Nasdaq 100 IndexWhere we stand in Nasdaq 100 Index.
Going through the chart I got these counts and looks valid to me.
This is just my opinion not any trading advisory.
I reserve the right to be wrong.
Thanks
Nasdaq100index
Nasdaq: Taking a Break… 😮💨Currently, Nasdaq is taking a break from the exhausting ascent it has realized from the low of wave iv in turquoise. However, we expect the index to activate some more upwards momentum, expanding wave v in turquoise so that a higher top of wave i in orange can be reached. This done, Nasdaq should turn downwards and drop below the support at 13 566 points to develop wave ii in orange. There is a 40% chance, though, that the index could bounce off this mark, finishing wave alt.iv in turquoise instead. In that case, we would expect a delayed expansion of wave alt.ii in orange and thus a delayed drop below the mentioned support line.
Nasdaq: Tough Sledding 🐌🛷Nasdaq is shuffling on, but the going is tough – to coin a phrase. However, we expect the bears to take more action soon! They should drag the index into the orange zone between 12 577 and 12 136 points, where wave ii in orange should end. Afterward, the bulls should take the helm again, inciting Nasdaq to develop wave iii in orange, which should reach about 14 000 points – providing that the support line at 11 806 points remains intact.
Walgreens Boots Alliance: Take Your Medicine 💊Walgreens Boots Alliance should take its medicine as the share needs some more strength to make it above the resistance at $42.29. From there, the course should rise into the green zone between $52.38 and $59.29 to conclude wave 3 in green before we anticipate a countermovement. A 38% chance remains, though, that WBA could drop below the support at $32.70 instead, subsequently slipping below the support at $30.39 as well.
Nasdaq: Nas-duck? 🦆Like a (Nas-)duck before the thunderstorm, Nasdaq is facing the ascent we expect in the course of wave iii in orange. The index has been struggling to proceed with the upwards movement for some time – however, appropriate impulses are visible. Now, Nasdaq should climb further northwards to complete wave iii in orange before starting a countermovement into the orange zone between 13 082 and 12 277 points. There, the index should conclude wave iv in orange and subsequently veer upwards again. There is a 40% chance, though, for Nasdaq to drop below the support at 10 636 points. In that case, the index would first develop new lows in the turquoise zone between 10 326 and 9 779 points before rising again.
QQQ - Nasdaq 100 to form new lows in the short-termYesterday, after the FED decision, QQQ gained over 3%. Despite that, we kept our stance and did not abandon our bearish price targets. Indeed, we noted that the relief rally was in progress and that the abrupt move up reflected the market's fragility. We think today's fall foreshadows more weakness ahead. Our short-term price target for QQQ is 310 USD; the medium price target is 305 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Today, we pointed out this bearish structure just before the fall. Additionally, yesterday, we also pointed out that declining volume accompanied the bounce in price.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI reversed to the downside, which is bearish. Stochastic fails to move higher. MACD remains bearish. DM+ and DM- also show bearish conditions in the market. Meanwhile, declining ADX reflects a recent pause in selling pressure. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX indicates that the bearish trend is gaining strength. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
