Nasdaq
NASDAQ: Forming the new Low of the Channel UpNasdaq is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.183, MACD = 55.990, ADX = 31.366) as the price is trading sideways on an upward slope at the bottom of the 1 month Channel Up. This is technically the new HL formation process and it is taking place under the 4H MA200 this time. The formation however of a 4H MACD Bullish Cross under 0.000 has been the most reliable buy indicator in the last two months, so it is a good enough reason to buy for us, since the risk factor at the bottom of the Channel Up is so low. The HH that followed the last HL was pcied on the 1.236 Fibonacci level and since the symmetry inside this pattern is high so far (Bearish waves indentical), our target is under the 1.236 Fib extension (TP = 20,750).
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NASDAQ100 Plummets! Short Trade Nears Final Target!NASDAQ100 (NDX) Analysis:
NASDAQ100 (NDX) has seen a strong downward trend on the 15-minute chart, with the trade setup delivering impressive results. Targets 1 through 3 have been hit, and the price is closing in on the final TP4 level, making this an ideal short trade for traders leveraging the momentum.
Trade Summary:
Entry Level: 20429.42
Target Levels:
TP1: 20323.94 ✅
TP2: 20153.26 ✅
TP3: 19982.58 ✅
TP4: 19877.10 (nearly hit)
Stop Loss: 20514.76
The Risological Dotted Trendline guided traders perfectly through this short trade, marking a strong resistance level as the index continued its descent.
Technical Review - Agape ATP Corporation (ATPC) Agape ATP Corporation (ATPC) is showing promising signs of a potential upward breakout as it consolidates within a steady range, with strong support observed at $1.50. This level has consistently attracted buyers, reinforcing confidence and creating a solid foundation for a bullish move. Should the price continue to hold above this point, it indicates healthy accumulation, positioning ATPC for potential growth.
On the upside, $2.00 has emerged as the primary resistance level, but recent price action suggests a brewing momentum to break through this barrier. A successful move beyond $2.00, especially if accompanied by an increase in trading volume, would signal a breakout, opening up a pathway to $2.50. This resistance level serves as the next target, where a surge could propel the stock into a new trading range, attracting more bullish interest.
Supporting this outlook, the technical indicators add strength to the bullish case. While the MACD reflects a steady buying interest, the MCDX Plus shows signs of accumulation with increasing momentum in the green zone. This suggests that buyers are building up positions, indicating underlying strength that could fuel a significant rally once the $2.00 level is breached.
In summary, ATPC is primed for a bullish breakout, with a solid support base at $1.50 and clear resistance at $2.00. Investors should keep an eye on the volume and momentum indicators, as a sustained move above $2.00 could lead to further gains towards $2.50 and beyond.
Market Leading Indicators - suggests DOWNThis is my most summarized panel of leading indicators which I use to assist in the determination of market projections, over and above technical indicators.
The SG10Y is about to break out
The JNK bonds are breaking down
Both TIPS and TLT have already broken down the uptrend support (bearish trend now)
The SOXL (semicon ETF) and the combined US Equities are just about to keel over.
Leads have turned down or are at the turning point.
Heads up!
USNAS100 / Bearish Pressure with Potential Retest OpportunitiesTechnically:
The price has dropped precisely as anticipated. It is now expected to reach 20008, with a stabilization below the 20008 level likely extending the decline toward 19740.
Bearish Scenario: While trading below 20130, the price may attempt to reach 20008 and 19860. A break below 19740 would pave the way for further declines toward 19520.
Bullish Scenario: Stabilization above 20130 would open the path to 20240. Further strength above this level could create a bullish zone targeting 20420.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20130
Resistance Levels: 20240, 20330, 20420
Support Levels: 19990, 19860, 19740
Trend outlook:
- Bullish above 20130
- Bearish below 20020
previous idea:
XAU/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected last night, gold showed an upward movement with the market opening. After maintaining its position above the noted support level, it reached the targets of $2739 and $2744. Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and we’ll need to watch over the next two hours to see if it can stabilize above this level.
The key demand zones are $2738.6-$2739.7 and $2727-$2733, while the important supply zones are $2747, $2752, and $2757.
