Nasdaqsignals
NASDAQ ENTRY ON THE FLOOR?! 4H chart Sep-Feb 27.2.25Simple up-trend with a recent confirmation of support.
September24 to Feb 25 is consistent and predictable with an average 7 to 11% rise from the support within a time frame of up to 6 weeks.
If the price closes a 4h candle below the line (20,850) - Up-trend will be broken, as long as the price keeps above, aiming for $800-$1500 swing trade up can be very profitable.
Make logical, consistent decisions based on an overall plan with risk management as top priority.
Nas100 Correction: Why a Drop Below 20K is LikelySince reaching its recent all-time high of 22,232, the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has dropped 1,000 points. While this might seem like a significant decline, it actually represents less than a 5% correction—hardly a major pullback.
This drop has brought the index into a key confluence support zone, raising the common question: Is the correction over?
In my opinion, it’s not. For a healthy correction, a dip below 20,000 is necessary.
Technical Perspective
🔹 Since the "bullish" event marked by Trump’s election, the index hasn’t made substantial progress. While it has technically risen, the gains have been marginal, suggesting more distribution than true bullish strength.
🔹 The index remains confined within a large rising wedge, as seen on the chart. This type of structure often signals topping and potential reversal rather than sustainable upside momentum.
What’s Next?
In the medium term, I expect a drop below 20,000. For traders looking to speculatively trade the Nas100, potential sell zones would be around 22,000 and 23,000— in the event of a new all-time high.
S&P500 How Expensive Is It?The Average Wage Earner Needs To Work166.5 Hours To Buy One Share Of The S&P500
If this chart does not drive the point home. Nothing will.
Sometimes simple common sense is more powerful than all the fancy analysis one can buy or think of to create.
Price is what you pay, and value is what you get! Remember that my friends.
DANGER IS SCREAMING AT YOU!
NASDAQ 4 more months before next correction.Nasdaq (NDX) has been rising non-stop with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since it first broke above it in March 13 2023, following the 2022 Inflation Crisis Bear Cycle.
This continuous period of growth has been built on a prolonger Bearish Divergence based on the 1W RSI, which has been on Lower Highs since June 05 2023. It is not the first time in recent history that the index has seen this pattern, as in the last 10 years we have had 2 periods of similar growth.
The 2014 - 2015 phase came to a sudden end in the first week of January 2016 after having marginally topped above the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. The 1W RSI Bearish Divergence eventually kicked in and the price dipped below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while an RSI below 40.00 formed the bottom.
Similarly, the 2018 - 2019 phase got hammered in early February 2020 after topping very close to the 4.0 Fib ext, again sharply declining below the 1W MA100, finding support exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). We need to point out that this was a (technically) exaggerated price collapse though due to the COVID lockdowns.
As mentioned above, we are facing again an RSI Bearish Divergence and if the price action follows the previous two periods that both, amazingly enough, lasted for 742 days (106 weeks) from the first RSI High, we should be expecting a technical peak around June 23 2025 (exactly 4 months from now) near a 4.0 Fibonacci extension at 23500.
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NASDAQ The 3 Phase of its Bull Cycle.Nasdaq (NDX) had a strong closing last week, rallying aggressively after cementing the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. As the market will stay closed today on Washington's Holiday, it is a good opportunity to take the time and look at the bigger picture.
Nasdaq's whole Bull Cycle so far since the late 2022 market bottom, can be categorized into 3 separate Phases of Growth. Right now we are naturally on the 3rd and as you see, compared to the previous Phases, we are on the 2nd accumulation of the Phase. This has led on a strong rally of at least +22% that completed each Phase.
Each Phase has two such accumulations and the 2nd is what makes the Channel Up peak and then correct back to the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). Since the final accumulation rally of Phase 1 has been +25.78% and the one of Phase 2 +22.13%, we may have a -3.50% decrease rate between each Phase rally. Assuming this to be the case this time around too, we may be looking for a +18.60% rally at 24000 to complete Phase 3.
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US100 Trade Log - CPI Pre-ShotUS100 long ahead of "CPI release" , pre-shot long for Asia session.
- Entry at "1H Kijun" and deep into "15m FVG" , aligning with pre-triangle accumulation.
- Structure is "hyper discretionary" but leans into my bullish bias.
- "Max pain: 2%" , treating this as a CPI momentum trade.
- If price respects the level, expecting an upside expansion. If not, I eat the loss.
NASDAQ repeating the 2021 and 2019 rallies.Nasdaq (NDX) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern. The whole sequence since the August 22 2024 High appears to be very similar with the price action that preceded the 2021 and 2019 C&H patterns.
As you can see, both of those pattern had an identical trend towards them and equally rally after them, which targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension.
If the current C&H is completed on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it is reasonable to expect to continue to repeat those past patterns. As long as the 20600 Low doesn't break, we expect a June rally to 24650 at least.
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NASDAQ SHORTConsidering Friday's PA where there was a liquidity grab,there is high resistance liquidity on the buyside. Formation of a one candle CISD further confirms that we might be bearish for a couple of days.
We will delve into the smaller timeframe (4H & 1H) to have our entry position and our targets will be at 20860 and 20670
Falling towards pullback support?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,526.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 21,287.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 21,910.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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