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NAS100 Bounces Off Key Support: Targeting 21,820PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is trading within a rising channel, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. The price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a significant support level. The structure indicates the potential for further upside, with the next target around the 21,820 level. The bullish scenario assumes that the price maintains its momentum and respects the trendline support. A clear break and retest of the minor resistance zones along the way could confirm this upward movement. However, a break below the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest potential bearish pressure. Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by DanieIM
1
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ NASDAQ filled the gap and closed lower after facing resistance. As mentioned last Friday, the 21,911 level was a likely resistance zone due to the nature of the gap. This resistance played a significant role, and coincidentally, concerns over tariffs imposed by former President Trump on Mexico and Canada intensified, leading to a decline into the afternoon session. Since the monthly candle has closed, let's first analyze the monthly chart. Last month, I mentioned that a decline to the 5-day moving average (20,880) was possible before a rebound, and indeed, the index rebounded from 20,700. Given that the price sequentially bounced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages after breaking out of the monthly range, this month presents a challenging situation for determining direction. While further upside is possible, the monthly MACD may attempt to reduce its gap with the signal line, making a strong rally less likely. If a sharp rally occurs, the upper Bollinger Band at 22,736 should be considered as resistance. On the downside, the monthly 5-day moving average at 21,084 may be tested this month. Since the market could move in either direction, chasing momentum on the monthly chart should be approached with caution. On the weekly chart, a sell signal remains active, with the MACD failing to cross above the signal line, suggesting that further downside remains likely. On the daily chart, while the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, today's bearish candle close may trigger a sell signal, opening the possibility of a move toward the lower Bollinger Band and the 120-day moving average. If the MACD does not break down and instead turns higher while the price rises, it will be crucial to see if the 21,911 gap is decisively broken and closed with a bullish candle. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal is still in place, and the index remains in a large range. Buying on dips remains favorable, but if a sell signal appears, the current moving average setup suggests a high probability of sharp declines. This week, Google's earnings report on Tuesday and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday are key events to watch. Additionally, with the potential impact of Trump’s tariff policies increasing market volatility, traders should manage leverage carefully and remain cautious. Crude Oil Oil closed near breakeven but surged in after-hours trading following reports that Canadian energy imports may face new tariffs. On the monthly chart, oil remains within a range, but the MACD is persistently attempting to cross above the signal line. Last month’s breakout from a four-month consolidation range suggests that buying on dips at the 3-day moving average may be a favorable strategy. On the weekly chart, the buy signal remains intact. Despite some pullback, the large gap between the MACD and the signal line suggests that a sharp breakdown is unlikely. On the daily chart, as previously mentioned, the $72 level remains a strong buy zone. The MACD is in a steep downtrend, but given the presence of prior demand zones and the 240-day moving average acting as support, a technical rebound could be strong after two weeks of declines. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has bounced off the signal line, forming a bullish divergence, making long positions more favorable. Given the characteristics of the 240-day moving average, a rebound toward $74.50 is technically reasonable. Overall, buying on dips remains a preferred approach, but market volatility is increasing due to geopolitical uncertainties, so trade cautiously. Gold Gold pulled back as profit-taking emerged after a sharp rally, closing lower after finding support at the 3-day moving average. On the monthly chart, gold formed a strong bullish breakout candle, making dips toward the 3-day moving average (2,770) a favorable buying opportunity this month. A pullback to this level should be expected. On the weekly chart, a buy signal appeared last week, but the MACD’s lower value compared to the previous peak suggests a potential bearish divergence. This means that despite breaking above prior highs, if the MACD fails to confirm with strong upward momentum, the rally may weaken. Caution is advised when chasing momentum. On the daily chart, today is a key day for buy setups near the 5-day moving average, making a pullback likely. However, the broader trend remains bullish, so rather than shorting, traders should look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks at key support levels. On the 240-minute chart, gold is facing resistance and declining. The MACD is at a high level, meaning even if a bearish crossover occurs, attempts to move higher may persist. Buying near support remains the preferred approach. With Trump’s increasing policy activity and China’s Deepseek issues, market volatility is expected to rise. Always prioritize risk management and trade safely. Wishing you a successful trading month! