NASDAQ is going to pull back to the bottom of the broken channelWhen NASDAQ index reached the midline of the main historical channel, the hammer landed on its head. Then the bottom of the ascending channel was lost and now it is pulling back to the bottom of the broken channel with the confirmation of the indicator for a pullback.
The predicted route is specified.
Nasdaqanalysis
7 Dimension Trade idea For Nasdaq 😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Corrective move, indicating a Point of Interest (POI) for potential reversal. Vigilance is required for a bullish reaction at this level.
🟢 Inducement: Not done yet; waiting for a proper internal bullish BoS.
🟢 Internal Structure: Currently bearish, anticipating a shift with a bullish BoS.
🟢 Decisional Order Block: About to be mitigated.
🟢 Demand Area: Identified via FVG, indicating a discounted area.
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily and H4
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: No significant chart patterns observed.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Various signals: Record Session count, Shrinking long wick, Change in guard with engulfing, Doji, Momentum, Inside bar, and a blended combo suggesting a potential reversal.
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Fixed Range: Bullish dominance in these areas.
🟢 Volume during Correction: Comparatively less during correction than in impulsive moves.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Zone: Extremely Bearish
🟢 Range Shift: Waiting for a potential shift from bearish to sideways. Two strong bullish divergences indicate weakness in bearish momentum.
🟢 Loud Moves: Conventional RSI theory suggests an extremely oversold market, possibly signaling a reversal.
🟢 Grandfather Father Son Entries: A robust 7-star buy signal.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Price is already under the Middle band.
🟢 After a strong expansion, the market is moving into contraction, indicating a potential bullish sideways move.
🟢 Squeeze breakout awaited.
🟢 Walking on the band not yet.
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Values: Nasdaq shows the highest rate of bullish sentiment compared to all other indices.
7️⃣ Sentiment
Price action signals a clear long entry, but other dimensions like momentum and volatility tell a different story. Waiting for final volatility and momentum confirmation for a long position.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Corrective
✔ Support Resistance Base: FVG demand area
☑️ Candles Behavior: Bullish signals intact - RSC, Long wicks, Doji, Inside, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Occurred
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Breached but not confirmed.
💡 Decision: It's prudent to wait until the price provides a proper internal structure breakout. Once a bullish BoS is confirmed, consider a buy. I will update entry, take profit, and stop levels when triggered.
🚀 Entry:
✋ Stop Loss:
🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio:
🕛 Expected Duration:
SUMMARY: The analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal but advises caution until the price demonstrates a clear internal structure breakout. Various signals indicate a reversal, and a detailed plan will be updated upon market confirmation.
NDX Broke Double Bullish Pattern, 16600 SoonDear Traders,
NDX broke the falling channel (long purple trendlines) and then repeated a breakout from the falling wedge (short purple trendlines).
I believe NDX can continue its rally because MACD turned bullish, and I can see a confirmed bullish cross on the RSI. The price is above EMAs, and the volume is high enough for the continuation. I believe the target could be around 16600.
NDX is also overbought. While I expect further upside, traders without an existing position from lower target prices could wait for a corrective retracement to enter.
Kind regards,
Ely
Nasdaq 100 - Sell (Double Top, H&S Pattern, 0.618 Fib Extension)- Double top formation forming on the Daily/Weekly chart
- Head & Shoulders Pattern potential to form (2nd top in double top is the head of H&S patter)
- Price has reached Fibo 0.618 extension, potential area for reversal
- Mean reversion back to the long term trend line (excluding the inflationary impact of money
printing)
- News celebrating all time high, contrarian approach to avoid masses excitement/hysteria.
NASDAQ ANALYSISChart : 4Hour
Overall Trend : Bullish
Current Market Structure : Consolidation
Scenario 1 :
Price is currently still between Asian range still , market did end up sweeping Asian lows . But failing to close below it . This could indicate that we can get possible short term buys in the market .
Scenario 2 :
A close below Asian lows will indicate that price is pulling back to a demand area , so we can get into the market at a much cheaper price (discount) .
Keep in mind market is currently rejecting off a 4Hour supply area . If respected . We can get into shorts targeting potential demand areas .