NASDAQ - Nasdaq will lose the 20,000?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the range of 20,000 is broken, we can witness the continuation of the decline
If the index rises towards the two specified supply zones, you can look for Nasdaq sell positions up to the bottom of the ascending channel
The U.S. jobs report for October indicated that only 12,000 new jobs were added to the labor market, significantly below expectations. This drop was primarily due to strikes, particularly at Boeing, and the impacts of recent storms. In October 2024, 512,000 workers were unable to work due to hurricanes Helen and Milton, much higher than the historical average of 47,000. These conditions led to a slowdown in job growth for October. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, but revised data from previous months show a decline in job growth.
Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the U.S. stock market will grow by the end of the year, driven by various factors. The end of October marks reduced sales by investment and pension funds, which could support stock price growth. This outlook contrasts with the consensus on Wall Street, which expects stock prices to decline after the presidential election. However, Goldman Sachs believes that stock market growth will continue under current conditions.
A survey by the Conference Board shows that 51.4% of American consumers expect stock prices to rise over the next 12 months. This represents the highest optimism level recorded since the survey began in 1987, although experts remain skeptical.
Warren Buffett continued selling a significant portion of his Apple shares in the third quarter of 2024, selling nearly a quarter of his holdings. This move reduced Berkshire Hathaway’s stake in Apple to 300 million shares, representing a 67.2% decrease from the end of the third quarter last year. Despite these sales, Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves have reached $325.2 billion. Buffett indicated that some sales might be due to tax reasons, but the volume of sales suggests other factors may also be at play. Interestingly, Berkshire did not purchase any stocks during this period.
Next week’s U.S. election will be in the spotlight, with market participants in a state of uncertainty as it is unclear whether conclusive results will be announced immediately after polls close on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, central banks will also be in focus; the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its monetary policy on Tuesday, followed by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on Thursday.
Additionally, markets await the release of the U.S. ISM Services PMI on Tuesday, weekly jobless claims data on Thursday, and the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index on Friday. These data points could significantly influence market direction during this crucial week.
Nick Timiraos, an economic analyst from The Wall Street Journal, believes the U.S. jobs report will not significantly alter expectations for a 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
JPMorgan analysts suggest that if Trump wins the election, more expansionary fiscal policies will be implemented, which could increase the budget deficit and inflation. As a result, the Fed may pause rate cuts. Conversely, if Kamala Harris wins, the economy is expected to continue its slow and steady path, and the Fed would likely proceed with a rate cut in November; however, with a Trump victory, this cut may be halted in December.
Analysis: Key Levels to Watch for Short and Long OpportunitiesI'm watching the Nasdaq closely as it approaches a critical decision point. In this analysis, I’ll outline two potential scenarios, including both short and long trade ideas based on the confluence of key technical levels.
Current Setup and Key Level: 20,320
Right now, the 20,320 level is my primary focus. This level aligns with:
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent downtrend, suggesting potential resistance.
The VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price), which is acting as a dynamic resistance level.
This confluence makes 20,320 a critical resistance zone, where the market might either reverse or push through, setting the tone for the next significant move.
Scenario 1: Short Opportunity at 20,320 Resistance
If the price approaches 20,320 and shows signs of rejection (like a bearish candle pattern), I’m looking to take a short position at this level. Here’s why:
Fibonacci & VWAP Confluence: The alignment of the 38.2% Fib level with the VWAP reinforces this level as a strong potential resistance.
Risk Management: I would place a stop-loss above the 50% Fib level (around 20,400) to manage risk if the price breaks higher.
Targets: My initial target would be around the 20,000 level. If this breaks, I anticipate a stronger move downward due to potential stop-losses being triggered below 20,000 (more on that below).
Note on Stop-Loss Clusters: I believe many traders might have their stops placed just below the 20,000 mark. If the price breaks below this level, we could see a quick, momentum-driven move lower as these stops are triggered, potentially driving price toward deeper levels.
Scenario 2: Bullish Break Above 20,320
If the price breaks above 20,320 and holds above both the VWAP and the 38.2% Fib level, it could signal a bullish shift. Here’s what I’m looking for in this scenario:
Confirmation Above VWAP and Fib Level: A strong break and close above these levels would indicate that bulls are taking control and might push for higher retracement levels.
Potential Targets: In this scenario, I’d look for the price to move towards the 50% Fibonacci level (around 20,400) as the next resistance, followed by the 61.8% level near 20,500 if momentum holds.
