed inventory data and the pipeline shutdown news. On the daily chart, it found support at the 5-day moving average and broke strongly above $78 (March futures), the upper boundary of the monthly chart. However, the sharp upward move has created significant gaps between the moving averages, suggesting the potential for a corrective phase today.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has triggered a sharp rise, but the MACD has not yet surpassed its previous high. A failure to rally further could create bearish divergence. A significant correction and support at previous resistance levels, such as the $74–$75 range, could present a buying opportunity. Meanwhile, profit-taking may dominate as the market digests the recent rally. A box range approach with buy strategies on dips and sell strategies at higher levels is recommended.
GOLD
Gold closed higher after digesting the CPI data. On the daily chart, both the MACD and the signal line have moved above the zero line, signaling a confirmed buy trend. Further upside is expected, as it has also broken above the resistance line of a triangular consolidation pattern. A buy-focused strategy remains valid.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal preceded continued gains. Should the MACD and signal line diverge further, this would increase confidence in the uptrend. Even if gold consolidates instead of continuing to rally, the signal line above the zero line indicates a neutral-to-positive outlook. Considering that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is showing signs of peaking and pulling back, gold’s strong upward trend is worth monitoring closely. As numerous data releases are expected today, stay cautious and trade wisely.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21325 / 21270 / 21190 / 21140
-Sell: 21440 / 21500 / 21550 / 21590
Crude Oil - Bullish Market (March futures)
-Buy: 78.10 / 77.50 / 76.90 / 76.30
-Sell: 79.70 / 80.10 / 80.80 / 81.30
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2717 / 2709 / 2700 / 2696 / 2690
-Sell: 2726 / 2732 / 2738 / 2745 / 2754
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Change in market theme. Bullish Variables in Favor:
+2 rate cuts probabilities now above the 0 rate cuts. 3 rate cuts 100% increase. Reversal in trend from Jan 13
+TLT has breakout the downtrend coming from DEC, correlated too with the US10Y failing to break 2024 Highs.
+PPI lower than expected 0.2 vs 0.4 m/m
+CPI 2.9 as expected / Core lower 0.2 vs 0.3
+Risk On Assets Turning, Total2 ( Crypto marketcap excludingBTC) is up 15% from Jan 13
+Risky sectors outperfoming ARKK.
+Vix -30% from Jan 13
+DT possesion on Monday 20
Techinal variables:
+ Failed breakdonw in market indexes levels Cat 8-9
+ RSI at 30 in the 4h plus cross of the MA, positive.
+ Squeeze momentum to the downside over, near 0
+Reclaim above of the monthly vwap on QQQ-SPY
Still in look:
+Downtrendline coming from DEC ATH, Market testing now
+Retail sales tomorrow
In my case because I'm long from yesterday it will be easier to hold into tomorrow, but for a position opened today I'm less sure. Because of the retail sales and the trendline, can be normal to have a pullback, and pick momentum on friday into monday.
Nasdaq composite index projected to reach previous peak To put it simple:
1. Change of Administration together with future Economic Policy and Priorities
1. Monday the 20th D.Trump is going to be inaugurated at the President of the USA. What we have learned from his election is that he is Nationalist (for his country only) and he is very close with Elon Musk. Therefore we can assume he is obligated to act accordingly to benefit these Tech and Crypto elites.
Currently the state of California is burning. Company headquarters in the valley are burning and Trump is obligated to be the hero t save them a with quick and cheap bailout money thus inject money into the market.
2. Technical Analysis
Ever since Nasdaq reach its peak during election week it has since retraced its value back to the initial price breakout forming a descending triangle with a support around the 21 100 /21 200 denomination. Using the total length of the triangle we have calculated a 1600 point move (3/4%) to the upside.
Remember this is not advise rather an objective opinion
Trade responsibility
Thursday, thirsty for profit on Nasdaq, 25.01.16Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Key Levels and Monday’s Recap
Chart:
As mentioned in both Monday’s and Friday’s briefings, the importance of the 20207 level was highlighted. After breaking above this level, the NASDAQ rallied by approximately 245 points.
The breakout above this major zone was followed by a pullback, confirming its significance.
March Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
The March futures contract closed above the Ichimoku Cloud and formed a strong bullish candle. However, it finished near the 20 EMA, with the opening price currently sitting at the 20 EMA level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Maintaining support above the 20 EMA is crucial.
Resistance: The next critical level is 21455 (red horizontal line), which corresponds to the January 8, 2025, high following the long bearish candle on January 7.
Breakout Potential: If the 21455 resistance is broken, there’s potential for a strong rally, similar to the January 7 bearish candle's range.
