BTCUSD | Trade ideaBTCUSD is trading weak ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, having hit a low of $55,282 and currently hovering around $55,958.
The number of large investors holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC has reached a one-month high of 16,120, indicating that whales are buying BTC at lower levels.
BTC ETFs have experienced an outflow of $211 million, marking the seventh consecutive day of withdrawals.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has dropped to 57% from 70% a week ago.
US Markets:
NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC): Bearish but neutral for BTC, trading weak ahead of the NFP data. A close above 20,000 could push the index to 20,500.
Technical Analysis:
BTCUSD is trading below the short-term 34-EMA and 55-EMA, as well as the long-term 200-EMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating weakness.
On the daily chart, BTC remains below both short- and long-term moving averages, confirming minor weakness.
Support Levels:
Minor support at $54,000. A break below could push BTC to $53,000/$50,000/$46,000.
Bullish Scenario:
Primary supply zone: $57,000. A break above this level could confirm intraday bullish momentum with potential targets of $60,000/$61,800/$63,000/$65,000/$67,000/$70,000.
Secondary barrier: $70,000. A close above could target $75,000/$80,000.
Nasdaq
Market Watch Can the NASDAQ Overcome Resistance or Will It Fall?The NASDAQ has been struggling to break above the $20,059.24 resistance level, facing multiple rejections in recent sessions. This repeated failure to push higher suggests a potential shift to bearish momentum, especially with broader market weakness observed this week. If the NASDAQ fails to clear this resistance, we could see it break down from its current channel, which has been intact since September 6, 2024.
If the price moves lower, the next key support levels are at $18,669.99 and $17,975.67. A breakdown below these levels could trigger further declines, and the market might follow suit with a broader selloff. These support levels are critical for any potential reversal. Keep a close eye on the resistance and support levels, as the direction here could influence the broader market sentiment in the coming weeks.
PLUG Powering Up For A Breakout?!Here I have NASDAQ:PLUG on the Daily Chart!
We can see that Monday, November 4th gave us a Very Bullish break to the Falling Resistance Price has been contained by forming the Wedge Pattern and with the Bullish Volume following the Break, gives this pattern a Bullish Bias after the strong decline since Jan. 2021.
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Currently Price is at $2.52, struggling with a Local Resistance Level after Price reached a new 4-Year Low @ $1.60, close to All Time Low @ .1155 visited in Jan. 2013. With the tight consolidation underneath the Falling Resistance followed with a Break candle and Close candle Above of the Falling Resistance, Confirms a Valid Break of said Falling Resistance and indicates Bullish Sentiment entering the market.
-Now, we must wait to see if Price decides to retest the Break of Falling Resistance around ( $2.25 - $2.20 ) and if Supported successfully, would generate a great Buying Opportunity!
-If Price does found Support here, I suspect Price we will run into Resistance @ ( $3.55 - $ 3.22 ) then will aim for the Fair Value Gap formed @ ( $5.58 - $5.14 )
Indicators:
- RSI Crossing 50
- Large Bullish Volume
GBPUSD CORRECTIONWe mis thought this one, it slipped to the lower KL but still going up ;
it might take a little longer, we can expect the objective by Monday and not tomorrow ;
be careful if it breaks this Lower KL, it s over and going down, there's no going back.
Sorry for this little error, we'll try to avoid it next time.
CHFJPY ON THE MOVECHF/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by a breakout above a key resistance level, with robust bullish candles and minimal upper wicks indicating sustained buying pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a prior low triggered sell stops, followed by a swift recovery that suggests accumulation by buyers. The pair is trading above a rising intraday trendline, confirming it as dynamic support, and above the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook. Bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD highlight strengthening momentum, while increasing volume on upward moves compared to lighter pullbacks signals strong buyer dominance and the potential for further gains.
+ testing all KL, be advised
USDCHF BULLISHUSD/CHF is showing bearish momentum, driven by a rejection at a key resistance level, with strong bearish candles and extended wicks signaling dominant selling pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity grab above a prior high triggered buy stops, but the subsequent sharp reversal suggests sellers are taking control. The pair has broken below an intraday ascending trendline, confirming it as resistance upon retest, while bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD indicate weakening bullish momentum. Trading below the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a death cross forming, reinforces the bearish bias. Additionally, increased volume on downward moves compared to lighter retracements highlights strong selling interest, supporting the potential for continued downside movement.
+ testing all KL, be careful
GBPJPY BEARISHGBP/JPY is displaying bullish momentum, driven by a breakout above a key resistance level, with strong bullish candles and minimal wicks signaling sustained buying pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a prior low triggered sell stops, followed by a sharp rebound that indicates buyer accumulation. The pair is respecting an ascending trendline, confirming it as dynamic support, and trading above both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a golden cross further reinforcing the uptrend. Bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD highlight recovering momentum, while increasing volume during upward moves compared to lighter pullbacks suggests strong buyer dominance and the potential for further gains.
+ this can go two ways : reaching the first KL or the second one just under, globally the movement will be the same
USDJPY BREAKING KEY LEVELS TOMORROWUSD/JPY is exhibiting bearish momentum after a rejection at a key resistance level, with multiple upper wicks indicating strong selling pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity grab above a prior high triggered buy stops, but the sharp reversal suggests sellers used this opportunity to enter short positions. The pair has broken below an intraday trendline, confirming it as new resistance upon retest, while bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD signal weakening bullish momentum. Additionally, the price is trading below both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a death cross reinforcing the bearish trend. Increasing volume on downward moves compared to lighter retracements further supports the likelihood of continued downside pressure.
+ if not today, Monday is the day the lower KL breaks
GBPUSD GOING TO THE SKYGBP/USD is showing bullish momentum, supported by a decisive breakout above a key resistance level, accompanied by strong bullish candles and increased volume, signaling robust buying interest. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a major support level likely triggered sell stops, followed by a sharp reversal, indicating accumulation by smart money. The pair has also respected a rising intraday trendline, bouncing off it and reinforcing the upward trajectory. Technical indicators, such as bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD, further confirm weakening bearish momentum and potential for continuation higher. Additionally, the 50- and 200-period moving averages on lower timeframes are sloping upward, with a golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook. This setup, combined with low-volume pullbacks, suggests a strong environment for further intraday gains.
+ was going down in response to the previous liquidity levels, is now answering this by reaching the higher K levels
EURUSD GOING DOWNEUR/USD appears poised for a bearish move, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has rejected a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong selling pressure and the inability of buyers to hold higher levels. A confluence of resistance from a descending trendline and the 50-day EMA strengthens the bearish outlook.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key high has been followed by a sharp rejection, indicating trapped buyers and the potential for further downside. A break below the recent market structure low could trigger stop orders, accelerating the move toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing momentum and volume as confirmation of this potential bearish shift.
+ responding to the liquidity rectangle, pushing down
AUDJPY BULLISHAUD/JPY appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, indicating strong buyer interest and the absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further reinforces the bullish setup.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, signaling that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, driving momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Increasing volume and momentum will be key to confirming this potential upward move.
+ testing inferior KL, aiming for higher ones
GOLD BULLISHGold appears poised for a bullish breakout, supported by key technical indicators and chart structures. Price action has reclaimed a significant liquidity zone, suggesting strong buyer interest and absorption of supply. A confluence of dynamic support from an ascending trendline and the 50-day EMA further strengthens the bullish case.
On higher timeframes, a recent liquidity sweep at a key low has been followed by a strong rebound, indicating that sellers may be trapped and the market could pivot higher. A break above the recent market structure high could trigger stop orders, fueling momentum toward the next major liquidity cluster. Watch for increasing volume and momentum as confirmation of this potential upward move.
+ precisely the contrary of NASDAQ with a little more zigzag liquidity
NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached.
+ big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
US30 - Once A Castle, Always A Castle!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈US30 has been bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue.
After rejecting the $45,000, has been in a correction phase and approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the zone marked in green is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the structure and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #US30 approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich