Nasdaqidea
US100 Trade Log - CPI Pre-ShotUS100 long ahead of "CPI release" , pre-shot long for Asia session.
- Entry at "1H Kijun" and deep into "15m FVG" , aligning with pre-triangle accumulation.
- Structure is "hyper discretionary" but leans into my bullish bias.
- "Max pain: 2%" , treating this as a CPI momentum trade.
- If price respects the level, expecting an upside expansion. If not, I eat the loss.
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels:
Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels.
Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes.
Fundamental Outlook:
With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile.
A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone.
Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000.
Rationale:
The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes.
A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum.
Action:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600.
Stop Loss: 21,700
Take Profits:
TP1: 21,300
TP2: 21,000
TP3: 20,800
Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
NAS100 1st week of FEB expectationI am forecasting that NAS should go down to the demand zone taking out IRL and then react off the demand zone and head up to the supply zone. the demand zone is also in the discount zone of the range adding more confluence. this week is tricky as NAS is respecting both supply and demand zones so it it unclear if price will break above supply
NASDAQ - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily Time-frame)
20000.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 20548.20 on 01/13/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 21248.00, 21722.90, 22203.25 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
21248.00
21722.90
22203.25
22500.00
23000.00
23500.00
24000.00
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NAS_break_21880_then-whats-nextNAS on daily view
this is my current view, we need to check once it break the last Higher low
on some fibs this is also a 178.6% extended fib view, so it wil be interesting to see what happens, what is it that market makers wants to do
then again to the other side, once it breaks the high of the left side of the W, we could see a retracement to the the "Golden zone(50%-61%fib)"
also some loads of liquidity in that long wick
lets see what this week brings us
NASDAQ Outlook IF the daily close above the weekly level 20491.21 or the Daily candle closes bullish , I'll be looking for buys 📈↗️opportunity to 21009.46
That's because of the imbalance that needs to be filled around that zone. Hence I'm going to watch how price reacts at that level for sell continuation.
The monthly candle is bearish. It might end bearish by the end of the Month.
Kindly boost this if you find it insightful ciao!
NADAQ strategy - Next NFP I hit final 5° wave target.
I think there will be possibility for a rebound of index until 21k area
Thia area means retest of minor support area (1° wave) and also 0,5 rebound of last long leg
Tomorrow we will have the NFP.. if it will suggest a potential stop of interest rate reduction we can see this short.
NAS100On NAS100 I am bearish for the longer term, currently I am waiting for price to reach my area of interes where I will be looking for selling opportunities. You will see there are two areas where i will be interested to look for selling opportunities. This is done based on my strategy on specific charts.
Remember, clear charts better vision.
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NAS 100 BREAKER BLOCK SHORT! With Price action giving us strong rejection wicks at our area of interest, breaking through the Swing low (Break & Retest set up), along with sweeping buy side liquidity formed at the Daily support level.
Price is poised for a pull back to the breaker block (Structure Low). If we receive a Bearish confirmation, once price reaches the Breaker Block. This would be a good and confident short entry. Watch your risk as we are still above the subjective Bullish Trend line
Take profit 1 at The FVG 21,245
Take profit 2 (Stretch Goal) is the 38.2 Fib retracement level.
* If we see a 38.2 retracement this should be a rejection off of the subjective "Bullish Trendline"
** Volume is giving us a great push down from the breaker block, Also just above TP2 is another area of great volume that could server as potential support.
Concepts used:
Structure
Volume
Price Action
Fibs
ICT
NASDAQ Approaches Key Support: Bullish Momentum Likely to PersisThe NASDAQ is approaching its ascending trendline support, which could serve as a potential bounce point to sustain the bullish momentum and drive new highs. There are no significant bearish signals, suggesting that buying on dips remains a viable strategy for targeting further upside.
US 100 Trade LogUS100 Long Setup (1H)
Trade Logic:
- Entry: Long within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located in the discount zone relative to this timeframe.
Confluence Factors:
- Bullish Momentum: The market is strongly bullish, with price action consistently breaking resistance and forming higher highs.
- Relative Aggression: While the FVG is in a discount zone on the 1H timeframe, higher timeframes do not confirm the same, making this a relatively aggressive trade.
- Supportive Context: Recent pullback aligns with the FVG, offering a potential continuation opportunity as buyers step in.
- Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR with a tight stop-loss of 50 points, ensuring disciplined risk management.
- Target: TP1 at the next intraday resistance; TP2 near psychological levels like 15,500.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Strong risk-on sentiment in equities as major indices rally, supported by favorable economic data and dovish central bank tone.
- Tech Strength: Nasdaq constituents leading the charge with inflows into growth and tech sectors, further reinforcing bullish momentum.
- Volatility: VIX remains low, indicating stable conditions conducive to continuation of bullish trends.
Additional Consideration:
While this setup is aggressive, the bullish momentum makes it a calculated risk worth attempting. Keep stops tight and monitor if price fails to hold the FVG. Reassess if higher timeframe resistance levels come into play, suggesting a larger pullback.