Nasdaq Breakdown: 12-NOV-2024Good morning, trading community! Today's Nasdaq analysis is for you. Share your thoughts, ask questions, and let's grow.
Nasdaq100
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 11 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None, today is Veterans Day, market may be slow
News - None
Directional bias - BUY. The strong upsurge in the stock markets are a clear indication that the markets view the US election results favourably. Bulls have stepped in with both volume and momentum.
Morning analysis:
M TF - very bullish, candle is 13'000 pips strong at time of writing. Still 18 days to go till candle close but definitely indicative of strong bull sentiment
W TF - Finally the W candle managed to close above the strong weekly resistance at 20'363.
D TF - Friday's candle closed as a doji candle, could be an indication that price is stalling and a bigger price retracement is in the works. D TF and W TF fib levels are aligned, this will make this fib levels very strong. Huge gap up of +- 600 pips noted.
As the morning progressed, the 4H fib moved and finally settles on swing low at A. and swing high at B.
Identified an area of interest / confluence (highlighted in green), where pivot point and 4H 0.618 fib are in the same zone
Price should at least bounce from here, enough for me to secure my position at entry.
As the morning progressed, price moved down rapidly to my interest zone. Once price reached this green highlighted area, I start to keep an eye on the 5min TF because this is an area of high probability of price movement and with Nasdaq being so volatile, this TF can give signals at these high interest zones.
Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
1. Trend - a buy is in the same direction as the overall trend. I prefer trading with the trend as “the trend is your friend”.
2. S&R - the daily pivot point represents an objective and strong support & resistance zone which Nasdaq often respects.
3. Market pattern - a DB formed on the 5min and broke the neckline up, indicating that buyers are over-powering the sellers at this zone
4. Fib - 4H 0.618 fib level was in this zone
Mental SL placed below the lowest candle close of the first bottom of the DB on the 5min TF (marked with think pink line).
Market moved up enough for me to secure my trade (I usually secure my trades once price is 250 pips or more from my entry).
But then unfortunately moved back down and took me out at entry!
Today represented a big retracement.
In my trading style I don’t like to trade against the overall trend (I don’t trade retracements), so I would never have taken a sell.
But hope you got the sell, you would have coined it today! ;)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Nasdaq trading insights 11-NOV-2024Nasdaq trading insights for today: Explore our zones for informed decision-making.
NASDAQ Update on Elliott Wave CountsLast week, we saw solid sharp moves up in NASDAQ:NDX along with SP:SPX and $FRED:DJIA. And that move made me reconsider my counts since I was expecting that we had a top in place now with X complete and Y down should now unfold. But last week's move made another all time high. Watch the video to understand what are the possibilities now.
Nasdaq Short: Weak Tech & Key Data AheadTaking advantage of the current bearish momentum in the Nasdaq with a daily short setup. Recent price action reveals a double-top pattern and a significant trendline break, suggesting potential downside. As we approach critical economic data releases, volatility is expected, which could fuel further bearish movement.
Technical Analysis
• Pattern: Double-top formation, a bearish reversal signal, confirmed with a break below the neckline.
• Trendline: The long-standing upward trend has been broken, validating the bearish scenario.
• Key Resistance: $20,200 area is acting as a strong resistance zone.
• Support Levels: Initial support around $18,800 with further downside potential if broken.
Fundamentals:
The short position on Nasdaq is driven by the weak tech performance, with giants like MSFT (-6.05%) and META (-4.09%) showing declines. Rising bond yields have intensified pressure on tech stocks, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment. Additionally, tomorrow’s key data—Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 113K vs. prior 254K), Unemployment Rate (expected steady at 4.1%), and ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 47.6)—could further impact market outlook, with any surprises likely to influence Fed expectations and Nasdaq sentiment.
Risk Management
• Entry: Near current levels, aiming for downside momentum.
• Stop Loss: Above recent highs to protect against false breakouts.
• Target: Initial target at $18,800, with potential to extend if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Note: Given the volatility associated with these macroeconomic events, there is potential for increased fluctuations. Managing risk through stop-losses and close monitoring of data releases is essential.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
VIX GOING BACK UPAfter two false routes (the two white lines), we know for sure that VIX is to go up at some point to make up for the gap it made this week.
