#202452 - priceactiontds - year end special nasdaq eminiGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: If you have read part 1 of 2, much of the following will be the same. Nasdaq has now gained 80%+ since the 2022-10 lows. Again, if you think it’s more likely that we will do another 15%+ up next year because this time it’s different, I don’t have much for you and you can stop reading now.
Now matter how you draw the bull trend since, it has had at least 3 clear big legs up where the last one was the shortest with the least pull-backs. The confirmation for it to end would be consecutive daily closes below 20800. For now bears have not had two consecutive weekly bear bars since September. The trend is overdone to say the least. As for dax and sp500, a 20% correction would bring us down to big previous support 2024-04 and 2024-08 at 17900. My first medium-term target would be the big bull trend line, which is overlapping a fair bit with the monthly 20ema. The trend line is around 19700-20000 and the monthly 20ema is currently at 18900. For the near term I expect the market to get it’s second leg down early in 2025 and potential targets are the 50% pb of the last bull leg and the previous ath from 2024-07 which would bring us to 20400-20650.
current market cycle: Bull trend of the past two years has likely ended and new lows below 20900 will be the confirmation, at least to me. Technically only a break of the big bull trend line would confirm it (around 19700 currently)
key levels for 2025: 17800 - 22500 (decent chance we will see 20000 only in the first couple of weeks and then only in a couple of months or years again)
bull case: Bull trend is technically over once we break below the bull trend line which is currently 19600. Bulls are still very far above that and trading above the weekly 20ema. They remain in control for now but after such a long ongoing rally they are trading the momentum only because stonkz can only go up eh. I really don’t have much for the bulls here. We could do another try of 22000 and above and even print a new ath but the upside will probably be very limited. Don’t expect bullish outlooks from me over the next weeks. I will only scalp long on big support. The best outcome for bulls that I see is sideways above 20000. Anything below will accelerate to the downside.
Invalidation is below 17400. Below that price, an event has happened or is happening. For now it’s unreasonable to ever think this market could see prices below 15000 again.
bear case: In order, my first big target for the bears for 2025 is 19000, where I expect more sideways movement. Below 19000 comes 18000 which was previous support and the lowest I can see this for now is 17400. Bears would need stronger follow through below 21500 early in January and then make new lows below 20900. Then I see the odds of a measured move down to 19500-20000 as decent. On my weekly chart you can see my preferred path forward for the next months. 3 legs down where leg 1 was the drop from 22450 to 21000. I do think it’s much more likely to expect a break of the dashed bull trend line than another leg up.
Invalidation is above 22600.
short term: The year end rally was stopped short at 22110 and I don’t think bulls have enough strength to go above it Monday/Tuesday. We could see a spike up after new years but if we close 2024 below 21500, I expect the spike to be sold as well. If we don’t trade above 22000 by 2025-01-03, I see the odds that the top is in at 70%. My short term target for the bears is 21000 and lowest for now is 20700 for me. If 20700 is not bigger support, 20300 is my next target.
medium-long term: As stated above, “If we don’t trade above 22000 by 2025-01-03, I see the odds that the top is in at 70%.”. In that case, my bear targets medium term are 19000 and long term lowest target as of now, is 17400. Anything above 22500 would surprise me.
current swing trade: I will initiate longer term shorts depending on next weeks price action. Any short would need a stop with at least 22600.
Nasdaq
NASDAQ Analysis: Preparing for Monday’s Trading 2024.12.28Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ in preparation for Monday’s trading.
Friday's Trading Strategy Recap
Let’s first review the results of Friday’s trading strategy.
For buy positions, the breakout of the resistance trendline did not occur during the session, so the suggested entry above the red box did not materialize. As a result, no buy positions were taken.
For sell positions, the breakdown of the ascending trendline occurred after the European market opened. However, entry was only recommended upon breaking the green box to the downside, which occurred during the U.S. session.
As you can see, this resulted in a one-way downward trend, surpassing the target of 21558 and offering a high-probability trade for easy profits.
Maximum Profit:
1253 ticks per contract.
$6,260 per contract.
Weekly Chart Analysis
The weekly candle analysis shows the following:
After the doji bearish candle from December 16, 2024, the direction of the following week was crucial.
This week’s candle closed as a bullish candle with a long upper wick. While it filled last week’s body with an upward move, it eventually declined and closed with a long wick and a small body.
The NASDAQ is still holding support at the 20 EMA on the weekly chart, making next week’s direction critically important.
Daily Chart Analysis
On the daily chart, the NASDAQ closed below the 20 EMA.
During the session, there was steep selling pressure followed by a slight rebound near the close.
However, closing below the daily 20 EMA makes it difficult to view the session positively.
The price is likely to oscillate between the 20 EMA and 60 EMA, as highlighted in the red box, and there’s a high probability of testing the 21300 level next week.
15-Minute Chart: Buy Setup
For short-term buy opportunities, let’s look at the 15-minute chart.
The red box shows a long bullish candle closing at 21746.5. However, the price failed to surpass this level by the close of the U.S. session.
If no significant news occurs over the weekend, the price may break above this level and resolve the bearish candle within the green box, leading to a potential rebound.
If the rebound is strong, the light blue box breakout will serve as the first buy entry point, targeting 21935.
The second buy entry would occur upon breaking the upper resistance at 21989, with the next target being the resistance trendline.
15-Minute Chart: Sell Setup
For short-term sell opportunities:
The short-term ascending trendline is highlighted in red. A breakdown could trigger a short-term correction, with the red box lower boundary serving as the maximum target at 21630–21613.
For conservative entries, wait for a break below the blue box at 21476.75.
If the green box breaks to the downside, it may trigger additional selling opportunities. However, given Friday’s rebound at 21476.75, there’s a possibility of the price finding support and bouncing back.
The maximum downside target for a sell-off is the orange box lower boundary at 21008.
Conclusion
It’s been a long year, and I hope you finish it strong. Let’s work together in 2025 to achieve significant profits through disciplined trading.
Your engagement and support motivate me to provide these detailed analyses, so please don’t forget to like, subscribe, and recommend my content. Let’s make the upcoming year a success! 🚀
$NQ Potential Moves Next WeekSEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Potential Moves Next Week
The chart shows a possible bullish recovery scenario heading into the new week. Watch key levels like the weekly close (blue), bear day zones (red), and bullish week targets (dotted).
Yellow path highlights:
📈 Initial consolidation → Break above key resistance.
📉 Retest near support → Continued bullish swing.
Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust accordingly! 🚀
#Trading #Futures #NQ100 #NASDAQ #DayTrading
$NQ Potential Moves Next WeekSEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Potential Moves Next Week
The chart shows a possible bullish recovery scenario heading into the new week. Watch key levels like the weekly close (blue), bear day zones (red), and bullish week targets (dotted).
Yellow path highlights:
📈 Initial consolidation → Break above key resistance.
📉 Retest near support → Continued bullish swing.
Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust accordingly! 🚀
#Trading #Futures #NQ100 #NASDAQ #DayTrading
Will QQQ hold support?QQQ testing the long term channel for support after breakout. Holiday are low volume and a usually a time for the market to climb some without any selling pressure. If I had to guess, then I would say we generally move sideway and up through the end of December. When the traders are back in full for in January will tell us if this rally continues or it has been a big pump and dump for the incoming Trump administration and its new policies.
We already bottomed, you just don't know it yet! NASDAQ:QQQ
We already bottomed, you just don't know it yet!
Daily Chart analysis:
A look back at 2024 shows us that every time we have come down to the Green support line on the Wr% we've bounced hard all the way back up to the red barrier.
It coincides with every time we've went below the 9ema that this occurs then we rocket back up. This time could be different but what I'm seeing on the weekly chart as well it doesn't look like it to me as we've already rebound back above the 9ema to this point.
I'm just a nerd who loves all things stock market, I'm no oracle but from my TA and my GUT we should bounce hard heading into the new year and back up to ATH's in January friends!
Not financial advice.
Prediction: Markets back to All-Time Highs in TWO WEEKS! NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
I won't lie to you friends, this is MAXIMUM FUCKERY FRIDAY!
It sucks across the board but lets just zoom out and look at all the data. We are still in an uptrend, still holding above the 9ema, and still GREEN on the H5 indicator.
I'm buying the DIP.
MY BULLISH PREDICITON:
NASDAQ:QQQ & AMEX:SPY BACK TO ATH's WITHIN TWO WEEKS!
Yes, I bought 5c NASDAQ:QQQ Jan. 10th 2025 $520 Calls
I'm doing this only to put my money where my mouth and prediction is. I am ok with losing if I'm wrong.
Don't get these NASDAQ:QQQ short term calls and prediction twisted with me being a forever bull. I understand how markets work and I'm simply going off my TA, knowledge, and GUT. I'm fully ready to exit every trade that goes against me if I'm wrong on the markets rebounding and continuing higher into January friends.
When we do signal the bigger correction is happening through our strategies I will exit every RED H5 indicator or stock that goes against my rules. I'm simply giving a little bit of excess rope due what the FED did last week that kicked this whole thing off.
I still don't see the Bull Market being over and If i'm wrong, I'm wrong. I will still be up massively on the year and I'll count it as one of the few times that I've been wrong. Still winning more than losing which is the only goal to strive for in trading.
Not financial advice
NASDAQ: Technical pullback presenting a buy opportunityNasdaq got oversold on 1H due to the strong selling on opening but remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.372, MACD = 205.380, ADX = 49.545) as it is still over the 1D MA50. More specifically, it was the rebound on the latter last Friday (Dec 20th) that has initiated the current bullish wave. This is the 5th bullish wave inside the 5 month Channel Up and as long as the 1D MA50 continues to support, we are expecting a new High. As with the prior Highs, we are targeting the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 22,550).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USNAS100 / Correct before Bullish trendTechnical Analysis
The price still shows bullish momentum but is expected to first retest the 21,630 level before starting a bullish trend. If a 4-hour candle closes above 21,760, it indicates the start of a bullish trend without correction.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21760
Resistance Levels: 21900, 22110, 22300
Support Levels: 21630, 21535, 21400
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Correction: Possible decline to 21,630 if stability remains below 21,760.
Bullish Momentum: Likely continuation of an uptrend if stability is maintained above 21,760.
F5, Inc. (FFIV) AnalysisCompany Overview:
F5, Inc. NASDAQ:FFIV is a market leader in application delivery and cybersecurity, providing solutions that ensure seamless and secure digital experiences for enterprises globally. The company's evolution from a hardware-centric model to one focused on software and security solutions reflects its agility in adapting to market dynamics and customer needs.
Key Growth Drivers
AI Infrastructure Integration:
F5’s partnership with MinIO, a leading high-performance object storage platform, enhances its presence in the AI infrastructure space.
This collaboration integrates MinIO’s storage capabilities with F5’s advanced traffic management and security solutions, creating a compelling value proposition for enterprises embracing AI and data-intensive workloads.
Shift to Software and Security:
F5’s strategic pivot from hardware to software-driven and security-focused solutions broadens its market reach.
This shift positions F5 to capitalize on increasing enterprise demand for application security, cloud migration, and edge computing.
Strong Financial Foundation:
Recurring Revenue Dominance: 76% of total revenue ($2.1 billion) is now recurring, providing financial stability and predictable cash flows.
Stock Buyback Program: The $1 billion repurchase initiative demonstrates management’s confidence in the company’s growth trajectory and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
Customer-Centric Innovation:
F5’s solutions are vital for enterprises navigating the complexities of modern multi-cloud environments and ensuring robust cybersecurity for applications.
Investment Outlook
Bullish Case:
We are bullish on F5, Inc. (FFIV) above the $220.00-$222.00 range, given its robust recurring revenue base, strategic partnerships, and expanding market opportunities in cybersecurity and AI infrastructure.
Upside Potential:
Our upside target is $360.00-$365.00, reflecting the company’s ability to sustain long-term growth through innovation, market leadership, and strong financial management.
🚀 FFIV—Redefining Digital Security and Application Delivery in the Age of AI. #Cybersecurity #Cloud #AIInfrastructure
Nasdaq Analysis - Dec 27, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis focuses on Nasdaq.
Before starting today's briefing, let me share the results from the previous analysis.
For the buy perspective, the entry price was not reached, so there were no positions to report.
On the other hand, for the sell perspective, the break of the upward trendline occurred at the start of the European session. After the breakout, the market transitioned into a downward momentum, resulting in a decline of approximately $140.
For a single contract, this equated to a profit of $2,800.
Now, let's start with the sell perspective.
Currently, we are observing a break below the extended upward trendline.
While a short-term correction could occur, I do not strongly recommend entering at this time.
For today's sell recommendation, I suggest entering below the green box at 21,816.
This corresponds to the left-side supply zone, with a maximum target of the red box at 21,543.
Next, let's look at the buy perspective.
The first entry point would be a breakout above the resistance trendline, which is currently around 22,060.
For the second entry, it would be at the top of the frame around 22,111.
Regarding targets:
For Target 1, the entry of the first position will aim for the second entry level as the goal.
Beyond that, the next resistance levels are 22,210 and 22,296.
Conclusion
Thank you for your hard work this week. Wrap things up well, and let’s prepare for next week!
NVIDIA | 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME | STOCK TRADINGHello guys, I made NASDAQ:NVDA analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY NVIDIA 137.26 - 134.44
🟢TP1: 140,90
🟢TP2: 144.90
🟢TP3: 150.90
🔴SL: 128,03
Stay with love guys.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF 2025 Prediction - My Top 10 PicksIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on QQQ:
My price target for QQQ in 2025 is $608, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Strong Growth Potential in Technology:
The QQQ ETF is heavily weighted towards technology companies, which are at the forefront of innovation and growth. Major constituents like Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA are not only leaders in their respective fields but are also expected to benefit from ongoing trends such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and digital transformation. Analysts project that the earnings growth for QQQ constituents will outpace that of broader market indices, with estimated one-year earnings growth rates around 17.31%. This growth trajectory supports a bullish outlook as these companies continue to expand their market share and profitability.
Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions:
Recent Federal Reserve actions, including interest rate cuts, create a conducive environment for growth stocks. The Fed's dovish stance is likely to lower borrowing costs and stimulate investment in technology sectors. As interest rates decline, the present value of future earnings increases, making high-growth tech stocks more attractive. The anticipated economic recovery and stabilization should further enhance investor sentiment towards QQQ.
Historical Performance and Resilience:
Historically, QQQ has outperformed the S&P 500 in bull markets, showcasing its resilience during periods of economic expansion. Over the past decade, QQQ has delivered an average annual return of approximately 18.59%, significantly outpacing many other investment vehicles. This historical performance suggests that as market conditions improve, QQQ is well-positioned to capitalize on renewed investor interest in growth stocks.
AMD - Long-term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AMD has been in a correction phase approaching the lower bound of the red channel.
Moreover, the $100 is a strong round number and support!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AMD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USNAS100 / Approaching Another High Before Year-EndTechnical Analysis
The price has reversed and is approaching the ATH (All-Time High). It is expected to correct down to 21,630 before pushing upward again toward 21,900 and 22,120.
If a 4-hour candle closes above 21,760, it indicates a retest of 21,900, with a potential continuation toward 22,120.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21760
Resistance Levels: 21900, 22110, 22300
Support Levels: 21630, 21535, 21400
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Correction: Expected to reach 21,630 if the price remains below 21,760.
- Bullish Momentum: Anticipated if stability is maintained above 21,625.
Nasdaq - It All Comes Down To This Month!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is at a crucial breakout level:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The Nasdaq rallied an incredible +25% over the past couple of months and is now actually also breaking a major resistance trendline towards the upside. This could still turn into a false breakout but if it doesn't, we will most likely see a flourishing stock market year of 2025
Levels to watch: $21.000, $28.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
nasdaq analysis 2024-12-26"NASDAQ Analysis: Key Levels and Strategies"
Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Let’s dive into the NASDAQ analysis.
Let’s start with the 30-minute chart.
On December 24, Christmas Eve, the NASDAQ began to rally right after the U.S. market opened. As shown in the chart, the index broke through the red box, which previously acted as resistance during Monday’s session rebound. Once it surpassed this resistance, a one-way upward movement followed.
30-Minute Chart Trading Strategy
From a buying perspective, now does not seem like an ideal entry point.
While the NASDAQ is showing an uptrend that offsets the strong decline from the orange box on the left, entering at this point would mean buying near the upper boundary of the orange box, rather than the middle or lower levels.
Although the supply zone opens up to the red box above, this depends on sufficient buying momentum to sustain the rally. A conservative buying strategy would be to wait for a breakout above the upper boundary of the red box. A breakout would also mean overcoming the resistance trendline, potentially paving the way toward new highs.
Selling Perspective
For a selling strategy, the first signal would be the breakdown of the ascending trendline. If the NASDAQ breaks below the blue box’s lower boundary, this could be an entry point for short positions.
However, note that the NASDAQ has been consistently following the 20 EMA on the 30-minute chart. Therefore, the first sell signal would likely come from a break below both the 20 EMA and the ascending trendline.
Target Levels
In the short term, the green box serves as the target for any bearish moves. If the NASDAQ breaks below the green box, it would indicate entry into the next price frame. In this case, a decline to as low as 21558 could be possible. However, given the current bullish trend, a conservative approach is recommended.
Conclusion
For buyers: Wait for a breakout above the red box’s upper boundary for confirmation before entering.
For sellers: Watch for the breakdown of the 20 EMA and the ascending trendline as your initial signal. A break below the blue box’s lower boundary could solidify your entry point.
Trend caution: While short-term corrections are possible, the overall trend still leans bullish, so trade cautiously.
Let’s trade smart and aim for success. Best of luck in the markets! 🚀
Nasdaq100 Short Weekly ChartNasdaq100 Short Weekly Chart, Price after big and small AB=CD + BB+ Trendline+ Engulfing candle at the top, price should go now to Take profit 1 area, and from there if will not be a real support it will go to test the SMA200, for take profit 2 odds are much more small but possible
NASDAQ Technical buy on this 1D MA50 bounce.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 06 Low and potentially has started the new Bullish Leg as on Friday it hit the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded. The 1D MA50 has been holding since the September 12 bullish break-out.
Still, there is no confirmation yet, as the price remains below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As you can see on this chart, every time the index broke above its 4H MA50, it never broke again until the next Higher High of the Channel Up, technically confirming the new Bullish Leg.
With the 4H RSI rebounding also from oversold (<30.00) territory, there are higher probabilities of this being the new Bullish Leg. If the confirmation comes, we expect at least another +9.08% rise from Friday's Low (which was the % rise of the previous Bullish Leg) to target 22500.
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Major Indexes Face Downturn: What's Coming Next?◉ S&P 500 SP:SPX
● The long-term trendline support has been breached.
● The immediate support range is identified around the 5,650 to 5,700 levels.
◉ Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC
● The Nasdaq Composite has rebounded from its long-term trendline support, demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainty.
◉ NYSE Composite TVC:NYA
● The NYSE Composite has found support at its trendline and may bounce back from this important level.
◉ Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI
● After a consecutive decline over ten days, the index has surpassed its trendline support and is approaching the next support zone between 41,500 and 42,800.
Overall, all indices are anticipated to recover shortly, with expectations of robust performance from major stocks.