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Bullish Market -Buy : 21,530 / 21,460 / 21,420 / 21,370 / 21,290 -Sell : 21,590 / 21,690 / 21,775 / 21,850 / 21,930 Crude Oil - Range Market -Buy : 73.50 / 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00 -Sell : 74.50 / 75.00 / 76.00 / 76.40 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy : 2,825 / 2,820 / 2,812 / 2,807 / 2,804 -Sell : 2,841 / 2,846 / 2,852 / 2,856 / 2,860 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
$NVDA Dominance in NASDAQ: $NVDA vs NASAD IndexAll of us in crypto are used to looking at the BTC.D Chart (Bitcoin Dominance). With BTC.D stuck in a range between 57% and 60% we try to look at a new dominance chart which no one is talking about. Same as DeFI in TradFI we can look at one of the most famous Asset which is NASDAQ:NVDA vs its dominance in tech heavy NASDAQ index. Let’s call it ‘ NASDAQ:NVDA Dominance’ (NVDA.D) © 😉. Further usage of the ticker should be copyrighted to me. 😊 $NVDA.D is now below its 200 Day SMA. If we plot NASDAQ:NVDA vs NASDAQQ Index, we get $NVDA.D and there we see that NVDA.D is making multi months lows and below 200 Day SMA. We have not seen this kind of weakness in $NVDA.D since CHAT GPT was launched in Nov 2022. The last time $NVDA.D was below the 200 Day SMA it spent almost 6 months consolidating during the 2022 Tech bear market before AI sparked the new bull market.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RabishankarBiswal
NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus📢 Title: NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus 🚀 📊 Current Price Action: The latest price is 21,490.1 📈, showing a +0.29% gain (+62.3 points) ✅. The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 📊 is at 21,365.2, suggesting the price is slightly above this key moving average. 📌 Key Levels & Market Structure: 🔻 BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure break before the current recovery. 📉 GAP: There is a visible gap in the price action, which often acts as a magnet for price movements. 💰 Liquidity & Internal Liquidity (Int. LQ): Suggests areas where institutional interest may have been present. 📈 Trend & Potential Direction: The price recently bounced off the 200 EMA 🔄, indicating possible bullish momentum 📈. The ⬆️ arrow projection suggests a bullish outlook, targeting the gap fill and potentially moving higher towards 21,800 - 22,000. If price holds above 21,365, the bullish thesis remains valid ✅. 🏆 Conclusion: 🐂 Bullish Bias: Price is recovering from a break of structure (BOS) and pushing higher towards unfilled gaps 📊. 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🛑 Support: 21,365 (200 EMA) – If it breaks below, downside risk increases ⚠️. 🚧 Resistance: 21,600 (gap area) – Price might struggle before breaking through 🚀. 💡 Trade Idea: A 📈 long position targeting 21,800+, with a stop loss below 21,365 🔥.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by MrStellanSight
ARK Innovation. Granny Wood is Back — What She's Brewing..?!Hooray! Granny Wood 👵 is roaring back! Well, here we are, The @PandorraResearch Team, to discuss what Ma'am Wood is brewing, since the epic things are almost there! In a nutshell, Cathie Wood is an American investor and founder, chief executive officer (CEO), and chief investment officer (CIO) of Ark Invest, an investment management firm. Her flagship ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund - AMEX:ARKK ETF has received accolades for its performance in 2017, 2020 and 2023, but is also considered by Morningstar to be the third highest "wealth destroyer" investment fund from 2014–2023, losing US$7.1 billion of shareholder value in ten years. Overview of the ARK Innovation ETF AMEX:ARKK The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), managed by ARK Investment Management and led by Cathie Wood, focuses on investing in companies that are at the forefront of "disruptive innovation." This term encompasses technologies that have the potential to significantly alter industries and consumer behaviors. The fund primarily targets sectors such as genomics, automation, AI, and energy, aiming for long-term capital appreciation. Current Performance Metrics As of January 31, 2025, ARKK is priced at approximately $64.50, reflecting a 1.53% increase on that day. Over January 2025 ARKK has demonstrated a bold return of about 13.60%, following a volatile period marked by significant fluctuations in value. Notably, that ARKK's performance over January 2025 shows a stark contrast with U.S. stock market benchmarks (just compare - S&P500 Index SP:SPX demonstrates nearly +4% return so far in 2025 while Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC has added just around 3% in first month of 2025). ARKK Fundamental Analysis Investment Strategy. ARKK employs an actively managed approach, focusing on companies that are leaders or enablers of innovation. The fund's strategy combines both top-down and bottom-up research to identify high-potential stocks across various sectors. Sector Exposure. The ETF is heavily weighted towards technology and healthcare sectors, with significant investments in companies involved in AI and biotechnology. For instance, Tesla is often highlighted as a major holding due to its advancements in autonomous driving technology. Technical Outlook The technical outlook for ARKK shows signs of recovery and epic 200-week SMA Bullish breakthrough after a challenging period from late 2021 through much of 2023. The ETF has rebounded from lows around $36.85 in August 2024 to recent highs near $64.50 in January 2025, indicating a potential bullish trend if momentum continues. Support and Resistance Levels Support Level. Approximately $60.00 (recent low that corresponds to current 200-week SMA value) Resistance Level. Approximately $71.50 (3-years high) These levels will be critical for traders watching for potential supports or reversals. Market Sentiment Investor sentiment surrounding ARKK remains mixed due to its historical volatility and speculative nature. While some investors view it as an opportunity to capitalize on innovation-driven growth, others express caution due to its past performance dips and high-risk profile associated with its concentrated holdings. Conclusion The ARK Innovation ETF presents a compelling case for investors interested in disruptive technologies and long-term growth potential. However, its inherent volatility and the concentrated nature of its holdings necessitate careful consideration before investing. As the market continues to evolve with advancements in AI and other technologies, ARKK may offer significant upside momentum now, but also comes with considerable potential risk.
AMEX:ARKK
by PandorraResearch
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher within its range-bound market. On the daily chart, it faced resistance near the gap created on January 27. Even if the index continues to rise, it is likely to encounter strong resistance near the January 24 closing price of 21,911. Keep in mind the principle that gaps tend to get filled and that they often act as strong support or resistance levels once filled. Since the MACD is still maintaining a buy signal on the daily chart, it is advantageous to adopt a buy-on-dip strategy. The recent move appears to be driven by dollar weakness, and similar to gold's strong rally yesterday, Nasdaq could also experience an additional upward rally. Therefore, short positions should be taken at the highest possible levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the zero line and is now pulling the signal line upward as well. If the index continues to rise and fills the gap, both the MACD and signal line will be above the zero line, and after consolidating at the gap resistance level, the next directional movement will likely be determined. It is best to focus on buying on dips while setting strict stop-loss levels for any short positions above the gap. Proper risk management is key. Crude Oil Crude oil closed nearly flat but showed a meaningful breakout from the downward channel on the shorter time frames. It also created a gap-up on the daily chart and broke above the 5-day moving average. Previously, oil had been declining due to Trump's announcement regarding increased oil drilling, but this news is largely priced in now, making a technical rebound possible. The key level to watch on the upside is $74.50, while buying opportunities exist below $73, with a stop-loss at $72. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence has formed at the bottom, leading to another buy signal. Since the price appears to be building a base, additional buying momentum could emerge. While the market is still range-bound, a buy-on-dip strategy remains favorable for now. Gold Gold surged to new all-time highs and closed with strong gains. The rally was driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets following Trump’s tariff imposition, boosting gold prices significantly. As mentioned yesterday, the MACD turned upward again, leading to another sharp rally on the daily chart. Since gold strongly broke out of its previous range with a large bullish candlestick, today is a buy-on-dip day, particularly near the 3-day moving average. If the price retraces in the pre-market session, it could dip toward the 3-day moving average, so traders should be mindful of this possibility. However, if gold maintains its strength and closes with another bullish candlestick, the 3-day moving average will move higher, reinforcing the uptrend. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have diverged significantly, reflecting the strong uptrend. Buying on dips remains effective, while selling should be avoided since RSI indicates overbought conditions. As gold's volatility is increasing, traders should consider adjusting contract sizes, using micro contracts, or lowering leverage to allow for wider stop-loss levels and better trade management. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21680 / 21630 / 21580 / 21530 / 21465 -Sell Levels: 21770 / 21845 / 21890 / 22010 / 22055 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00 / 71.40 -Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.10 / 74.50 / 75.00 GOLD - Bullish Market(April) -Buy Levels: 2845 / 2840 / 2831 / 2824 -Sell Levels: 2860 / 2866 / 2870 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
Nasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile WeekNasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile Week As shown on the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index stood around the 21,600 level this morning, near the weekly high that formed at Monday’s open. This suggests that the tech-stock index has almost fully recovered from the decline triggered by the launch of AI from the Chinese startup DeepSeek. According to media reports: → Experts have pointed to signs that the Chinese startup used a technique known as “distillation” – in simple terms, this means that DeepSeek’s model extracted knowledge from more advanced models such as ChatGPT. In other words, this is not about innovation but rather an unfair practice. → Nassim Taleb believes that the sharp drop in NVDA shares is only the beginning of a potential market downturn inflated by AI-driven expectations. Further declines could be more significant than what we witnessed on Monday. Apart from news surrounding DeepSeek, traders were also focused on earnings reports from major corporations (which we will cover in detail in separate articles): → Tesla (TSLA) is holding above $400 in pre-market trading today, despite earnings per share falling short of expectations. Meanwhile, company executives believe that Trump’s policies could negatively impact Tesla’s operations. → Microsoft (MSFT) shares fell by more than 4%, Meta Platforms (META) surpassed $700 per share in post-market trading for the first time, and IBM surged by approximately 9%. Additionally, the fundamental backdrop became even more eventful following yesterday’s Fed updates, which, however, contained no surprises: → As expected, interest rates remained unchanged. → According to The Wall Street Journal, the Fed has entered a “Wait-and-See” phase, showing less confidence that inflation will continue to decline. The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart reveals that the price: → Tested a key support line (marked in blue) at the weekly low. → Remains within the red descending channel. From a bullish perspective, the red channel can be seen as a large-scale correction within the broader uptrend on higher timeframes. From a bearish perspective, the bearish gap that formed at Monday’s open may act as resistance. Whether bulls will be able to overcome this barrier in the near term will depend, among other factors, on the next batch of earnings reports from major tech companies. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
4
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed flat as the market digested the previous day's FOMC decision to hold interest rates and major corporate earnings reports. The strategy of selling at the 5-day moving average proved effective, and despite the FOMC decision and earnings from Tesla and Microsoft, the index remained within a range-bound market. On the daily chart, the MACD is still above the signal line and the zero line, indicating that the buy signal is still intact. However, as there has been no significant volatility, the gap between the indicators remains narrow, maintaining the current range. Since the buy signal is still valid, it would be advantageous to monitor whether the gap-down from January 27 is filled and trade accordingly within the range. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the signal line below the zero line and is now consolidating. For the MACD to cross below the signal line, a sharp decline would be necessary, but given the current spread between the MACD and the signal line, such a drop appears unlikely. Instead, if the market continues to consolidate and the MACD and signal line converge, the next move—whether another buying wave or a selling wave—will determine the trend. Since key economic reports, including the GDP release and Apple’s earnings, are due today, it would be best to adopt a range-bound strategy. Crude Oil Crude oil faced resistance at $74 and closed lower. On the daily chart, the sell signal remains intact, with prices failing to break above the 5-day moving average and continuing to decline within a downward channel. Prices are currently supported around the $72 level. For a bullish outlook, it would be crucial to see a strong bullish candlestick breaking above the downward channel's upper boundary at around $73.60. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line. While the MACD has crossed above the signal line, the price has not surged, resulting in only a narrow spread. Given that the $72–73 range has historically been a strong support zone, it would be preferable to buy on pullbacks. However, if the price breaks below this range and a sell signal emerges, it will be important to monitor whether the $72 level holds as support. Gold Gold closed flat on the daily chart, maintaining a buy signal. The MACD and signal line are gradually converging, but the spread remains sufficient to prevent an immediate shift to a sell signal. If the MACD turns upward, further gains are likely. A key factor to watch is whether the weekly candlestick forms a bullish pattern and the MACD crosses above the signal line. Key resistance levels are at 2800 and 2820. On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal is still intact, but the spread has narrowed, indicating weaker momentum. The market is range-bound with mixed buying and selling pressure. As long as no sell signal appears on the 240-minute chart, a buy-on-dip strategy is preferable. However, keep in mind that upcoming economic data releases may lead to pre-market consolidation. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21470 / 21400 / 21360 / 21285 / 21220 -Sell Levels: 21625 / 21680 / 21770 / 21890 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.60 / 72.00 / 71.40 / 70.50 -Sell Levels: 73.40 / 73.85 / 74.40 / 75.00 GOLD - Bullish Market(April) -Buy Levels: 2793 / 2787 / 2777 / 2773 / 2768 -Sell Levels: 2803 / 2809 / 2813 / 2821 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Nasdaq 100 Remains Neutral After the Fed's DecisionThe NAS100 initially dropped nearly 0.6% as the Federal Reserve's official decision was announced. However, so far, the event has not been decisive on the daily chart to establish a clear direction. The central bank chose to keep interest rates at 4.5% , as expected, and in its official statement, it acknowledged that inflation remains somewhat elevated and is still far from the 2% target. As long as this rate pause outlook continues, a sustained high level of 4.5% could continue to hinder overall economic activity and may become a key factor in the bearish bias that emerged in December. Short-Term Sideways Channel: At the moment, the market remains within a well-defined sideways range, with a ceiling at 22,000 points and a floor at 21,000 points. The price continues to fluctuate within this range, reflecting a clear lack of trend in recent movements. For now, this range stands as the most significant technical formation, potentially serving as a precursor to a much larger trending move. Neutrality in Indicators: The RSI line remains near the neutral 50 level , indicating that there is currently a perfect balance between buying and selling forces in the market. The MACD histogram closely resembles the RSI, oscillating near the 0-neutral line , which suggests that the moving averages do not show a clear short-term trend bias. The neutral stance of both indicators suggests that the Nasdaq may continue moving sideways for now, aligning with the current range-bound market behavior. Key Levels: 22K – The most important resistance, aligning with the top of the sideways channel. A breakout above this level could be decisive, signaling new all-time highs and reviving the long-term bullish trend. 21K – A crucial short-term support level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Price action near this level could intensify selling pressure, potentially leading to more significant bearish moves. 20K – The ultimate support level currently holding the structure. A drop to this level could tilt the balance towards the formation of a fresh downtrend in the short term. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event. Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect: Current Stock Performance Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395. The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback. Earnings Expectations Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter. Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%. Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation 👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO. 👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory. 👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call. 👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business. Analyst Sentiment There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term. The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels. Technical Sentiment Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence. Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA. Conclusion As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PandorraResearch
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ NASDAQ successfully rebounded and closed higher. Yesterday was a day where selling at the 3-day moving average was possible, and after rebounding to the 3-day line, it faced resistance and closed at that level. The rebound appears to be a recovery from the excessive drop on Monday due to overblown concerns about China's Deepseek. On the daily chart, the MACD remains above the signal line, maintaining a buy signal, which suggests further attempts to rebound are likely. Additionally, today’s FOMC meeting and major corporate earnings reports will be pivotal in determining whether the downward gap created on Monday will be filled. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a golden cross after the sharp drop and subsequent rebound. If the golden cross is not confirmed and the index falls again, it may test the double-bottom level, so caution is advised when chasing a buying position. However, if the golden cross is confirmed, it would be advisable to adopt a buy-on-dip strategy, as buying momentum remains strong. Today’s primary strategy should be selling at the 5-day moving average resistance level, making it advantageous to sell at resistance areas near the 5-day line. With strong upward momentum and potential pre-market consolidation due to economic data announcements, a box-range trading approach would be ideal. OIL Oil closed higher, encountering resistance near the $74 level. The daily chart shows that the 240-day moving average acted as support, with a bullish candle forming as oil prepares for another rebound attempt. The MACD still signals a sell trend, but consistent buying efforts could continue. As mentioned earlier, even if oil rises, it’s likely to face pullbacks at certain levels. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has been confirmed, with a double-bottom pattern forming alongside a lower shadow, indicating a favorable buy-on-dip strategy. If a strong rebound occurs, prices could rise to the 10-day moving average around $75.50. Selling positions should be avoided for now, with a focus on buy-on-dip strategies. Additionally, be mindful of price volatility due to today’s inventory report. GOLD Gold closed higher, supported by the 10-day moving average on the daily chart. The MACD and signal line on the daily chart still show separation, and gold has recovered both the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, making a buy-on-dip strategy effective. For April contracts, it is crucial to see whether gold can break above $2,815 on the weekly chart and form a bullish candle. Be cautious of increased volatility in gold prices resulting from today’s FOMC meeting outcomes. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is on the verge of a golden cross. If gold fails to see additional significant gains, the price could form the right shoulder of a head-and-shoulders pattern. If the MACD fails to build further upward momentum and starts to fall, a third wave of selling could occur, so keeping this scenario in mind is advised. The clear trend will likely be determined after today’s FOMC meeting, so monitoring gold’s movement after the announcement will be key. ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21,520 / 21,475 / 21,410 / 21,375 / 21,290 -Sell: 21,610 / 21,700 / 21,770 / 21,900 OIL - Range-bound Market -Buy: 73.65 / 73.10 / 72.60 -Sell: 74.60 / 75.00 / 75.50 / 76.00 GOLD - Bullish Market(April) -Buy: 2,791 / 2,787 / 2,783 / 2,775 -Sell: 2,804 / 2,809 / 2,821 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Nvidia Stock Goes 'DeepSeek', Ahead of Earnings CallNvidia's stock has experienced significant volatility recently, largely influenced by the emergence of a new AI model from Chinese startup DeepSeek. This model, known as R1, reportedly rivals the capabilities of advanced models from major U.S. tech companies like OpenAI and Google, but does so using less powerful and cheaper chips. This development has raised concerns among investors about the sustainability of Nvidia's market dominance and the high valuations of U.S. tech stocks. Impact of DeepSeek on Nvidia Stock Stock Performance. On January 27, 2025, Nvidia's shares plummeted by over 16%, marking its largest intraday drop since August 2023. This decline wiped more than half-a-trillion US dollars from Nvidia's market capitalization. The stock fell approximately 12.5% in early trading, reflecting widespread investor anxiety about the implications of DeepSeek's advancements. Investor Sentiment. The introduction of DeepSeek's AI model has prompted a reevaluation of the heavy investments made by U.S. tech firms in AI technologies. Analysts noted that if DeepSeek can achieve competitive results with lower costs, it may lead to reduced demand for Nvidia's high-end chips. This has caused a ripple effect across the tech sector, with other semiconductor stocks also experiencing declines. Market Reactions. The broader tech market was affected as well, with the Nasdaq index falling nearly 4% in pre-market trading. Other companies linked to AI and technology also saw significant drops; for instance, ASML and Broadcom fell by 7% and over 12%, respectively. Perspectives by Fundamental and Technical Analyst Skepticism About DeepSeek. While some analysts expressed skepticism about DeepSeek's ability to compete effectively without advanced chips, they acknowledged that its success could force U.S. companies to reconsider their strategies regarding AI investments and efficiency. For example, Citi analysts maintained a "buy" rating on Nvidia, suggesting that major U.S. companies are unlikely to shift away from using Nvidia's GPUs in the near term. Concerns Over Valuations. Analysts at Wedbush highlighted that U.S. tech stocks are currently valued at premium levels, which makes them vulnerable to any disruptions in perceived technological superiority. They noted that even small developments like those from DeepSeek could significantly impact stock prices due to inflated expectations surrounding AI advancements. Future Outlook. Despite the immediate negative impact on Nvidia's stock, some analysts believe that concerns may be exaggerated and that U.S. firms are still well-positioned for long-term growth in AI technologies. They