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2025-02-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: CPI was the gift to the bears and what was the perfect setup for continuous selling to the lows of this bigger trading range, became the ultimate bear trap. Bears now have only 2 daily bear bars during the past 8 trading days and today printed a really nasty reversal bar. We are still making lower highs but if bears can’t stay below 21900 tomorrow, I think we could see a bullish breakout above for a retest of the ath. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21500 - 22000 bull case: Bulls probably burned enough bears today that many will give up until we see bigger selling pressure instead of single sell spikes. That opens the possibility for the bulls to print higher highs above 21900 and test the previous monthly high at 21967. If bulls are strong enough tomorrow, it could setup the next impulse higher to retest 22450. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Likely that bears are done with these reversals and they could give up tomorrow because market clearly rejects lower prices. Bears now had 5 big spikes down in the past 8 trading days and all were rejected hard. Above 21967 I highly doubt bears will fight this if we get above 21967. What would the bears need to keep this another lower high and go down? Yeah right. Neither trade war stuff nor the hot cpi print could bring this down. If somehow bears manage to get strongly below 21750 tomorrow, there is a small chance of more downside to 21670 but at this point it’s very low probability. Invalidation is above 21970. short term: Can’t be bear after such a trap today. Bulls need something above 21967 and if they get it, it’s a clear buy signal and we likely melt higher. Bears having more arguments if they strongly go below 21760 again but it would likely turn the market neutral at best. Middle of this range is still 21700. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again. trade of the day: I am always flat into bigger news releases, so shorting into cpi was out of the question. Could you buy the big cpi print near 21500? Well, I would not and I did not. Why? Of course bulls reversed most this week but the spike was so huge, it could have easily become a risk-off event. Biggest question today was, when should you have joined the bulls and when did it became clear that bears can not retest the lows again? Bar 19 had a huge tail below, bears tried to test down to 21500 but failed. Bulls then printed another very strong 5m bar and if you did not want to go long like me, it should have been at least the death for bearish price action for that moment since if bears would have been strong, those big bull bars would have never happened or would have at least been followed by a bear bar and bulls just printed consecutive bull bars.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
NASDAQ: Ready to break out of consolidation and aim for 24,600Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.119, MACD = 45.480, ADX = 25.617) as it is trading sideways for the last 2 months. The 2 year Channel Up is intact and such consolidation patterns have broken out aggressively in the past to the new HH. As long as the 1W MA50 is supporting, the long term bullish trend will stay intact and we can aim for a total of +43% price increase (TP = 24,600) from the last HL, a -4% drop rate from the last one. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
Nasdaq - Starting The Final Parabolic Year!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is perfectly following the breakout: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Back in 2020 we already witnessed the channel break and retest, which was followed by a parabolic rally of another +50%. And in mid 2024, the Nasdaq again broke the channel trendline towards the upside, preparing the repetition of the parabolic rally which we saw four years ago. Levels to watch: $30.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQLong
by basictradingtv
14
Prepere yourself for buying opportunities ... So there we are ... CPI little bit higher than exceptating , powel clearly talks about monetary policy and Trump goin wild with tarrifs ... what to except in this macro&political economic driven environment ? I don't think it will grow to extreme values ​​now. Rather, there will be some more carving and from a short-term perspective an opportunity to buy at a good price ... Well, it is very important, at least for me in this environment of a trade war combined with a period when historically the Fed has raised rates and not lowered them as many expect. It is important to take profits and hold losses short and uncompromisingly exit losing positions. The year 2025 will be full of opportunities, which goes hand in hand with pain. What is heaven for one guy is hell for another guy. I am a fan of everyone who tries to make money in this environment and I hope to rob you of your money. Because that is what the market is about. Good luck and enjoy your game
TVC:VIX
by STLMfx
1
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES 1/8 Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️ 2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64) • Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B) • Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭 3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS • $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth • Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting • New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐 4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS • Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report • CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky • Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔 5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT • Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused • SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x) • Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀 6/8 – RISKS • Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell) • Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes • Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️ 7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks 2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins 3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK • 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot • Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers • Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
1
USNAS100 Awaits CPI – Will 21,560 Hold or Break?📊 USNAS100 Technical Analysis The market is expected to be highly volatile today due to the CPI announcement. The expected CPI is 2.9%, the same as the previous reading, indicating no change in inflation. This is likely to have a negative impact on indices, as it suggests no shift in Federal Reserve policy. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If CPI remains at 2.9%, price is expected to drop to 21,560. A confirmed break below 21,560 will extend the bearish trend toward 21,390 and 21,215. The descending channel structure suggests continued selling pressure unless a reversal occurs. 🔹 Bullish Scenario (CPI Below 2.9%): If the price stabilizes above 21,560, it could attempt a recovery toward 21,807 and 21,900. A CPI release below 2.9% would likely trigger a bullish breakout, pushing price toward 22,100 and beyond. 🔑 Key Levels 📌 Pivot Point: 21690 📈 Resistance Levels: 21807, 21900, 22100 📉 Support Levels: 21560, 21390, 21215 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 21,560 Bullish breakout potential if CPI is lower than 2.9% 💬 Will USNAS100 break 21,560 or bounce toward 21,807? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇🔥
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Your Vote Counts - Help Build the Ultimate Index Watchlist!Hey, I need your help again - this will only take a minute! I’ve said it before, here and to my Substackers: I want to be your reminder to invest . Because let’s be honest, steadily growing your wealth might not be thrilling but it should be your goal! Yes, individual stocks have their place (and I’ll keep sharing ideas on those too), but indexes should be a key part of a solid portfolio. Today’s focus? Maximizing your index purchases. 📊 Proven strategy: A few weeks ago, I ran an experiment comparing QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF), SPY (S&P 500 ETF), and IWM (Russell 2000 ETF). Using technical analysis, I outperformed two of them. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. But here’s the point: this isn’t about blindly picking an index - it’s about timing, risk optimization, and smart diversification. 💡 Now, it’s YOUR turn! Drop two indexes in the comments that you want me to analyze every single month. You decide the final list (likely 4-5 indexes), and I’ll cover them consistently. Whether it’s S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, DAX, Euro Stoxx 50, Russell 2000, or others - you pick, I deliver. 📈 How this helps YOU? ✔️ No overthinking : "What should I buy this month?" - just wait for my post and see the TOP picks ✔️ Keeps you engaged and active in the market ✔️ Builds consistency in your investing ✔️ Ensures every allocation works harder for you ⬇️ Comment your picks below, and let’s make every move count! 🚀 Cheers, Vaido
SP:SPXLong
by VaidoVeek
17
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher despite Trump’s tariff announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD buy signal remains intact, and the index posted a strong bullish candlestick, confirming an upward bias. However, given the lack of volume behind the move, the market remains within a range-bound structure rather than signaling a clear breakout. For meaningful upside continuation, a decisive breakout above 22,000 is required. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a 21,000–22,000 range, as failure to break either side would prevent the MACD from creating a strong divergence from the signal line, leading to further sideways consolidation. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the price is struggling to hold its gains. If the MACD fails to cross above the signal line and instead turns lower, a failed breakout scenario could trigger a sharp decline. Given the low-volume rally from yesterday, chasing longs at current levels is not ideal. Instead, it is safer to maintain a range-trading strategy, with buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound. Additionally, if the index fails to break above the range high, a bearish MACD divergence could develop, increasing the risk of a downside move. Traders should avoid aggressive breakout buying and instead focus on disciplined range-bound positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, reaching the 10-day moving average, as MACD attempted to reconnect with the signal line. The $70–71 support zone remains a strong demand area, making dip-buying strategies favorable. As mentioned yesterday, the key question is whether oil will form a double bottom at $70–71 before breaking higher, or if it will continue rallying without a retest. Given the wide gap between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, a failure to complete a golden cross could lead to another pullback, making chasing longs above $74 risky. On the 240-minute chart, oil has confirmed a bullish divergence, triggering a strong upward move. For the first time in a while, strong buying pressure has returned, reinforcing the buy-on-dip strategy. However, traders should monitor price action carefully as resistance levels approach. Gold Gold closed at a new all-time high, rallying aggressively into overbought territory and even breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. Inflation concerns are intensifying globally, fueled by Trump’s escalating tariff rhetoric, which is driving a strong commodities rally in gold, copper, and other raw materials. Since gold has been in a continuous uptrend since