NASDAQ Major Lower Highs break-out just took place!Nasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above the Lower Highs trend-line that started more than a month ago on the December 16 2024 High that initiated the recent correction. This has technically been a Bearish Leg within the +2 year Channel Up and every time such a structure broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, a strong rally followed.
At the same time, the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 neutral level and out of the 9 previous time this took place, it only failed to produce an immediate rally 2 times.
We technically see that the current Bullish Leg that started on the August 05 2024 Low, isn't over yet, so we still expect it to complete a +47% to +48% rise before a stronger correction. As a result, our Target is 25000.
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Nasdaqsignals
NASDAQ Reversal: Bullish Patterns AlignThe NASDAQ, after enduring bearish pressure, is beginning to exhibit signs of bullish momentum at a significant daily support level. A combination of technical signals, including a bullish divergence, the completion of an ABCD pattern, and the formation of a bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, points toward a potential reversal. A confirmed breakout above the neckline could validate further bullish momentum, presenting an attractive buy opportunity at 21,056. A strategically placed stop loss at 20,521 allows for adequate room to account for market fluctuations.
NAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market AnalysisNAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market Analysis
Technical Analysis
1. Breakout Above Trend Line:
• The NAS100 has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trend line, signaling a reversal from bearish momentum to bullish strength.
• This breakout is further supported by sustained bullish candles, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
2. Key Resistance Levels Breached:
• The price recently broke above a significant resistance level at 21,500, turning it into a support zone.
• With this key resistance cleared, the next target levels are 21,750 and 22,000 in the short term.
3. Support Levels:
• Strong support is visible around 21,400, which aligns with the trendline retest and consolidation area.
• The 21,150 level provides additional downside protection, serving as a critical pivot.
4. Momentum Indicators:
• Stochastic Divergence: Momentum remains bullish, with no signs of overbought conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement.
• Volume Surge: The breakout was accompanied by increased volume, validating the strength of the upward move.
Market Analysis
1. Trump’s Presidential Inauguration:
• Markets often react positively to pro-business policies, which are historically associated with Trump’s administration.
• Investor sentiment today is driven by expectations of renewed focus on technology growth, infrastructure spending, and potential tax cuts. These policies directly benefit tech-heavy indices like NAS100.
2. Tech Sector Performance:
• The NAS100 heavily relies on major tech companies, which are likely to see increased investment flows due to optimism about innovation and deregulation.
3. Speculative Sentiment:
• Political transitions fuel short-term speculative buying, further adding to the index’s upside momentum.
Buy Opportunity
1. Entry Zone:
• Current price levels around 21,500–21,550 present a strong buying opportunity, as this zone has become a solid support after the breakout.
2. Target Levels:
• Short-term target: 21,750.
• Medium-term target: 22,000, aligning with psychological resistance and historical price zones.
3. Stop Loss:
• Place a stop loss below the support level at 21,400, allowing room for minor pullbacks while limiting downside risk.
Conclusion
The NAS100 is positioned for further upside due to the trendline breakout, strong technical setup, and positive market sentiment fueled by Trump’s inauguration. Buyers should focus on buying dips near support zones to capitalize on the ongoing bullish momentum.
US100 Trade LogMarket Context:
- The CPI session’s top wick aligns with a 4H FVG rejection , signaling a high-probability short setup. Oscillators confirm exhaustion, supporting bearish momentum.
Trade Parameters:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum .
- Base Risk: 1% account risk for initial positions.
- Additional Risk: Two half-contract size positions added, bringing total risk to between 1% and 2% to capture extended targets if price runs higher.
Missed Entry:
- Ideal short entry at the 0.5 level of the FVG , confluenced with the daily Kijun resistance. Hesitation led to a missed opportunity.
Retracement Importance:
- Small retracements, while frustrating, are necessary to sustain upside momentum. They provide clean re-entry points for continuation trades.
Conclusion:
- Strategic use of added risk positions and focusing on high-probability zones like FVGs and Kijun levels is crucial for optimizing profits.
OUR TRADE TODAY ON NASDAQAs I said in the previous post, I didn't share today's trades, since my clients and I focused on recovering the losses silently without sharing the trades to public.
Our entry was after we got a reversal point in which we entered and targeted the PVL inside of the liquidity zone.
Follow for more!
US Tech 100 Index (Nasdaq 100) AnalysisHello Dear traders! keep Support And share Your Openion in comment section thanks for support
The US Tech 100 Index (Nasdaq 100) is showing potential for a bullish reversal after testing the key support zone near 20,200. Price action suggests a descending channel breakout with a strong likelihood of upward momentum towards resistance levels at 21,200 (TP1) and 21,750.
Technical Analysis:
The price is rebounding from a key support zone (20,200), marked by increased demand.
A potential breakout from the descending channel signals a trend reversal.
Resistance levels at 21,200 and 21,750, while the stop-loss is set below the key support at 20,200.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent developments in the tech sector and potential market optimism into 2025 support the bullish bias. Watch for macroeconomic news or earnings reports that may influence sentiment.
Trade cautiously and confirm breakout signals before entering long positions.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational purpose only trade safe thanks
NASDAQ - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily Time-frame)
20000.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 20548.20 on 01/13/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 21248.00, 21722.90, 22203.25 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
21248.00
21722.90
22203.25
22500.00
23000.00
23500.00
24000.00
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US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
DJI Short Trade Nets $2100 Dip: A 4.7% Market Move!Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): $2100 Drop Captured
On December 11, 2024, the Risological Options Trading Indicator provided a clear signal to initiate a short trade on the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). This trade capitalized on a significant bearish move, capturing an impressive $2100 dip, equating to a massive 4.7% decline from the entry point.
The trade was identified using the Risological Options Trading Indicator, which accurately captured the strong bearish momentum. The red overlay in the histogram confirms increasing selling pressure, coinciding with the downward trajectory.
This setup highlights how the Risological Options Trading Indicator leverages market structure to pinpoint high-probability trades. The captured $2100 move reinforces its precision in navigating even the most volatile markets.
All the best!
Namaste.
NASDAQ One more low to go.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down since the December 16 2024 High. So far it has made two Lows and each one bottomed after the 4H RSI made Double Bottom as seen on the chart.
Right now the 4H RSI just turned oversold below 30.00, so technically we still have room for one last Low before we see a rebound. We expect the next Bullish Leg to target at least 21300, which is marginally below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that formed the previous two Lower Highs of the Channel Down.
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Potential bearish drop?NAS100 has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 20,941.46
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 21,195.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 20,573.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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NAS100 - lets focus on recoveryTeam,
Yesterday, we got DOW to hit two targets. and 3 target short for the DAX
We are now entering long at 21076-85 ranges
STOP LOSS at 21035 or extend to 20987
Target 1 at 21112-26 - NOTE: once it hits our first target range, take partial and bring stop loss to BE.
Target 2 - 21187-95 - I would prefer to take this target as confident.
Target 3 - 21286-21332
Buy or Sell? Read the caption. I told you...Hello guys
We came with NAS100 analysis.
Due to the heavy selling that has happened now, we need to maintain the defined twin bottom range to maintain the upward trend.
Otherwise, the drop will continue up to the specified limits.
Now, if the price is supported, you can see its growth up to the specified areas.
*Trade safely with us*
NAS100 - TIME FOR ENTER THE TRADE LOOKING FOR RECOVERYTeam,
Again, I hope you have a fantastic new year and lets kill the BEAST (market) together
I found a good entry for NAS 100 at 21185-92
STOP LOSS at 21050 or 21105
Target 1 at 21236-57
Target 2 at 21315-45
Target 3 at 21385-21425
NOTE: Please ensure you take your partial once it hits the first target range of 21236-57. Please bring STOP LOSS to BE to secure the trade
NASDAQ rebounding strongly on its 1D MA50. 1 month rally ahead.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and hit last Tuesday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) exactly on the Channel's bottom. Even though it marginally broke it, the 1D candle closed exactly on the 1D MA50, causing a strong bullish Friday reaction.
As today opened equally green, we technically view this sequence as the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, which may be confirmed today if the 1D RSI breaks above its MA (yellow trend-line), as both previous Bullish Legs did.
Our Target is 22600, which represents a +9.00% rise, the minimum a Bullish Leg had within this Channel Up.
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BIG BIG weekI think 7 FED speakers,
A lot of tension in the markets, tops mean polarisation, considering reflexivity theory extreme volatility will ensue.
A lot of people might think the -0.786 ATH we got before the holidays is the top. I think they are mistaken as seen in the analysis below.
There is still legroom for higher, this is a big bet on my part.
I have a few contracts on the mag7 (GOOGL, TSLA and META) focusing on GOOGL since they seem to be in the same headwind as S&P
Let's see how this plays out