argue that while DeepSeek's model is impressive, it does not yet match the comprehensive infrastructure and ecosystem that American tech giants have developed. Technical Outlook. The main technical graph for Nvidia stock (1-week resolution) indicates on epic breakthrough of upside channel, which has been alive for more than last two years, until ̶D̶o̶n̶a̶l̶d̶ ̶T̶r̶u̶m̶p̶ someone entered ̶a̶ ̶c̶h̶a̶t̶ White House. Ahead of Nvidia Earnings call (scheduled on February, 26) our 'fancy-nancy' Analyst Team is strongly against any Nvidia stock purchase below ready to be lost, $130 per share level. Potentially 52-week SMA can support a stock for a while near $115 a share, otherwise we believe Nvidia stock will dive below $100 level again. Conclusion In summary, the rise of DeepSeek represents a pivotal moment for Nvidia and the broader tech sector, challenging existing assumptions about AI development costs and market dynamics. The ongoing situation will likely lead to further scrutiny of investment strategies within the industry as stakeholders assess the long-term implications of this emerging competition.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by PandorraResearch
"US100 / US Tech / NASDAQ" Index Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US100 / US Tech / NASDAQ" Index Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 :Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 21,300.00 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 22,400.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook: The (US100 / US Tech / NASDAQ) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors. 🟡Macroeconomic Factors: Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates is expected to support the US stock market. Economic Growth: The US economy is expected to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace, supporting the stock market. Inflation: Low inflation levels are expected to support the stock market, as they allow for accommodative monetary policy. 🟢Fundamental Factors: Earnings Growth: Strong earnings growth from major tech companies, such as Apple and Microsoft, is expected to support the NASDAQ100. Valuations: The NASDAQ100 is trading at a relatively high valuation, but strong earnings growth and low interest rates are expected to support the index. Sector Rotation: The rotation into growth sectors, such as tech and healthcare, is expected to support the NASDAQ100. 🔵Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis: Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net long the NASDAQ100, indicating a bullish sentiment. Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bullish, with many analysts expecting the NASDAQ100 to continue its uptrend. Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that the NASDAQ100 is in an uptrend, with a bullish breakout above the 13,000 level. 🟣Sentimental Outlook: Bullish Sentiment: 65% Bearish Sentiment: 20% Neutral Sentiment: 15% 🟤Trader and Market Sentiment: - 55% of institutional traders are long on the NASDAQ 100 index, indicating a bullish sentiment. - Retail traders are also optimistic, with 60% of traders holding a long position on the index. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:US100Long
by Thief_Trader
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The NASDAQ plunged to close lower, influenced by China’s Deepseek developments. On the weekly chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the gap-down movement pushed the MACD further downward, resulting in a sharp decline in the NASDAQ index. On the daily chart, a gap was created as a bearish candle formed with a high opening price. Given the moving average trends, breaching the 120-day moving average in the current range could trigger a downward wave, threatening the 240-day moving average as well. However, the MACD on the daily chart has not yet crossed below the signal line (dead cross), so it’s worth observing whether the market rebounds to form a box range or continues its downward momentum. If the 120-day moving average is breached, a drop to the 240-day moving average is possible. It would also be prudent to consider levels as low as 19,800, which aligns with the 10-day moving average on the monthly chart and the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. On the 240-minute chart, a steep decline is evident, with the MACD and signal line falling sharply below the zero line. The angle suggests that further downward movement is likely, making sell strategies favorable during upward corrections. With the VIX index surging, volatility has intensified. Traders using one-contract strategies should consider scaling down their leverage—e.g., by using micro NASDAQ contracts or splitting positions into smaller increments like 0.01 lots through MetaTrader—allowing for more flexible risk management in these volatile conditions. OIL Oil closed lower, finding support at the 240-day moving average. This is a key level, as it overlaps with a prior resistance zone, making a pullback buy strategy effective in this range. However, the MACD has crossed below the signal line (dead cross), maintaining the sell signal, and this suggests that any rebound is likely to face significant pullbacks. Rebounds are expected to occur within a large box range, with the market likely undergoing time corrections to align the moving averages. On the 240-minute chart, sell signals are evident. Even with further declines, the 240-minute chart indicates that the 240-day moving average could act as strong support, potentially allowing a rebound toward the 60-day moving average, which corresponds to approximately $76. This aligns with a resistance level seen on the daily chart, making a pullback buy strategy advisable near this zone. Oil prices are also being influenced by the strengthening dollar, fueled by global market volatility. While AI-related factors have contributed to the dollar’s strength, the impact on oil prices is expected to be limited, with oil maintaining its own unique volatility. GOLD Gold plunged to close lower due to dollar strength amid heightened volatility. On the weekly chart, the MACD resumed its downward trajectory, with the gold price showing a steep decline. The MACD has not been able to cross above the signal line decisively, consistent with its pattern. On the daily chart, it is critical to monitor whether the 10-day moving average provides support during the current downtrend. On the 240-minute chart, MACD divergence accompanied gold’s sharp decline. However, since the MACD and signal line are still above the zero line, there may be room for a rebound. It’s essential to check for support and recovery near the 2,730 level. If prices rebound, gold could aim to test previous highs based on the daily chart trend. Avoid chasing prices lower with aggressive selling; instead, focus on pullback buying strategies. If the NASDAQ continues its decline and gold follows suit, further downside toward 2,700 is possible. Overall, buying during pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but strict risk management with stop-loss levels is crucial. The volatility in U.S. markets has increased due to China’s Deepseek developments. As always, heightened volatility in futures markets presents both opportunities and risks. Traders who can maintain disciplined strategies may capitalize on this environment, while those who cannot may risk significant losses. With Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, as well as earnings reports from Tesla and Meta on Wednesday and Apple on Thursday, market volatility is expected to remain high. Wishing you success in trading this week! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21,260 / 21,140 / 21,100 / 21,040 / 21,890 -Sell: 21,365 / 21,415 / 21,480 / 21,540 / 21,660 OIL - Range-bound Market -Buy: 72.60 / 72.00 / 71.40 / 70.60 -Sell: 73.55 / 74.40 / 75.00 / 75.95 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy: 2,739 / 2,733 / 2,726 / 2,716 -Sell: 2,754 / 2,760 / 2,767 / 2,776 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
Nasdaq US100: Positioned for a Breakout to New Highs!After a deep retrace on the daily timeframe, I’ve initiated a long position on the Nasdaq US100. The plan is to ride this wave back to its Higher High, capitalizing on the recovery momentum. Technical Insight: • Key Structure: The market has shown strong respect for the current retracement levels, providing a solid base for a bounce. • Trendline Support: Price action aligns well with the trendline channel, indicating potential for upward continuation. • Fib Levels: The pullback reached a critical zone, signaling that buyers may step in to push the price higher. Let’s see how this plays out! Always remember to trade with proper risk management and pay yourself along the way! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by AR33_
IBM: Attention! First signs of the end of the retracement!International Business Machines, abbreviated IBM and nicknamed "Blue Green", the large multinational computer technology and consulting corporation based in Armonk, New York, has a CLEARLY BULLISH technical aspect in its main time frames. During 2024 it accumulated a rise of almost 50% when it reached the 239 area on December 9. Since then the price took a break and began a retracement phase that took it to the 215 area (61.8% Fibonacci). --> What situation is it in now? If we look at the chart, last Friday the price showed us the first 2 bullish warnings (Bull), indicating that the END of the retracement could be very close!! --> What areas do we have to watch? An upward break of the 227 area would indicate the END OF THE REVERSE and therefore, a new attack on its historical highs. But if the price loses the 214, it could easily take it towards the 204 area. --> Is there any risk nearby? Yes. Wednesday 29th presents results and if there are negative surprises, the price could fall strongly towards the 204 area, putting its medium-long term bullish trend at risk. If our profile is CONSERVATIVE I would stay out of the value until the results are published, but if we have an AGGRESSIVE profile, we could follow the following strategy. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 227 POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 238 area (+4.8%) --> Stop Loss at 214 (-5.7%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5.7%) (coinciding with the 214 of position 1). ---We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (238). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
NYSE:IBMLong
by jmesado