confirming its buy signal on January 16, traders should be mindful that sharp pullbacks can occur at any time. Additionally, with key U.S. economic data releases this week—CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday—gold’s volatility is expected to remain elevated. Given the overbought conditions, the best strategy remains buying on dips, rather than chasing highs. On the daily chart, the MACD would need to form a bearish crossover for a more structured correction to take place. On the 240-minute chart, gold has been in a stair-step rally, with the 2940–2950 zone emerging as a key wave-based resistance level. However, overshooting this level is possible, making it critical to wait for confirmation before assuming a short position. For now, the buy signal remains intact on the 240-minute chart, reinforcing the buy-on-dip approach. However, given yesterday’s strong rally, some short-term consolidation or profit-taking is likely today. With Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release and Trump’s escalating tariff measures, global market volatility is increasing significantly. Risk management remains essential in this environment. Trade smart and stay disciplined! Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. For more detailed strategies, please contact us on Telegram. Thank you. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21770 / 21720 / 21670 / 21550 -Sell Levels: 21850 / 21905 / 21960 / 22020 / 22100 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.10 / 71.70 / 71.30 / 71.00 -Sell Levels: 72.95 / 73.35 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2934 / 2928 / 2922 / 2917 -Sell Levels: 2950 / 2955 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
2025-02-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: What did we learn today? Market is digesting any newsbombs quicker and quicker but we still have deep pull-backs. Today the volume was atrocious so I don’t think the bullish daily bar is all that important. If bulls get follow-through above 22000 tomorrow, I am clearly wrong and we test 22100 next and afterwards there is no more resistance until 22400. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21300 - 22000 bull case: Bulls only objective is to print higher highs above 21967. Until they achieve that, market is in a triangle and bulls are not favored when buying the highs. They have prevented another much deeper sell-off below 21400 but given the low volume today, I don’t think many will be thrilled to buy above 21800 tomorrow. Above 21967 we go for 22100 next and after that is no more resistance until 21400. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Bears were fine with the gap down and did not fight the buying today. I do think tomorrow will be very different. Every bear who sold above 21800 made money since end of December. The price action is not bullish enough to make more bears doubt that we will strongly break above this triangle. First target is today’s open, 21760. Then we have the midpoint of this triangle around 21700, followed by last weeks close 21588. Below that is Globex low 21453 and then 21200. Invalidation is above 21970. short term: Bearish. Stop for shorts is 22110. If I’m wrong here, so be it but structure is neutral and odds favor the bears to keep making lower highs now and we test back down to at least the midpoint of this triangle around 21500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the big Globex gap down and then market did not print one single bearish signal until bar 45 and that was the first, so you can not sell it.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
NASDAQ repeating the 2021 and 2019 rallies.Nasdaq (NDX) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern. The whole sequence since the August 22 2024 High appears to be very similar with the price action that preceded the 2021 and 2019 C&H patterns. As you can see, both of those pattern had an identical trend towards them and equally rally after them, which targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. If the current C&H is completed on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it is reasonable to expect to continue to repeat those past patterns. As long as the 20600 Low doesn't break, we expect a June rally to 24650 at least. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
3
NAS100 D1 | Potential bearish reversalNAS100 is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,759.06 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 22,000.00 which is a level that sits above the descending trendline and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 21,194.43 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
MicroStrategy (MSTR) AnalysisCompany Overview: MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR combines business intelligence solutions with a Bitcoin-focused investment strategy, holding 471,107 BTC (~$18B) as of now. The company has made significant strides in Bitcoin accumulation, positioning itself as a leveraged play on Bitcoin’s price appreciation. Key Catalysts: Aggressive Bitcoin Accumulation 📈 MicroStrategy continues to expand its Bitcoin holdings, raising $563M through an 8% Series A Preferred Stock offering to buy more BTC. The "21/21" Plan 💡 This plan aims to raise $42B over three years, positioning MSTR as a strategic Bitcoin growth bet. Indirect Bitcoin Exposure for Institutions 💰 With regulatory uncertainty around Bitcoin ETFs, MSTR offers a secure method for institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through equity. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on MSTR above $295.00-$300.00, reflecting its Bitcoin-centric strategy and institutional adoption. Upside Potential: Our price target is $600.00-$620.00, driven by continued Bitcoin accumulation and the growth of institutional interest in crypto exposure. 📢 MicroStrategy—The Bitcoin-Business Intelligence Hybrid. #Bitcoin #CryptoExposure #MSTR
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Richtv_official