The only thing is we thought today's opening would be a higher gap compensating the precedent gap, but it kept getting lower and lower.
Now that we're approaching a low KL, there might be a new opportunity for a long entry, stay advised and always put a tight SL on this.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Friday 8 Nov 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Been quiet, dealing with a personal issue - but time to get back into trading.
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None today. Fed cut interest rates by 25 bps yesterday.
News - Trump won the US presidential election.
Directional bias - BUY. The strong upsurge in the stock markets are a clear indication that the markets view the US election results favourably. Bulls have stepped in with both volume and momentum.
Morning analysis:
M TF - Very bullish, current candle is 12'500 pips strong
W TF - Very bullish, fib levels moved up and now coincide with D fib levels = TF confluence and strong levels
D TF - Second day of highest D candle close. Bulls are dominating. Strong fib levels as coincide with W.
4H - Difficult to draw fib because price action just moved straight up, but used the line chart to give best estimate (fib drawn from swing low at A to swing high at B) and 4H 0.382 fib level lines up perfectly with pivot point. This is my interest area / area of confluence for today.
During the day:
Price formed a rising wedge on the 1H TF, marked with the blue lines.
Price broke the market pattern downwards and moved down past the market pattern profit target, marked by blue vertical line (i.e. price usually moves down the same distance as the height of the market pattern).
As price neared my area of interest, I noted a double bottom form on the 5min TF and entered.
Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
1. Trend - a buy is in the same direction as the overall trend - the trend is your friend
2. Fib - price made a DB above the 4H 0.382 fib level - 4H fib levels are strong levels.
3. Market pattern - DB formed on the 5min TF with neckline broken upwards. I used the 5min TF because price was right at my area of confluence (I don't use this TF if price is not in my area of interest)
4. Candlesticks - doji candle formed on the 15min TF, thereafter, neckline of DB was broken upwards on the 5min. This indicated that sellers were unable to push price down beyond this point and that buyers stepped in.
6. S&R - DB formed above the D pivot.
Mental stop placed below pivot point, at thick red line.
Price moved up and is now re-testing the neckline of the 4H DT. Seems that as of now, bears are giving bulls a hard time.
Once price moved up sufficiently, I secured at entry (moved SL to entry) and am now effectively trading risk free.
My intention is to hold my position in case bulls can re-test and break the 4H neckline upwards.
If I get taken out before that...then I would be ok with a zero profit day for my first day back.
Hope you coined it during this incredible bulls rally the past few days! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Nasdaq Insights: Uncovering Today’s Opportunities 08-NOV-2024Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
The Nasdaq index sets a new record driven by ‘Trump Trade’
Expectations for a ‘Trump Trade’ are rising, with Wall Street increasing its target for the S&P500; index next year. Notably, there is widespread optimism about Tesla's stock. Bank of America has raised its price target for Tesla from $265 to $350, now the highest on Wall Street, exceeding Morgan Stanley's target of $310. Additionally, the Fed cut interest rates by 25bp as expected, but the impact on the market was minimal since this was already factored into prices.
USTEC broke its previous high again and soared to 21130. The index breached the ascending channel’s upper bound, sending a clear bullish signal. If USTEC sustains its uptrend and breaches the resistance at 21300, the index may gain upward momentum toward a new high of 21600. Conversely, if USTEC returns its gains, breaking the channel’s upper bound, the index may fall further to 20700.
Nasdaq100 nearing long term channel resistance As the SPX looks set for a 6000 test, the NASDAQ100 is nearing long term channel resistance. RSI's divergent, but this hasn't stopped the bullish run.
NASDSAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Confirmation After Breakout
US100 Index updated the all-time high, violating a solid daily horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, the market retested the broken structure and started to consolidate
on an hourly time frame.
A violation of the upper boundary of the range is a strong intraday bullish continuation.
It indicates that with a high probability, the price will go up.
Next goal - 20920
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$QQQ: The election is over, here is where the markets are going NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:NDX
The charts say we are in a FULL on BULL RUN!
Cup n Handle Measure Move hasn't hit yet at $560, the measure time is out until Feb2026.
Ascending Triangle Breakout is happening now with a measure move to $580 by March2025.
Also, a #HIGHFIVESETUP and why I pointed out that we would bounce on Halloween and hit ATH's this week.
Like and Follow for more setups, we are just getting started.
NFA
#trading
$QQQ $NASDAQ : WE WILL BE AT ATH'S NEXT WEEK. HERE IS THE CURE! NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:QQQ WE WILL BE AT ATH'S NEXT WEEK. HERE IS THE CURE!
In this video, we will discuss the following
1.) We will look at the technicals and charts while going over multiple indicators and patterns pointing us in one direction on the markets...HIGHER
2.) Stick around to the end of the video as I give you the CURE to the markets' 3-5% pullback from recent highs, which will indeed take us to ATHs next week!
Drop a comment below if you learned something new or want a deep dive into anything discussed in this video today.
Stay tuned for more.
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NFA
NASDAQ Analysis scenarios ideaWe can see 2 Gaps in the Nasdaq, with USA Elections ahead i expect volatility.
I think we will close the 19800 gap first, then 19600 for then going up.
It depends a lot in the USA elections results
Always do your research
Nasdaq Valuable Insights: for 05-NOV-2024 Good morning. Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis and educational insights for price action traders.
What If Smart Money Shifts from Traditional Companies to Crypto?This idea explores the potential scenario where smart money moves from traditional top 100 Nasdaq companies to the crypto space. As Nasdaq reaches its peak and becomes less attractive, blockchain companies offer more reasonable valuations, and the crypto market continues to open up, providing new opportunities. This shift could drive substantial growth in the blockchain and crypto sectors as traditional finance investors look for higher returns in emerging technologies.
USTEC is engulfed in uncertainty ahead of the US election
Stock prices in the semiconductor companies declined after reports that the US government instructed major companies to cut China companies from their supply chains. NVIDIA's gains diminished to a 0.48% increase, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped by 0.55%.
Additionally, Warren Buffett's decision to sell US stocks and secure cash negatively affected the overall US index. Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stock holdings from 905 million shares at the end of last year to 300 million shares by the end of September, including a significant sell-off of Apple stocks this year.
USTEC briefly tested 20140 but failed to hold above the 20000 threshold. After slipping back to the channel's lower bound, the index awaits further price triggers. If USTEC breaches the resistance after re-entering the channel, the index may gain upward momentum toward the 20680 high. Conversely, if USTEC fails to enter the channel and retreats to 19700, the index may fall further to the support at 19520.
Nasdaq GAP We can see a Nasdaq GAP could we see it close in the next hours? USA elections starting soon, let's see how market react
Always do your research
BTC TOWARDS THE ELECTIONSTomorrow is the big day, all assets might break down and aim at lower lows and key levels, espcially in the US ;
USD, GOLD, BTC and NASDAQ will all be touched by this ;
BTC has already broken and will confirm tomorrow.
USDJPY ALL INTomorrow is the big day, all assets might break down and aim at lower lows and key levels, espcially in the US ;
USD, GOLD, BTC and NASDAQ will all be touched by this ;
tomorrow we'll know whether USDJPY is aiming at the top or the ground around 12PM.
XAUUSD RALLYTomorrow is the big day, all assets might break down and aim at lower lows and key levels, espcially in the US ;
USD, GOLD, BTC and NASDAQ will all be touched by this ;
other currencies as well but less importantly.
ELECTIONS : GOING DOWN !!Tomorrow is the big day, all assets might break down and aim at lower lows and key levels, espcially in the US ;
USD, GOLD, BTC and NASDAQ will all be touched by this ;
other currencies as well but less importantly.
NASDAQ100 Plummets! Short Trade Nears Final Target!NASDAQ100 (NDX) Analysis:
NASDAQ100 (NDX) has seen a strong downward trend on the 15-minute chart, with the trade setup delivering impressive results. Targets 1 through 3 have been hit, and the price is closing in on the final TP4 level, making this an ideal short trade for traders leveraging the momentum.
Trade Summary:
Entry Level: 20429.42
Target Levels:
TP1: 20323.94 ✅
TP2: 20153.26 ✅
TP3: 19982.58 ✅
TP4: 19877.10 (nearly hit)
Stop Loss: 20514.76
The Risological Dotted Trendline guided traders perfectly through this short trade, marking a strong resistance level as the index continued its descent.