Perpetual Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
For the perpetual futures contract, the 20 EMA is currently at 21355.
Support: If the price remains above 21355, the next target is 21455, as highlighted earlier.
Resistance: Breaking 21455 could lead to further upside momentum.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
Entry 1: Breakout above the blue box high at 21455.
Rationale: A major resistance breakout on the daily chart + breakout above the January 15, 2025, high.
Entry 2: Breakout above the blue resistance trendline within the orange box, approximately at 21588.
Rationale: This level represents the resistance zone following the long bearish candle, where dead-cat bounces previously faced resistance.
Sell Strategy:
Entry 1: Break below the blue ascending trendline.
Rationale: If the short-term support trendline from January 14–15 weakens and breaks, it indicates diminishing bullish momentum, making it a good short opportunity.
Entry 2: Break below the 21186 support zone.
Rationale: The 21123–20800 range is a strong support frame. If 21186 is broken, a test of the lower support near 21123 is highly likely.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, with key resistance and support levels coming into play:
For Buyers: Look for breakouts above 21455 and 21588 for opportunities to ride the bullish momentum.
For Sellers: Monitor breakdowns below the ascending trendline and 21186 for downside opportunities.
The market remains dynamic, so stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
US100 NASDAQ SHORTThe US dollar is broadly firmer, though the Japanese yen is proving a resilient ahead of the BOJ deputy governor's speech
Nasdaq slide as key tech stocks get hit
All three benchmarks are down for the last two weeks, with tech shares causing most of the damage
With the 10-year yield potentially getting to 5%, it’s going to be very hard for the equity market to really gain any meaningful traction here until there’s — at minimum — stability in interest rates
Interest rates rise? iN 2025 it will be possible:Inflation, signs of recession.
US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower after facing resistance at the 5-day moving average. As mentioned yesterday, selling at the 5-day moving average was an effective strategy, and since it touched the 5-day line during the pre-market, sell-side trades were easier throughout the day. The daily chart shows continued selling pressure with six consecutive bearish candles. As discussed, it's important to monitor the 120-day moving average support and keep an eye on a potential overshoot down to the 20,300 area.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the Signal line (golden cross), but selling pressure persisted. While a death cross has not yet formed, if it does, it could trigger a third wave of selling. Conversely, a failure to form a death cross could lead to a rebound, potentially forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Avoid chasing sell-offs and focus on range-bound trading strategies. Additionally, today’s CPI release could cause a lower wick and a bullish reversal candle, so caution is advised.
Oil
Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance near its recent high. The $79 level remains a strong resistance zone, and the significant divergence from the moving averages makes it difficult to break above easily. Some correction was expected in this area, and while the price has pulled back, it remains far from the 5-day moving average, suggesting the potential for further declines.
The daily chart indicates support in the $75–$76 range, and a drop to this area should not be ruled out. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal on the MACD has appeared, but there is still divergence from the zero line, making buying at major support levels a preferable strategy. Selling near $79 remains valid. Additionally, oil inventory data is scheduled for release today, which may influence the market.
Gold
Gold ended with a doji candle, forming a small range after digesting the PPI data. Today’s CPI release is expected to provide a clearer direction for the market. Recent declines in expectations for additional rate cuts have been supporting gold prices. As today’s inflation data impacts Treasury yields, gold’s direction will likely hinge on the bond market's response.
If gold forms a bullish candle today, both the MACD and Signal lines may rise above the zero line, continuing the bullish trend. Conversely, if gold closes with a bearish candle, it is likely to remain within the $2,625–$2,725 range for the time being. On the 240-minute chart, support around $2,680 is key, with the MACD potentially attempting to cross above the Signal line. Failure to form a golden cross could result in further declines. Focus on buying during dips before the CPI release, as this is the most favorable approach today.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bearish Market
-Buy Levels: 20,840 / 20,780 / 20,745 / 20,570
-Sell Levels: 21,015 / 21,070 / 21,120 / 21,190 / 21,320
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 77.50 / 76.90 / 76.50 / 75.70
-Sell Levels: 78.60 / 79.10 / 79.65 / 80.10
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,683 / 2,674 / 2,666 / 2,661 / 2,654
-Sell Levels: 2,704 / 2,712 / 2,717 / 2,723 / 2,729
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25 (BULLISH??)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25
📈 21320
📉 20765
1/2 way mark 📈 21185 & 📉 20900
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ: First 4H Death Cross since September is a Buy Signal!Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.062, MACD = -70.200, ADX = 29.762) as it is on a downtrend since December 16th, almost 1 month. Technically this downtrend is the bearish wave of the medium term Channel Up. Last Wednesday the index formed its first 4H Death Cross since September 10th 2024 and interestingly enough, instead of bullish, it was a buy signal then. As the current bearish wave is now almost at the bottom of the Channel Up, this is technically a HL, thus the most efficient buy entry on the short term. The September bullish wave peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension before a pullback under the 4H MA50 again, so we now turn bullish on Nasdaq, aiming again for the 1.236 Fib (TP = 22,500).
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BlackRock ($BLK): Eyeing $914–$874 for ReversalOnce again, our analysis has proven accurate. Following our initial call, NYSE:BLK rallied by 15%, only to retrace by 12%, erasing nearly all gains from the past three months. This serves as a valuable reminder that protecting capital often outweighs chasing setups with lower conviction.
Currently, NYSE:BLK is nearing the level we’ve been monitoring, with tomorrow’s earnings report adding some short-term uncertainty and excitement. Despite this, we believe the correction isn’t yet complete. It’s too early to place an order or even set a limit. We will wait for the earnings release and the subsequent market reaction to reassess the situation.
Our key focus remains on the $914–$874 zone, where we anticipate a potential reversal and the completion of wave (iv).
Once wave (iv) concludes, we expect NYSE:BLK to aim for the previously highlighted targets in our October analysis: $1,057–$1,342. Based on the anticipated completion of wave (iv), the next target for the larger wave ((iii)) aligns with the $1,100–$1,243 range.
BloomZ Inc. Breaks Key Resistance, Signals Bullish MomentumThe share price of BloomZ Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMZ) surged by 7% in pre-market trading, signalling a potential breakout moment for the stock. This sharp move has propelled the price above the critical resistance level of $0.580, which had previously acted as a barrier to upward momentum.
Technical Indicators Favour Bullish Continuation
This breakout is accompanied by a move back above key moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day MAs, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. These moving averages now serve as dynamic support levels, which can sustain further upward momentum.
The price action is also supported by positive market sentiment and a recent re-rating of BLMZ’s valuation.
Market participants are optimistic about the company’s prospects, contributing to increased trading volume and renewed investor interest. Broader market strength today has further amplified the stock's performance, creating an ideal backdrop for continued gains.
Next Levels to Watch
With the resistance at $0.580 decisively breached, traders are now eyeing the next significant levels around $0.620 and $0.650. Sustained trading above $0.580 could establish a strong base for further bullish activity, while a pullback to retest this level would provide an opportunity to confirm it as new support.
DJI Short Trade Nets $2100 Dip: A 4.7% Market Move!Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): $2100 Drop Captured
On December 11, 2024, the Risological Options Trading Indicator provided a clear signal to initiate a short trade on the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). This trade capitalized on a significant bearish move, capturing an impressive $2100 dip, equating to a massive 4.7% decline from the entry point.
The trade was identified using the Risological Options Trading Indicator, which accurately captured the strong bearish momentum. The red overlay in the histogram confirms increasing selling pressure, coinciding with the downward trajectory.
This setup highlights how the Risological Options Trading Indicator leverages market structure to pinpoint high-probability trades. The captured $2100 move reinforces its precision in navigating even the most volatile markets.
All the best!
Namaste.
Weekly Leading Indicators are all GO BearPretty much enough said.
Warning given weeks ago.
Now it is turning.
ALL the leads are bearish, red flags ON
Just waiting for the playbook to pan out with a hard pull back. Last week we already saw the equity markets do a trend reversal pattern of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
Time to deliver the main Bearish course...
Stay safe!
SG10Y - a peek into the next few weeks.As pointed previously for the last few years... the SG10Y Singapore Govt 10 year Bond Yields chart have an uncanny correlation to give us a heads up on when the US Equity markets like the S&P500 SPY SPX are going to keel over and drop.
On such instance is here and now.
A higher high and a clear breakout after a Fibonacci retracement, within a bigger retracement. This is a clear and present indication that (US) equity markets are going to keel over and drop.
Bears are just around the corner.
Pain till Mid-Feb
Heads up.
Nasdaq Analysis for Tuesday 25.01.14Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday’s Results
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
No buy entry signals were triggered.
Sell Perspective:
While there was a mention of the possibility of a breakdown below the lows, no clear sell entry signals were given.
After the breakdown, the NASDAQ dropped by approximately 180 points but eventually rebounded sharply toward the end of the session.
This suggests that observing for a day to allow for the formation of a supply zone would have been a prudent approach.
Key Points to Note
Chart:
March Futures Contract:
The price initially broke below the Ichimoku Cloud on Monday but re-entered the cloud due to Tuesday’s gap-up opening.
Key Levels:
Cloud bottom: 20980. A failure to hold this support level could have a long-term bearish impact.
Cloud top: 21216, marking an important resistance level.
Perpetual Contract Analysis
Chart:
The perpetual contract shows the price re-entered the Ichimoku Cloud after briefly touching the cloud's bottom.
A bullish candle has formed above the cloud, signaling support.
Key Levels:
Cloud entry: 21005.
Resistance at the 60 EMA: 21085.
Current Market Frame
Chart:
The NASDAQ appears to have entered either the red box or the orange box frame:
Red Box Range: 20788–19818.
Orange Box Range: 20382–21081.
Key Resistance Levels:
The 21081–21085 range represents a critical resistance zone.
A breakout above this level could signal the potential for further rebound.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
1. Breakout Above 21088.5 (Morning High):
Rationale: This represents a breakout above both the resistance trendline starting from January 7, 2025, and the morning high.
Risk: The price could face immediate resistance at 21123, potentially reversing quickly.
2. Breakout Above 21207:
Rationale: This level marks the top of a previous supply zone following a sharp decline, making it a more conservative entry point.
Sell Strategy:
While the framing structure is complete, the market appears to be stabilizing at the bottom. For now, observing the market and avoiding sell entries is recommended.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ remains in a critical consolidation phase, with the potential for both rebounds and further declines.
For buyers, focus on breakouts above 21088.5 and 21207 for potential upside.
For sellers, it’s advisable to observe the market for clearer signals, as the recent bottoming behavior suggests limited downside in the short term.
Patience and careful observation are key in today’s session. Let’s stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower with a lower wick, as anticipated, with a downward move at the start of the week. As mentioned, the area below 20,700 was a potential support zone for a rebound, and the market successfully bounced back. On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines have both dropped below the zero line, marking the first time the MACD has fallen below zero since September last year.
Yesterday’s analysis focused on trading around the 3-day moving average; today, trading at the 5-day moving average is expected. A range-bound movement between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages is likely, and if the pre-market touches the 5-day moving average first, it will provide a favorable opportunity for sell-side strategies. While it is uncertain whether the 120-day moving average will be tested for support on the downside, the MACD's dip below zero suggests the potential for accelerated selling. If an overshooting move occurs on the downside, be prepared for a possible drop to the 20,300 area.
The market may consolidate at support levels to form a base before reversing its trend. Monitoring the alignment of short-term moving averages on lower timeframes can help identify the reversal point. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues, and the MACD has yet to cross the Signal line in a golden cross. A strong golden cross could trigger a sharp rebound, but if the MACD turns downward again, further declines are possible. Be prepared for both scenarios and adjust accordingly.
Oil
Crude oil closed higher, supported by potential U.S. sanctions on Russian oil exports. The price has risen to the $79 previous high level, and with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, corrections could occur at any time. On the monthly chart, oil has reached the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that managing risk with sell-side strategies at the highs may be more effective than chasing prices upward.
On the 240-minute chart, the RSI remains in overbought territory, suggesting that the current trend may continue. However, short sell strategies should be approached cautiously and with short timeframes. The MACD and Signal lines show significant divergence and steep angles, indicating the potential for step-like upward movements even during corrections. Focus on buying at major support levels during pullbacks, but remain cautious as sharp declines could occur unexpectedly. A conservative perspective is advised.
Gold
Gold closed lower, facing resistance from selling pressure driven by rising Treasury yields. On the weekly chart, the MACD has turned downward, signaling stronger selling pressure. The daily chart shows the MACD above the zero line, but the Signal line has yet to cross above zero, suggesting a consolidation phase as the MACD moves closer to the Signal line. This places gold in a broad range-bound scenario.
Ahead of today’s PPI and tomorrow’s CPI releases, gold is expected to trade sideways. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared, but with the MACD and Signal lines above zero and diverging, sharp declines are less likely. Instead, support and consolidation around the 2,680 level are more probable. Focus on range-trading strategies, and exercise caution around the PPI release.
Market Conditions
The market is currently unsettled due to corrections in big tech stocks, Trump’s inauguration, and declines in quantum computing-related stocks. The VIX index is also showing a sharp upward trend, indicating heightened volatility. Be mindful of risk management under these conditions, and have a successful trading day!
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bearish Market
-Buy Levels: 20,990 / 20,890 / 20,840 / 20,740
-Sell Levels: 21,160 / 21,200 / 21,300 / 21,350
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 77.70 / 76.60 / 75.70 / 74.50
-Sell Levels: 79.45 / 79.90
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,677 / 2,672 / 2,666 / 2,661 / 2,654
-Sell Levels: 2,692 / 2,705 / 2,712 / 2,717
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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