ASML Holding Falls! Short Trade Hits TP1, More Targets AheadASML Holding has shown a strong bearish movement, reaching Take Profit 1 (TP1) at 742.16.
Key Levels
Entry: 792.37 – A short position was initiated at this level, guided by the precision of the Risological Swing Trader.
Stop-Loss (SL): 832.99 – Positioned above recent resistance to protect against a potential reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 742.16 – Already achieved, confirming the effectiveness of the short setup.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 660.92 – The next target in line as downward momentum continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 579.68 – A further target if the bearish trend persists.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 529.48 – The ultimate target, indicating a significant decline.
Trend Analysis
The price is moving firmly below the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating a strong downtrend. The sustained bearish pressure suggests the potential for further declines towards TP2 and beyond.
With TP1 already hit, ASML Holding continues to show promise for further downside, guided by the Risological Swing Trader. The short trade remains positioned to capture additional opportunities as the trend continues to favor the bears.
Nasdaq100
Follow-up Update on NASDAQ - Down-move has started?This is in continuation from my weekend update on NASDAQ:NDX where I mentioned that we should likely be headed down from the upper channel line of rising wedge. Yesterday we got a negative daily close and in hourly timeframe, we can see clean 5 waves down. More in the video.
NASDAQ 100 Drops! Short Trade Confirmed, Eyeing First TargetThe NASDAQ 100 has confirmed a short trade with a strong bearish move below the entry at 20263.46. The price is progressing towards the first profit target (TP1), though it has not yet been reached.
Key Levels
Entry: 20263.46 – The short position was confirmed as the price broke below this level, signaling bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 20378.68 – Placed above the recent resistance to protect against potential upside reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 20121.04 – The first target, not yet reached, but in close proximity as the downward trend continues.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 19890.59 – The next target in case of continued bearish pressure.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 19660.15 – A further downside target, aligning with the next support zone.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 19517.73 – The ultimate profit target, marking a significant decline.
Trend Analysis
The price has broken below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming strong bearish sentiment. The market is likely to move toward TP1 if the selling pressure continues. The downward momentum suggests further potential to reach deeper profit targets.
The NASDAQ 100 short trade is progressing well after confirmation, with TP1 at 20121.04 in sight. If the bearish trend holds, further downside targets are expected to be reached.
Nasdaq looks to close the gap with its Wall Street peersThe Dow and S&P 500 extended their record highs on Monday, and the Nasdaq futures looks eager to jump out the gate during Asian trade and close the gap. And with asset managers increasing bullish bets on the tech-focused market, perhaps it can make a record high of its own.
MS
Dotcom Burst vs Tech Burst- i wanted to make this chart for long but i had to wait some confirmations, because i took an higher TF.
- Right now is really interesting to compare the dot-com bubble burst in 2000 versus the actual situation.
- like always i won't talk too much about FA because everything can happen in our world :
- Aliens destroy us.
- Putin push the red button.
- Meteorite hits earth.
- Jerome H. Powell printers no more electricity.
- let's back to the chart and i will try to make it simple :
- This chart is based on a 3 Months Timeframe, so 1 columns = 3 months.
- This graph is based purely on MACD and his Death Cross ( i will call it "DC" to short it)
The Dotcom Burst :
1/ in 2000, Nasdaq took a violent dip before MACD DC. ( 12 Months before ) ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ after that MACD DC, Nasdaq continued his downtrend but the dip started to be lighter for 15 Months. (Orange Vertical Line)
3/ The Storm was over in 2002 and Nasdaq started a consolidation to prepare his next parabolic move. ( Green Vertical Line )
The Tech Burst :
1/ The real dip happened already 12 months from now (Before MACD DC). ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ The MACD DC happened already 3+ months ago from now. ( Orange Vertical Line )
3 / We are still in a downtrend and not yet entered a recovery phase.
- What we can conclude is simple :
- When MACD Death Cross. The big dip is already behind us.
- Right now nothing is really different from 2000 in matter of TA, only the big numbers are different.
- " Mastering trading is anticipating movements, following the flow in real time means you are already late ".
Happy Tr4Ding !
PS : There's also something different in matter of time if u compare those charts. if you find it.. i will congratulate you !
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST OCT. 14-18th: BUY THE NASDAQ 100? YES!The NASDAQ looks to have supporting structure for higher prices. The bullish momentum is there, but it lacks the +FVGs that are present in the S&P500. Bullish, yes, but a bit weaker
There is some potential for a limited pullback, though. But I would view it as a better price for a possible long entry.
What are your thoughts....?
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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Combined US Equities Breakout late OctoberVery quickly, the expected breakdown did not happen, and this week saw the an across the board bullish breakout. Noted the breakout is long in the teeth (old and late) and while bullish, it is not strong nor convincingly sustainable. Reminiscent of this expectation is the MACD and VolDiv looking lackluster.
Expected top marked, and after 21 Oct needs a review... that would be the projected resistance for a stronger pullback.
Bullish for now and the week ahead.
Enjoy, make hay while the sun shines!
Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader."
Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader."
Nasdaq Ready to Fall==>-5%_-10%The Nasdaq Index started to rise with the help of the " Long Island " upward continuation pattern and made the New All-Time High(ATH) .
The Nasdaq Index is currently near the upper line of the Ascending Channel and has succeeded in breaking the Uptrend line .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the Nasdaq index to fall at least to the Support zone($71.41-$69.18) =🚨 -5% 🚨, and if the support area breaks, we should wait for this index to fall to the Lower line of the ascending channel = 🚨 -10% 🚨 .
Nasdaq Index Analyze (NDAQUSD), Daily frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Move From Support
US100 has a nice potential to go up from a key daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame
and a confirmed breakout of its horizontal neckline.
Goal: 20000
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