NASDAQ THOUGHTS 15-AUG-2024Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Nasdaqidea
Nasdaq Thoughts 12-Aug-2024Good morning all, Kindly find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ SHORT 1500+ pips (UPDATE....FLOATING 700+ PIPS IN PROFIT)Good evening gents so today has been EXCELLENT. My previous analysis that was posted on JULY 29th has gone perfectly. During NEW YORK session today at 16:00pm (south African time), market gave us a beautiful drop out of our POI DAILY SIBI....We are now currently running 700+ pips in profit! If you were one of the viewers to see my previous post, give me a heads up if you got in on this trade. COMMENTS ON THIS POST IS MUCH APPRECIATED.
NASDAQ SHORT 1500+ PIPSGood morning gents, so I haven't been active in a while, I've been taking the time out to get my head in the game by gaining further knowledge but I'm feeling ready now. This is my bias for NASDAQ I feel as if there is a high probability we will be seeing a strong move to the downside sweeping out further sell side liquidity as there has been a change in the state of delivery as well as market confluence pushing for sells. Comments on for this analysis is much appreciated.... let me hear what u guys think.
Nasdaq Thoughts 26-07-2024Hello all, Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
NAS100USD { BETWEEN TURING LEVEL (1) (2) } {4H}NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price between two turning level around 19,983 & 19,681 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 19,983 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 19,681 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 20,218 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 20,539 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 19,394 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 19,049 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : if the price corrective turning level (1) it is mean the price trying to reach a support level (1) , so if the price corrective a turning level (2) refers trying to reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL :20,218 , 20,539 ,
SUPPORT LEVEL : 19,394 , 19,049 .
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Wednesday 24 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5am GMT (12 am EST)
Economic news - None
News - Earnings news (Alphabet and Tesla) last night
Directional bias - SELL, because last night the Day candle closed with a red doji candle after having touched the D - 0.382 sell fib level + D EMA.
I woke up early to see what market was doing and noted a MASSIVE gap down - this confirmed my SELL bias
Entered a sell on the 15min TF at the hand icon - confirmations:
Break of the neckline of a DT that had formed on the 15min, 30min and 1H TF (TF confluence).
Mental stop was placed at half the height of the DT (marked by the thick pink line).
Price dropped beautifully.
Closed half my position at the bang icon and will watch price action to close the remaining position.
Bang icon = M - 0.382 buy fib level i.e. a strong possible reversal zone.
This will be my last post for 4 weeks, as I am going on a long summer holiday!
Feels so good to close out my trading on a nice big profit (2'968 pips so far).
Hope you caught this sell!
All the best...till next time! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
GOLD THOUGHTS 19-JUL-2024Hello all, Kindly see my GOLD thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 18 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - Initial Jobless Claims @ 13h30
News - Netflix Earnings
Directional bias - BUY
My trading journal didn't save all my detailed morning analysis text (#irritating) :(
So to repeat, short and sweet....
I kept my bias today as a BUY because I was of the opinion that market would retrace and test the neckline area of D market pattern.
Reason for this opinion:
1. Day DT Profit target reached (market pattern completed)
2. Seller's TP2 reached
3. The lime green thick line is a strong resistance level on the W TF and if price breaks this support, then we are in for another big drop as indicated by the purple arrow.
So I felt like price would retrace, all the way up to the sell fib levels.
I entered buy's twice, based on DB's forming and breaking necklines upwards + temporary downtrend lines broken.
Mental SL was placed at the thick pink lines.
On both occasions price moved more than 250 pips away from my entry and I was able to secure my trade at entry.
Got taken out twice at entry as price moved back down and then I lost faith that bulls could overpower the bears to at least force a deep retracement today.
So no pips for me today.
Hope you had a better day!
Catch ya tomorrow! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NAS100USD ( BREAKOUT CHANNEL ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , after breakout channel the price is under bearish pressure .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level between 20,214 and 20,084 , if the price breaking 20,214 reach a resistance level , but if breaking 20,084 reach a support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : currently price 20,127 inside sensitive area , if the price breaking turning level at 20,214 reach a resistance level at 20,386 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : if the price breaking 20,084 reach a support level at 19,910 .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price breaking ascending channel it mean under bearish pressure , know the price in a sensitive area between turning level at 20,214 and 20,084 , price breaking 20,214 by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level at 20,386 , then breaking this level reach a 20,708 , if the price breaking 20,084 by open 1h or 30 min below this level reach a support level at 19,910 , the breaking this level reach a 19,688 .
TARGET LEVEL
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 20,386 , 20,708 .
SUPPORT LEVEL ; 19,910 , 19,688 .
NAS100USD ( TRYING TO REACH A ORDER BLOCK ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
TENDENCY : generally the price stabilizing above turning level , indicates is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : the price between 20,387 and 20,217and called a FVG , as long as the price trading above this level reach a resistance level , breaking this level trying to touch a support level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price in previously reach a first resistance level at 20,387 , currently price stabilizing this level , my goal resistance level at 20,703 .
PRICE ACTION :
LONG CONDITION : have two cases to rising for reach a resistance level , first case the price retest a 20,387 before reach a resistance level at 20,703 , second case price retest 20.217 , before rising , if the price breaking order block at 20, 783 reach a new resistance level at 20,929 .
SHORT CONDITION : if the price breaking turning level at 20.217, stabilizing below this level reach a support level at 19,810 , then breaking a supply zone reach a next level at 19,405
TARGET LEVEL :
LONG CONDITION / RESISTANCE LEVEL : 20,703 , 20,929
SHORT CONDITION / SUPPORT LEVEL : 19,810 , 19,405
NASDAQ THOUGHTS 16-JUL-2024Hello all, Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 11 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 13h00 GMT
Economic news - CPI @ 13h30
Directional bias - BUY
This post is titled: CRASH AND BURN!!! :(
So I have runner's that are still in play from previously - roughly in the area of the bang emoji.
My plan for CPI was to keep my directional bias as a buy, but I only wanted to get in if price spiked down.
If price spiked upwards, I was happy for my runners to benefit.
I identified 2 areas of interest -
Area 1:
Pivot point + 1H 0.382 fib (drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.) + Consolidation triangle market pattern profit target (marked in orange lines.
Area 2:
4H 0.50 fib level + orange trend line + 4H EMA (at that time) + strong 4H S&R zone + 4H 0.618 fib level not to far below + D - 0.382 fib level not too far below.
I set a smaller position buy limit at Area 1 and a bigger position buy limit at Area 2.
At 13h30, the CPI data was released and came in below expectations.
Market spiked up, but bulls could not keep price afloat.
When the long wick appeared on the 1H TF, I recognized that bulls may be losing momentum.
I immediately removed my buy limit in Area 1 because it was too close to price in my opinion and I would rather enter manually in that zone if need be.
To my surprise, price dropped like a hot potato.
Welcome to Nasdaq trading! Haha! :)
I was still pretty confident in my Area 2 and so kept that buy limit, after all it was +-1'500 pips from where price was at that moment.
My order triggered and I was in with a buy.
But my overconfidence got the better of me. I was so confident in the strength of this zone and so confident in my expectation that price would at least bounce from here, that I never actually considered where my stop loss would be.
So I made a deadly mistake - I entered a trade without having a trade plan.
As price continued to fall, my mind started reeling and I had no clue what to do. My runner's were closing and I just couldn't think clearly.
EVENTUALLY I closed this position. But I closed it way too late and took a MUCH bigger loss that I would have if I had planned my trade.
I took a loss of +- 2'000 pips on a pretty big position.
Even just writing that feels ridiculous and I can't believe I let that happen, but my mind was reeling and the drop was happening fast.
My regret is not that I entered a buy (I am glad that I did because the area was super strong in my opinion).
My regret is that I entered without a proper trade plan.
To prevent this from ever happening again, I have added a new trading rule to my trading system:
If I enter a buy limit order, my SL is 500pips from entry, no matter what. Reason is that I only enter buy limits when I feel the area is strong and if price is able to move 500pips from that area of interest in the opposite direction to my expectation, then it means I got it wrong and I need to get out of the trade quick!
So learn from my costly mistake (and one that I don't normally make)....always plan your stop loss!
Once out, I knew I needed to wait for really strong confirmation before entering again. So no revenge trading for me!
Hope CPI went better for you! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NAS100USD ( BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade below resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a blue line around 20,557 , indicates if the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
NEW RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 20,742 , indicates if the price breaking turning level create a new resistance level
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 20,245 , indicates buying have already increase this level , and in this level create a demand zone
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing below turning level around 20,557, in my opinion until the price trade below turning level , reach a support level at 20,245 , then breaking this level reach a next target at 20,083 , if the price breaking turning level create a new resistance level at 20,742
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL :20,742 , 20,871
SUPPORT LEVEL : 20,245 ,20,083
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 9 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
During analysis noted the following:
M TF - current month's candle is 9'300 pips strong, indicative of strong bullish momentum
D TF - is bullish with yesterday's candle closing with a very small upper wick
4H TF - price has moved further than orange profit target, but I suspect that bears might start putting pressure on price.
1H TF - formation of a rising wedge market pattern, marked with dark blue lines. These usually break downwards, but can break in either direction. If the rising wedge does break downwards, the subsequent move down will be significant because the wedge pattern itself is large. Profit target is always the same height as the market pattern.
Noted 2 x areas of interest (areas of interest changed throughout the day because fib levels changed as market kept rising + EMA's moving - but ultimately these were my areas of interest for the day):
Area 1:
Pivot Point + 4H 0.618 fib level
Area 2:
Assuming that wedge market pattern has broken downwards and this area is the wedge profit target + 4H EMA + D 0.50 fib level(ish)
In the morning hours, entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
Market pattern - DB formed on the 15min TF, with a break of the neckline upwards. Entered on the break of the neckline
Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall bullish trend + temporary uptrend formed marked by the bottom pink line of the triangle
Candlesticks - the 1H candle close before this 15min DB entry was a doji candle, indicating that sellers may be losing momentum.
S&R - when the market is very bullish then price will respect the 30min EMA. There was a long wick candle down to the 30min EMA indicating that price was reacting to this dynamic support.
Fib - none
Set a mental SL at half the height of the market pattern as indicated by the think pink line.
Entered only half a position because it seemed unlikely that price would really move up from here with out first retracing.
Price moved up and then back down and price action broke my SL area and I closed at 100 pip loss (losing 100 pips is not a big deal in my books)
So waited patiently for my next set up, but was pretty confident in my Area 2, so set a buy limit for this zone for my full position size.
The area at the mushroom is pretty strong area because it is a strong S&R zone on the 4H TF and the D 0.382 fib level.
Price wicked down to this level and then seemed to reverse.
Watching price action carefully, I entered buys when a DB formed on the 5min TF with a break of the neckline upwards - this DB formed right on the 4H 0.618 fib level and the D pivot point.
I entered further buys when a DB formed on the 15min TF and 30 min TF, meaning that price was giving bullish signals on all the lower TF's i.e. timeframe confluence.
Mental stop was always at half the DB for each entered position.
Now currently, my positions are roughly 300 pips up and secured at entry.
I will leave them running till tomorrow and set TP 1 at a re-test of the ascending wedge pattern.
Sell Fib levels are also shown on the 1H TF, so tomorrow I will be watch for a reversal at these points (seems bulls have already pushed past the 0.382 sell fib level)
Hope you had a good day trading!
Catch ya tomorrow!
What could I have done differently / better?
Pretty happy with my performance today, I was patient and waited for market to give me a signal to buy. I also managed risk well by scaling in my buys as confirmation grew stronger and stronger on the various TF's
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 8 July 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 6am GMT (1am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY (because an overall trend is like the current of a fast flowing river, if you go against the fast flowing waters, you will go a shorter distance than you may expect. If you go with the current, you will go further than you may initially expect)
During analysis noted the following:
M TF - Bullish
W TF - price stalled at the 19'737 zone (with a shooting star and doji candle formations) but then price pushed higher
D TF - bullish with Friday Day candle closing with a strong momentum bull candle
Noted an area of interest:
Area of confluence highlighted in green is where D pivot + 4H 0.382 exactly align (as at morning analysis when fib was drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.)
Set a buy limit to enter a full buy position at this level.
As the morning progressed a descending triangle pattern formed, marked in blue lines
Entered a buy at the hand icon on the 30min TF (even though I thought that market may retrace to my area of interest, Nasdaq gave the clear sign that it was ready to move up).
Confirmations:
Market pattern - Descending triangle patterns usually break down but can break in either direction. In this case the pattern was broken upwards as the bullish support level (bottom horizontal line of triangle) held strong. I entered a buy when the 30min candle closed on the 30min TF. I waited for this candle close because I wanted to be sure that price could break the 1H S&R zone marked in the light blue highlight.
Also a DB had formed and neckline broken upwards on the 30min TF and temporary down trend line was broken - marked with orange lines
S&R - 1H S&R level was broken
Trend - buy is in the same direction as the overall trend and the temporary down trend line in blue had been broken too
Fib - none
Mental stop loss was placed at the pink thick line, which is half the height of the DB formation
Price moved 580 pips from my position.
I secured when price had moved 250 pips from my entry.
When market opened (US session) there was a tug of war between bears and bulls.
Price came down to my entry twice at C. - I removed my stop loss both times (the first two candle wicks at C.) because I wanted to see how price would react to the 30min EMA.
On the third wick down at C. I was out at entry because I did not feel confident as to the direction of market on the third bearish push down.
Decided I will enter again if price comes down to the pivot point and my area of interest.
If not, and if price moves up from here, then I will let my runner from Friday take advantage of the upward move.
Ultimately price moved 890 pips from my entry but I did not gain from this move because I was out at entry at C.
At least my runner took advantage of the buy and I live to trade another day.
What could I have done differently / better?
Looking at the price action now, I don't see a re-entry point that I would have been happy and confident with.
So ultimately, I am happy with the risk I took to watch price action at the 30 min EMA twice in a row by removing my stop loss (not something I usually do).
But I have no regrets to being out at entry, because it could have gone the other way today. So I took a risk and then protected my capital.
A good day on Nasdaq is a small loss, being out at entry or a win.
So I guess it was a good day! ;)
Hope you profited from this buy!
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss