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Appetite For Risk Through the Lens of Nasdaq and BitcoinBitcoin tends to track Wall Street sentiment well, particularly compared to the Nasdaq. Growing concerns that Trump's policies will tip the US (and therefore the global economy) into a recession, which currently has the Nasdaq on the ropes and bitcoin getting dragged along for the ride. And there could be further losses to follow, though a cheeky bounce at a minimum could be due first. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst and City Index and Forex.com
CME:BTC1!
by CityIndex
Nasdaq Enters Correction Territory Do we go Deeper Monthly analysis done on the NQ with the ambition to connect with current price activity and gauge a deeper technical understanding on if this is just the start of a bigger correction for the year ahead . Tools used in this video Standard Fib , TR Pocket , CVWAP/ PVWAP Incorporating PVWAP and CVWAP into trading strategies allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics used to assess trading performance and market trends. Date and price range and trend line . Some research below regarding the previous correction that I reference the technicals to in the video . In November 2021, the Nasdaq reached record highs However, concerns over rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and supply chain disruptions led to increased market volatility. These factors contributed to a correction in the Nasdaq, with the index experiencing notable declines as investors reassessed valuations, particularly in high-growth technology stocks. VS Today March 2025 Correction: As of March 2025, the Nasdaq Composite has faced another significant correction. On March 10, 2025, the index plummeted by 4%, shedding 728 points, marking its third-worst point loss ever, with only earlier losses during the COVID-19 pandemic surpassing this. This downturn has been attributed to several factors: Economic Policies: President Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China has unsettled markets, raising fears of a potential recession Inflation Concerns: Investors are closely monitoring upcoming consumer-price index (CPI) reports to gauge inflation trends, as higher-than-expected inflation could hinder the Federal Reserve's ability to lower interest rates, exacerbating stock market declines Sector-Specific Declines: Major technology companies, including Tesla, have experienced significant stock price declines, contributing to the overall downturn in the Nasdaq Comparison of the Two Corrections: Catalysts: The November 2021 correction was primarily driven by concerns over rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes. In contrast, the March 2025 correction has been influenced by geopolitical factors, including new tariff announcements, and ongoing inflation concerns. Magnitude: While both corrections were significant, the March 2025 correction has been more severe in terms of single-day point losses. The 4% drop on March 10, 2025, resulted in a loss of 728 points, marking it as one of the most substantial declines in the index's history. Investor Sentiment: Both periods saw increased market volatility and a shift towards risk aversion. However, the recent correction has been accompanied by heightened fears of a potential recession, partly due to inconsistent government messaging regarding economic prospects. In summary, while both corrections were driven by concerns over inflation and economic policies, the March 2025 correction has been more pronounced, with additional factors such as new tariffs and recession fears playing a significant role.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by SJTRADESFUTURES
2
NASDAQ: Oversold at the bottom of 8month Channel Up.Nasdaq is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 26.693, MACD = -501.840, ADX = 53.670), which is the most oversold 1D RSI reading since August 15th 2015. In the meantime, it touched the HL bottom of the 8month Channel Up, a bearish wave that looks much like July 2025. The bullish wave that followed topped on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. If candle closings are contained inside the Channel Up, we expect it to attract a lot of new buyers and initiate the new bullish wave to at least the same Fib. Long trade, TP = 23,400. A closing under the Channel Up, should test though the 1W MA100 (TP = 18,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all! I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history. From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength. For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind. Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover. From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"? So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008. - How long do corrections and recoveries last? - How often do they happen? - What should investors know? - Can this help you in any way? DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more. Retracement Stats: - Average drop: -15% - Median drop: -13% - Biggest drop: -37.72% - Smallest drop: -10% Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom? - Average: 60 days - Median: 35 days - Longest: 325 days - Shortest: 14 days Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs. - Average: 165 days (~5.5 months) - Median: 119 days (~4 months) - Longest: 752 days (over 2 years) - Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months) Correction Frequency If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average. Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets - Corrections lasted 1016 days - Recoveries lasted 2801 days - Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days - Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years) Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising! What Can Investors Learn from This? 1. Accept Volatility Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns. 2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem. 3. Make Better Decisions Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better. 4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy. "A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities. "The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm! So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀 Have great day, Vaido 💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by VaidoVeek
NAS 100 Overextended – Brace for a Pullback! The NAS 100 is looking highly overextended at the moment 📊. Market conditions are precarious, with many instruments trading into key support and resistance levels on both the daily and weekly timeframes ⏳. A sharp pullback 📉 could be on the horizon, potentially offering a counter-trend buying opportunity on the lower timeframes for the US 100 💰. If it pushes higher, it may set up a potential short trade 🎯. 🚨 Not financial advice – trade wisely and manage your risk! ⚖️
CAPITALCOM:US100
by fxtraderanthony
Tesla (TSLA) Weekly Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Market OutlookTesla (TSLA) Weekly Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Market Outlook 🚀 1️⃣ Overall Trend: ✅ Long-Term Uptrend (2019-2021): Tesla experienced a massive rally, reaching all-time highs. 🔻 Correction Phase (2022): A significant pullback led to a strong downtrend. 📈 Recovery Mode (2023-Present): The stock started forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure. 📉 Recent Pullback: The price is now retracing from recent highs, showing potential short-term downside momentum. 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels: 📌 Support Zones: $300: A critical level—if it breaks, Tesla could drop further. $260 - $280: The next demand zone if selling pressure continues. $240 - $250: Strong historical support, previous swing low. $180 - $200: A major long-term base where Tesla found strong demand before a rally. 📌 Resistance Zones: $380 - $400: A strong rejection zone—Tesla recently pulled back from here. Above $400: A breakout could send TSLA toward $500+ (previous cycle highs). 3️⃣ Candlestick & Price Action Observations: 📉 Bearish Momentum: The latest weekly candle is red, indicating strong selling pressure. If Tesla fails to hold $300, expect a move toward $260-$280. 📊 Potential Bounce Area: If buyers step in, Tesla might consolidate before another leg higher. 4️⃣ Market Context & Indicators: 🚗 EV Sector & Nasdaq Trends: Tesla follows macroeconomic conditions and overall tech sector movements. 📆 Earnings & News Catalysts: Watch for updates on deliveries, margins, and macro sentiment. 📊 Technical Indicators: ✅ Moving Averages: 50-Week MA: A close below this could signal weakening momentum. 200-Week MA: A crucial long-term dynamic support. ✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index): Not oversold yet—watch for levels near 30 for potential reversals. ✅ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Bearish crossover forming? A confirmation could indicate further downside momentum. ✅ Fibonacci Retracement: Retracement levels align with $260 - $280 as a possible bounce zone. 5️⃣ What’s Next? 📌 Bullish Scenario: If Tesla holds $300, expect a potential rebound toward $350-$380. 📌 Bearish Scenario: A break below $300 could lead to a test of $260-$280, with downside risk toward $240 - $250 in extreme cases. 🚀 Key Question: Will Tesla hold support and bounce back, or will sellers push it lower? 💬 Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📉📈
NASDAQ:TSLA
by monkreet
QQQ long term trend is down with short-term relief rallyI am guessing a bit more downside before we see a relief rally. The AI bubble is starting to unwind, and that falling knife is sharp. I am patiently waiting for some version of a short-term bottom. You can see in the chart that price is has several key support lines within near reach. I would expect testing and hopefully finding some support in the coming days. If it is like the COVID bubble unwind, then we could see a strong reverse rally out of this range. However, I think it is pretty clear QQQ is in correction with a convincing loss of the 200 day SMA.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Dr_Roboto
NASDAQ below its 1W MA50 after 2 years. Doom or recovery ahead??Nasdaq (NDX) broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 years (since week of March 13 2023). That is a strong long-term Support, in fact it is technically the first level to look for during cyclical bull trends. So how bad can a break and/or 1W candle closing below it? As you can see on this multi-year chart on the 1W time-frame, since the 2008 Housing Crisis, the index has had a number of breaks below its 1W MA50. With the exception of the 2022 Inflation Crisis, which was a cyclical Bear Market like 2008, all of those breaks were short-lived and rebounded on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) almost instantly. In fact, the current technical pull-back resembles the June - August 2011 correction, which after breaking below the 1W MA50, it found support and rebounded on the 1W MA100 in 2 weeks. The rebound that followed rose by +38% in 7 months. If a similar development is followed, which is what we expect, we are looking at a potential end-of-year rally to 24900. This also took place on the 2019 rally. What makes this 17-year recurring pattern even more interesting is that technical pull-backs such as the current, tend to take place when the 1W RSI Channel Down, a technical Bearish Divergence) hits 40.00 and makes a Lower Low (green circles). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDX
by TradingShot
3
NASDAQ – Will It Hold or Collapse Further?📉🔥 NASDAQ Approaching Max Pain – Will It Hold or Collapse Further? 🚀⚠️ The NASDAQ 100 is hanging by a thread, as price approaches the key 19,106 support level. A breakdown from here could accelerate losses toward the 18,283 zone, and if things get worse, the dreaded 16,732 "Max Pain" level may be tested. 📊 Key Technical Levels: 📌 19,106 – First major support (bounce or breakdown zone). 📌 18,283 – Next key level if sellers take control. 📌 16,732 – The "Max Pain" zone, where long-term buyers may step in. 📌 15,347 – Ultimate demand zone if things spiral out of control. 🚨 Why Is Nasdaq Falling? Tech stocks are getting destroyed, with Tesla leading the plunge. Market panic over higher interest rates & economic uncertainty. Bitcoin also struggling, highlighting broader risk-off sentiment. 💡 Will we see a relief rally from these levels, or is the bloodbath just getting started? Drop your thoughts below! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 #Nasdaq #StockMarketCrash #TechStocks #Trading #MarketAnalysis
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by FX_Professor
Nasdaq 100 Drops More Than 4.0% Amid Market UncertaintyThe Nasdaq 100 index has already accumulated a loss of over 4.0% during today’s session and has declined more than 12% since its peak on February 18. The strong bearish movement remains intact as the market anticipates that the new 25% tariffs imposed on countries like Mexico and Canada could begin affecting production costs for U.S. companies. In the long run, this may lead to a low-return environment that could be unfavorable for the index. Additionally, companies such as Amazon, Nvidia, and Microsoft have seen declines between 3% and 5% in recent sessions, reinforcing the bearish pressure on the Nasdaq due to their heavy weighting within the index. Momentum Accelerates With the strong downward bias currently present in the chart, selling pressure has been able to break through the support level at 19,700 points. However, the rapid price acceleration is beginning to have a significant impact, which could lead to short-term bullish corrections. Oversold Indicators Bollinger Bands: The bearish momentum has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, which could indicate a high acceleration in recent price movements. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI line continues to decline below the oversold level of 30, suggesting an imbalance between buying and selling forces. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram has dropped to levels not seen since July 2024, indicating a persistent downward acceleration without giving buyers an opportunity to regain control. The alignment of these indicators suggests a significant acceleration of the bearish trend, which may lead to a standardization of bullish corrections in the short term. Key Levels: 18,800 points – Near-Term Support: This level corresponds to lows not seen since September 2024. Persistent trading below this level could further accelerate the strong downward bias currently present in the chart. 19,700 points – New Resistance Zone: This level aligns with the lower Bollinger Band, which may serve as the area where potential bullish corrections could take place in the short term. 20,500 points – Distant Resistance: A neutral zone that has been tested by price movements in recent months. A sustained rally back to this level could challenge the current bearish sentiment prevailing in the market. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
1
NASDAQ Futures Fall Following S&P's Worst Week Since SeptemberUS stock futures fell solidly Monday as investors and traders took the weekend to process the February jobs report and prepared for a busy week of economic data, headlined by a report on inflation amid concerns over its resurgence under President Trump's unpredictable trade policy. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) fell 1%, while futures attached to the benchmark S&P 500 (ES=F) also dropped 1% after the index posted its worst week since September. Futures tied to the Nasdaq (NQ=F) also slipped around 1.79%. All three major indexes looked set to build on losses of more than 2% last week. For the Nasdaq Composite, the resistance point has been faded with selling pressure increasing, the 18,500 point could serve as support point for Nasdaq price index. However, should a trend reversal occur, the break above the resistant pivot may catalyse a bullish spree as industries, investors and traders are dissecting President Trump's trade policy.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by DEXWireNews
potential NASDAQ bearish reversal in the makingThe Nasdaq appears to be showing signs of a bearish reversal as technical and macroeconomic factors align against further upside. After a strong rally, the index is encountering key resistance, prompting concerns among traders about the sustainability of the recent gains. A pinbar candlestick pattern has emerged, signaling potential downside as buyers fail to sustain momentum. Historically, such formations indicate a rejection of higher prices, often leading to further declines. Additionally, selling pressure on rallies suggests that market participants are taking profits rather than betting on continued strength. From a momentum perspective, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is beginning to roll over, hinting at a potential shift in trend. If this bearish momentum continues, the Nasdaq could face increased selling pressure in the coming sessions. Beyond technicals, fundamental factors are adding to the uncertainty. The announcement of new tariffs under former President Donald Trump’s trade policies is weighing on market sentiment. Moreover, while Federal Reserve rate cuts are traditionally viewed as bullish, historical data suggests that in some cases, they coincide with economic slowdowns, leading to weaker market conditions. Looking at key downside levels, support can be found at 18,400, where buyers might attempt to stabilize the market. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 16,500, a critical zone where stronger buying interest may emerge. Traders should closely monitor price action and market reactions at these levels. Confirmation of bearish signals and continued weakness in bullish sentiment could pave the way for a more extended correction. Caution is advised, with risk management strategies essential for navigating the potential downturn.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by fwalbaum
1
Will the stock market turn positive again?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the resistance range and the channel ceiling will also cause the Nasdaq to continue its short-term upward trend. In February 2025, the U.S. labor market grew at a slower pace than anticipated. According to published data, non-farm employment increased by 151,000 jobs in January, while expectations were set at 160,000.This indicates that while job growth continues, its momentum has been weaker than projected. The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in February, slightly above the expected 4%. Meanwhile, labor force participation declined by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%. Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% during the month, aligning with forecasts. On an annual basis, wage growth reached 4%, slightly below the estimated 4.1%. Among various sectors, the highest job gains were recorded in healthcare (52,000 jobs), finance (21,000 jobs), and local government (20,000 jobs). Employment also rose in construction, transportation, social assistance, and manufacturing. Conversely, some industries experienced job losses. The hospitality sector shed 16,000 jobs, retail lost 6,000, and the federal government reduced employment by 10,000 positions. Additionally, temporary jobs declined by 12,000, signaling a potential slowdown in economic growth. Overall, the report suggests that while the U.S. labor market remains stable, certain indicators, such as rising unemployment and a decline in full-time jobs, may point to a deceleration in economic expansion. Following the report’s release, the U.S. dollar weakened slightly, but the market reaction was muted due to prior concerns over a more significant decline. Hassett, the White House economic advisor, stated that future reports are likely to show further reductions in government employment. He emphasized the administration’s plan to cut government jobs and spending while boosting employment in the manufacturing sector. He also confirmed that tariffs are inevitable, arguing that such measures will support the expected 3% to 4% economic growth. Hassett expressed doubt that President Trump would grant exemptions for steel tariffs. As investors try to adjust to Trump’s evolving trade policies, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February is set to be released on Wednesday. Given the recent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index data from January, it is possible that CPI could be entering a new downward trend. The Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation remains challenging, and the recent rise in price pressures has undoubtedly been frustrating for policymakers. However, signs indicate that U.S. inflation may be shifting course, with expectations of a decline in the coming months. One major uncertainty remains: tariffs. Trump’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and a 20% increase on Chinese goods, along with additional sector-specific and retaliatory tariffs still under discussion, could undermine the Fed’s efforts to bring inflation down to 2%. In January, the overall CPI climbed to 3%, marking its highest level since June 2024. Core inflation also reached 3.3%. However, February’s data is expected to ease months of concern about inflationary resurgence, with projections indicating a decline in overall CPI to 2.9% and core inflation to 3.1%. Monthly estimates for both indices stand at 0.3%. Later in the week, Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for February will provide further insights into inflationary pressures, while on Friday, investors will closely monitor the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey for March. Last month’s survey raised alarms, as consumer inflation expectations climbed to their highest level in 30 years.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND