Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as the market digested the Employment Trends Index (ETI) report. On the weekly chart, a sell signal is in play, yet the index remains within a range-bound structure. Until it reclaims the 5-week moving average, any upside move could still face rejection.
On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. A critical moment is approaching: will the index break below the 20-day and 60-day moving average golden cross, or will it regain bullish momentum? If a daily sell signal emerges, downside targets extend toward 20,940, where the Bollinger Band lower boundary and 120-day moving average converge.
Although a gap-down occurred today, as long as the daily buy signal holds, traders should approach this market with a range-bound mindset rather than assuming a strong breakdown.
On the 240-minute chart, the index encountered resistance at the upper range boundary. A bearish engulfing candle triggered a sell signal, but since both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, this still suggests a range-bound market. Buying dips and selling rallies remain the most effective strategy.
Market volatility is increasing following Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. Additionally, Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could be a major catalyst—keep it in mind when positioning.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off support on the daily chart. The weekly chart shows strong support at the 20-week moving average, making further downside moves challenging. The $70–71 zone remains an attractive buy area, and with the weekly buy signal still intact, traders should avoid aggressive short-selling.
On the daily chart, oil has yet to reclaim the 5-day moving average, and the MACD remains below the zero line, while the Signal line is still above it, indicating a mixed market structure. Given the potential for a bullish MACD crossover, long positions remain more favorable.
The ideal price action scenario would involve a push to the 10-day moving average, a pullback to retest the $70–71 range, and then a double-bottom formation, leading to a strong upside breakout.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has re-emerged, suggesting a short-term bottom formation. Additionally, MACD bullish divergence is forming, reinforcing the bullish case. Selling into weakness should be avoided, while buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
Gold
Gold closed higher but formed a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure at the highs. On the weekly chart, gold is trading above the Bollinger Band upper boundary, placing it in overbought territory.
At the start of the week, traders should avoid chasing highs and instead focus on buying pullbacks at key support levels. If gold continues to extend gains, shorting near the highs could be an option.
However, volatility is expected to increase due to key data releases:
Wednesday: U.S. CPI
Thursday: U.S. PPI
On the daily chart, the long wick suggests that gold may enter a consolidation phase around 2,900. If the 5-day moving average is lost, a 10-day moving average pullback could set up a range-bound structure. The MACD is in the process of narrowing toward the signal line, indicating that a corrective phase may occur this week. Buying pullbacks remains the preferred approach.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has broken above previous highs, but the MACD is declining, signaling bearish divergence. Now that a sell signal has emerged, the MACD is shifting lower. In the short term, selling rallies remains more favorable, while long positions should only be considered near strong demand zones.
Given the CPI release on Wednesday, gold may remain range-bound until then. Stay cautious, and trade within the range.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21550 / 21470 / 21420 / 21340 / 21220
-Sell Levels: 21680 / 21715 / 21800 / 21900
Crude Oil - Range-Bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.70 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.20
-Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.50
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2885 / 2878 / 2873 / 2862 / 2856
-Sell Levels: 2906 / 2917 / 2926
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Nasdaq
#202506 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: RUN IT AGAIN. Lower highs, higher lows. Body gaps above (small though) and big bull gap below 21200. Market is in balance around 21500 and I do think for now market will spend more time between the given key levels until bigger news change that fact. Play was selling Friday, big gap down Monday and then sideways to up until late Friday. Let’s see if we repeat the cycle.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20500 - 22100
bull case: Bulls want to stay above the weekly 20ema which is currently around 21200. They are fine with this trading range above 20000 because that’s still really bullish if you think about it.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears get spikes and that’s it. They are deep, so they are making money but it’s a tough way to make a living to wait for some news and be quick with the sell button. I do think they are heavily favored to continue down below 21600 and test 21500 and hopefully 21200 again. What I can’t see happening is a lower low below 20940 though. We have a big body gap from 21405 to 21566 and it would be good for the bears if they can close it tomorrow.
Invalidation is above 22000.
short term: Bearish. I want to see 21200 next week. For now all stops for shorts have to be 21970.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again. I still think 20000 is doable in February.
current swing trade: None but will decide on futures open tonight if I want to get short with stop 21970.
chart update: Added triangle and bull & bear gap.
Analysis on the Weekend about Nasdaq 25.02.09Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis is on NASDAQ.
The market movement on Friday was an extension of Thursday's briefing.
As seen in the chart, a break below the ascending trendline triggered a short entry. From the entry point, both short-term trendlines were broken, leading to a correction. This movement resulted in a 310-point decline from the entry price, which could have yielded a profit of $6,200 per contract.
As mentioned since Wednesday, I emphasized that a breakout of the resistance trendline would not necessarily lead to a buying opportunity. Hence, I did not consider any long positions. If you check the black resistance trendline, although it broke out, the highs remained similar within the white box, eventually leading the trend downward.
This analysis led to avoiding long positions and instead confirming that the short entry achieved its target.
This is the NASDAQ viewed on the daily chart.
Currently, NASDAQ has closed below the 20-day moving average on a daily basis and is heading into the weekend without a clear directional bias.
Over the past two weeks, Monday’s trading sessions have opened with gap-downs, continuing the downward trend. Even when looking at the bigger picture on the daily chart, NASDAQ remains within the consolidation zone.
Conclusion
At present, NASDAQ is consolidating on the daily chart, and Friday's close to the downside makes it unsuitable for any premature long entries.
As for shorts, entering now would be risky, as the entry point is in the middle of the consolidation range, which could lead to being shaken out.
I plan to observe the market for a day or two and will proceed with the next briefing once a clearer entry perspective emerges.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/07/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/07/25
📈22102-22145
📉21706-21663
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Now its time to short!The Market is bought out.
But since a few weeks we are in a consolidation phase at the big US indices.
The markets are getting drowned with buy orders, but its stil ranging. Something which tells as that retailers are taking overhand. Institutions are using those phases to sell off their big postions too the "dumb money".
We just need to wait until the retail money is empty and there are no further buy orders.
At this moment big moves are gonna happen.
NASDAQ 100 Hits Key Resistance: Is a Retracement Imminent?In this video, I analyze the NASDAQ 100 (#NAS100) as it trades into a key resistance level, appearing overextended on the 4-hour timeframe. I discuss the potential for a counter-trend trade, targeting a retracement to the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous price swing. Watch for insights and strategies on navigating this setup! Not financial advice.
NASDAQ Triangle rejected at the top. Bearish until broken.Nasdaq is trading inside a Triangle pattern, which rejected the price on its top today.
As long as it holds, it is more likely to see a decline towards the 0.786 like both prior bearish legs.
A cross above the Triangle though, will be a bullish break out targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
2. Buy if the price crosses above the top of the Triangle.
Targets:
1. 21050 (Fib 0.786).
2. 22900 (Fib 2.0 extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is testing its Rising Support trendline. A break confirms the bearish signal. A rebound, raises the chances of a Triangle break out.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Breaking: Doximity Stock Jumps 37% On Upbeat Annual OutlookDoximity Inc. (NASDAQ: DOCS), the leading digital platform for U.S. medical professionals, has made headlines with its stock skyrocketing 37% following a stellar earnings report and an upbeat annual outlook. The company’s third-quarter fiscal 2025 results not only surpassed analyst expectations but also showcased robust growth in key areas, including AI tools and user engagement.
Strong Earnings and Upbeat Guidance
Doximity’s latest earnings report has solidified its position as a growth powerhouse in the healthcare technology sector. Here are the key highlights:
1. Record Revenue and Earnings Growth
- Revenue: $168.6 million, up 25% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of $152.82 million.
- Earnings Per Share (EPS): Adjusted EPS of $0.45, a significant jump from $0.29 a year ago and well above the $0.34 consensus.
- Net Income: $75.2 million, up 57% year-over-year, reflecting strong profitability.
2. AI Tools and User Engagement Driving Growth
Doximity’s AI-powered tools saw a 60% quarter-over-quarter increase in usage, while its newsfeed surpassed one million unique providers. This demonstrates the platform’s ability to innovate and retain user engagement, which is critical for long-term growth.
3. Raised Guidance for Fiscal 2025
The company raised its revenue guidance to $564.6 million—$565.6 million, up from the previous range of $535 million—$540 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased to $306.6 million—$307.6 million, signaling confidence in continued profitability and operational efficiency.
4. Analyst Optimism
Analysts have responded positively to Doximity’s performance:
- Needham: Raised price target from $65 to $82, maintaining a Buy rating.
- Wells Fargo: Increased price target from $43 to $55, maintaining an Equal-Weight rating.
- Raymond James: Raised price target from $65 to $83, reiterating an Outperform rating.
These upward revisions reflect growing confidence in Doximity’s ability to sustain its momentum.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, NYSE:DOCS is exhibiting a classic gap-up pattern, with shares up 35.68% at the time of writing. Here’s what the charts are telling us:
1. Gap-Up Pattern
The gap-up indicates a surge in buying interest following the earnings announcement. While this is a bullish signal, gaps are often filled in the long run, meaning the stock could retrace some of its gains before continuing its upward trajectory.
2. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 86, well above the overbought threshold of 70. This suggests that the stock may be due for a short-term pullback or consolidation as traders take profits.
3. Despite overbought conditions, the stock’s momentum remains strong. Key support levels to watch include the pre-gap price zone around $61. A pullback to this area could present a buying opportunity for investors looking to enter at a lower price.
Why Doximity Stands Out
Doximity’s success is rooted in its ability to address critical needs in the healthcare industry. Its digital platform streamlines communication and workflow for medical professionals, while its AI tools enhance efficiency and decision-making. With over 610,000 unique providers using its clinical workflow tools, Doximity has established itself as an indispensable resource for healthcare professionals.
A Strong Buy with Caution
Doximity’s impressive earnings report and raised guidance have rightfully propelled its stock to new heights. From a fundamental perspective, the company’s growth trajectory, driven by AI innovation and user engagement, is compelling. Technically, while the stock is overbought in the short term, the long-term outlook remains bullish.
USNAS100 : Toward ATH or Not Yet!USNAS100 Technical Analysis
The price may stabilize in the bullish zone after holding above 21,380 and breaking the pivot line at 21,635.
Currently, a correction is expected before another push upward to break 21,760. A 1-hour candle closing above 21,760 will confirm a bullish trend towards 21,900.
The bearish scenario will be triggered if the price stabilizes below 21,635 and 21,535.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21760
Resistance Levels: 21890, 22010, 22100
Support Levels: 21635, 21535, 21380
NQ - Nasdaq is set up to POP or DROP, and here's whyIt's nagging and nagging and nagging at the U-MLH, but this Cheese must be super hard.
If we they are not able to eat through it, open and close above it, then the I'm on to stalk a short.
PTG1 is the 1/4 line
PTG2 is the Center-Line
IF we open and close above the U-MLH, the target is the white Center-Line.
It's simple, clear and there's not more to babble about this opportunity.
ISSC: A Key Investment Opportunity in Aerospace and Defense◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Innovative Solutions and Support NASDAQ:ISSC
● Buy Range - 11.5 - 11.8
● Sell Target - 14.6 - 15
● Potential Return - 25% - 30%
● Approx Holding Period - 08-12 months
◉ Company Overview
Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc., founded in 1988 and based in Exton, Pennsylvania, is a systems integrator specializing in aviation technology. The company designs, manufactures, and services flight guidance systems, autothrottles, cockpit displays, and related products, including air data computing devices, flight management systems, GPS units, and inertial reference systems. It also provides magnetic variation software and operates manufacturer system software. Serving commercial airlines, corporate aviation, the U.S. Department of Defense, government agencies, foreign militaries, and OEMs, the company delivers advanced solutions for aviation and defense sectors globally.
◉ Market Capitalization - $207 M
◉ Other Key Players in the Same Industry
1. GE Aerospace NYSE:GE - $219.6 B
GE Aerospace is a leading global provider of commercial and military aircraft engines, systems, and services. The company is a subsidiary of General Electric (GE) and has a rich history dating back to 1917.
2. Honeywell International NASDAQ:HON - $144.8 B
Honeywell is a multinational conglomerate that produces a wide range of products, including aerospace systems, industrial control systems, and consumer products. The company's aerospace division is a leading provider of avionics, engines, and other aircraft systems.
◉ Key Drivers of Future Revenue and Profit Growth
1. Growth in Military Programs: New contracts, like the U.S. Army's adoption of the ThrustSense Autothrottle and multifunction displays for foreign military platforms, signal strong future revenue potential in defense markets.
2. ISSC Next Strategy: Focused on commercial growth, this strategy includes new OEM and retrofit programs, product acquisitions, and launches like UMS2, aiming to accelerate revenue growth and improve operating margins.
3. Manufacturing Expansion: Increased in-house production and capacity enhancements are expected to boost operating margins and EBITDA by reducing reliance on external suppliers and improving scale efficiencies.
4. Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions, particularly from Honeywell, provide revenue synergies and cross-selling opportunities, diversifying offerings and expanding customer bases to drive profitability.
5. Investment in Advanced Technologies: Innovations like AI-integrated cockpit automation position the company to meet future demand in both commercial and military sectors, supporting long-term earnings growth.
◉ Key Risks to Consider
1. Margin Pressure from Military Sales: The company's reliance on military contracts, which typically have lower gross margins than commercial contracts, may negatively impact overall profitability.
2. Integration Challenges from Acquisitions: The integration of recent acquisitions, such as those from Honeywell, is uncertain and may prove difficult, potentially affecting revenue growth and operating margins.
3. Debt-Related Financial Risks: The significant debt incurred from the Honeywell acquisitions poses a financial risk, which could lead to cash flow constraints or higher interest expenses, impacting net income.
4. Operating Expense Pressures: The planned increase in manufacturing capacity and R&D investment may add pressure on operating expenses. If not managed effectively, this may not translate to proportionate revenue growth, impacting net margins.
5. Revenue Realization Risks: The long sales cycle and complexities associated with military contracts may delay revenue realization. If anticipated backlogs do not convert as scheduled, this could affect short- to mid-term revenue expectations.
◉ Technical Analysis
➖ Following a record high of $14.6, the stock plummeted by nearly 90% and entered a prolonged period of consolidation.
➖ However, a bullish reversal pattern, known as an Inverted Head & Shoulder, has formed during this phase.
➖ With a decisive breakout, the stock has also cleared its long-term trendline resistance, indicating a potential trend reversal.
➖ We expect this upward momentum to persist, driving the stock price higher.
◉ Revenue and Profit Analysis
● Year-on-year
➖ FY24 sales soared 36% to $47.2 million, up from $27.7 million in FY23.
➖ EBITDA jumped to $12.6 million, a significant increase from $8.5 million in FY22.
➖ EBITDA margin expanded to 26.7%, up from 24.32% in the same period.
● Quarter-on-quarter
➖ Q4 sales reached a record high of $15.4 million, surging 30% from $11.8 million in Q3 and 18% from $13 million in Q4 2023.
➖ Q4 EBITDA climbed to $5.9 million, up from $2.6 million in Q3.
➖ Q4 diluted EPS rose to $0.40 (LTM) from $0.37 (LTM) in Q3 2024.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ ISSC's P/E ratio stands at 29.8x, which is relatively in line with the industry average of 33.7x, indicating fair valuation.
● P/B Ratio
➖ With a P/B ratio of 3.3x, ISSC appears undervalued compared to the industry average of 4.5x.
● PEG Ratio
➖ ISSC's PEG ratio of 1.83 suggests the stock is fairly valued, considering its anticipated earnings growth.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ ISSC achieves remarkable growth in operational cash flow, rising 176% to $5.8 million in FY24 from $2.1 million in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ ISSC's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.60, signalling that debt is not a significant concern for the company.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ The Vanguard Group holds a significant 3% stake in the company, indicating institutional confidence in its growth prospects.
◉ Conclusion
The U.S. aerospace and defense market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated $694.86 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.76%. This growth is fueled by rapid technological advancements, including innovations in artificial intelligence (AI), advanced materials, 3D printing, and autonomous systems, which are reshaping the industry landscape.
Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. (ISSC) is strategically positioned to capitalize on this expanding market, leveraging its expertise in advanced aviation systems, strong military and commercial contracts, and ongoing investments in cutting-edge technologies.
For investors seeking exposure to the aerospace and defense industry, ISSC represents a compelling opportunity, supported by its solid financial performance, favorable valuation metrics, and alignment with long-term market trends.
Serve Robotics (SERV) Analysis Company Overview:
Serve Robotics NASDAQ:SERV is a pioneer in autonomous last-mile delivery, leveraging AI-driven electric robots to reduce costs and emissions. With strong partnerships and financial backing, SERV is positioned to disrupt traditional delivery models.
Key Catalysts:
$450 Billion Market Potential by 2030 🌎
Serve’s $1-per-trip model could revolutionize delivery economics.
Strategic Partnerships – Uber & 7-Eleven 📦
Uber’s $11.5M investment and integration with Uber Eats enhance scale.
7-Eleven partnership strengthens Serve’s retail delivery presence.
Strong Financial Backing – Secured Through 2026 💰
$166M raised since December 2024, ensuring funding stability.
NVIDIA and Delivery Hero investments validate AI-driven robotics.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SERV above $14.00-$14.50, supported by disruptive potential, strategic partnerships, and financial strength.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $31.00-$32.00, reflecting market expansion, AI adoption, and industry transformation.
📢 Serve Robotics—Redefining Last-Mile Delivery. #AI #Robotics #AutonomousDelivery #SERV
The Friday Forecast; Best Setups Frr Feb 7This market outlook will cover 15 markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
Non Farm Payroll news tomorrow! This is likely to inject a lot of volatility into the markets.
I recommend to wait until after the news is announced before executing on any trades. You never know where the market will go!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed slightly higher with low volatility. As mentioned yesterday, the daily chart shows that the index is holding support at the 3-day moving average, while the MACD remains in an upward buy trend. However, resistance is evident along the upper trendline connecting previous highs.
Today, a pullback toward the 5-day moving average should be considered, and the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will be a key catalyst in determining whether the uptrend continues.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a consolidation phase that could gradually lift moving averages before another bullish wave emerges. Overall, a buy-on-dip approach remains favorable, particularly if a pre-market pullback toward the 5-day MA occurs. However, given the potential for increased volatility from today's data release, risk management is crucial.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance at the 3-day moving average. However, downside support remains strong, making further declines difficult, which favors buy-side positioning. Since oil has now tested the 3-day MA, today’s strategy should focus on selling near the 5-day MA if a rally occurs.
Both long and short positions should factor in weekly closing dynamics, as weekend geopolitical risks may lead to gap openings on Monday.
On the 240-minute chart, oil remains in a downward trend, but signs of base formation are emerging. The MACD is nearing a potential golden cross, so traders should watch closely for a momentum shift.
Additionally, geopolitical risks are increasing, with Trump tightening sanctions on Iran, adding to oil market volatility. Given these conditions, buying dips remains the preferred approach, but risk management is essential.
Gold
Gold closed lower, facing a sharp pullback after reaching the psychological level of 2900. The deep retracement suggests profit-taking at key resistance levels.
Despite this correction, the daily chart still maintains a buy trend, and as long as gold holds above the 10-day moving average on a closing basis, the overall bullish bias remains intact. However, given that the MACD is completing its third bullish wave, a consolidation phase is likely as the MACD and Signal line begin to narrow. For now, buyers should focus on entering at lower levels to optimize risk-reward.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged, leading to the current pullback. However, the MACD and Signal line are significantly below the zero line, meaning that despite the downtrend, buying interest could emerge on any further dips. This structure reduces the appeal of chasing short positions.
Today's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is a major risk event, known for triggering extreme volatility in gold. As one of the most critical economic indicators for gold traders, managing exposure ahead of the release is crucial. Expect range-bound price action before the report, with a potential breakout afterward.
Stay disciplined and manage risk carefully, as today’s NFP release will drive market volatility. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21820 / 21750 / 21710 / 21625 / 21510
-Sell Levels: 21870 / 21930 / 22010 / 22070 / 22135
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.20 / 69.80 / 69.20 / 68.30
-Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.20 / 72.70
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2876 / 2871 / 2862 / 2855
-Sell Levels: 2885 / 2892 / 2896 / 2902
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Googles next Move where to Long next + Wickless Candles Hi in this video I highlight what to look for in the chart to take shorts and where to fill Longs next . In addition to that I provide a small educational idea of looking out for Wickless candles and how they can add value to your analysis . Please like follow share and ask any questions that you have and thankyou for your support
Thursday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.06Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis is focused on the Nasdaq.
Chart Link:
Let’s start by reviewing Wednesday’s briefing.
We entered a buy position after the resistance trendline was broken, with the first entry occurring at the yellow box.
The second entry was made after breaking above the previous high of 21,694.
With the horizontal line set as the target, the price rose about $180 from the first entry, resulting in a $3,600 profit per contract.
As for sell positions, there was no entry since the upward trendline held and no trend reversal occurred.
Chart Link:
Let’s review the daily chart.
The Nasdaq is still consolidating within the pattern.
If this consolidation is broken, we could see a trend reversal, which could further strengthen the upward momentum. However, for now, it seems the price is still moving within the pattern.
Chart Link:
Here’s today’s trading strategy:
Buy Position
No planned entry.
Reason: Although the uptrend is clear, the price is approaching a critical area marked by the black box on the daily chart.
In this area, the price could either break out and then retrace or lead to a trend reversal. It could also continue to gain buying momentum, making this zone highly uncertain. Therefore, no buy signals are planned.
Sell Position
Entry 1: Upon a break below the upward trendline at the orange box.
Reason: The current uptrend has been following a staircase-like expansion pattern, making the timing of a trend reversal uncertain. Thus, we’ll prioritize observing a break below a trendline slightly higher than the previous one.
Entry 2: Upon a break below the upward trendline at the blue box.
Context: The first trendline break and the trendline we've been monitoring since Monday will be critical.
Conclusion
Since the gap down on Monday, the Nasdaq has been continuously rising.
This once again confirms that we should focus on reacting to the charts rather than making premature predictions.
Wishing you all profitable trades today!
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The Nasdaq broke out of its consolidation range and closed higher. On the daily chart, the index had been moving within a box range, with MACD and the Signal line flattening. However, following the breakout, the MACD has resumed its upward trajectory, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.
With a strong breakout candle in play, the market is likely to maintain a short-term buying trend, centered around the 3-day moving average. While tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report presents potential volatility risks, the overall daily uptrend remains intact.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have crossed above the zero line, entering bullish territory. While further upside is possible, imbalanced order flow suggests we may see mixed price action, with alternating bullish and bearish candles.
Given the current setup, buying on pullbacks remains the most favorable approach for today.
CRUDE OIL
Oil declined following the crude inventory report. On the daily chart, the price failed to reclaim the 10-day moving average, and the MACD-Signal line spread remains wide, indicating a lack of immediate convergence.
A strong bearish breakout candle has formed, making short positions near the 3-day moving average a preferable strategy for today. However, the $70 level has established itself as a key support zone, meaning that buying opportunities may emerge in this area.
Price action suggests range-bound movement, and for additional downside to materialize, the daily Signal line needs to drop below the zero line. As it remains above zero, a short-term MACD-Signal convergence attempt is likely in the near term, though a direct breakout seems unlikely due to the current wide spread.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has reappeared, driving continued downside pressure. However, if prices avoid a sharp decline, a bullish divergence could form, making chasing shorts at this stage risky.
Additionally, mixed catalysts, including Iran sanctions and increased U.S. oil drilling activity, are creating conflicting momentum, increasing the likelihood of sharp price swings. Stop-loss management is crucial in this environment.
GOLD
Gold closed higher but formed an upper wick, signaling profit-taking at recent highs. On the daily chart, gold broke above $2,900, demonstrating a strong, one-way buying trend.
However, given the sharp rally, this is a high-risk zone for chasing longs, as profit-taking pressure is likely to increase. Since gold has been moving in a stair-step pattern, the best approach is to buy on pullbacks at well-defined support and resistance levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is in its third-wave buy phase, maintaining the bullish momentum. Once this third wave completes and the MACD crosses below the Signal line (a death cross), gold may enter a consolidation phase or a corrective move, leading to sideways price action.
Tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is expected to significantly impact gold, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction.
The optimal approach remains buying on dips, but near $2,900, short positions for range-bound trading should also be considered.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21710 / 21675 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510
-Sell Levels: 21895 / 21935 / 21970 / 22010
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.90 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.30
-Sell Levels: 71.65 / 72.10 / 72.60 / 73.20
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2881 / 2875 / 2870 / 2864 / 2859
-Sell Levels: 2896 / 2902 / 2909
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/05/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/05/25
📈21750-21809 ; 21682-21690, 21902-21914
📉21245-21370 ; 21475-21465, 21255-21245
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/04/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/04/25
📈21621.75 ; 21579,75- 21603, 21799.75- 21823
📉21220.75 ; 21163- 21139.75, 20943- 20920
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*