NASDAQ ANALYSIS💸NASDAQ💸
Chart : 1Hour
Overall Trend : Bullish
Current Market Structure : Consolidation
Scenario 1 :
•Break ABOVE current consolidation area , we will look to Buy ,Targeting our weekly OB @ 16300 .
Scenario 2 :
•Break BELOW current consolidation , will signify a pullback to 15500 , Filling the imbalance in the market & then continuing the bullish momentum.
WILL LOOK ON THE LOWER TIME FRAME FOR POSSIBLE BUYING POSITIONS .(WITH CONFIRMATION)💡
US100 crash ready to starthello dear trader and investors
It’s actually already starting - and it has the potential to cause a depression. And the Federal Reserve has been forced to print billions of dollars in fake money, which is only exacerbating the situation.
But once the dust settles, I strongly believe that by 2025, gold will be valued at $5,000 per ounce, silver will be valued at $500 per ounce, and Bitcoin will be valued at $500,000. Why? Because people's faith in the US dollar will be destroyed.
On the other hand, Bitcoin has emerged as the people's currency. Because it’s decentralized, secure, and free from government manipulation. As a result, more and more people are turning to Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.
Dollar is dying and stock is not a good place to invest in this economic crisis
good luck
mehdi
US100 NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of the NAS100, focusing on its current bearish sentiment evident on the higher timeframes. Notably, the US100 index has recently approached a critical support level. Our discussion within the video encompasses vital components of technical analysis, such as the prevailing trend, price action dynamics, market structure, and other fundamental aspects of technical analysis. Towards the latter part of the video, we explore a potential trade opportunity.
It is crucial to emphasize that the content presented is exclusively for educational purposes and should not be regarded as financial advice. It is essential to acknowledge that trading in the currency markets involves a significant level of risk. Consequently, the prudent integration of risk management strategies into your trading plan is absolutely imperative.
US100 Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaI'd like to share my insights on the US100. As the week is coming to a close, it's important to be mindful of potential stop runs by institutional traders, which can be quite aggressive on Fridays. Additionally, we have the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled later today, so if you're considering trading, exercise extreme caution.
These remarks are more in the context of a potential trading setup should we witness a retracement today, possibly setting the stage for Monday. It's crucial to remember that the information in this video is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Please ensure that you apply robust risk management techniques when engaging in trading.
Wishing you a wonderful weekend ahead!
$NDX Quarter 3 (Q3) AnalysisThe NASDAQ has been performing extremely well for the year, and a special rebalance was put into effect in July to slow down the NASDAQ’s growth. Currently the NASDAQ has support in the EMA ribbon, which also intersects with the white support zone and yellow support line. This yellow support line has been acting as a support level since January 2023. I think the NASDAQ will have a bullish Q4 and will trend towards a new all-time high (green circle). However, I think this new all-time high could get delayed until Q1 and Q2 of next year, but I do expect a strong performance for the NASDAQ in Q4.
NDQ100: Thoughts and analysisToday's focus: NDX100 Nasdaq
Pattern – Higher lower support point (LH Inc)
Support – 15,320 - 14,690
Resistance – 15,520 – 15,822
Thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we have run over the NDX100 on the daily chart. We have started with the overall picture and worked our way into the current short-term perspective with things we are watching and levels we view as important.
Over the subsequent few sessions, we feel that 15,520 support is key for buyers, and we would like to see them not only hold that area but form a rally that can retest 15,320 resistance. A break could get the short-term trend back up and running, but a good close below that support level could suggest the up trend could be in danger, and we may even see a new move back down to test 14,690 if sellers can really get going.
Have a great day and good trading.
NASDAQ Forming Head and Shoulders ReversalNASDAQ Daily
*Note: This is an update to our previous analysis that will be linked below
Price Chart
The NDX is currently trading within an upward channel (Yellow Solids), and has recently tested the bottom trend line a fourth time; the more price retests it the weaker it becomes. This has also formed what could be the neckline (Teal / Red Solid) to a head and shoulders setup and has pushed the price past the mid-point (Teal Dotted) of the double top; which would also be the head. EMA's on the other hand have failed to cross lower with the 12-day and 26-day recrossing higher. Also notable is the spike in selling pressure on July 21; which is the same area the NDX is currently trading.
