Nasdaq analysis: 21-Feb-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
Nasdaqidea
My NAS Long Scalp IdeaUS stocks and indices are very neutral recently. I however remain slightly bullish and found a small setup. This is pure price action bias but including the fundamental view we are in a neutral state as we are waiting for upcoming economic news. This week has been neutral due to the lack of news. We got a bunch of Trump speech but nothing more.
This idea is meant for short term It could completely reverse on me so do your own research and trade safely.
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla
Based on Technical + Fundamental View
-market structure
-Head and shoulder pattern
-Double top
-Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame
-Product Development Delays
-Margin Pressure
-Decreased average selling price
- Increased Competition
- Flat /Declining Sales
- Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers.
Technical view
Double top
Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal.
Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4)
Pro Tip
Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone.
Target 1 - 307$
Target 2 - 271$
Target 3 - 237$
Stop Loss - 380.21$
Fundamental View
Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors.
Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs.
Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market.
Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions.
Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures.
Not an investment Advise
Nasdaq market analysis: 18-Feb-2025Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
NQ <> TOTAL 3"Playout chart of NQ vs. TOTAL 3 over the past few years, highlighting periods of market expansion, cooling phases, and corrections.
Nasdaq trading insights: 12-Feb-2025Nasdaq trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
US100 Trade Log - CPI Pre-ShotUS100 long ahead of "CPI release" , pre-shot long for Asia session.
- Entry at "1H Kijun" and deep into "15m FVG" , aligning with pre-triangle accumulation.
- Structure is "hyper discretionary" but leans into my bullish bias.
- "Max pain: 2%" , treating this as a CPI momentum trade.
- If price respects the level, expecting an upside expansion. If not, I eat the loss.
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels:
Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels.
Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes.
Fundamental Outlook:
With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile.
A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone.
Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000.
Rationale:
The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes.
A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum.
Action:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600.
Stop Loss: 21,700
Take Profits:
TP1: 21,300
TP2: 21,000
TP3: 20,800
Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
NAS100 1st week of FEB expectationI am forecasting that NAS should go down to the demand zone taking out IRL and then react off the demand zone and head up to the supply zone. the demand zone is also in the discount zone of the range adding more confluence. this week is tricky as NAS is respecting both supply and demand zones so it it unclear if price will break above supply
NASDAQ - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily Time-frame)
20000.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 20548.20 on 01/13/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 21248.00, 21722.90, 22203.25 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
21248.00
21722.90
22203.25
22500.00
23000.00
23500.00
24000.00
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NAS_break_21880_then-whats-nextNAS on daily view
this is my current view, we need to check once it break the last Higher low
on some fibs this is also a 178.6% extended fib view, so it wil be interesting to see what happens, what is it that market makers wants to do
then again to the other side, once it breaks the high of the left side of the W, we could see a retracement to the the "Golden zone(50%-61%fib)"
also some loads of liquidity in that long wick
lets see what this week brings us
NAS100 Trade ideaNAS100 is on an up trend and is breaking above key levels while continuing to respect structure. Price has just broken above a key level and gave a retest followed by a double bottom rejection to confirm a buy entry
NASDAQ short anticipation I projected the Long few days back. Now I'm anticipating a reversal from that daily key-level. I won't be shorting aggressively, I would wait for rejection from that zone then look for sell opportunity
NASDAQ Outlook IF the daily close above the weekly level 20491.21 or the Daily candle closes bullish , I'll be looking for buys 📈↗️opportunity to 21009.46
That's because of the imbalance that needs to be filled around that zone. Hence I'm going to watch how price reacts at that level for sell continuation.
The monthly candle is bearish. It might end bearish by the end of the Month.
Kindly boost this if you find it insightful ciao!
NADAQ strategy - Next NFP I hit final 5° wave target.
I think there will be possibility for a rebound of index until 21k area
Thia area means retest of minor support area (1° wave) and also 0,5 rebound of last long leg
Tomorrow we will have the NFP.. if it will suggest a potential stop of interest rate reduction we can see this short.
Nasdaq analysis: 09-Jan-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
Actionable Nasdaq insights: 08-Jan-2025Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
US100 IdeaNasdaq has formed a valid ascending trendline with multiple touches and broke it
retested and get rejected so now we can enter a short (sell) trade with a stop loss above the highest number it reached
Follow us or more ideas and analysis
Nasdaq Zones: 03-Jan-2024Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
Final Nasdaq analysis for 2024: 31-Dec-2024 Let’s dive into the last Nasdaq market analysis for 2024. Share insights, and potentially spot opportunities for good pips.
NAS100On NAS100 I am bearish for the longer term, currently I am waiting for price to reach my area of interes where I will be looking for selling opportunities. You will see there are two areas where i will be interested to look for selling opportunities. This is done based on my strategy on specific charts.
Remember, clear charts better vision.
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NAS 100 BREAKER BLOCK SHORT! With Price action giving us strong rejection wicks at our area of interest, breaking through the Swing low (Break & Retest set up), along with sweeping buy side liquidity formed at the Daily support level.
Price is poised for a pull back to the breaker block (Structure Low). If we receive a Bearish confirmation, once price reaches the Breaker Block. This would be a good and confident short entry. Watch your risk as we are still above the subjective Bullish Trend line
Take profit 1 at The FVG 21,245
Take profit 2 (Stretch Goal) is the 38.2 Fib retracement level.
* If we see a 38.2 retracement this should be a rejection off of the subjective "Bullish Trendline"
** Volume is giving us a great push down from the breaker block, Also just above TP2 is another area of great volume that could server as potential support.
Concepts used:
Structure
Volume
Price Action
Fibs
ICT