Invalidation for Shorts: A decisive break and hold above 20,320 would invalidate the short setup. If this happens, I’ll look for potential long entries on a pullback to the VWAP or 38.2% Fib as support, with stops below these levels to manage risk.
Conclusion
The 20,320 area is the key level to watch here, with potential for both short and long setups:
Short Scenario: Look for rejection at 20,320 to target a move down to 20,000, with a possible extension lower if the 20,000 support breaks.
Long Scenario: A break above 20,320 could open the door for further upside, with potential targets around 20,400 and 20,500.
This setup combines technical indicators with price psychology, as stops clustered around the 20,000 level may drive significant moves if that support level is breached. I'll be monitoring how the price reacts to 20,320 closely for confirmation of either setup.
Let me know if you see anything differently or if you have any questions. Happy trading!
Coinbase (COIN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN is one of the largest and most recognized cryptocurrency exchanges globally, offering a wide range of services, from retail trading to institutional crypto solutions. The company has focused on strengthening its position in the crypto ecosystem by targeting both retail and institutional investors.
Key Developments:
Institutional Adoption & BlackRock Partnership: Coinbase’s strategic partnership with BlackRock allows Aladdin clients to access cryptocurrency trading and custody services via Coinbase Prime, which caters to institutional investors. This partnership has the potential to drive significant institutional capital into the platform, thereby increasing transaction volumes and boosting revenue.
Diversification Efforts: Coinbase has successfully reduced its dependence on trading fees by growing its subscription and services revenue, which saw a 34% year-over-year increase in Q2 2023. This revenue diversification helps mitigate the impact of the volatile trading environment often seen in the cryptocurrency space.
Regulatory Compliance: With regulatory scrutiny tightening across the crypto industry, Coinbase’s strong focus on compliance gives it a competitive advantage. As regulatory hurdles increase, the company is likely to capture market share from less compliant competitors, positioning itself as a trusted platform in an evolving regulatory landscape.
Product Innovation: Coinbase continues to innovate with new offerings like the Ethereum layer-2 network and enhanced staking services. These product launches not only enhance Coinbase’s competitive edge but also position the company well for future growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) and staking markets.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on COIN above the $180.00-$185.00 range, driven by institutional adoption, diversification of revenue streams, and strong regulatory positioning. Upside Potential: Our price target for Coinbase is set at $370.00-$375.00, reflecting its potential to capture more institutional market share and sustain growth through innovative product offerings.
🚀 COIN—Leading the Way in Institutional Crypto Adoption! #CryptoInnovation #InstitutionalAdoption #CryptoCompliance
NASDAQ_1Dhello
Analysis of the Nasdaq index in the medium and long term The index is in a channel and an upward trend, the important number is 20,000, and by maintaining the high price of this number, the upward trend continues towards the target number of 23,700 and 25,500. The percentage of growth in this wave is 25%. We are an index buyer and we will benefit from this growth.
NASDAQ /Key Levels: Bullish Above 20,330, Bearish Below 20,125Price at Crossroads: Bullish Break Above 20,330 or Bearish Drop Below 20,125?
Technically analyze:
The price has dropped precisely as anticipated. It is now expected to reach 20,125, with a break below this level likely extending the decline toward 19,990.
Bearish Scenario: While trading below 20,240, the price may attempt to reach 20,125. A break below 20,125 would pave the way for further declines toward 19,990 and 19,870.
Bullish Scenario: Stabilization above 20,330 would open the path to 20,420. Further strength above this level could create a bullish zone targeting 20,550 and 20,700.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20240
Resistance Levels: 20330, 20420, 20550
Support Levels: 20125, 19990, 19860
Trend:
- Bullish above 20330
- Bearish below 20240
Election Volatility Shakes Up US MarketsS&P 500
● The index retreated from its all-time high of 5,880, initiating a downward trend.
● A breakdown below the Rising Wedge pattern has been confirmed.
● Key support levels to watch:
➖ Immediate support: 5,670
➖ Strong support: 5,400
Nasdaq Composite
● The index has hit an all-time high near the 18,750 level before beginning to retreat.
● After breaking through the trendline support, the index is currently hovering slightly above the next immediate support level.
● If it dips below this support, we could see a significant drop, potentially driving the index down to the 16,670 level.
**This market volatility is consistent with historical trends during US presidential election years. The 2024 election is particularly unpredictable due to conflicting economic indicators and potential delays in results.