Relative Strength Indicator
There is a divergence (Teal Solid) from the price which lead to the trend line (Yellow Solid) breaking and the RSI dipping below the 50 level. The RSI has since recovered, however it's re approaching the trend line for a retest.
On Balance Volume
Similarly to the RSI, the OBV has also shown a divergence from the price and moved lower past the mid-point (Teal Dotted) in the double top. After a bounce at the support (Red Solid) the indicator is moving higher to retest the mid-point.
TLDR;
The market is showing strength, but a head and shoulders pattern is possibly forming as outlined above. RSI and OBV are both signaling higher, however, the indicators are nearing a trend line retest and level of resistance respectively. If price action moves past the head then we have an invalidation, but look for lower buying volume in the beginning of September to signal the formation of the shoulder.
What Seems Legit?
Um, not our portfolio if Mr. Market keeps running away from our targets; the market has been on a tear since the reversal in Dec / Jan. I mean, how many times have you heard those Bloomberg boys on the radio be like "omg markut go zhoom moar! wuuuuut?!", then the analyst comes on and is like "OH YEA NO U GOTTA DEPLOY CASH HERE I MEAN U CANT SIT ON THE SIDELINES LIKE WE CALLED THE BOTTOM AND NAO U GOTTA BAI". Layin' it on a little thick, text book transfer of wealth. Let's see if we get that head and shoulders.
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Chart Key
Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line / Channel
Red Solid = Support / Resistance
Teal / Red Solid = H&S Neck Line
Aqua Solid = Divergences
Teal Dotted = Midpoint Resistance
White Dotted = Invalidation of H&S
Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ Heading Lower For Longer (1D)NASDAQ Daily
Price Chart
We have quite a bit going on here so, pitter patter lets get at 'er. First, we have our second fake out (Highlighted) on the major trend line (Yellow Solid) which is accompanied by less buying volume than the first. EMA's have not crossed yet however we have a solid close below the 50-day and a legit cross of the 12-day and 26-day indicating a change in direction. We're getting the bounce we thought we might (Teal Dotted), which was outlined in the Weekly analysis that will be linked below, and should max out at the top teal dotted line if it pushes past the EMAs; This will be dependent on Nvidia earnings since it's so heavily weighted on the Index. After it begins to come down the first target of support (Green Box) aligns with the 200-day EMA, so that's definitely in play and will most likely see a decent bounce from there.
Relative Strength Indicator
Most notable here is the bearish divergence (Aqua Solid) that played out in the previous months and lead to a break in the major trend line. This lead to a small retest and the beginning of a bounce on the line of support (Teal Dotted). From here we likely see a retest of the 50 level to accompany the bounce and a rejection to downside to confirm our analysis.
On Balance Volume
Similarly to the RSI there was also bearish divergence that played out from previous months that lead to change in the direction of the OBV. The major level of support, or midpoint of the double top, was broken and confirmed the change in direction; This lead to the major trend line on this indicator also snapping. Most recently we've seen the beginning of a bounce on a line of support, which will most likely lead to a retest of the major trend line before resuming it's downward movement. Our target here aligns with another major trend line (Faded Yellow Solid) and the target support (Green Box).
TLDR;
Bro u pittur pattured moar thn u gat @ hur. Yea, well, we're in the business of pittering and the pattering is good. Price action is showing weakness and we're beginning get a small bounce at the second fake out break out of the major trend line; NVDA earnings will determine the height of it. The 12-day / 26-day EMA's actually crossed this time and there's been a solid close below the 50-day. RSI and OBV both show bearish divergences that have played out and confirmed the change in direction; both indicators are also showing a bounce at outlined supports before downward momentum resumes. Current targets are the green boxes.
What Seems Legit?
We bounce from excitement into Nvidia earnings; This seems to big one of the largest earnings calls in awhile, so you know big brain bets have already been placed, no one is showing up fashionably late for this. Earnings come out and the market either goes nuts, or has lackluster performance (our guess) into Friday where our overlords seal the deal for lower price movement.
Chart Key
Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line
Red Solid = Major Support
Aqua Solid = Divergences
Teal Dotted = Support / Bounce Area
Red Box = Major Resistance
Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas