Nasdaqshort
DOW JONES\NASDAQ - Tracking Minor Waves - Mania\FOMO Edition.Although I mainly use the waves for my analysis I do often look at other indicators such as how people behave.
Lately I have seen some peculiar behavior.
So far my analysis appears to be heading in the right direction so let's discuss what is happening.
See related ideas below to see how we got here.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Nas100 AnalysisHi everyone, so the market has come exactly where I did say I will come on my previous analysis couple days ago. It was a slow stroll yesterday with all the reactions from the news. We are at a crucial point on nasdaq, a break of this 13585 resistance we will see a new high, 13700-13800, however the market may pull back before breaking this resistance. If we do come down and the market rejects to go back up and break the centre trend line then we can see a bearish momentum bring price back down to 12962-12751.
Don't be greedy, have a plan, every plan will not go right especially during times like this where is very volatile and unsteady so be patient and don't let your emotions take over.
Have a great day trading and if you want to learn you can always contact me, here to help you learn, grow and become profitable
Gold-Copper Ratio, (very) LONG; This WAS the top of equities ...... most likely.
Let's reason for a second. (Despite all the noise out there.)
The title chart is the Monthly Gold/Copper Ratio, e.g. is very powerful. (It does not tend to turn on a dime!)
This has just completed the month of Jan. 2021.
1) It has finished the month by completing a Bullish Hammer, bouncing off of the (very) round number / level of 500;
2) It did so exactly at the 78% retracement of the March 2020 highs - i.e. Pandemic equity lows;
Then, instead of continuing down (equities continuing to rally) it did turn "on a dime" and finished in a Bullish Hammer - raring to go higher, i.e. equities lower.
3) As of this moment, the above picture, provides one with two distinct possibilities.
a) That massive (Monthly!!) Bearish Deep Crab is going to bear down it's target at the - very - round 1000, e.g. sending the SP500, Dow and Nasdaq to a better than >65% Decline; (Most likely!)
b) This ratio is going to trace back, close to the March, 2020 highs - Pandemic Equity lows - where it's going to reverse and rise, once again. I.e. The test of the March, 2020 equity lows are going to hold.
Either way, the significant take away here is this;
Unless these most recent Equity Index highs are taken out very soon - e.g. with this next month - Equities are headed strait to test the March, 2020 lows, where the obvious question remains: Will those hold?
Have a nice day and stay short equities!
Here is the Weekly chart;
DOW JONES\NASDAQ - Tracking Minor Waves - Wave E In ProgressIn this video I make sense of the latest moves in these markets using AriasWave.
I am still bearish these markets and in this video I explain why these moves aren't bullish.
If these markets were going to go higher I would be seeing the evidence but there are no signs of this happening.
I do play devils advocate all the time which is why I am confident in my analysis.
See related ideas linked below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
NASDAQ Analysis Hi Everyone,
Happy New Year. Hope you all had an amazing holiday.
Looking at nasdaq I can see this market is about to drop. It is still go higher and higher. Again today it made a new high. However when we get build up like this, it eventually tips.
Bulls- Next target for the buyers will be 13100, It may come back for a retest to 12921 before carrying on or may just be a fake break out and taking all the buyer out ready for a big bearish movement. Will wait for New York market if you haven't already entered.
Bears- If the market does drop our target for the bears will be 12971. If we get a break here, the upward trend will break bringing market to 12463 or even 12236.
NAS100 Trading inside the boxIts been very quite due to the holidays so i been trading inside the box. Its amazing how easy and simple strategy made me 300 pips in a day while consolidating. These strategies and experience cannot be found free on yourtube. This is 8 years of real life experience, which i learnt the hard way, Now its time to pass this down to serious people who will end up becoming profitable, successful and them carry on passing this knowledge down
NAS100 Analysis Yesterday was a amazing trading day. Very good for a Monday. Hope you all enjoyed it. We are back 12725 zone a break of this zone we can see bulls go to 12878- 13000. As for a rejection at that level, bears will bring it back down to 12460- 12232.
Let prepare and have another great day
NAS100 AnalysisHi Everyone. Nasdaq is currently approaching 12656 zone where price had come only last week at new high. The market will either break this new resistance pushing price higher or respect it and let the bears right back in. If we get a break, our next new target for bulls will be 12821 according to the channel, as we are still in a upward channel and it has respected it so far very well. However if we fail to break through this zone we can see the bears push the price back down to 12463- 12318.
Tip: This may create a double top pushing price right down. So far double top formation looks perfect- only missing the right leg. Again Nasdaq new highs are in its genes. So prepare, have strategy in place and follow it. Don't trade blindly- Nasdaq can make you a winner if you trade it correctly
All the best guys.
Nasdaq US100 Short position analysisNasdaq
- On the Daily timeframe price is rejecting from the bullish trend with confirmation of daily bearish engulfing candle.
- A Sellstop after breaking the resistance level will be targeting the 0.5FIB Key level or the 100MA
- A clear bounce out of the 14RSI from Resistance level to target the support Level.
Note : for longer target i will hold short positions till 0.236 FIB (11142.00~11152.00)
NAS100 Analysis Hi Guys, Today I feel we will get some more bearish momentum. A break at 12229 we can seen NAS go to the next target 12098 and a break here would bring it down to anywhere between 12098-11786. As for the bulls if we fail to break and go back into the channel we can see bulls coming in taking the price back to 12476, A break there we can go back to 11667.
$NAS - 20 TICK SHORT AT 12528Theres a few "brekers" the lowest being at 12528. The liquidity run gave the go to trade short. Target 1 would be the next nears low. If you want to hang on or take percentages of profits and aim for lower lows would be another strategy. I'm just giving something I see that should be an easY 20 point tick short.
Once it hits the order block there will be a bit of a struggle and I wonder if it will make it lower, but with the bearishness that NAS is having at the moment it will probably break through.
NAS100 AnalysisNAS100 Analysis
In line with my previous post, We are waiting for a break of the triangle, If the triangle break up then our target will be 12099, A break out this key line we can see bulls come right in taking nas anywhere between 12099-12398. However a break of the downside of 11821 then we can see it come down to 11610 or 11507. Be be advised it will use minor key levels aswell which i havnt drawn. These are only major key levels
NAS100- Daily TimeFrame AnalysisHI Guys, Hope you all had a good trading day yesterday. I will be releasing my daily analysis very soon. Firstly id like you to see what is happening in the daily. It is important to see what is happening in the higher timeframe to be able to execute on the lower timeframes.
We have a triangle that has formed and its been respecting this triangle very nicely. We have had couple of fake break outs from this triangle and they were quite a big 300 pip moves but each time they failed and came back in.
Now that you have seen this triangle im sure you all see the lower timeframe a lot differently and you have a zone to trade in. Weather you are waiting to trade when it breaks or trade inside the triangle , you have a clearer picture to plan.
NAS100 AnalysisNAS100 Analysis
Will we break 12110 today to bring the bulls right back in?. or break through 11901for a bearish momentum. If we do break 12110 then next target will be 12259, as for the bears 11900-11653. It may come down to find support before going back up. You must understand how to use support and resistance to be able to profit from these analysis. These are key major S/R but there are other minor support and resistance that are not drawn on the chart that you must be able to identify and draw yourself. I dont draw all the minors so people dont get confused with alot of lines.